Tag: Detroit Tigers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (4-0) and New York Mets (0-4) play the middle game of their 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from the Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 1-0

The Tigers remained perfect on the season by scoring 5 runs in the top of the 10th inning to beat the Mets 5-0 on Monday night in New York. Five Detroit pitchers combined for the 10-inning shutout.

After being swept at home by the Milwaukee Brewers, a fielding error by 2B Joey Wendle in the 10th inning ended up costing them the game. New York has struggled to score runs, failing to produce more than 1 run in 3 of their 4 games.

Tigers at Mets projected starters

RHP Casey Mize vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Mize had Tommy John surgery on June 15, 2022, to repair the ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow.

  • Has not pitched since April 14, 2022
  • Career 7-13 record with a 4.29 ERA

Houser (8-5, 4.12 ERA in 2023 with the Milwaukee Brewers) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.39 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 111 1/3 IP.

  • 2023 home stats: 4-2, 4.15 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 26 ER) in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last start vs. Tigers: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-3 road loss Sept. 8, 2020

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Tigers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+155) | Mets -1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Tigers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Tigers 2

Moneyline

BET METS (-130).

The Mets (-130) will finally get a notch in the win column on Tuesday night. This has to be where the streak ends with the Tigers putting Mize back on the bump for the 1st time in nearly 2 years. Despite what the team says, I don’t expect Detroit to have a long rope with Mize as he continues his comeback from Tommy John surgery. New Mets starter Houser has a much more recent track record to go by and he should benefit from a Mets’ lineup that is overdue to breakout.

As much as I like New York to win this game, I’m not confident enough to take the run line even with the better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll save my unit for the moneyline in this one.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

Both of these teams have been Under the total in 3 of their 4 games played this season. The Mets have scored 1 run or fewer in 3 of their 4 games and the Tigers have the 2nd-best ERA in the league thus far at 1.89.

These teams did not score a run until the 10th inning of their 1st game Monday night. I don’t expect fireworks in this game either.

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Cincinnati Reds at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (75-71) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers (66-78) on Wednesday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 1-0

C Tyler Stephenson lifted the Reds over the Tigers Tuesday by notching an RBI single in the 10th inning to secure a 6-5 victory. Cincinnati is 6-4 in its last 10 games and is only 1 game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for the 3rd Wild Card spot in the NL.

The Tigers fell short Tuesday despite multi-hit performances from 2B Andy Ibanez, C Jake Rogers and OF Kerry Carpenter. Even though Detroit is 12 games under .500, it is still only 9 1/2 games back of the Minnesota Twins for 1st place in the AL Central.

Reds at Tigers projected starters

RHP Connor Phillips vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Phillips (0-0, 9.64 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 through 4 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 7-6 home win vs. Seattle Mariners Sept. 5
  • First career road start
  • First career start vs. the Tigers

Rodriguez (11-7, 3.18 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 130 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 10-3 road win vs. New York Yankees Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-3, 3.23 ERA (53 IP, 19 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 0 ER) in 1 start

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Reds at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Tigers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Tigers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

I’ll side with the TIGERS (-150) with Rodriguez on the mound in Wednesday’s matchup. Rodriguez has been credited with a win in 3 of his last 5 starts, and Phillips is making his 1st career road start.

Run line/Against the spread

REDS +1.5 (-160) is the play in this game as Cincinnati is gearing up for a postseason run. The Reds have either won or kept the game within a run in 7 of their last 10 contests.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (+100) has solid value with Rodriguez getting the start for the Tigers at home. The Tigers are 7-3 to the Under in their last 10 games.

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Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (59-54) open a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers (49-62) on Monday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 4-3

The Twins defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-3 Sunday to extend their winning streak to 4 games. Minnesota is 4 1/2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for 1st place in the AL Central.

The Tigers lost 10-6 to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday as they were outscored 20-10 in the 3-game series. Detroit is 9 games back of Minnesota in the division.

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Twins at Tigers projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. LHP Joey Wentz

Lopez (6-6, 4.01 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 134 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 3-2 road victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-4, 3.39 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 27 ER) over 12 starts
  • One career start vs. Tigers: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 3-2 road loss on June 24

Wentz (2-9, 6.37 ERA) makes his 16th start (18th appearance). He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 76 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 5-0 road win over the Miami Marlins on July 29
  • Home stats: 0-3, 6.18 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 27 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-2, 2.29 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 5 ER) across 4 starts

Twins at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (-105) | Tigers +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Twins at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 3

Moneyline

While the Twins (-165) should extend their winning streak on Monday, I’ll PASS on taking their money line unless you can get it at -160 or better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

TWINS -1.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the run line as Minnesota should have success against Wentz. In the first 7 meetings between these teams this season, the winner has won by multiple runs in 6 of them.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the pick in this divisional bout as Lopez should limit the Tigers on Monday. Besides Lopez’s expected success on the mound, the Twins have the 20th-best wOBA (.303) and wRC+ (93) against left-handed pitching since the start of July.

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Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (26-31) will begin a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (27-32) on Monday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since 2019 when Phillies went 3-1 vs. Tigers

The Tigers lost 6-2 to the Chicago White Sox Sunday as they were swept in the 3-game series. Despite its record, Detroit is only 3 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins for 1st place in the AL Central.

The Phillies cruised to an 11-3 victory over the Washington Nationals on Sunday for their 2nd straight win following a 5-game losing streak.

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Tigers at Phillies projected starters

LHP Joey Wentz vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Wentz (1-5, 7.28 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 47 innings.

  • Has given up 3-plus ER in 7 of his 11 starts
  • Has pitched at least 6 innings in only 1 start

Nola (4-4, 4.70 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 74 2/3 innings.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in 11 of his 12 starts
  • His 7.8 K/9 is the lowest mark of his career and is the lowest since his rookie season (a 7.9 K/9 in 2015)

Tigers at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+105) | Phillies -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Tigers 4

Moneyline

Even though the Phillies should secure the win at home on Monday, I’ll PASS on their moneyline in this interleague matchup at -250 odds.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES -1.5 (-125) is how I’d wager with the woes that Wentz has endured this season. Nola hasn’t been great either, but there is reason to believe he can put together a solid outing against an inconsistent Tigers lineup.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the play based on how Wentz and Nola have pitched thus far. The Tigers are 3-0-1 to the Over in their last 4 interleague road games against a right-handed pitcher.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (22-19) will begin a 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers (18-21) on Tuesday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tigers went 3-1 vs. Pirates in 2022

The Pirates defeated the Baltimore Orioles 4-0 on Sunday to end a 4-game losing streak. Pittsburgh is 2-8 in its last 10 games.

The Tigers secured a 5-3 victory over the Seattle Mariners on Sunday to snap a 2-game losing streak. Detroit is 6-4 in its last 10 games.

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Pirates at Tigers projected starters

RHP Luis Ortiz vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen

Ortiz (0-1, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 1.8 K/9 in 5 innings.

  • Is making just his 6th career start; 16 IP in 4 starts last year
  • First start vs. the Colorado Rockies: 5 IP, 7 H,  5 R (2 ER), 1 BB, 1 K in 10-1 loss last Tuesday

Lorenzen (1-2, 4.18 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 28 innings.

  • Has allowed 5-plus ER in 2 of his 5 starts
  • Owns a 6-2 record with a 2.96 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 6.3 K/9 in 42 appearances (4 starts) vs. the Pirates.

Pirates at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Tigers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-190) | Tigers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

Even though Ortiz is a young pitcher who the Pirates have confidence in, I’ll back the TIGERS (-120) at home in Tuesday’s matchup. Pittsburgh is 1-4 in the last 5 meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

While I believe the Tigers will secure the victory on Tuesday, the Pirates should be able to keep this game within multiple runs. With a close game expected, I’ll PASS on wagering on the run line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is how I’d play the run total with neither team showing consistency from the plate in recent games. Outside of 2 starts, Lorenzen has given up 1 or fewer runs, and the Tigers are registering a league-worst 76 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers this season.

The Pirates are 3-0-1 to the Under in their last 4 games overall. On top of that, the Tigers are 4-0-1 to the Under in their last 5 games against a right-handed pitcher.

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (18-19) open a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers (17-19) on Friday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. The Mariners won 6 of 7 meetings in 2022.

The Mariners lost 4-3 to the Texas Rangers Wednesday. Seattle is 7-3 in its last 10 contests and had won its first 2 series of May before losing 2-1 to the visiting Rangers.

The Tigers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 5-0 on Wednesday to win the series 2-1. Detroit has won its last 3 series and is also 7-3 in its last 10 games.

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Mariners at Tigers projected starters

LHP Marco Gonzales vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Gonzales (2-0, 4.70 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP.

  • Has given up 6-plus hits in 4 of his 6 starts
  • Has allowed a combined 8 ER on 14 H with 4 BB and 6 K in 9 IP over his last 2 turns

Boyd (2-2, 5.28 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in each of his first 6 starts and has surrendered a HR in each of his last 4 starts
  • Has issued just 2 free passes over his last 3 turns after walking 9 total batters in his first 3 starts

Mariners at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Tigers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Tigers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

I’ll back the TIGERS (+105) at home on Friday considering that they’ve played just as well as the Mariners over their last 10 games. Seattle owns a league-worst .193 batting average against southpaws this season, which is why I lean toward Detroit.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Tigers +1.5 (-160) getting a run of insurance is too expensive. I like the odds for them to win outright much more, so best to focus on the moneyline.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean in this matchup with Gonzales and Boyd being susceptible to giving up multiple runs. The Tigers have also scored 5-plus runs in 7 of their last 10 games.

The Over is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings overall and 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (45-74) and the Cleveland Guardians (62-55) wrap up a 4-game set Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 9-9

After a 4-1 setback in Game 1 of a doubleheader Monday, the Tigers bounced back with a 7-5 win in Game 2, and a 4-3 victory Tuesday. Both teams have scored 12 runs apiece despite that Detroit has won 2 of the 3 games.

The Guardians remain in 1st place in the AL Central Division despite losing the past 2 outings. Their performance over their last 2 games is a disappointment after an 8-1 run from Aug. 6-15.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Daniel Norris vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Norris (0-4, 5.97 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 34 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 4 H and 2 BB with 1 K in 4 2/3-scoreless IP in a no-decision at the Chicago White Sox Friday in his first outing with the Tigers after coming over from the Chicago Cubs.
  • Has an 0-2 record with a 3.86 ERA in 25 2/3 IP with a .200 opponent batting average over 21 nighttime games vs. a 0-2 record, 12.00 ERA and .250 opponent BA in 7 daytime appearances.

Quantrill (9-5, 3.67 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 130 IP.

  • Picked up his career-high 9th win with 7-scoreless IP and just 1 H and 0 BB allowed at the Toronto Blue Jays Friday.
  • Has won 5 straight decisions across his past 7 starts dating back to  a July 5 loss in Detroit.
  • Is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA with 9 K across 10 IP over 2 starts vs. Detroit this season.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Guardians -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-220) will cost more than 2 times your potential return, and over the long haul that’s just not a good betting strategy.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are a much better play on the run line at home. Quantrill has been on fire lately with his last loss coming in early July. It just so happens that the last loss was against the Tigers. However, he also dominated them with 6-scoreless IP in a win July 16 last time they met.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-102) is worth a look in the series finale.

The Under has been the dominant trend for both of these clubs. It’s 8-2-1 in the past 11 games overall for the Guardians and 4-1 in their last 5 games at home.

The Under is 13-3-5 in the past 21 games overall for the Tigers while going 8-2-2 in the previous 12 outings inside the division.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (44-74) and the Cleveland Guardians (62-54) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game set Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead series 9-8

The Tigers picked up a 7-5 win in Game 2 of a doubleheader Monday, snapping a 7-game win streak in this series by the Guardians. Detroit had managed just 8 total runs in its last 5 meetings against Cleveland.

The Guardians enter play Tuesday with a 2-game lead in the AL Central over both the Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox. They’re 30-23 at home this season and have gone 29-22 inside the division.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Garrett Hill vs. RHP Zach Plesac

Hill (2-3, 4.66 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 in 36 2/3 IP.

  • Has managed an 0-3 record and terrible 7.80 ERA with 3 HR allowed and a .279 opponent batting average across 15 IP in 3 road starts.
  • Is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA with 6 H, 3 BB and 4 K across 11 IP in 2 starts vs. Cleveland this season.

Plesac (2-10, 4.32 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 114 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 6 HR with a .277 opponent BA in 49 IP across 9 home starts, although he has a solid 3.49 ERA at Progressive Field.
  • Is 0-1 with a 2.81 ERA and13 K through 16 IP across 3 starts vs. Detroit this season.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Guardians -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-115) | Guardians -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 4

Money line

The Guardians (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s risky business when they’re starting a guy with 2 wins and 10 losses on his ledger. While the Cleveland offense has been strong lately, hold off here.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-115) are a risky play based on their play of late, but they’re worth playing as the underdog on the run line since Plesac has been so very giving this season.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-107) is the lean here, but play it lightly.

Hill is an unproven commodity, and he has struggled on the road. Plesac has had some awful luck at home, and he has been very giving overall. Look for the offense to do enough to inch this one over the finish line.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (58-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-69) battle in the finale of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 7-7

The Guardians eked out a 3-2 victory Wednesday, scoring all 3 of their runs in the first 2 innings. RHP Aaron Civale allowed both of Detroit’s runs in the 4th inning before giving away to 5-scoreless frames from the bullpen.

Cleveland has now won 5 straight games against Detroit. The Tigers have dropped 6 of their last 7 contests overall.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Zach Plesac vs. RHP Garrett Hill

Plesac (2-10, 4.49 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 108 1/3 IP.

  • Has an awful 1-7 record and 5.31 ERA with 8 HR allowed in 59 1/3 IP across 11 road starts.
  • Is 0-5 with a 6.21 ERA across 29 IP over 6 starts since the beginning of July.
  • Has managed an 0-1 record, 3.72 ERA and .286 opponent batting average across 9 2/3 IP over 2 starts vs. Detroit this season.

Hill (2-3, 5.12 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 31 2/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 2-0 record with a 2.70 ERA and .210 opponent BA in 16 2/3 IP in 3 home starts vs. an 0-3 record, 7.80 ERA and .279 opponent BA in 15 IP in 3 road outings.
  • Picked up his 1st career win in his major league debut against the Guardians July 4 with just 1 ER on 2 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 6 IP.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-103) | Tigers +1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Guardians 4

Money line

The TIGERS (+135) are a value play at home as they look to avoid the broom in the series finale.

Plesac has been very giving this season, especially on the road, while Hill has been tremendous so far in his home park. The rookie also has confidence against the Guardians after beating them in his MLB debut July 4.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-117) are just 2-9 across their last 11 games, but they’re a strong play in Thursday’s day game with Plesac on the bump. Hill has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 outings, and he’ll cool off the Guardians bats in this one.

Over/Under

Play the OVER 8.5 (-112) with the very giving Plesac starting. Yes, the Under is 7-2 across his past 9 outings, but he has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 3 of his past 5 outings, including July 15 at home against Detroit in a no-decision. That outing ended up going Over, too.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (57-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-68) meet for middle contest of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-6

The Guardians posted a 5-2 victory in the series opener Tuesday, backing RHP Shane Bieber with 11 hits. Cleveland has now won its past 4 games against Detroit after suffering a 4-game sweep at Comerica Park July 4-6.

The Tigers have dropped 5 of the past 6 contests, and 8 of the previous 10. Detroit is now just 4-18 in its last 22 games against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Drew Hutchinson

Civale (2-5, 6.17 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • Returns from the injured list for his first start since July 13 after recovering from a wrist injury.
  • Is 0-2 with a dismal 7.67 ERA with a .319 opponent batting average across 27 IP over 6 road starts.
  • Allowed just 1 unearned run on 3 H and 1 BB across 6 1/3 IP in a win against the Tigers May 20 in Cleveland.

Hutchinson (1-5, 4.37 ERA) makes his 9th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 55 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-4 with a 4.71 ERA and .287 opponent BA across 32 1/3 IP over 5 starts and 11 appearances at home.
  • Has posted a 1-0 record with a 4.50 ERA through 10 IP across 2 starts against the Guardians this season.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Tigers 5

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-175) are rather heavy favorites, but slightly under my personal limit of -180 for money line plays.

Cleveland won the first game by a 5-2 count, and it is now 6-2 in the past 8 games inside the AL Central Division.

Detroit is now just 3-13 in the past 16 games inside the division and has gone 1-4 in the previous 5 home games against teams with a winning overall record.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are worth a look on the money line as they try to cover for the second time in as many days.

Cleveland has 4 victories just since Aug. 3 and has won by 2 or more runs in 3 of those outings.

On the flip side, Detroit is careening out of control and has lost 8 of its last 10 games, with each of the setbacks coming by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

Over bettors lucked out when the Tigers scratched out 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th Tuesday to grab the push in the series opener. We won’t really need a lot of luck to hit the OVER 8.5 (+100) Wednesday. Civale and Hutchinson are both very giving, and we should get the Over sooner rather than later.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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