Tag: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (38-47) and Minnesota Twins (48-37) meet Wednesday for the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Target field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Minnesota beat Detroit 5-3 on Tuesday while covering as a -127 home favorite. The Twins scored 3 unanswered runs after being down 3-2 to come away with their 3rd straight win.

The Tigers have allowed 5 or more runs in each of their last 6 games and gone 1-5 during that span.

Tigers at Twins projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP David Festa

Flaherty (5-5, 3.24 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 89 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-0 loss vs. the Los Angeles Angels Thursday
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 0-0, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER), 15 H, 4 BB, 21 K in 3 starts

Festa (1-0, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 3.6 K/9 in 5 IP.

  • First MLB start: Win, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 13-6 win at Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday
  • The 24-year-rookie was 17-10 with 3.41 ERA in 63 minor league  games (54 starts) over 4 seasons

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Tigers at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Twins -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-160) | Twins -1.5 (+132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Tigers 5

Moneyline

PASS.

The Twins should win here as they enter being 7-3 in their last 10 overall while Detroit is 3-7 in their last 10, but the line being set at (-164) makes it not worth the risk of betting on, especially with a pitcher making just his 2nd MLB start. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN TIGERS +1.5 (-160).

The Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings with Minnesota, also going 3-3 in the last 6 games in Minnesota. And 3 of their last 5 meetings have had 1-run games.

This is a lean because neither team has an ATS edge over the other.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-110).

Best bet on the board. The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 7-3 in its last 10 games. For Detroit, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 games. The Over also hit Tuesday and is 5-3-1 in the last 9 Tigers-Twins meetings. And the rookie Festa allowed 5 ER in 5 IP in his MLB debut last week.

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (53-65) and Minnesota Twins (62-58) open up a 2-game set at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 7-4

The Tigers are 5-5 over the last 10 games and come into this series with some confidence. Not only have they taken it to the Twins this season, they are 21-13 within the AL Central. Detroit sits 8 games out in the division despite being 12 games under .500.

The Twins return home from a 7-game road trip on a 2-game win streak. They are 6-4 over the last 10 outings as they hold a 4 1/2-game lead atop the AL Central. Minnesota is 17-13 over its last 30 games and 22-18 within the division.

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Tigers at Twins projected starters

RHP Alex Faedo vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Faedo (2-4, 5.80 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 40 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K Wednesday against the Twins
  • 2 career starts vs. Minnesota: 0-0, 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 10 K in 9 2/3 IP

Ober (6-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 9 K Wednesday at the Tigers
  • Last 5 starts vs. Detroit: 1-2, 5.06 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 29 K in 26 2/3 IP

Tigers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Twins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-135) | Twins -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Tigers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

These pitchers squared off Wednesday, and Detroit took it by a 9-5 score. The Twins should be favored, but they’re not worth consideration at -200. The Tigers have beaten them 7 of 11 times and are worth sprinkling on the ML. Ober has allowed 12 ER in 14 innings over his last 3 starts.

The price is right for TIGERS (+165).

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers are 32-27 on the RL on the road this season, which is solid for a team 12 games under .500. The Twins are just 24-33 ATS at home.

Take the TIGERS +1.5 (-135) if you can’t quite buy into them on the ML.

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Over/Under

The Tigers are 3-7 O/U over the last 10 games and Minnesota is 4-5-1. The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 between the teams. Faedo has pitched in 4 of 5 Overs, and the Over is 3-1-1 in Ober’s last 5.

This number has cashed in 4 of the last 10 meetings so it can go either way. I will LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (28-39) and Minnesota Twins (35-34) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set Friday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 1-0

The Tigers won 8-4 as +182 underdogs at the Twins Thursday. Detroit has won just 2 of its last 13 games and is 4th in the AL Central, 6 games back of the division-leading Twins.

The Twins closed as -200 home favorites in Thursday’s loss. Minnesota has won 4 of 6 and leads the AL Central by 2.5 games.

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Tigers at Twins projected starters

LHP Tyler Alexander vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Alexander (1-1, 5.23 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 0.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 32 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K as a reliever in a 6-5 win in extra winnings vs. Atlanta Braves Monday
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-3, 3.68 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 32 H, 3 HR, 10 BB, 28 K in 6 starts and 4 relief appearances

Ryan (7-3, 2.90 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 77 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 9-4 win at Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
  • Career vs. Tigers: 4-0, 2.54 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 19 H, 2 HR, 5 BB, 38 K in 5 starts

Tigers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 4

Moneyline

Minnesota (-250) should bounce back at home and beat the Tigers, but it’s being slightly overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Detroit has covered the run line in 3 of its last 4 games and held a 4-0 lead in the game it didn’t cover (10-7 loss vs. Braves Wednesday). Three of Minnesota’s last 6 wins have been by 1 run and the Twins are just 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. teams with a losing record.

BET TIGERS +1.5 (+100).

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Over/Under

The Over has hit in the Tigers’ last 5 games and 4 of the Twins’ last 5. The Tigers are 5th in runs over the last 3 games (6.67) and should help the Over hit as they continues their hot hitting Friday.

BET OVER 8 (-105).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (27-39) and Minnesota Twins (35-33) open up a 4-game set Thursday at Target Field. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Minnesota won 11-8 last season.

The Tigers have lost 11 of 12 games in their roughest stretch of the season. They managed to take 1 game from the Atlanta Braves Monday but lost 10-7 and 6-5 in a doubleheader Wednesday. The Tigers are surprisingly 11-8 in 1-run games and 9-7 within the AL Central.

The Twins have won 4 of 5 contests after dropping 5 straight from June 3-8. They sit 3 1/2 games in front of the Cleveland Guardians for 1st place in the AL Central. Minnesota is 12-8 within the division and 20-14 at home.

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Tigers at Twins projected starters

LHP Matthew Boyd vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Boyd (3-5, 5.55 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 58 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K Saturday against Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Last 5 starts vs. Twins: 2-3, 5.23 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 40 K in 31 IP

Gray (4-1, 2.25 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 72 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • Last 5 starts vs. Detroit: 3-1, 2.45 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 30 K in 25 2/3 IP

Tigers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Twins -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-120) | Twins -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Tigers 2

Moneyline

Gray has been one of the best pitchers in the league with the 3rd-ranked 2.25 ERA. He just hasn’t gone too deep into games and has not won a game in his last 7 starts. That shouldn’t be the case here as he has gone at least 6 innings in his last 3 starts against Detroit.

PASS on the moneyline and take SONNY GRAY OVER 17.5 TOTAL OUTS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins are 35-33 on the RL and 16-18 at home. I’d want a better return than -105 if we’re taking a risk with that data.

It’s a big ballpark, and neither team is really an Over team. Head to the Win/Total section and take TWINS AND UNDER 9.5 TOTAL RUNS (+120).

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Over/Under

As mentioned, these teams aren’t Over teams. The Twins are just 28-37-3 O/U on the season. The wind is blowing in at 10 mph from left-center field.

The Under has cashed in the last 5 meetings between these sides in Minnesota and is 5-0-1 in the last 6 overall between them.

It’s a small number, but we’ll LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (47-55) and Minnesota Twins (43-58) play the second game of a three-game set Tuesday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Alexander is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 over 46 2/3 innings across four starts and 24 relief appearances.

Alexander has one start and two relief appearances against the Twins already in July. He allowed 2 runs on 4 hits with no walks and a strikeout across 3 1/3 innings in a no-decision July 17 at Comerica Park in the start.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 4-4 with a 4.63 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 79 2/3 IP spanning 16 starts.

Maeda will be making his third start against the Tigers just since July 9. He is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA across 16 innings over three starts against Detroit this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 6, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

The Twins will cost you over two times your potential return and that’s just not a good bet in this middle game. Minnesota barely scraped by Detroit 6-5 in the series opener Monday as heavy favorites.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TWINS -1.5 (-110) is a better play at near even money as they look for their first victory by more than 2 runs since July 21. Bet this one lightly the Twins’ last two wins have come by just 1 run and they’re just 2-3 across their last five games.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-110) is also worth a small-unit play here. These teams combined for 11 runs in the series opener Monday, and the Over has cashed in the last three meetings between these AL Central rivals at Target Field.

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-50) and Minnesota Twins (38-50) finish a four-game series Sunday with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Target Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Wily Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 through 21 IP over four starts and one relief outing.

Peralta is coming off 7 scoreless frames against the Texas Rangers Monday. For the season, he has yielded 5 ER through 21 IP and all 5 runs came in one game against the Los Angeles Angels.

RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 7-3 with a 3.36 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 through 101 2/3 IP across 17 starts.

Berrios is coming off 7 innings of 1-run ball against the Chicago White Sox Tuesday. He has logged a 2.96 ERA over his last four starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Twins 6, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

Minnesota is up 3-0 in this series and has taken six of eight meetings from Detroit this season.

The Tigers are just 7-22 in their last 29 games at Target Field. The Detroit offense is likely overvalued after notching a .763 OPS over the two weeks leading up to this series, which was inflated by a .338 batting average on balls in play.

Both starters have been helped along by generous BABIPs, Peralta with the small sample of starts more so. The 32-year-old right-hander has benefited from a .183 BABIP and an 80.2% left-on-base figure.

PASS. The Twins are getting pick ’em odds on the run line. We’ll find more leverage there.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Saturday was a bullpen day for the Tigers. The Minnesota relief corps is in much better shape for Sunday, especially at the back end.

Each of the Twins’ last 6 wins was by a multi-run margin. Look for that trend to continue Sunday.

BACK MINNESOTA -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-105) gets a small lean, with pitcher fade analysis winning out over a weather report that figures to hinder offense (low humidity, wind in).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-48) and Minnesota Twins (36-50) continue a four-game series Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Matt Manning is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. In 4 starts, Manning is 1-2 with a 7.94 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 17 IP over 4 starts.

The Tiger rookie has been ripped for 16 hits over his last 6 1/3 IP.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 4-3 with a 5.03 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 62 2/3 IP over 13 starts.

Maeda has a .330 batting average on balls in play, 68.7% left-on-base rate and 17.5% rate of fly balls registering as home runs. Expected-ERA measures peg the veteran right-hander closer to the 4.10-4.15 range.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 3

Money line (ML)

Minnesota took Thursday’s series opener, and the Twins are the clear favorite  Friday. They just aren’t a value as a betting choice at the price. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The best side for this contest is the MINNESOTA -1.5 (-120) play. Peg the Twins as the slightly better (and much better rested) bullpen.

Over/Under (O/U)

Maeda’s confidence and a pitcher’s breeze make for a lean on the UNDER 9 (+100).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-47) and Minnesota Twins (35-50) open a four-game series Thursday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. In 17 games (15 starts), Skubal is 5-7 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 10.9 K/9, and 4.0 BB/9 in 82 2/3 IP.

Skubal is a fly-ball pitcher who has been hurt by the home run, but he owns a skill set built for striking out batters, even on pitches in the zone. He is, however, coming off a shaky outing — 5 ER allowed on 8 hits in 5 IP vs. the Chicago White Sox July 3.

LHP J.A. Happ is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 4-4 with a 6.09 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 in 75 1/3 IP over 15 starts.

Happ has allowed 3-or-more earned runs in 5-of-his-last-6 starts. He owns a Boeing ERA (7.45) over that stretch. Current Tigers bats own a .759 OPS against him.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

Detroit is 4-0-1 over its last five series. Over that span, the Tigers are 4-2 away from home; they are 8-5 on the road since June 14.

Minnesota is coming off a series loss to the White Sox, and the Twins are just 2-7 over their last nine games.

Prior to its 2-7 stretch, Minnesota had gone 7-2 from June 16-27, and the Twins do have the offense (and its especially tough on left-handers) to make for some value in a game like this.

Happ adds uncertainty, but he can’t get banged around with these marginal rates (last six starts: .368 batting average on balls in play, 22.4% fly balls as home runs) forever.

BACK THE TWINS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run-line proposition. The bullpens on both sides make for a toxic mix of uncertainty.

Over/Under (O/U)

The starters being more ERA-dinged than what’s deserved and slight defensive edge in the weather forecast make for a sliver of value with the UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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