Tag: Dallas Mavericks odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (19-15) travel in-state Sunday to play the Dallas Mavericks (26-12) at the Wells Fargo Center. The tip-off is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-76ers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Spurs at 76ers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | 76ers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +4 (-110) | 76ers -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at 76ers: Key injuries

Spurs

  • C LaMarcus Aldridge (trade block) out
  • SF DeMar DeRozan (personal) out

76ers

  • PG Ben Simmons (health and safety protocols) probable
  • C Joel Embiid (knee) out

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Spurs at 76ers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

76ers 113, Spurs 104

Money line (ML)

PASS with a lean on 76ers (-175) because I’d entertain putting Philadelphia’s money line in a parlay, but it’s -130 or greater that prices me out of betting an NBA regular-season favorite.

However, Simmons has enough talent and help around him in Philly to shoulder the burden while Embiid is out with injury, and I’m expecting a statement tonight from the Sixers.

Furthermore, aside from wanting to prove Philly doesn’t need Embiid to win games, there could be additional motivation for Simmons in this game to dominate.

Simmons’ teammate on the Australian national squad—guard Patty Mills—plays for San Antonio, and you know he wants bragging rights over his buddy. In fact, the Sixers are 5-1 against the Spurs when Simmons plays.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET 76ERS -4 (-110) for 1.25 units.

San Antonio wing DeRozan is the team’s leading scorer, assist man with the most win shares and highest usage rate, so with DeRozan out of the lineup, there’s a mystery on how the Spurs score.

Usually, a team can make up for a lack of scoring by increasing their 3-point attempts and aggressiveness of attacking the basket.

But, San Antonio is 22nd in FTA/FG rate as a team, and DeRozan is in the 98th percentile of wings in on-off rating for team free-throw attempt rate, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Over/Under (O/U)

GIMME UNDER 223.5 (-110) for a half-unit only because we are a little late to the party, and the market has already bet this total down from the 222.5-point opener.

The case for the under is pretty simple though. The Sixers will be missing Embiid more on offense than defense. Philly backup big Dwight Howard is still an elite defensive big plus San Antonio has two good defensive bigs in its lineup with Rudy Gay and Jakob Poeltl.

Lastly, the Spurs built their whole offensive scheme around the two former All-Stars (DeRozan and Aldridge) who aren’t going to play and like to operate in the mid-range.

For instance, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, San Antonio attempts the 4th-highest rate of mid-range shots, but Philly has the 4th-best defensive midrange field goal percentage.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (18-14) travel in-state Wednesday to play the Dallas Mavericks (18-16) at the American Airlines Center. The tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

San Antonio had a nine-day COVID-related layoff followed by a 2-3 overall and ATS stretch heading into the NBA All-Star break. The Spurs are currently atop the Southwest Division, one game ahead of Dallas.

The Mavericks were on fire prior to the All-Star Game as winners of eight of their previous 10 games (5-5 ATS) and Luka Doncic‘s superstardom was the primary reason. Luka averaged 31.7 points on 51.9% shooting (46.5% from 3) with 7.6 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game in his last 10 games.

Dallas won and covered the first meeting with San Antonio 122-117 back on Jan. 22 and has beaten the Spurs in four of the last five games.

Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mavericks -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +4.5 (-110) | Mavericks -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Mavericks: Key injuries

Spurs

  • SF Devin Vassell (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

  • None

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 112, Mavericks 106

Money line (ML)

Slight lean on SPURS (+155) since I like San Antonio to cover the spread.

San Antonio PG Dejounte Murray sprained his ankle in the opening minutes of the first Spurs-Mavericks game earlier this season and it significantly affected San Antonio’s perimeter defense.

Murray’s absence also played a role in the Spurs only forcing five Mavs turnovers in that game since Murray is 5th in steals per game and 18th in defensive win shares in the Association.

Dallas needs Doncic to dominate for it to make a playoff push and Murray is good enough defensively to minimize Doncic’s damage.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET SPURS +4.5 (-110) heavier or instead of their money line.

This is a great spot for San Antonio, which is 6-1 ATS with a plus-6.2-point spread differential as a road dog, whereas the Mavs are 4-10 ATS with a minus-8.5-point spread differential as home favorites.

Furthermore, CleaningTheGlass.com grades the Spurs as the 5th-best defensive team in points per possession, which removes garbage time stats. Well, the Mavs are 5-8 overall with a minus-5.9-point spread differential vs. top-10 defenses.

Also, against bottom-10 defenses—the Mavs are 25th—the Spurs are 7-4 overall with the 7th-highest ATS margin (plus-2.9 points).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under has cashed in six of the previous eight Spurs-Mavericks games and San Antonio matches up well with Dallas defensively.

Dallas is 12th in points per possession out of the half-court and San Antonio is 5th in defensive points per possession out of the half-court, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

This total is suspicious considering the last Spurs-Mavericks game had a 223-point total. It soared Over the total by 16 points and the previous four meetings were all projected to be higher scoring.

BET UNDER 222.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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