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NL Wild Card Series Game 2: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Milwaukee Brewers for Game 2 of an NL Wild Card Series Wednesday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Wild Card Series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0

The Diamondbacks won 6-3 Tuesday despite falling behind 2-0 in the 2nd inning. Arizona hit 3 home runs and the bullpen combined for 6 1/3 scoreless innings to open the playoffs with a victory after wrapping the regular season on a 4-game losing skid.

The Brewers had won 4 of their last 6 games in the regular season but only won 2 of 6 regular-season meetings with the D-Backs.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Gallen finished the regular season 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA over 34 starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 210 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home loss to Houston Astros on Friday
  • Was 2-0 with 0.64 ERA in 2 starts vs. Brewers in 2023 (14 IP)
  • Making 1st career postseason start

Peralta went 12-10 with a 3.86 ERA over 30 regular-season starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 165 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-1 road loss to Miami Marlins on Sept. 24
  • Did not face Diamondbacks in 2023
  • Is 3-0 with a 0.55 ERA in 4 career appearances (2 starts) vs. Diamondbacks
  • Making 2nd career postseason start (4 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K at Atlanta Braves in 2021)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have won 5 of the 7 games against the Brewers this season and Gallen has allowed only 1 run in 14 innings against them. He was far less effective on the road this season, going 5-6 with a 4.42 ERA in 18 road starts.

Peralta went 7-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 16 home starts in 2023.

Arizona has its ace on the mound in a closeout scenario and its bats awoke for 3 homers and 6 runs in the series opener.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 87-76 ATS this season and 49-37 ATS as underdogs.

The Brewers are 80-83 ATS.

However, because I’m expecting Arizona to close out the series with an outright win, there is no point in betting them against the spread.

PASS.

Over/Under

Game 1 had 9 total runs and now 5 of 7 games between the Diamondbacks and Brewers have had at least 8 total runs.

Gallen’s last regular-season start had only 3 total runs.

Peralta did not face the Diamondbacks this season but has a career 0.55 ERA against them.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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NL Wild Card Series Game 1: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers kick off their NL Wild Card series Tuesday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Diamondbacks won 4-2

Milwaukee enters the Wild Card round as the 3 seed after securing the NL Central title. The Brewers finished the regular season by winning 8 of their last 12 games, including 7 wins vs. divisional opponents. Milwaukee will continue to rely on its bullpen in order to win this series. Brewers relievers led the league in win probability added and were 2nd in reliever ERA.

The 6th-seeded Arizona Diamondbacks made the playoffs after finishing 2nd behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. Arizona comes into the playoffs on a bit of a cold streak after losing 4 straight games to end the regular season. The Diamondbacks will have to find ways to win games when RHP Zac Gallen and RHP Merrill Kelley aren’t the starting pitchers.

The only other starter on the D-Backs roster with an ERA below 5.00 was LHP Tommy Henry, but he’s been out since late July with an elbow injury. Finding wins in games with pitchers like RHP Brandon Pfaadt starting on the mound will be key if the Diamondbacks want to make it to the NLDS.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) makes his 19th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 96 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 3-0 road win Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox
  • First career start vs. Milwaukee
  • First career postseason start

Burnes (10-8, 3.39 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 193 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-0 home win Thursday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. Arizona: 2-1, 3.77 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 22 H, 5 BB, 34 K across 5 starts
  • Career postseason: 1-0, 1.20 ERA (15 IP, 2 ER) in 7 appearances (1 start)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Brewers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135) | Brewers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Diamondbacks 1

Moneyline

PASS.

Milwaukee (-185) should pick up the win here but the odds do not present enough value for a wager. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BREWERS -1.5 (+110).

I like the Brewers to cover based on concerns about how Pfaadt will look in his 1st career postseason start. He was adequate this year as a rookie but I have a lot more trust in Burnes and his playoff experience. Expect the Brewers to take capitalize on their home-field advantage and win by margin.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Under has hit in 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams and has also cashed 6 times in both Milwaukee’s and Arizona’s last 10 games. The Under is 4-1 in Pfaadt’s last 5 turns and is 3-2 in Burnes’ last 5 starts. The Under has also hit in 2 of Burnes’ last 3 appearances vs. Arizona.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-30) and the Milwaukee Brewers (38-35) play the finale of a 3-game series at American Family Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2

The Brewers picked up a 7-5 victory Tuesday night, leveling the current series 1-1 after the Snakes took the opening matchup by a 9-1 count. The Over has cashed in each of the 1st 2 of this series.

Arizona is just 3-5 across the past 8 games, but it still leads the San Francisco Giants by 2 1/2 games in the NL West, while the D-backs are 3 1/2 games clear of the now 3rd-place Los Angeles Dodgers.

Milwaukee is a half-game back of the red-hot Cincinnati Reds. The Brew Crew has managed a 22-17 record at home, while posting a minus-22 run differential overall.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Julio Teheran

Gallen (8-2, 2.96 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 91 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-2, 5.79 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 24 ER) with a .290 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts

Teheran (2-2, 1.78 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 5-4 home win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 2.00 ERA (18 IP, 4 ER) with a .183 OBA in 3 starts

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115) | Brewers +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 3, Brewers 2

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-140) are the lean in this series finale, as Gallen has been having an All-Star campaign.

The Brewers (+115) look like they have a find in Teheran, however, and he is resurrecting his career in Cream City. This is going to be a well-pitched game, and close. However, I still like Arizona, and Gallen’s overall body of work.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS +1.5 (-140) aren’t priced out of line if you don’t trust the home side straight up, but you would like a little bit of insurance.

As an underdog, Milwaukee is 3-4 in the past 7 games overall, while covering the run line and winning outright in 3 of those contests.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8 (-105) might be the best play on the board in this matinee finale.

The Under has cashed in 4 of Teheran’s 5 starts with Milwaukee this season, while the Under is 6-5-1 in the past 12 starts for Gallen. It’s not so much that he has allowed a lot of runs, because he hasn’t, but Arizona has provided ample run support for him.

In Gallen’s 1st outing against the Brewers in Phoenix on April 10, he and Milwaukee picked up a 3-0 win in an easy Under result.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-29) and the Milwaukee Brewers (37-35) play the middle contest of a 3-game series at American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-1

The Diamondbacks rolled up a 9-1 win in the series opener as slight underdogs (+105) behind RHP Merrill Kelly. Arizona outhit Milwaukee by an 11-3 margin. The Snakes have won 3 of their past 4 games while averaging 5.8 runs per game on offense.

The Brewers’ loss snapped a 3-game win streak and dropped them to 2nd place in the NL Central behind the Cincinnati Reds. Milwaukee has just won 3 of its last 8 games at home. The Brewers are now just 1-6 in the past 7 games against the NL West.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Colin Rea

Nelson (3-4, 5.30 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 71 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-1, 3.09 ERA (32 IP, 11 ER) with a .241 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts

Rea (3-4, 4.71 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 road loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.40 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .248 OBA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-120) are worth a look as they try to bounce back after the disappointing blowout loss to the Diamondbacks in the opener.

Rea twirled 5 scoreless innings with 3 hits and 1 walk allowed while striking 8 out batters the last time he pitched at home. He has won 2 of his past 3 outings at home, too.

The Diamondbacks can’t be trusted with Nelson on the bump. He is just 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 14 1/3 IP across 3 June starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) are too expensive in Game 2 of this series, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return.

It’s tempting to play Arizona as an underdog, however, as it has won each of the past 2 straight up as a ‘dog, while going 4-1 in the past 5 on the run line as an underdog. Still, this is way too much to risk for a small reward.

AVOID.

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Over/Under

The lean is to the OVER 9 (-110), and Arizona took care of the total itself on Monday.

The Over is 5-2-2 in the past 9 games overall for the Diamondbacks and is 7-1-2 in their past 10 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher. The Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against NL Central foes, too.

The Under is 11-5-2 in the Brewers’ past 18 games overall, but the Over has cashed at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 home games against teams with a winning overall mark. Go high on the total, but go lightly.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-29) and the Milwaukee Brewers (37-34) kick off a 3-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee on Monday in a battle of division leaders. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1 after winning 2022 series 4-3

The Diamondbacks took 2 of 3 games from the visiting Cleveland Guardians over the weekend to wrap up a 7-game homestand with a 3-4 record. Arizona has actually been better on the road recently, winning 5 straight away from home, while going 9-1 across the past 10 road outings.

The Brewers swept the division-rival Pittsburgh Pirates at AFF over the weekend in 3 games, and Milwaukee remains a half-game clear of the Cincinnati Reds for 1st place in the NL Central Division.

Arizona took 2 of 3 games from Milwaukee in the desert from April 10-12, but the teams each scored a total of 10 runs in the series.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Kelly (8-3, 3.04 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 83 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 4-3 home loss in 10 innings vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 5-0, 2.12 ERA (34 IP, 8 ER – 2 HR) with a .224 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. Brewers: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 7-1 home loss April 11

Burnes (5-4, 3.44 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 83 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 7-5 road loss vs. the Minnesota Twins last Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 3.27 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .213 OBA in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. D-backs: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 7-1 road win April 11

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-135) are worth a look in the series opener. While Milwaukee is a dismal 3-7 in the past 10 series openers, it won Friday’s series opener against the Pirates, and it is 4-1 in the past 5 games at home against winning teams.

In addition, Burnes twirled 8 scoreless frames in Arizona in a battle against Kelly back on April 11.

The Diamondbacks (+110) have won 6 straight series openers, but they’re also just 5-17 in the past 22 trips to Milwaukee.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) are a little too expensive for my liking if you want/need some insurance, and can’t bring yourself to playing Arizona straight up.

PASS, and pick the Snakes on the moneyline if you really like them.

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Over/Under

Take the UNDER 7.5 (-105), as we have 2 solid pitchers squaring off in the series opener.

Kelly has been unbeatable on the road, literally, going 5-0 with a minuscule 2.12 ERA. And Burnes posted donuts in 8 straight innings in the first meeting with the D-backs.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 for Arizona against teams with a winning record, while going 12-5 in the past 17 meetings in Milwaukee. For the Brewers, the Under has cashed at a 7-3-2 clip in the past 12 against winning sides.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (73-86) and the Milwaukee Brewers (84-75) begin a 3-game set at American Family Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead series 3-1

The Diamondbacks haven’t been a pushover down the stretch, giving contenders all they can handle lately. Arizona is a respectable 2-2 across the past 4 games and 5-5 across its last 10, including a split in a 2-game series with the playoff-bound Houston Astros and 2 wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Brewers are currently 2 games back of the Philadelphia Phillies for the final wild-card spot in the NL with 3 games remaining. Milwaukee has picked a bad time to go ice cold, losing 5 of the past 7 overall. It currently has just a 4.8% chance of making the postseason.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Henry (3-4, 5.98 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 40 2/3 IP.

  • Is 2-2 with a 5.95 ERA and .263 opponent batting average with 10 BB and 11 K across 19 2/3 IP over 4 road starts
  • Has posted an 0-1 record, 10.00 ERA and .342 opponent BA with 6 HR allowed in just 9 IP across 2 September outings

Woodruff (13-4, 3.05 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 147 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted a sparkling 8-0 record, 1.98 ERA and .187 opponent BA with 100 K and just 13 BB in 72 2/3 IP across 12 home starts
  • Was roughed up for 5 ER, 8 H and 2 BB in just 5 2/3 IP in a loss at Arizona Sept. 1

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Brewers -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-117) | Brewers -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Brewers (-240) still can make the postseason with a little help but they must take care of business tonight. They should be in good shape with arguably their best pitcher going, but you can’t risk almost 2 1/2 times your potential return, no matter how favorable things look.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS -1.5 (-103) is a much better value. Despite that the Diamondbacks touched up Woodruff in the desert just over a month ago, he has been untouchable at home. Plus, the stakes are ratcheted up even higher, and Milwaukee should tee off against a southpaw who has basically been serving up batting practice lately.

The Snakes have been an irritant to some lately, but the Brew Crew should ease by them for the comfortable win, keeping hope alive for at least one more day.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+105) is worth playing, although I’d only go a half-unit on this. Woodruff won’t allow much, although the Brewers should plate plenty of runs against the very giving lefty.

Plus, the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Arizona, and 4-1 in its last 5 on the road, too. However, you will be going against some strong H2H trends, as the Under is 7-1 in the past 8 meetings between these sides and 10-4 in the previous 14 matchups in Milwaukee.

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