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In Week 11, five underdogs covered the spread and 4 had outright wins. Were it not for a blocked field goal, the Chicago Bears would have covered the spread and made it a clean sweep for 5 underdogs covering the spread and winning the game.
Our 3 best underdog picks went 2-1. The Jacksonville Jaguars certainly did not cover the 14-point spread against the Detroit Lions, losing 52-6. But the Indianapolis Colts covered the +4 and beat the New York Jets 28-27, and the Pittsburgh Steelers covered the +3 and beat the Baltimore Ravens straight up 18-16.
With the 2 wins, our recommended underdog picks are 19-13-1.
Let’s make that better!
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 12 underdog bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 12
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:28 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
Lions at COLTS +7.5 (-115) – 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Colts are an impressive 8-3 ATS with a 5-6 straight-up record. Now, the Lions have been rolling, covering the spread in 7 of their last 8 wins.
QB Anthony Richardson’s running will be a problem for the Lions, who are great at stopping running backs. The Colts have forced turnovers in 8 of their last 9 games. And Lions QB Jared Goff threw 5 INTs against the Houston Texans.
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PATRIOTS +7.5 (-115) at Dolphins – 1 p.m. (CBS)
The New England Patriots’ last 4 games have been wins or losses by less than a TD. They have allowed an average of 18.3 points in their last 4 games.
The Miami Dolphins offense has awakened with the return of QB Tua Tagovailoa but the defense has allowed 30 and 28 points in 2 of the 4 games in which he has played since returning.
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Broncos at RAIDERS +6 (-110) – 4:05 p.m. (CBS)
The Denver Broncos are hot and cold. They beat the Las Vegas Raiders 34-18 at home in Week 5. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and are 4-0 ATS when they are favored.
But the Raiders had won 8 straight meetings before Week 5’s meeting. They have not covered the spread in their last 2 games but have not gone more than 2 games this season without a cover.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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