The Denver Broncos (4-11) head to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs (12-3) on New Year’s Day. Sunday’s Week 17 matchup kicks off at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs have won 14-straight games against the Broncos dating back to 2015, holding an overall record of 70-55 over their AFC West rival. To make matters worse for Denver, its coach Nathaniel Hackett was fired after the team suffered an embarrassing 51-14 loss against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 16. The Broncos have lost 6 of their last 7 games.
The Chiefs are coming off a 24-10 win (covering as 10.5-point favorites) over the Seattle Seahawks, winning 3 straight games and 8 of their last 9. Despite being at the top of the AFC, the Chiefs have only covered 4 times this season, all against NFC opponents (Arizona, San Francisco, Seattle and Tampa Bay).
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Broncos at Chiefs odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Broncos +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Chiefs -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Broncos +12 (-109) | Chiefs -12 (-111)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Broncos at Chiefs key injuries
Broncos
- OLB Baron Browning (back) questionable
- TE Greg Dulcich (hamstring) out
- OLB Randy Gregory (knee) out
- WR Kendall Hinton (hamstring) questionable
- WR Jerry Jeudy (ankle) questionable
- DT D.J. Jones (knee) questionable
Chiefs
- None
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Broncos at Chiefs picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 31, Broncos 10
Moneyline
The last time these teams faced, the Chiefs went up 27-0 before allowing the Broncos to get back into the game. Despite losing 34-28, the Broncos offense actually outscored the Chiefs offense 28-27, but a Russell Wilson pick-6 put the Chiefs over the top.
Something similar could hypothetically happen in this matchup since division rivals tend to play each other close. However, it’s clear the Broncos have run out of any steam they had after allowing the Rams to score 51 points last week. Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ defense played with a chip on its shoulder against Seattle last week and ended up having a very good game.
With Hackett out and Wilson not playing well, I think Kansas City takes advantage of Denver’s turmoil and wins this handily. However, you should AVOID the moneyline since the payout is so low.
Against the spread
The Chiefs haven’t done a good job of covering this year, but they’re fully healthy and are pushing for the No. 1 seed while Denver has its eye toward the offseason. This game is setting up to be the perfect opportunity for the Chiefs to cover and possibly blow out its rival.
LEAN CHIEFS -12 (-111).
Over/Under
The Chiefs probably won’t score 51 since they tend to take their foot off the gas once they go ahead. Don’t expect the Broncos to score much either as their offense is abysmal and the Chiefs defense may be hitting its stride.
LEAN UNDER 45 (-112).
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