Tag: Diamondbacks Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (87-68) and the Milwaukee Brewers (88-67) wrap up a 4-game series on Sunday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-2

The Diamondbacks have won the 1st 3 games of this series, outscoring the Brewers 17-5 and cashing as the favorite in 2 of the outings. The Under is also 2-1 in the 1st 3 games of the set.

Arizona has won 4 in a row, rebounding after a 1-4 skid from Sept. 13-17, which included 2 losses in a 3-game set vs. the Brewers in Phoenix. The Under has connected in 4 of the past 6 outings for the Snakes.

The Brewers have clinched the division, so they’re not exactly playing with a lot of urgency. Milwaukee became the 1st team in the majors to clinch a postseason bid Wednesday, and the Brew Crew has won the NL Central crown 2 consecutive seasons.

Despite the division title, Milwaukee has won just once in the past 5 games, while cashing low on the total in 4 of those contests.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Montgomery (8-7, 6.23 ERA) makes his 21st start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 8-2 road setback vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.44 ERA, 51 1/3 IP, 31 ER, 7 HR, 1.38 WHIP, .279 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 34 K in 9 starts (10 appearances)
  • Last 7 games: 1-1, 5.83 ERA, 29 1/3 IP, 19 ER, 10 BB, 22 K, 1.53 WHIP
  • Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 2.93 ERA, 27 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 29 H, 6 BB, 34 K, 1.27 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Montas (7-11, 4.50 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 144 IP with Reds and Brewers.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 10 K in 5-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-7, 4.15 ERA, 60 2/3 IP, 28 ER, 7 HR, 1.32 WHIP, .254 OBA, 20 BB, 62 K in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 3.02 ERA, 41 2/3 IP, 14 ER, 16 BB, 48 K, 1.06 WHIP
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-2, 7.24 ERA, 13 2/3 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 7 BB, 15 K, 1.46 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-120) are the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Neither of these pitchers give bettors a lot of confidence, as Montgomery has been a disaster most of the season, while Montas has had issues at home in his stops in Cincinnati and Milwaukee this season.

This could be a game which is decided by the bullpens, as the starters likely won’t last long.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, if you decided to take a little bit of insurance, and not play Milwaukee straight up.

That’s too much risk and not enough reward straight up. However, if you were to toss Milwaukee into a multi-leg parlay, either with other MLB games, WNBA playoff games or NFL contests, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the strongest play in this series finale.

While the Under has cashed at a 4-1-1 clip in the past 6 games for Milwaukee, it should be able to get to the southpaw Montgomery, who has been very giving all season.

The Diamondbacks have piled up 26 runs in the past 4 outings, splitting the Over 2-2 in those contests. Like Montgomery, Montas is very giving, and Arizona should get the sticks going against him.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (88-65) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (85-68) to American Family Field Friday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Diamondbacks won 5-1 Thursday to open the series, closing as -122 favorites.

Arizona has won 2 straight games and is 6-4 over its last 10. It took on the Brewers for the first time this season Sept. 13-15 and lost 2 of 3 at home. The Diamondbacks have been solid this season on the road, posting a 43-35 record. They are 79-74 against the spread (ATS).

The Brewers came into the series following a 2-1 series win over the visiting Philadelphia Phillies Monday through Wednesday. They have won 5 of their last 8 games, scoring 10 or more runs in 2 of the 8 outings. Milwaukee is in 1st place in the NL Central, 10 games ahead of the 2nd-place Chicago Cubs. It is 44-31 at home this season and 81-72 ATS overall.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Colin Rea

Gallen (12-6, 3.61 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 137 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-10 home win over Brewers Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 5-3, 3.75 ERA (60 IP, 25 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Brewers (regular season): 3-3, 2.20 ERA (41 IP, 10 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 7 starts

Rea (12-5, 4.14 ERA) makes his 26th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 156 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 10 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 13-2 road defeat to San Francisco Giants Sept. 11
  • 2024 home stats: 7-3, 3.78 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 15 appearances (13 starts)
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+110).

The Brewers have been terrific with Rea on the mound this season. They are 20-9 in his outings and 11-4 in his apperances at home. Milwaukee’s bats have been hot as of late, scoring 6 of more runs in 3 of its last 6 games.

The Diamondbacks have scored 14 runs in their last 2 games but have put up 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 7. Arizona is just 3-5 in its last 8 road games. Considering those trends, take BREWERS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value on the run line. The Diamondbacks are too risky as favorites here, while the Brewers aren’t worth the expense as run-line underdogs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Over went 2-1 in the most recent series between these teams Sept. 13-15. The Diamondbacks have an aggressive offense and have scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 7 games. They are 7-5 O/U in their last 12 games.

The Brewers, who are 79-65-9 O/U, have gone 2-3-1 O/U in their last 6 games. They are 3-1 O/U in Rea’s last 4 starts, though. With that in mind, back OVER 8 (-110).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) and the NL Central Division champion Milwaukee Brewers (88-64) meet Thursday as they open a 4-game series. First pitch at American Family Field is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

These 2 teams met last weekend with the Brewers taking 2 of 3 in Phoenix Sept. 13-15 and the Diamondbacks winning Sunday to avoid a sweep. A combined 44 runs were scored over the last 2 games with Milwaukee winning 15-8 Saturday and Arizona responding with a 11-10 thriller in 10 innings in the finale. The D-backs followed by losing 2 of 3 at the Colorado Rockies, prevailing 9-4 Wednesday as -175 favorites.

The Brewers continue a homestand that opened with taking 2 of 3 against the Philadelphia Phillies. When the Chicago Cubs lost to the Oakland A’s Wednesday afternoon, the Brewers clinched the NL Central Division before their 2-1 victory over the Phillies later that night. Milwaukee is 5-2 over its last 7 games.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Pfaadt (9-9, 4.81 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 166 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 0 K in 15-8 home defeat vs. Brewers Saturday
  • Owns a 10.23 ERA over his last 5 starts

Myers (8-5, 3.07 ERA) is making his 24th start and 25th appearance. The rookie has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 126 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 15-8 rout at Diamondbacks Saturday
  • Has benefited from a .280 batting average on balls in play (.203 BABIP with runners in scoring position)

Pfaadt and Myers were the opposing starters in Saturday’s 15-8 Milwaukee victory. It’s the only time Myers has faced the Diamondbacks in his career, while it was the 2nd time Pfaadt took on the Brewers. He started against Milwaukee in Game 1 of their Wild Card series last season, yielding 3 runs on 7 hits and 1 walk in 2 2/3 innings before being removed. Arizona would rally to win that contest 6-3 on its way to a 2-0 series sweep.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:37 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

Arizona is 5-1 over its last 6 games at Milwaukee.

Pfaadt has been rather unfortunate this season, and he figures as a better starter than what shows in his surface line. He’s been hurt by a .317 batting average on balls in play and a .359 BABIP with runners in scoring position.

Myers has numbers swinging the other way, and he’s a fade nod here.

The Diamondbacks have banged out an .856 OPS since Aug. 28.

BACK ARIZONA (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Snakes minus the cushion would be a play at +150. But PASS on the offering since we’re backing the moneyline.

Over/Under

As mentioned, last weekend’s scores were 15-8 (Brewers win) and 11-10 (Diamondbacks win). The Over is 13-5 in Arizona’s last 18 games, and the last 9 games of this series have produced 6 Overs.

Both sides have actual-vs.-pitching-and-defense analytics that point to a “should-be-higher” angle on scoring.

With the pitchers being seen just a week ago (same with the bullpens), the OVER 8 (-115) is a value.

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NL Wild Card Series Game 2: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Milwaukee Brewers for Game 2 of an NL Wild Card Series Wednesday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Wild Card Series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0

The Diamondbacks won 6-3 Tuesday despite falling behind 2-0 in the 2nd inning. Arizona hit 3 home runs and the bullpen combined for 6 1/3 scoreless innings to open the playoffs with a victory after wrapping the regular season on a 4-game losing skid.

The Brewers had won 4 of their last 6 games in the regular season but only won 2 of 6 regular-season meetings with the D-Backs.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Gallen finished the regular season 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA over 34 starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 210 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home loss to Houston Astros on Friday
  • Was 2-0 with 0.64 ERA in 2 starts vs. Brewers in 2023 (14 IP)
  • Making 1st career postseason start

Peralta went 12-10 with a 3.86 ERA over 30 regular-season starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 165 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-1 road loss to Miami Marlins on Sept. 24
  • Did not face Diamondbacks in 2023
  • Is 3-0 with a 0.55 ERA in 4 career appearances (2 starts) vs. Diamondbacks
  • Making 2nd career postseason start (4 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K at Atlanta Braves in 2021)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have won 5 of the 7 games against the Brewers this season and Gallen has allowed only 1 run in 14 innings against them. He was far less effective on the road this season, going 5-6 with a 4.42 ERA in 18 road starts.

Peralta went 7-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 16 home starts in 2023.

Arizona has its ace on the mound in a closeout scenario and its bats awoke for 3 homers and 6 runs in the series opener.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 87-76 ATS this season and 49-37 ATS as underdogs.

The Brewers are 80-83 ATS.

However, because I’m expecting Arizona to close out the series with an outright win, there is no point in betting them against the spread.

PASS.

Over/Under

Game 1 had 9 total runs and now 5 of 7 games between the Diamondbacks and Brewers have had at least 8 total runs.

Gallen’s last regular-season start had only 3 total runs.

Peralta did not face the Diamondbacks this season but has a career 0.55 ERA against them.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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NL Wild Card Series Game 1: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers kick off their NL Wild Card series Tuesday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Diamondbacks won 4-2

Milwaukee enters the Wild Card round as the 3 seed after securing the NL Central title. The Brewers finished the regular season by winning 8 of their last 12 games, including 7 wins vs. divisional opponents. Milwaukee will continue to rely on its bullpen in order to win this series. Brewers relievers led the league in win probability added and were 2nd in reliever ERA.

The 6th-seeded Arizona Diamondbacks made the playoffs after finishing 2nd behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. Arizona comes into the playoffs on a bit of a cold streak after losing 4 straight games to end the regular season. The Diamondbacks will have to find ways to win games when RHP Zac Gallen and RHP Merrill Kelley aren’t the starting pitchers.

The only other starter on the D-Backs roster with an ERA below 5.00 was LHP Tommy Henry, but he’s been out since late July with an elbow injury. Finding wins in games with pitchers like RHP Brandon Pfaadt starting on the mound will be key if the Diamondbacks want to make it to the NLDS.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) makes his 19th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 96 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 3-0 road win Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox
  • First career start vs. Milwaukee
  • First career postseason start

Burnes (10-8, 3.39 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 193 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-0 home win Thursday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. Arizona: 2-1, 3.77 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 22 H, 5 BB, 34 K across 5 starts
  • Career postseason: 1-0, 1.20 ERA (15 IP, 2 ER) in 7 appearances (1 start)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Brewers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135) | Brewers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Diamondbacks 1

Moneyline

PASS.

Milwaukee (-185) should pick up the win here but the odds do not present enough value for a wager. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BREWERS -1.5 (+110).

I like the Brewers to cover based on concerns about how Pfaadt will look in his 1st career postseason start. He was adequate this year as a rookie but I have a lot more trust in Burnes and his playoff experience. Expect the Brewers to take capitalize on their home-field advantage and win by margin.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Under has hit in 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams and has also cashed 6 times in both Milwaukee’s and Arizona’s last 10 games. The Under is 4-1 in Pfaadt’s last 5 turns and is 3-2 in Burnes’ last 5 starts. The Under has also hit in 2 of Burnes’ last 3 appearances vs. Arizona.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-30) and the Milwaukee Brewers (38-35) play the finale of a 3-game series at American Family Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2

The Brewers picked up a 7-5 victory Tuesday night, leveling the current series 1-1 after the Snakes took the opening matchup by a 9-1 count. The Over has cashed in each of the 1st 2 of this series.

Arizona is just 3-5 across the past 8 games, but it still leads the San Francisco Giants by 2 1/2 games in the NL West, while the D-backs are 3 1/2 games clear of the now 3rd-place Los Angeles Dodgers.

Milwaukee is a half-game back of the red-hot Cincinnati Reds. The Brew Crew has managed a 22-17 record at home, while posting a minus-22 run differential overall.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Julio Teheran

Gallen (8-2, 2.96 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 91 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-2, 5.79 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 24 ER) with a .290 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts

Teheran (2-2, 1.78 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 5-4 home win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 2.00 ERA (18 IP, 4 ER) with a .183 OBA in 3 starts

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115) | Brewers +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 3, Brewers 2

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-140) are the lean in this series finale, as Gallen has been having an All-Star campaign.

The Brewers (+115) look like they have a find in Teheran, however, and he is resurrecting his career in Cream City. This is going to be a well-pitched game, and close. However, I still like Arizona, and Gallen’s overall body of work.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS +1.5 (-140) aren’t priced out of line if you don’t trust the home side straight up, but you would like a little bit of insurance.

As an underdog, Milwaukee is 3-4 in the past 7 games overall, while covering the run line and winning outright in 3 of those contests.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8 (-105) might be the best play on the board in this matinee finale.

The Under has cashed in 4 of Teheran’s 5 starts with Milwaukee this season, while the Under is 6-5-1 in the past 12 starts for Gallen. It’s not so much that he has allowed a lot of runs, because he hasn’t, but Arizona has provided ample run support for him.

In Gallen’s 1st outing against the Brewers in Phoenix on April 10, he and Milwaukee picked up a 3-0 win in an easy Under result.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-29) and the Milwaukee Brewers (37-35) play the middle contest of a 3-game series at American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-1

The Diamondbacks rolled up a 9-1 win in the series opener as slight underdogs (+105) behind RHP Merrill Kelly. Arizona outhit Milwaukee by an 11-3 margin. The Snakes have won 3 of their past 4 games while averaging 5.8 runs per game on offense.

The Brewers’ loss snapped a 3-game win streak and dropped them to 2nd place in the NL Central behind the Cincinnati Reds. Milwaukee has just won 3 of its last 8 games at home. The Brewers are now just 1-6 in the past 7 games against the NL West.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Colin Rea

Nelson (3-4, 5.30 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 71 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-1, 3.09 ERA (32 IP, 11 ER) with a .241 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts

Rea (3-4, 4.71 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 road loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.40 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .248 OBA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-120) are worth a look as they try to bounce back after the disappointing blowout loss to the Diamondbacks in the opener.

Rea twirled 5 scoreless innings with 3 hits and 1 walk allowed while striking 8 out batters the last time he pitched at home. He has won 2 of his past 3 outings at home, too.

The Diamondbacks can’t be trusted with Nelson on the bump. He is just 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 14 1/3 IP across 3 June starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) are too expensive in Game 2 of this series, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return.

It’s tempting to play Arizona as an underdog, however, as it has won each of the past 2 straight up as a ‘dog, while going 4-1 in the past 5 on the run line as an underdog. Still, this is way too much to risk for a small reward.

AVOID.

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Over/Under

The lean is to the OVER 9 (-110), and Arizona took care of the total itself on Monday.

The Over is 5-2-2 in the past 9 games overall for the Diamondbacks and is 7-1-2 in their past 10 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher. The Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against NL Central foes, too.

The Under is 11-5-2 in the Brewers’ past 18 games overall, but the Over has cashed at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 home games against teams with a winning overall mark. Go high on the total, but go lightly.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-29) and the Milwaukee Brewers (37-34) kick off a 3-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee on Monday in a battle of division leaders. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1 after winning 2022 series 4-3

The Diamondbacks took 2 of 3 games from the visiting Cleveland Guardians over the weekend to wrap up a 7-game homestand with a 3-4 record. Arizona has actually been better on the road recently, winning 5 straight away from home, while going 9-1 across the past 10 road outings.

The Brewers swept the division-rival Pittsburgh Pirates at AFF over the weekend in 3 games, and Milwaukee remains a half-game clear of the Cincinnati Reds for 1st place in the NL Central Division.

Arizona took 2 of 3 games from Milwaukee in the desert from April 10-12, but the teams each scored a total of 10 runs in the series.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Kelly (8-3, 3.04 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 83 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 4-3 home loss in 10 innings vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 5-0, 2.12 ERA (34 IP, 8 ER – 2 HR) with a .224 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. Brewers: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 7-1 home loss April 11

Burnes (5-4, 3.44 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 83 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 7-5 road loss vs. the Minnesota Twins last Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 3.27 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .213 OBA in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. D-backs: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 7-1 road win April 11

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-135) are worth a look in the series opener. While Milwaukee is a dismal 3-7 in the past 10 series openers, it won Friday’s series opener against the Pirates, and it is 4-1 in the past 5 games at home against winning teams.

In addition, Burnes twirled 8 scoreless frames in Arizona in a battle against Kelly back on April 11.

The Diamondbacks (+110) have won 6 straight series openers, but they’re also just 5-17 in the past 22 trips to Milwaukee.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) are a little too expensive for my liking if you want/need some insurance, and can’t bring yourself to playing Arizona straight up.

PASS, and pick the Snakes on the moneyline if you really like them.

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Over/Under

Take the UNDER 7.5 (-105), as we have 2 solid pitchers squaring off in the series opener.

Kelly has been unbeatable on the road, literally, going 5-0 with a minuscule 2.12 ERA. And Burnes posted donuts in 8 straight innings in the first meeting with the D-backs.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 for Arizona against teams with a winning record, while going 12-5 in the past 17 meetings in Milwaukee. For the Brewers, the Under has cashed at a 7-3-2 clip in the past 12 against winning sides.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (73-86) and the Milwaukee Brewers (84-75) begin a 3-game set at American Family Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead series 3-1

The Diamondbacks haven’t been a pushover down the stretch, giving contenders all they can handle lately. Arizona is a respectable 2-2 across the past 4 games and 5-5 across its last 10, including a split in a 2-game series with the playoff-bound Houston Astros and 2 wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Brewers are currently 2 games back of the Philadelphia Phillies for the final wild-card spot in the NL with 3 games remaining. Milwaukee has picked a bad time to go ice cold, losing 5 of the past 7 overall. It currently has just a 4.8% chance of making the postseason.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Henry (3-4, 5.98 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 40 2/3 IP.

  • Is 2-2 with a 5.95 ERA and .263 opponent batting average with 10 BB and 11 K across 19 2/3 IP over 4 road starts
  • Has posted an 0-1 record, 10.00 ERA and .342 opponent BA with 6 HR allowed in just 9 IP across 2 September outings

Woodruff (13-4, 3.05 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 147 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted a sparkling 8-0 record, 1.98 ERA and .187 opponent BA with 100 K and just 13 BB in 72 2/3 IP across 12 home starts
  • Was roughed up for 5 ER, 8 H and 2 BB in just 5 2/3 IP in a loss at Arizona Sept. 1

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Brewers -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-117) | Brewers -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Brewers (-240) still can make the postseason with a little help but they must take care of business tonight. They should be in good shape with arguably their best pitcher going, but you can’t risk almost 2 1/2 times your potential return, no matter how favorable things look.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS -1.5 (-103) is a much better value. Despite that the Diamondbacks touched up Woodruff in the desert just over a month ago, he has been untouchable at home. Plus, the stakes are ratcheted up even higher, and Milwaukee should tee off against a southpaw who has basically been serving up batting practice lately.

The Snakes have been an irritant to some lately, but the Brew Crew should ease by them for the comfortable win, keeping hope alive for at least one more day.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+105) is worth playing, although I’d only go a half-unit on this. Woodruff won’t allow much, although the Brewers should plate plenty of runs against the very giving lefty.

Plus, the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Arizona, and 4-1 in its last 5 on the road, too. However, you will be going against some strong H2H trends, as the Under is 7-1 in the past 8 meetings between these sides and 10-4 in the previous 14 matchups in Milwaukee.

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