Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Rockets (38-35) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (44-29) to the Toyota Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Both teams are 1-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) on the season series.

The Rockets have won 11 straight games, covering in 9 of them. They are coming off a 101-100 road win over the Utah Jazz Friday, failing to cover as an 8-point favorite. Houston is 42-30-1 ATS on the season and has scored at least 127 points in 4 of its last 6 games. The Rockets are led in scoring by C Alperen Sengun, who is out with an ankle injury.

The Mavericks have also been one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning 6 in a row and covering in 5 of them. They are coming off a 107-103 road win over the Sacramento Kings, covering as a 1-point favorite Friday. Dallas is 10-1 straight up and ATS in its last 11 games. It is led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 33.8 points per game.

Mavericks at Rockets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Rockets +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-112) | Rockets +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mavericks at Rockets key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic (knee) questionable
  • G Josh Green (ankle) out

Rockets

  • C Tari Eason (tibia) out
  • C Alperen Sengun (ankle) out
  • F Cam Whitmore (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Rockets 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mavericks have been just as hot as the Rockets and should have a size advantage with Houston down many key big men. Dallas should be able to come out on top, and the better value is on the spread, not the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -2.5 (-112).

Dallas has covered in 8 of its last 10 games on the road and in 3 straight away games. It has covered as a road favorite in 4 of its last 5. While the Rockets have also been on fire, they haven’t taken down many quality opponents.

They are 2-1 ATS but 1-2 straight up in their last 3 home games as an underdog. Houston will be down its leading scorer with its 2 other top-3 options shooting under 43% from the field. Against 2 better, more efficient guards, this will be a tough matchup for the Rockets.

Take MAVERICKS -2.5 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-112).

The Rockets have gone Under in 2 of their last 3 games while the Mavericks have gone Under in 6 in a row.

The Rockets are 34-38-1 O/U on the season. Dallas has strengthened its defense and has allowed 107 or fewer in all 6 games, holding 2 of its last 4 opponents to Under 100. The Mavs are 33-40 O/U on the season.

Given the season-long and recent trends for both teams, take UNDER 230.5 (-112).

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Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (28-21) travel in-state to play the Houston Rockets (13-37) Wednesday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas has won five in a row and seven of its past nine games (7-2 against the spread) including a 111-103 victory over the first-place Utah Jazz Monday without PF Kristaps Porzingis as 5.5-point home underdogs.

The Rockets enter on a five-game losing streak and have dropped 27 of their last 29 games (6-23 ATS). Houston lost 133-130 to the Phoenix Suns Monday as 14-point home underdogs to cover its second game in the last four.

A couple of weeks before Houston’s epic 20-game losing streak, the Rockets dominated the Mavs 133-108 to even the season series. However, four of Houston’s starters won’t be in today’s game, and Porzingis is probable to return tonight.

Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Rockets +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -10.5 (-110) | Rockets +10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Rockets: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (wrist) probable
  • PF Maxi Kleber (lower leg) questionable
  • PG Trey Burke (calf) questionable
  • Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG J.J. Redick (heel) out

Rockets

  • SG Avery Bradley (knee) probable
  • PG John Wall (knee) probable
  • SG Eric Gordon (groin) out
  • SF David Nwaba (wrist) out
  • SF Danuel House (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Rockets 109

Money line (ML)

PASS because Dallas should win this game easily, but the Mavericks (-550) is far too expensive given the randomness of the NBA regular season.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Dallas is percolating right now and rounding into form as the season progresses, but the Mavs are just 2-8 ATS at home against teams with a losing record.

Also, according to Pregame.com, nearly 85% of the money is on Dallas to cover but bookmakers have moved the line down from the 11-point opener, which is a red flag.

Granted, the market hasn’t adjusted to Houston’s terribleness (16-34 ATS this season), but the Rockets have covered or been with a few possessions of covering in their last seven games.

“LEAN” to the ROCKETS +10.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because betting on Houston this season would have destroyed your bankroll.

Over/Under (O/U)

Luka Dončić has been terrific post-All-Star break and is averaging 29.5 points, 10.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists per game in the first two Mavericks-Rockets meetings this season.

Also, if the Rockets are going to cover this game, they’ll most likely need to execute offensively. Luka’s numbers are almost a lock, and Houston’s offense put up 130 points against an awesome Phoenix Suns defense Monday.

BET OVER 222.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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