Tag: Diamondbacks Pirates odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Arizona Diamondbacks (42-85) and Pittsburgh Pirates (46-80) meet Wednesday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Gilbert is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 17 2/3 IP over five games (two starts).

• Back for start No. 3 after a no-hitter and a shaky follow-up outing in which he allowed 4 runs on 9 hits and 1 walk over 5 innings in a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies Friday.

RHP Bryse Wilson is the projected starter for the Pirates. He is 2-5 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 /and 2.1 BB/9 through 46 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

• Reinstated from the 10-day IL (arm fatigue) for this start. Last pitched Aug. 14, so he wasn’t on the shelf for long.
• Has been hurt by a .323 batting average on balls in play.

Diamondbacks at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pirates -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140) | Pirates +1.5 (-180)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Prediction

Pirates 6, Diamondbacks 5

Money line (ML)

Neither one of these clubs is going to be featured on the year-end 2021 MLB season summary video but there is some room to separate these two on a wager. The Pirates took the first two games of this series and look to be worth a partial-unit play Wednesday.

The Diamondbacks often struggle against right-handed pitchers and on the road. Gilbert likely gets overrated in this slot.

TAKE PITTSBURGH (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID the added juice on the spread. Plus, Pittsburgh tends to play relatively few games decided by a single run.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Steel City weather report calls for warm, humid conditions, with a hitter’s breeze out to right-center. Both starters figure to yield quite a few fly balls, so they figure to be more susceptible to those kinds of conditions.

With some fade lean on Gilbert and some growth signals in the batting analytics for both clubs there is a slight lean on the OVER 8.5 (-135).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (42-84) and Pittsburgh Pirates (45-80) meet Tuesday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Madison Bumgarner is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 7-7 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 7.9 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 106 1/3 IP over 19 starts.

• Has come on strong after missing much of June with a shoulder injury, clocking a 1.93 ERA in seven starts since the All-Star break.

RHP J.T. Brubaker is the projected starter for the Pirates. He is 4-13 with a 5.49 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 116 1/3 IP over 22 starts.

• Is coming off three clunkers in a row with a 12.86 ERA and 7 HR allowed over 14 IP.
• Owns an 8.84 ERA since July 2.

Diamondbacks at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Pirates +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-160)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Pirates 5, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Pirates beat the Diamondbacks 6-5 in Monday’s series opener. However,  Arizona’s bats have come around recently as the club’s solidly bottom-third offense has posted an .844 OPS since Aug. 12.

The D-Backs have also pitched better of late. Arizona hurlers logged a 2.57 ERA over a recent seven-game stretch against the playoff-contending San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies.

The Pirates are just 5-16 in August despite their Monday victory. The Bucs’ 6 runs in the series opener were an anomaly: Pittsburgh has averaged just 3.1 runs per game on a .598 OPS in August. Pirates pitching has been shaky too, recording a 5.52 ERA this month.

Bumgarner has benefited from some generous rates around the margins over recent starts while Brubaker has been done in by an exorbitant number of long balls. Even with closing out a 6-5 victory Monday the Pirates bullpen enters this one with more availability on the back end.

TAKE PITTSBURGH (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID the added juice in the price spread here. Plus, Pittsburgh tends to play relatively few games where they cozy up and lose by 1.

Over/Under (O/U)

With some fade lean on Bumgarner and some growth signals in the batting analytics for both clubs there is a slight lean on the OVER 8.5 (-125).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (42-83) and Pittsburgh Pirates (44-80) meet Monday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a three-game series at PNC Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Humberto Mejia is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. The 24-year-old will be making his first big league start of 2021

• Started three games for the Miami Marlins in 2020. He was 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA allowing 6 ER on 13 H and 6 BB with 11 K across 10 IP.
• Has posted a 5.30 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over 86 2/3 combined innings pitched at Double- and Triple-A this season.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starter for the Pirates. He is 3-7 with a 5.23 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, and 4.5 BB/9 across 84 1/3 IP over 19 games (18 starts).

• Has been hurt by a 19.8% home run/fly ball rate, but since July 1 he has allowed 1 or 0 HR in six of eight starts while recording a 3.72 ERA.
• Owns a 4.35 ERA at home vs. a 6.07 mark on the road and has a 3.30 ERA over his last 30 IP at PNC Park.

Diamondbacks at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:07 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Pirates -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-205) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Pirates 6, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

After taking six of seven games from the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies Aug. 12-19, the Diamondbacks dropped two of three at Colorado over the weekend. However, Arizona’s bats have come around recently and its solidly bottom-third offense has posted an .858 OPS since Aug. 12.

The D-Backs have also pitched better of late. Arizona hurlers logged a 2.57 ERA over its seven-game stretch against the playoff-contending Padres and Phillies.

Despite winning two of three games at the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend the Pirates are just 4-16 in August. The pitching has been shaky recording 5.55 ERA this month, and the batting numbers (.584 OPS in August) are atrocious too.

From the looks of the prices here the recent results have opened up some betting leverage on this game. Arizona has been buoyed by a league-best .339 batting average on balls in play this month; Pittsburgh has been hurt by a .269 BABIP figure.

Crowe’s recent relative success and his home-park numbers make for a big advantage in the starting pitcher matchup. Peg the Pittsburgh bullpen as being in better shape coming off the weekend. That’s especially true at the back end where leads are preserved.

The snakes have dropped their last seven mid-road trip openers.

TAKE PITTSBURGH (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on what is a little too risky of an ATS play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both bullpens profile as fly-ball units. There is some upside to the Pittsburgh offensive numbers and enough starting-pitcher gray area to justify the OVER 9.5 (+110). Especially on a warm, humid evening with a slight batter’s breeze in the forecast.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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