The Denver Nuggets take a 3-2 series lead in the Western Conference semifinals into Game 6 against Phoenix Suns Thursday. Tip-off from Footprint Center is at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Suns odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Nuggets won Game 5 118-102 on Tuesday as C Nikola Jokic posted a triple-double with 29 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists. Denver has won all 3 of their home games in the series.
The Suns’ 2 wins in the series were in Games 3 and 4 in Phoenix. After G Devin Booker and F Kevin Durant combined for 86 points in Game 3 and 72 in Game 4, they scored only a combined 54 in the Game 5 loss.
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Nuggets at Suns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Suns -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +3.5 (-115) | Suns -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Suns key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Suns
- C Deandre Ayton (rib) questionable
- G Chris Paul (groin) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Suns picks and predictions
Prediction
Suns 125, Nuggets 119
Moneyline
In 9 matchups between the Suns and Nuggets between the regular season and postseason, the home team has won every game.
The Nuggets have not won a game in Phoenix since October 2021.
The Suns have averaged 123.0 points per game in their last 3 home games against the Nuggets.
Phoenix (-160) will push the series to Game 7 but it should win by margin so there is no need to pay the extra juice with the moneyline.
PASS.
Against the spread
With only a 3.5-point spread, it shouldn’t be too difficult for the winner to cover on Thursday. Every game in this series has been decided by at least 5 points.
The outright winner has covered the spread in all 5 games.
BET SUNS -3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
Game 5 had the Under hit but the 2 games in Phoenix this series have had totals of at least 235 points.
The winner has scored at least 118 points in every game except Game 2.
Four of the Suns’ last 5 games at home have had totals higher than tonight’s projection.
BET OVER 226.5 (-110).
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