Tag: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays odds predictions pick betting line spread

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (47-50) and Toronto Blue Jays (44-52) open a 3-game set at Rogers Centre Friday. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 3-1

The Tigers, who are 23-26 on the road this season, beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 Sunday as the Under (9) hit in their last game prior to the All-Star break. Detroit won 2 of 3 games in that series and is 4-1 over its last 5. The Tigers have played well over the last 2 weeks, posting an 8-2 record in their last 10 games. Detroit is 47-50 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Blue Jays avoided a 3-game sweep against the Arizona Diamondbacks, winning 8-7 in the Sunday finale as the Over (7.5) cashed. Toronto has won 5 of its last 8 games yet is still just 6-8 over its last 14. It is 21-24 straight up at home, having lost 4 of its last 5 at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are 47-49 ATS on the season.

Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Flaherty (6-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 95 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-1 home victory over Cleveland Guardians July 11
  • 2024 away splits: 4-2, 2.81 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 7 HR, 11.2 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-1, 2.08 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 3 starts, including 0-1 with 4.26 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start this year

Bassitt (8-7, 3.52 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 10-6 road victory over San Francisco Giants July 10
  • 2024 home splits: 5-4, 3.83 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.51 WHIP, 4 HR, 8.6 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 4-3, 3.52 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 9 starts, including 0-1 with 4.50 ERA (10 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last season

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Tigers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:19 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Blue Jays -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Tigers -1.5 (+160) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-194)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-102).

The Tigers are 4-1 in Flaherty’s 5 outings since the start of June. Their offense is also scorching hot, scoring double-digit runs in 2 of their last 4 games and at least 5 in 4 of their last 6.

Detroit has won 8 of its last 10 games. The Blue Jays are 2-5 in Bassitt’s last 7 starts. They are 2-5 in their last 7 home games as well. Considering those trends, back TIGERS (-102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Tigers are too risky as run-line favorites here, while the Blue Jays are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Avoid any play here, and look to the moneyline for the team-specific value.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-112).

The Blue Jays, who are 48-46-2 O/U on the season, have scored at least 4 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Toronto has gone over the projected total in 5 straight games and is 7-1 O/U in its last 8.

The Tigers have also gone Over consistently as of late. They are 4-2 O/U in their last 6 games and 52-42-3 O/U on the season. Detroit has allowed at least 4 runs in 4 of its last 6 games as well.

With that in mind, back OVER 7.5 (-112).

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Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (2-9) and Toronto Blue Jays (8-4) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-0.

The Tigers lost 4-3 as +248 underdogs Wednesday. OF Kerry Carpenter hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 7th inning to give Detroit a temporary 3-1 lead.

The Blue Jays closed as -279 favorites in Wednesday’s win. OF George Springer hit a walk-off RBI single in the 10th inning as Toronto came back from a 9th-inning, 2-run deficit.

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Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Turnbull (0-2, 13.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.25 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 through 8 IP.

  • Lost last Thursday vs. the Boston Red Sox: 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 1 K in 5 2/3 IP
  • Did not play last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery
  • Was 4-2 in 9 starts in 2021 with a 2.88 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 50 IP
  • Only career start vs. Toronto: 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB with 5 K in 5 IP in a loss March 30, 2019

Bassitt (1-1, 10.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.

  • Won Friday at the Los Angeles Angels: 2 ER, 2 H, 5 BB and 5 K in 6 IP
  • Was 15-9 in 30 starts last year as a member of the New York Mets with a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP
  • 7 career starts vs. Detroit: 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 16 ER)

Tigers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Blue Jays -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+105) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Tigers 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Toronto (-250) should hand the Tigers their 7th straight loss, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Blue Jays should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-125).

Toronto has won 7 of its last 8 games, and 8 of Detroit’s 9 losses this season have been by multiple runs. Bassitt bounced back last time out and should continue to pitch better than his season debut when he allowed 9 ER. Turnbull hasn’t been the same since his forearm injury and Toronto’s lineup should be able to drive in a lot of runs early vs. the Tigers starter.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-120).

The Over is 8-2-1 in Detroit’s last 11 games vs. teams with a winning record and 5-1 in Toronto’s last 6 at home vs. right-handed starters.

The Over has hit in 4 of the Blue Jays’ last 5 games and should cash again Thursday with Turnbull on the mound for Detroit.

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Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (2-8) and Toronto Blue Jays (7-4) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0

The Tigers lost 9-3 as +236 underdogs in the series opener Tuesday. 3B Nick Maton hit a 3-run HR in the top of the 2nd inning to give Detroit a temporary 3-0 lead.

The Blue Jays closed as -264 favorites in Tuesday’s win. C Alejandro Kirk drove in 4 runs for the Blue Jays, who have won 6 of their last 7 games.

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Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Eduardo Rodríguez vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Rodríguez (0-2, 6.30 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 10 IP.

  • Went 5-5 in 17 starts in 2022 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 91 IP
  • Is 5-6 with a 5.20 ERA (90 IP, 52 ER) over 16 starts and 1 relief appearance in his career vs. Toronto

Gausman (1-1, 0.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 12 IP.

  • Was 12-10 in 31 starts last year with a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 174 2/3 IP
  • Is 2-2 with a 3.42 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 20 ER) in 9 career starts vs. Detroit

Tigers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Blue Jays -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +2.5 (-135) | Blue Jays -2.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Tigers 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Toronto (-275) should hand the Tigers their 6th straight loss, but it is being slightly overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TIGERS +2.5 (-135).

Toronto may have a letdown game after coming back from a 3-0 deficit in its sold-out home opener. Two of Toronto’s last 3 wins have been by just 1 run and Rodríguez is a capable enough pitcher to keep this game close.

The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. left-handed starters and expecting them to win by 3 or more runs is a tough ask.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

The Under is 18-7-1 in Toronto’s last 26 games vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400 and the Blue Jays’ offense may come back down to Earth after putting up 9 runs last time out.

These teams tend to play low-scoring games vs. each other, with the Under hitting in 20 of the last 26 meetings, and Wednesday’s matchup should stay Under the total once again with Gausman on the mound.

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Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (2-7) and Toronto Blue Jays (6-4) open a 3-game series  Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Blue Jays won last season’s series 5-2

The Blue Jays won 12-11 as +124 underdogs at the Los Angeles Angels Sunday. Toronto took the 3-game series 2-1 and has won 5 of 6.

The Tigers lost 4-1 as +110 underdogs vs. the Boston Red Sox Sunday. Detroit was swept in the 3-game set and has lost 4 straight.

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Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Matt Manning vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Manning (1-0, 3.18 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 5 2/3 IP in his debut against the Houston Astros last Tuesday.

  • Went 2-3 in 12 starts in 2022 with a 3.43 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 63 IP
  • Only career start vs. Toronto: 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB with 5 K in 6 IP in a no-decision Aug. 27, 2021

Manoah (1-0, 4.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 10 1/3 IP.

  • Won Wednesday at the Kansas City Royals: 7 scoreless IP, 1 H, 4 BB and 5 K
  • Was 16-7 in 31 starts last year with a 2.24 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 196 2/3 IP
  • 2 career starts vs. Detroit: 0-1 with a 4.63 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 6 ER)

Tigers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Blue Jays -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+110) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Tigers 3

Moneyline

PASS.

Toronto (-275) should be able to beat the rebuilding Tigers in its home opener, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Blue Jays should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-135).

Toronto has the clear pitching advantage and should beat up on the Tigers in its sold-out home opener in the newly renovated Rogers Centre. Detroit’s losses this season have all been by multiple runs and the Tigers should struggle to keep it close vs. a Blue Jays team that has been overperforming against expectation.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Under is 4-1 in Toronto’s last 5 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and 18-7-1 in its last 26 vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400.

The Under has hit in 21 of the last 27 meetings between these teams and should cash again Tuesday with Manoah on the mound coming off an impressive performance last time out.

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Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (55-44) host the Detroit Tigers (40-60) Friday for the 2nd game of their 4-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 3-1

The Tigers lost to the Blue Jays 5-3 Thursday for their 5th defeat in their last 7 games. They sit 4th in the AL Central, 13 games behind the division-leading Minnesota Twins.

The Blue Jays bounced back from a 6-1 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday by beating the Tigers in the series opener. Toronto has 10 wins in its last 12 games.

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Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Bryan Garcia vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Garcia is tabbed to make his season debut and 1st career start. He had a 1.86 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 39 1/3 IP across 39 relief appearances in 2021.

  • This will be Garcia’s 1st career start after operating out of the bullpen the last 3 seasons.
  • Has never faced the Blue Jays in his career.
  • Is 5-3 with a 6.12 ERA across 72 relief appearances in his career.

Manoah (11-4, 2.24 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 120 2/3 IP.

  • Did not record a decision as he allowed 2 runs over 6 1/3 innings in a 3-2 Blue Jays road win Aug. 28, 2021, in his only career start against the Tigers.
  • Manoah is 2-0 in his last 2 starts, allowing 2 earned runs through 13 innings with 13 strikeouts.

Tigers at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Blue Jays -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +2.5 (-105) | Blue Jays -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Tigers 2

Money line

The Blue Jays are -400 on the money line, which means you’d have to bet $400 just to win $100. That’s not worth a bet in my opinion, even as likely as they are to win this game.

PASS on the money line and instead bet on the spread.

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Run line/Against the spread

After being -1.5 on the run line for the series opener, the Blue Jays are now even more heavily favored at -2.5 runs. That’s no surprise with Manoah on the mound, and I do like them to take down the Tigers pretty comfortably after beating them by 2 runs Thursday.

Take the BLUE JAYS -2.5 (-115) to cover the spread at home against a pitcher who’s making his 1st career start.

Over/Under

Manoah has allowed more than 2 earned runs just twice in his last 9 starts. He’s going to keep the Tigers in check, so it’s a matter of whether the Blue Jays bullpen can shut the door.

Unless the Blue Jays blow things open with a scoring outburst, I like the UNDER 8.5 (-122) Friday.

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Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-59) and Toronto Blue Jays (54-44) will open a 4-game series on Thursday night. First pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1 and have outscored the Tigers 17-4 in those 3 games.

The Tigers took 2 of 3 against the San Diego Padres in their most recent series, outscoring San Diego 20-13. However, they’ve still won just 4 games since July 9.

The Blue Jays had their 7-game winning streak snapped Wednesday, losing to the Cardinals, 6-1. They’ve now won 9 of their last 11 games.

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Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Tyler Alexander vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Alexander (2-3, 4.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 in 33 1/3 IP.

  • Has appeared in 14 games this season, making 4 starts. The Tigers are 3-11 in games he pitches, but they’ve gone 0-4 in his 4 starts.
  • Hasn’t made a start since April 29, and in his 4 starts, he’s given up 12 ER in only 12 1/3 innings.

Kikuchi (3-5, 5.12ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 65 IP.

  • Was shaky in his last start, allowing 4 runs on only 2 hits and walking 5 batters in just 2 1/3 innings.
  • The long ball has troubled Kikuchi all season, allowing 14 HR in 16 starts – including 10 in his last 7 appearances.

Tigers at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Blue Jays -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-108) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Tigers 4

Money line

I like the Blue Jays to beat the struggling Tigers at home, but the money line simply isn’t worth the squeeze. At -240, you could include the Blue Jays in a parlay, but I wouldn’t bet them straight-up at that number.

PASS on the ML.

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Run line/Against the spread

Both the Blue Jays and the Tigers are below .500 against the spread this season, with Detroit having a slightly better record at 47-52 ATS. However, the Blue Jays have been on a tear lately, and that includes a hot stretch of covering the run line.

In their last 10 games, the Blue Jays have covered the spread 7 times. I like the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-112) to cover and win by a few runs Thursday at home.

Over/Under

In their series against the Red Sox, the Blue Jays scored 40 runs, helped by their 28-5 blowout in the series opener. Their bats have been solid all season, ranking 3rd in runs scored (479) and 1st in batting average (.267).

With Kikuchi on the mound, they could struggle to keep the Tigers in check, too, which should lead to a higher-scoring game. Bet the OVER 9.5 (+100).

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Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) host the Detroit Tigers (58-65) Friday for the start of their three-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 0-0.

LHP Tyler Alexander is on the rubber for the Tigers. Alexander is 2-2 with a 4.57 ERA (65 IP, 33 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in eight starts and 24 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-4, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 4 K Aug. 13 against the Cleveland Indians.
  • 2021 road splits: 1-0 with a 4.78 ERA (32 IP, 17 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 3.9 K/BB in three starts and 14 bullpen outings.

LHP Robbie Ray makes his 24th start for the Blue Jays. Ray is 9-5 with a 2.88 ERA (137 1/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 8 K in Toronto’s 3-2 loss Aug. 13 at the Seattle Mariners.
  • 2021 home splits: 5-3 with a 2.82 ERA (67 IP, 21 ER), 1.05 WHIP and 4.1 K/BB in 11 starts.

Tigers at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Blue Jays -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +2.5 (-125) | Blue Jays -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Tigers 6, Blue Jays 5

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the TIGERS (+230) for a tiny wager  – if at all – because I like Detroit’s run line in this spot and this payout is far too chunky considering how awful Toronto’s bullpen has been since the All-Star Game.

The Tigers are 22-18 against left-handed starters and vs. 11-8 against AL East teams while the Blue Jays are just 15-17 against lefty starters.

A major reason for Toronto’s recent mediocrity is due to the struggles of its bullpen which ranks dead last in WAR and grades out worse than Detroit’s in SIERA, xFIP, K-BB% and home run per nine-inning rate in the second half of the season.

It’s not like Detroit’s relievers are lighting the world on fire but Toronto’s bullpen concerns give me a lot of confidence Detroit can either sneak in the backdoor late or steal this game outright.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the TIGERS +2.5 (-125) heavier than or instead of Detroit’s money line for all the logic written above.

On top of that, the Blue Jays are just 11-12 ATS when Ray gets the start with a minus-10.4% return on investment (ROI) if you bet on their run line. In addition, the Tigers have a plus-76.8% ROI with a 7-1 ATS record in Alexander’s eight starts this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a half unit only because I much prefer the Detroit side more than the total in this contest.

Both teams play more to the over in their location-based situational trends, the Tigers are 7-2-1 O/U in their past 10 games and the Blue Jays are 8-2 O/U in their past 10 games.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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