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The Denver Nuggets (13-10) take on the Sacramento Kings (13-13) Monday. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Kings won 3-1 last season
The Nuggets rebounded from an embarrassing loss to a 2-win Washington Wizards team with a pair of emphatic wins. The latest was a 120-98 shave of the LA Clippers Friday. C Nikola Jokic didn’t have to do much with a ho-hum 16 points and 7 boards. He didn’t get that memo Dec. 8 when he erupted against the Atlanta Hawks for 48 points, 14 boards and 8 dimes. G Jamal Murray returned from a short absence against the Clippers and dropped 20 points.
The Kings have won 3 straight after a 111-109 victory over the Pelicans in New Orleans Thursday, failing to cover as 7-point faves. C Domantas Sabonis had 32 boards and 20 boards, and F DeMar DeRozan had 29 points while shooting an abnormal 3-for-3 from 3-point land.
Nuggets at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 2:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Kings -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +1.5 (-110) | Kings -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Kings key injuries
Nuggets
- G Christian Braun (back) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (hamstring) probable
- F Dario Saric (ankle) out
Kings
- G Kevin Huerter (shoulder) doubtful
- F Trey Lyles (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 121, Kings 119
Moneyline
The Nuggets are 6-6 away from home, and the Kings are just 6-7 at home. The real question is whether or not Sacramento can match Denver from beyond the arc.
We touched on DeRozan going 3-for-3 from distance last game. Those 3 triples were a season high for a player that shoots below 30% from beyond the arc during his career. It was a bit of a one off. Denver is eighth in the league with a 38.1% mark beyond the arc, and the Kings are tied for 21st at 34.4%.
That’s the difference here and why the NUGGETS +100 take this one.
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Against the spread
Forget the spread since we’re taking the value on the ML, and take NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS (-155). He has 2+ in 5 of 6 games this month, and he’s shooting 46.4% from distance during the stretch.
Over/Under
The Kings are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and Denver is 5-4-1. The Over was 2-2 in this matchup last season with both cashes in Sacramento.
I look for a back-and-forth, high-scoring affair.
Take the OVER 237.5 (-110).
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