Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (8-7) lock up in NBA Cup play against the Denver Nuggets (8-5) Friday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. (ESPN) Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0

The Mavs won their third straight with a 132-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday. Seven players scored in double figures, and G Luka Doncic led the way with 26 points. He’ll miss this game with a wrist ailment. The 3-game winning streak is on the heels of a 4-game losing streak. The Mavs pushed as 2-point dogs in Denver Nov. 10, as they lost 122-120.

C Nikola Jokic has missed 3 straight games, and his status is unknown for this game. G Jamal Murray had 27 points and went 5-for-10 from downtown in a Tuesday win at the Memphis Grizzlies 122-110 as 6-point dogs. F Michael Porter Jr. also had 24 points and 11 boards despite going 0-for-4 from distance.

Mavericks at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 2:31 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Nuggets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +2.5 (-105) | Nuggets -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (wrist) out

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
C Nikola Jokic (personal) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 118, Mavericks 111

Moneyline

The big question is whether Jokic, who hasn’t played in almost 2 weeks, makes it back in the lineup. Either way, I like the Nuggets at home, but I’m more than willing to lay the points.

Instead, I’ll take KYRIE IRVING OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS (-130). He was 6-for-8 from downtown against the Nuggets earlier this month. He’s 7-for-11 (63.6%) over the last 2 games.

Against the spread

Denver has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, and the Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in those.

Take the NUGGETS -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Mavs are 4-5-1 O/U in their last 10, and the Nuggets are 8-2. The Over is 5-5 and pretty hit or miss in this matchup.

I think the books want you to think Under here. I don’t, though. Denver dropped 122 on Memphis in the last game, and Jokic has prop bets available. That could mean he’s more probable than questionable.

I like the OVER 224.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (31-28) and Denver Nuggets (40-18) meet Wednesday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks failed to cover the spread as 6-point home favorites Monday in a 124-121 loss vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves. G Kyrie Irving scored 26 of his game-high 36 points in the 4th quarter, but Dallas failed to get a game-tying 3-point shot off before the buzzer. The Mavericks are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 away games vs. teams with a winning home record.

The Nuggets covered as 1-point favorites Monday with a 112-108 win at the Miami Heat. C Nikola Jokic finished with 27 points for the Nuggets, who have won 6 of their last 8 games. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS vs. the Mavericks in the last 6 meetings in Denver.

The Mavericks lead the season series 2-1. Dallas covered as a 4.5-point road underdog in a 116-115 win as the Over 223.5 total points cashed in the most recent meeting Dec. 6.

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Mavericks at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:08 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-112) | Nuggets -4.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries

Mavericks

F Reggie Bullock (illness, non-COVID) questionable
F Tim Hardaway Jr. (hamstring) questionable
G Kyrie Irving (back) probable
C Christian Wood (illness, non-COVID) questionable

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (rib) questionable
G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 120, Mavericks 119

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets (-190) are 24-4 as home favorites but are being slightly overvalued on the moneyline vs. the new-look Mavericks. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS +4.5 (-112).

Dallas should be able to bounce back after losing in an embarrassing way to the Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played well in Denver in recent meetings and the addition of Irving should help Dallas continue to cover at Ball Arena. The Mavericks are 16-11 straight up after a loss and should be able to keep it close Wednesday in an attempt to avoid going on a 3-game skid.

Over/Under

BET OVER 234.5 (-105).

The Over is 5-1 in Dallas’ last 6 games and 11-2 in the Mavericks’ last 13 vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Over has hit in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games and is 4-0 in the Nuggets’ last 4 at home. Dallas is 3rd in offensive efficiency over the last 3 games and should help the Over connect Wednesday in Denver.

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Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (12-11) and Denver Nuggets (14-9) meet Tuesday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks covered the spread as 3.5-point home favorites 130-111 vs. the Phoenix Suns Monday. G Luka Dončić finished with a game-high 33 points as Dallas improved to 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 4 home games.

The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

The Nuggets failed to cover as 1.5 points underdogs 121-106 at the New Orleans Pelicans Sunday. C Nikola Jokić finished with a team-high 32 points and game-highs in rebounds (16) and assists (9) as Denver lost its 2nd consecutive game after winning 4 straight.

The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss by 11 or more points.

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Mavericks at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-105) | Nuggets -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries

Mavericks

Not yet submitted

Nuggets

G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (wrist) questionable
F Jeff Green (knee) questionable
F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 114, Mavericks 104

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets (-180) should win, but there is no need to buy them down to the ML when they should cover relatively easily. The Mavericks have been horrible ATS on the road this season and should let up after an impressive win vs. the Suns.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -4.5 (-115).

The spread alone tells you what oddsmakers think of the Mavericks away from home. Dallas was a 3.5-point home favorite Monday vs. a Suns team that has the best record in the West and is now a 4.5-point underdog at the Nuggets.

Denver has been great at bouncing back after double-digit losses this season and should do so once again vs. the Mavericks Tuesday. Lay the points.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 222.5 (-110).

Denver plays much better defense at home than on the road. The Nuggets are 26th in defensive efficiency on the road, but their ranking jumps to 11th in the league when playing at Ball Arena.

The Under is 6-1 in Denver’s last 7 home games and 4-1 in its last 5 home games vs. teams with a losing road record.

The Under should hit Tuesday as Denver will have no problem containing a Mavericks team that is due for a let-down loss after defeating the Suns.

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Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (19-17) visit the Denver Nuggets (22-15) Saturday at Ball Arena for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas had its four-game winning streak snapped by the Oklahoma City Thunder in a 116-108 loss as a 2-point favorite Thursday. The Mavericks were without All-Star PG Luka Doncic and PF Kristaps Porzingis who were rested in the second half of a back-to-back for Dallas.

The Nuggets have won five in a row and covered the spread in four of those five games. All were on the road, including a 103-102 win over the Memphis Grizzlies as 2.5-point favorites in their first game back from the All-Star break Friday.

This is the rubber match of the three-game regular-season series between the Mavericks and Nuggets. Each team has won and covered the spread once.

Mavericks at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nuggets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -1.5 (-110) | Nuggets +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Nuggets: Key injuries

Mavericks

None affecting the betting lines.

Nuggets

PF JaMychal Green (illness) probable
C Nikola Jokic (ankle) questionable
SG Monte Morris (quadriceps) questionable
SG Garry Harris (thigh) out

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Mavericks at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 118, Nuggets 109

Money line (ML)

Even though this is technically the “money line” section, there are a few ATS trends that are applicable since the spread and money line are nearly identical.

This is a good spot for Dallas. The Mavs are 5-3 ATS as road favorites, 5-1 ATS in games where they have a rest advantage and Denver is 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.

The rest split is additionally important considering Doncic and Porzingis rested in the Mavs’ previous game. Denver played last night and Nuggets Jokic is questionable.

Also, Doncic has absolutely dominated Denver this season; he’s averaging 36.5 points on 53.3% shooting with 10.0 rebounds and 14.5 assists per game in the two Mavericks-Nuggets meetings.

Finally, this is a Pros vs. Joes situation in the betting market. More than 70% of the money bet is on the Mavs but nearly 60% of the bets placed are on the Nuggets, according to Pregame.com.

Since the sharp side of the market is the money column, let’s follow the money and BET MAVERICKS (-125) for 1.25 units.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since the money line is only slightly more expensive than the spread.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS since BetMGM‘s projected total is only 1.5 points below my predicted score so there isn’t enough value there for me to bet the Over.

You could make a case Jokic’s absence hurts both Denver’s defense and offense or Nuggets SF Michael Porter Jr. and PG Jamal Murray could erupt with more usage freeing up.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Also see:

Hoops Hype rumors: Mavericks | Nuggets

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (3-4) square off with the Denver Nuggets (3-4) Thursday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Mavericks pasted the Houston Rockets 113-100 as 4-point road underdogs Monday. Dallas had more fast-break points, more points in the paint, shot better from everywhere on the floor, out-rebounded Houston 57-41 and dished out seven more assists … Essentially outclassed the Rockets in every way.

Denver righted the ship following back-to-back losses by defeating the Minnesota Timberwolves in both legs of a home/away doubleheader Jan. 3 and 5. The Nuggets covered the spread in the first game vs. the Timberwolves (a 124-109 win as 8.5-point road favorites) but lost against the spread in the second meeting (a 123-116 win as 10.5-point home favorites).

Dallas beat Denver 2-1 (2-1 against the spread) in the 2019-20 season series. Three of the last four Mavericks-Nuggets games have been decided by 3 or fewer points.

Mavericks at Nuggets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Nuggets -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +2.5 (-105) | Nuggets -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Nuggets: Key Injuries

Mavericks

PG Trey Burke (illness) out
PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

Nuggets

SF Michael Porter Jr. (health and safety protocols) questionable

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Mavericks at Nuggets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 116, Nuggets 110

Money line (ML)

While scrolling through our Mavericks-Nuggets photo inventory, I noticed there were very few pictures of Denver PG Jamal Murray guarding Luka Doncic but I saw a lot of pictures of former Nuggets players SFs Torrey Craig and Jerami Grant checking Luka.

Those former Nuggets players were their best wing defenders over recent seasons and despite Doncic’s official PG designation, he’s mostly guarded by the opponent’s athletic wings.

Well, as a team Denver has been terrible defensively thus far—second-to-last in the NBA in defensive rating (115.5) and here’s a look at the candidate’s to guard Luka Thursday: Murray (118 defensive rating), SG Gary Harris (118 defensive rating) and SF Will Barton (115 defensive rating).

Luka’s career stats vs. the Nuggets are subpar for him: 22.8 points per game on 40.6% field-goal shooting, 21.1% from 3-point range and a 106 offensive rating. Now that Denver no longer has reliable defensive wings, I think Doncic gets anywhere he wants against the Nuggets.

TAKE MAVERICKS (+125) for a half-unit because we are betting the spread heavier.

Against the spread (ATS)

Dallas is the right side here and my strategy is to BET MAVERICKS +2.5 (-105) for 1.5 units on top of the light money line wager I made.

We should cash both tickets but it’s better to be safe than sorry. It’s noteworthy we are fading the market and if pro-Nuggets action keeps coming we might get more points closer to tip-off.

Over/Under (O/U)

I lean OVER 223.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit with a disclaimer. According to Pregame.com, more than 80% of the market is betting Over in Mavericks-Nuggets, yet the total has been pushed down from a 226-point opener, which tells me BetMGM feels good about their projection for the total. That makes me nervous and I’d either bet the total lightly or not at all.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Rookie Wire Power Rankings: James Wiseman, LaMelo Ball lead the way (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype Rumors: Mavericks | Nuggets

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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