Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns odds predictions pick betting line spread

Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (51-25) face the Phoenix Suns (41-35) on Friday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Suns odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets lost to the New Orleans Pelicans 107-88 on Thursday and failed to cover as 1.5-point home favorites. Denver is 3 games ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.

The Suns covered as 6-point home favorites in Wednesday’s 107-100 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves. Phoenix is half a game ahead of the Los Angeles Clippers for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference.

This will be the third season meeting between Denver and Phoenix. The Nuggets have won each of the first two meetings straight up, although they’ve split against the spread, and the Over/Under is 1-1.

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Nuggets at Suns odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Suns -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +10.5 (-115) | Suns -10.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nuggets at Suns key injuries

Nuggets

Not Yet Submitted

Suns

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 121, Nuggets 110

Moneyline

AVOID.

Even with the Suns (-425) at full health, taking them to win on Friday isn’t worth the risk. You shouldn’t risk more than 4 times your potential return against the Western Conference-leading Nuggets.

Against the spread

SUNS -10.5 (-105) is how I’d bet on the spread with the uncertainty surrounding the starters on the Nuggets. Denver is on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back and early reports indicate that C Nikola Jokic is questionable after missing Thursday’s contest and G Jamal Murray is unlikely to play.

The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and the Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Over/Under

OVER 226.5 (-108) looks like a solid bet with the Suns having F Kevin Durant back in the lineup. Both of these teams are top 12 in offensive rating.

The Suns are 9-3-1 to the Over in their last 13 games overall and the Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix.

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Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets Wednesday at Footprint Center for both teams’ regular-season openers. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Denver’s season ended last year after being swept in the Western Conference Semifinals by Phoenix. The Nuggets failed to cover the spread in their four series losses to the Suns but were 2-1 overall and against the spread (ATS) vs. Phoenix in the regular season.

The Nuggets ended the regular season third place in the West and finished the season 51-31 overall record (38-44 ATS), which includes the postseason.

The Suns are running it back with the same team that finished second in the Western Conference last season with a 65-29 overall record (55-38-1 ATS), which includes the postseason.

Last year was Chris Paul‘s first with Phoenix and the Suns were beat by the Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA Finals, 4-2.

Nuggets at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Suns -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +6.5 (-120) | Suns -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nuggets at Suns key injuries

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out

Suns

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Nuggets at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 119, Nuggets 109

Money line

PASS even though Phoenix is the right side because the Suns (-260) is a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite.

Denver’s matchup issues in the backcourt against Phoenix in their playoff series persist. The Nuggets are still without Murray and his backup — PG Monte Morris — can’t guard CP3. I’d expect Paul is going to work C Nikola Jokic and the rest of Denver’s bigs in pick-and-roll action just like in the playoffs.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the SUNS -6.5 (-105) for a half unit since their offense knifed through Denver’s defense and there’s no reason for Phoenix to not have similar success in this meeting.

The Suns were 30-17 ATS at home and 28-14 ATS as home favorites last season (including the playoffs). On the other hand, Denver was just 20-21 ATS on the road and 6-9 ATS as a road underdog, including the postseason.

Furthermore, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Phoenix was 17-7 overall vs. teams top-10 in net points per 100 possessions with a plus-3.5-point differential last season. While Denver was 12-12 overall with a minus-1.4-point differential against teams top-10 in net points per 100 possessions.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 224.5 (-108) for a half unit because there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market that’s concerning. More than 80% of the action is on the Over according to pregame.com, but the total hasn’t budged since the opener.

Phoenix averaged 121.5 points per game in the Western Conference Semifinals series vs. Denver. Also, the winning side in the Nuggets-Suns meetings last year has scored at least 116 points in six of the seven contests.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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