Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday Night Football’s Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Saints Week 13 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Broncos (6-5) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) in Week 13 for Sunday Night Football. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we look at the Broncos vs. Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Broncos have registered a 3-1 SU/ATS mark across their last four games, including a 28-13 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 12. All four teams in the AFC West are 6-5 or better.

The Under has connected in five consecutive games for the Broncos, and nine of 11 games overall for Denver.

The Chiefs have picked up four straight wins and have covered in their last two outings. It’s the first time Kansas City has covered in consecutive games this season.

Also see: All Week 13 odds and lines

Broncos at Chiefs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Broncos +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Chiefs -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Broncos +8.5 (-112) | Chiefs -8.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Broncos at Chiefs key injuries

Broncos

  • OT Garrett Bolles (ankle) questionable
  • RB Melvin Gordon III (shoulder, hip) out
  • OT Bobby Massie (ankle) questionable
  • OL Dalton Risner (back) questionable
  • DL Shelby Harris (anke) questionable
  • OL Quinn Meinerz (knee) questionable

Chiefs

  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) questionable
  • OT Lucas Niang (ribs) out
  • CB Rashad Fenton (knee) out

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Broncos at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 26, Broncos 18

Money line

The Chiefs (-450) will cost you four and a half times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit for a team that has struggled on offense the way they have most of the season, and the Broncos are playing good football lately.

PASS.

Against the spread

BRONCOS +8.5 (-112) is a good play to keep this one within one score. Denver has used tremendous defensive effort lately to work its way up the standings, allowing 17 or fewer points in four of the past five games, including last week in a key divisional win over the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Chiefs are just 2-4 ATS as a favorite of 5.5 or more points this season.

Over/Under

The lean is to the UNDER 46.5 (-110) here. The Under has gone 9-2 for the Broncos this season, the defense has been phenomenal.

The Chiefs offense has struggled, so it’s unlikely to figure it out against a defense playing really well. In fact, the Chiefs have hit the Under in five of their last six, and their defense is allowed 17 or fewer points in five of the past six, too.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 13 picks and predictions

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 4 Denver Broncos prop predictions for Week 17

Highlighting four prop bet predictions for the Denver Broncos in their Week 17 matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Denver Broncos (5-10) close out their 2020 season by hosting the rival Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) Sunday of Week 17. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we give you four Broncos player/team prop bets to consider from the BetMGM game menu.

Also see: Raiders at Broncos odds, picks and prediction

Denver Broncos Week 17 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

QB Drew Lock OVER 0.5 interceptions (-190)

We certainly expect the second-year Broncos quarterback to be on guard after he tossed a career-high four interceptions in the first meeting with the Raiders — a 37-12 road thrashing in Week 10 — but there’s ample reason to expect at least one miscue here.

Lock is tied with benched Philadelphia Eagles QB Carson Wentz with a league-high 15 interceptions, and he has fumbled eight times, losing three of them.

Lock didn’t turn the ball over in a Week 1 loss to the Tennessee Titans, but he has had at least one giveaway in each of his 11 games since, including the 15 interceptions.

Bank on at least one more Lock pick in the finale.

RB Melvin Gordon to score a touchdown (-115)

Gordon leads the Broncos with 217 total touches and nine touchdowns — accounting for 30% of the team’s offensive scores.

He has found his way into the end zone in four of Denver’s seven home games so far, and with the Broncos projected to enjoy one of their highest-scoring games of the season (implied team total of 24 points), we like the chances of Gordon breaking the plane Sunday.

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WR Jerry Jeudy OVER 3.5 receptions (+115)

The Broncos’ first-round draft pick has had a rough, drop-plagued season, and his numbers fall well short of those compiled by some of the other wideouts in this strong rookie class.

The Week 16 loss was especially rocky for Jeudy, who was targeted a season-high 15 times, but he came up with only 6 receptions for 61 yards. That’s only one more catch than his total of dropped passes (five), as judged by several statistical services.

Sunday’s finale, though, provides the Broncos a chance to build the rookie back up and send him into the offseason with a boost of confidence. Look for a lot of high-percentage targets to go Jeudy’s way, and he should have little trouble hitting the Over here against a suspect-at-best Las Vegas secondary.

The value at +115 makes this prop even more attractive.

Jeudy OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-110)

Jeudy is averaging a healthy 15.2 yards per reception so if we’re banking on the Over in the above prop, we’re definitely following up with a correlated over wager here.

With that aside, Jeudy has had 42 or more receiving yards in nine of his 15 games, so that makes the “Over” call an easy one here.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Denver Broncos prop predictions for Week 15

Highlighting five player prop bet predictions for the Denver Broncos in their Week 15 game against the Buffalo Bills.

The Denver Broncos (5-8) kick off a Saturday NFL doubleheader by hosting the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills (10-3). Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we highlight five player/team prop bet predictions for the Broncos in Week 15.

Also see: Bills at Broncos odds, picks and prediction

Denver Broncos Week 15 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

Broncos OVER 0.5 points in the 1st quarter (-210)

Even though the Broncos are averaging only 3.4 first-quarter points per game (29th in the league) and the Bills are permitting only 3.3 (second-fewest), it’s hard to pass on this prop.

Not counting the Week 12 quarterback-less fiasco when Denver managed only a season-low three points all game, the Broncos have been shut out only three times in the first quarter of their other 12 contests.

Bank on at least a field goal in the first quarter Saturday.

First half game total UNDER 24.5 points (-118)

In spite of our first prop recommendation, we foresee something far less than a shootout in the opening 30 minutes.

The Broncos are averaging the second-fewest first-half points in the league (8.2) while the Bills allow the fewest on average (9.1).

Putting those two together puts the Broncos at 8.7, and doing the same for the Bills’ first-half offensive (14.8 PPG) and the Broncos’ defensive (13.4) averages puts Buffalo at 14.1.

Combined, that’s a total of 22.8 points, and with 1.7 points of leeway on the projected total of 24.5, why not take a shot at the first half Under?

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RB Melvin Gordon OVER 12.5 rushing attempts (-118)

The Broncos seemed to have settled on a more-rushing, less-passing offensive formula over the last four games as they’ve averaged 32.3 rushing attempts per contest over that span. By comparison, Denver averaged an even 25 rushes per game over its first nine contests.

As the Broncos’ lead back, Gordon has accounted for 45.8% of the team’s rushing attempt on the season. He has averaged 13.8 carries per contest during the just-mentioned four-game span of rushing uptick, and he’s looked the best he has all season as well, averaging 78.5 rushing yards per outing and 5.71 yards per carry.

With Denver surely desiring to keep Bills QB Josh Allen and the high-powered Bills’ attack (ninth with 27.6 points per game) on the sideline, look for the Broncos to rely heavily on the surging Gordon Saturday.

TE Noah Fant OVER 36.5 receiving yards (-112)

Fant missed Sunday’s 32-27 win over the Carolina Panthers with a non-COVID-19 illness, and with it, he likely missed a chance to be a featured pass-catcher.

Along with 30 rushing attempts in the win, the Broncos featured a noticeably condensed passing game with 14 of QB Drew Lock‘s 26 targets going to tight ends and running backs. Reserve TEs Nick Vannett and Troy Fumagalli combined for 9 targets, 8 receptions (4 apiece) and 73 yards.

In 11 games this season, Fant has had at least 38 receiving yards eight times.

Then there’s the Buffalo defense, which is allowing an average of 64.1 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends — the second-highest mark in the league.

All that considered, gotta roll with the Over for Fant.

Worth a (long) shot: Fant to score a TD (+240) and/or score Broncos’ first TD (+800)

Fant hasn’t found the end zone since Week 2 and is stuck on two TDs for the season.

Given the expected usage just detailed above, we’ll take a shot on Fant ending that drought Saturday with a couple of different TD props to choose from.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Broncos Wire

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Bank on these 4 Denver Broncos prop bet predictions

Highlighting four Denver Broncos prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 8 game against the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Denver Broncos (2-4) host the AFC West rival Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) for a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we give you four prop bet predictions to consider for the Chargers-Broncos Week 8 matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

4 Broncos prop bets to make for Chargers-Broncos

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Melvin Gordon OVER 11.5 fantasy points (-115)

If you follow either one of these teams, then you know this is being billed as the Melvin Gordon Revenge Game. Gordon was drafted 15th overall in the 2015 NFL Draft by the Chargers and played the first five years of his career with them before a somewhat-ugly divorce that affected the Chargers’ 2019 season.

He has moved on to Denver and Gordon has played 60-plus percent of the offensive snap in each of his five games for the Broncos. Gordon has scored five total touchdowns, has cleared 11.5 fantasy points in three games and would’ve exceeded that number last game if he didn’t lose two fumbles. Denver’s other running back, Phillip Lindsay, is going to play despite sustaining a concussion in Week 8 but it should diminish his workload. The production, motivation and opportunity will all be there for Gordon.

Noah Fant OVER 40.5 receiving yards (-112)

The Chargers have an awesome trio of cornerbacks but their linebackers are weak in coverage and the loss of S Derwin James definitely hurt the secondary. Broncos QB Drew Lock would be wise to pick on the linebackers or safeties instead of the cornerbacks and use either TE Noah Fant or one of the running backs as safety blankets.

Fant has been getting targets all season—averaging a healthy 17.0% of his team’s targets—and he had 46 or more receiving yards in each of his first three games played. Expect Lock to throw more in Fant’s direction, especially when he has one-on-one matchups with linebackers.

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Drew Lock UNDER 32.5 pass attempts (-121)

Los Angeles’ opponents are throwing the ball against them at the sixth-highest rate in the NFL but that’s due in part to the Chargers leading early in recent games. All of their opponents have needed to play catch up and air the ball out more.

My handicap for the Chargers-Broncos has Denver winning this game and I don’t think the Broncos are the type of team that can throw their way back into a game. Positive game script for Denver would be more run-oriented and mixing in play-action passes. Lock attempted only 28 passes in a low scoring Chargers-Broncos game at Mile High last season and I feel this one will play out similarly.

Justin Herbert OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110)

It’s not a Broncos prop play but it’s kind of a Broncos prop play, right? If there was a market for it, I’d pick CB Bryce Callahan to drop into a zone and pick off an over-the-middle pass to WR Keenan Allen for like +1700 odds.

But I get the whole Broncos team essentially, at plus-money, for Herbert’s OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110). Herbert is 28th in interceptable passes, according to PlayerProfile.com, and he has the eighth-highest percentage of bad throws. Also, Herbert is a rookie who has played amazing lately but is due for some regression.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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