Tag: Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies odds predictions pick betting line spread

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (2-0) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (0-3) on Monday. Tip from FedExForum is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Grizzlies won 3 of 4 meetings last season

The Mavericks beat the Brooklyn Nets 125-120 on Friday, failing to cover as 6-point home favorites. G Luca Doncic scored 49 points, hitting on 9 of 14 on 3-pointers while also getting a double-double with 10 rebounds. Four Mavs scored in double-digits and 10 players had at least a 1 bucket.

Memphis lost its 2nd game in a row on Saturday with a 113-106 loss to the Washington Wizards as a 1-point road favorite. Still without G Ja Morant (suspension), it was G Desmond Bane leading the way with 26 points.

Mavericks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Grizzlies +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Grizzlies key injuries

Mavericks

  • None

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (knee) out
  • G Luke Kennard (concussion) out
  • G Ja Morant (suspension) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 121, Grizzlies 108

Moneyline

PASS.

There are better odds playing the Mavericks spread in this matchup.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -2.5 (-110).

Until the Grizzlies can prove otherwise, especially down Morant, Kennard, and Adams, backing the Mavs is the right play. Doncic and Dallas have played great in 2 games with Doncic making his mark all over the stat sheet. While they failed to cover as 6-point favorites in their last game, the Mavs covered as 4.5-point favorites in their only road game this season.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 227.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies have opened up the season scoring 104 points twice and 108 points while the Mavericks have scored 126 and 125 points. Without Morant, Memphis has not identified who will hold down the offense.

On the flip side, Doncic and company have been firing on all cylinders offensively. Expect the Over to hit for the 3rd straight time for Dallas with the Mavs carrying the bulk of the scoring.

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Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (36-35) take on the Memphis Grizzlies (43-27) Monday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks edged out the Los Angeles Lakers 111-110 Friday, covering as 4-point road underdogs. Dallas has won only 4 of its last 10 games.

The Grizzlies covered as 2-point home underdogs in their 133-119 victory over the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Memphis has won 5 of its last 6 games.

This will be the fourth and final regular-season meeting between the Mavericks and the Grizzlies. Memphis won the last two meetings — both in March — while Dallas won the October game. Dallas is 2-1 against the spread and the total is 1-2 O/U.

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Mavericks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Grizzlies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +2.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Grizzlies key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic (thigh) questionable
  • G Kyrie Irving (foot) questionable

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (knee) out
  • F Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
  • F Jaren Jackson Jr. (calf) questionable
  • G Ja Morant (conditioning) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 116, Mavericks 111

Moneyline

While Doncic could return for the Mavericks, give me the GRIZZLIES (-135) at home as they could widen the gap in the Southwest Division with a win.

Against the spread

GRIZZLIES -2.5 (-108) is how I’d bet the spread as Memphis is 29-5 at home this season compared to Dallas’ 14-22 record on the road. Even without Morant on the floor, the Grizzlies continue to find ways to win. With such a short spread they have a good chance at the cover if they’re able to pick up the outright victory.

The Grizzlies are 21-12-1 ATS at home this season, while the Mavericks are 15-20 ATS on the road.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 229.5 (-110).

Doncic and Irving could be active on Monday, but the Under has connected in 2 of the first 3 meetings between these teams this season. The Mavericks are also 6-1 to the Under in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record, and the Grizzlies are 6-0 to the Under in their last 6 against a team with a winning record.

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Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (34-33) battle the Memphis Grizzlies (39-26) Saturday. Tip from FedEx Forum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks beat the Grizzlies at home 137-96 Oct. 22, covering as a 5.5-point favorite. The Over 219.5 hit in the lone matchup between these teams so far this season.

Dallas has not been great for bettors lately, having covered just 2 of its last 10 games. The Mavs have won just 3 of those 10 outright as well. They are 24-41-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Grizzlies, on the other hand, are 31-33-1 ATS. They are coming off a 131-110 win versus Golden State, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. Memphis is 5-2 ATS over its last 7 and 4-3 straight up in that span.

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Mavericks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +5.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Grizzlies key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic (thigh) out
  • G Kyrie Irving (foot) questionable

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (knee) out
  • G Ja Morant (personal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 116, Mavericks 107

Moneyline

AVOID.

Dallas is just 12-20 on the road this season. Without Doncic, these odds are justified, and the underdog isn’t worth a play at all. Memphis is too pricey to play here as well.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies have played well without Morant, covering 2 of the 3 games he’s missed. They put a 21-point beatdown on the Warriors at home in their lone home game without Morant.

Players like G Desmond Bane and F Dillon Brooks can and have stepped up. Dallas, on the other hand, has failed to cover 3 in a row and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 and 1-5 ATS in its last 6.

Memphis also ranks No. 1 in opponents’ field goal percentage (44.9%), so that defensive tenacity mixed with the absence of Doncic should result in a Grizzlies cover.

Back GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 223.5 (-110).

Memphis allows the 6th-fewest points per game (112), and the Mavericks play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 2-6-1 O/U in their last 9 games.

Dallas is 4-3-1 O/U in its last 8. The Mavericks play at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA, and the Grizzlies’ style should adjust without Morant to be slower as well.

Considering it all, back the UNDER 223.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (35-33) hosts the Dallas Mavericks (40-28) Tuesday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas has won four in a row and seven of its last eight games (6-2 against the spread), which includes wins over the Brooklyn Nets and at the Miami Heat last week.

Memphis eked past a banged-up New Orleans Pelicans team last night in a 115-110 victory as 9.5-point home favorites for its second straight win and third in the last four games (2-2 ATS).

The Grizzlies are chasing the Golden State Warriors for eighth in the West because seeds 7-10 participate in the postseason play-in tournament with the seventh- and eighth-place teams having two games to clinch a playoff berth.

The Mavericks have beaten the Grizzlies in three straight and four of their past five meetings (3-2 ATS) since Memphis drafted Ja Morant.

Mavericks at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Grizzlies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -1.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) questionable
  • C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

Grizzlies

  • SG Grayson Allen (abdomen) out

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Mavericks at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 113, Grizzlies 108

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MAVERICKS (-125) for 1 unit because there’s an equal play-in motivation behind each team, Dallas matches up well against Memphis and Porzingis’ is weighted heavier in the betting market than it should.

For instance, the Mavs shouldn’t be snoozing down the stretch because the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers could pass them, putting Dallas in the play-in game.

Also, Memphis plays an ultra-aggressive defensive scheme that forces opponents into making turnovers, which is something Dallas doesn’t do.

The Mavs are third in turnover rate and points off of turnovers allowed per game while the Grizzlies score the second-most points off turnovers per game and the ninth-highest defensive turnover rate.

Finally, I’d argue that KP’s absence is closer to a net win than net loss for the Mavs. His replacement—C Willie Cauley-Stein—is more defensive, rebounding minded, which is what the Mavs need against sneaky good Memphis big Jonas Valančiūnas.

Furthermore, no KP means more Luka Doncic-based offense and KP has a minus-5.2 on-off net rating.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the spread unless Dallas’ money line goes north of -150 then I’d lay it with the Mavericks.

Over/Under (O/U)

I slightly “LEAN” to the UNDER 227.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because Memphis’ offense has struggled down the stretch, scoring 115 points just once in the past nine games.

The Grizzlies couldn’t break 100 points in games against the Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic recently, and my read is the Mavs are going to slow this game down (ranked 24th in pace) and limit the possessions.

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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Heat (37-31) face the Boston Celtics (35-33) in their second of a back-to-back Tuesday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Heat-Celtics odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Miami held off Boston to win 130-124 Sunday as the Celtics were down as many as 26 points before cutting the deficit down to six points with a few minutes left in the fourth.

It was the Heat’s second straight win and fifth out of their last six games (4-1-1 against the spread). Miami is sixth in the East, 2 games in front of Boston and seeds 7-10 participate in the playoff play-in tournament.

Boston is limping down the stretch, losing two straight, three of four and six of the last nine games (2-7 ATS), with the three wins all coming against sub-.500 teams.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these two teams as the road team has won and covered the first two.

Heat at Celtics: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Heat -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Celtics +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Heat -1.5 (-115) | Celtics +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Heat at Celtics: Key injuries

Heat

  • SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out

Celtics

  • C Robert Williams (toe) doubtful
  • SF Jaylen Brown (knee) out

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Heat at Celtics: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 119, Celtics 112

Money line (ML)

BET the HEAT (-125) for 1 unit because the market is overemphasizing the zig-zag theory, perhaps overlooking these teams’ recent forms and expecting Jayson Tatum to put the Celtics (+105) on his back in a relatively must-win game.

For instance, they’ve had to beat the same team in consecutive games so most bettors will automatically bet against the team that just won, as known as the “zig-zag” theory.

However, Miami is rounding into the team that represented the East in the NBA Finals last season, and Boston has struggled immensely in the last several games.

Given their situation, the Celtics’ recent losses to the Chicago Bulls, by 22 points, the Oklahoma City Thunder and a banged-up Charlotte Hornets are embarrassing.

Finally, Tatum is an All-NBA caliber wing, no one is arguing that, but Jimmy Butler is better and has played better than Tatum when they’ve met.

In their seven career head-to-head meetings, Butler’s team is 5-2, and he’s outscoring Tatum 24.4-19.3 points per game.

Tatum might outscore Butler in this meeting and play fabulous tonight, but in a must-win for both teams, I’ll roll with Butler and the HEAT (-125).

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS and stick with the money line unless the Heat become -140 or greater favorites then I’d lay the points with Miami.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 224.5 (-115) for a quarter unit only because we are getting the worst of the number since the market has already steamed the total up 2 points from the 222.5-point opener.

Miami’s offense is starting to come together and hit shots (the Heat have scored 121 or more points in four of their last five games) and Boston has been playing matador defense lately (allowing 129 or more points in four of the past five).

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Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (27-25) host Southwest Division rival Dallas Mavericks (29-24) Wednesday at FedExForum for a 9:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas has lost two straight and three of four (1-3 against the spread) with the latest being a 113-95 beatdown by the Philadelphia 76ers Monday as 3.5-point home dogs.

Before this four-game stretch, the Mavs won five in a row, including four consecutive road games.

Memphis broke a two-game losing skid by taking down the Chicago Bulls 101-90 as 2.5-point home favorites Monday.

The Grizzlies are 5-2 overall and ATS over the past two weeks with three straight victories on road over winning Eastern Conference teams.

The Mavs have won three of their last four meetings with the Grizzlies since the beginning of last season when Memphis drafted Ja Morant with the No. 2 pick in the 2019 NBA Draft.

Mavericks at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Grizzlies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -3 (-110) | Grizzlies +3 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Grizzlies

  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
  • PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
  • SF Justise Winslow (quadriceps) out

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Mavericks at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Grizzlies 106

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “LEAN” to the Mavericks (-155) because it’s on the fringe of my price range for a favorite, and I’m tossing around the idea of parlaying Dallas’ money line with another similarly priced favorite.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET MAVERICKS -3 (-110) for 1 unit because they match up very well with the Grizzlies.

Memphis is ranked first or second in several miscellaneous areas such as points off turnovers, second-chance points, fast-break points and paint points per game.

But, Dallas is above average defensively in these areas while allowing the fifth-fewest paint points per game and the third-fewest points off of turnovers per game.

Also, the Mavs do a good job defending what the Grizzlies do frequently.  Memphis attempts the fifth-highest volume of mid-range shots, and Dallas is 10th in defensive field goal shooting in mid-range attempts, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 225.5 (-110) for a half-unit because the “sharp” side of the market (the money column of the betting splits) is on the total while the bets placed column is nearly a 50-50 split, according to Pregame.com.

Furthermore, we discussed already how Dallas’ defense could possibly frustrate Memphis’ offense here, but the Grizzlies defense can be stingy and the Mavs have the 26th-ranked pace of play.

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