Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 5

Breaking down the top players and sleepers for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 5 DFS fantasy football

We have one more week of full roster main slate before the byes start infesting this game. So as an advance to the bye week terrorism, the NFL has graced us with the first London game of the year. The New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons will not be included in the main slate on FD or DK.

Fortunately, that only takes about six legitimate options off of the table as both of those teams are pretty devoid of talent.

I don’t know about the rest of you, but I’m moderately concerned that the British government may consider the U.S. sending them the Falcons and Jets as an act of war. At best, they will just cut off our supply of sticky toffee pudding and spotted dick.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

The schedule gurus do strike a blow to the main slate as Buffalo and Kansas City lock horns on Sunday night. Josh Allen has the best matchup among the four QBs here. That said, this should be a shootout and both he and Patrick Mahomes will share QB1 honors. KC has been one of the worst teams in the league on defense against both the run and the pass. So, I am firmly expecting Allen to finish with 300-3 through the air and at least one rushing score as well.

The Bills’ pass defense actually ranks first overall. Of course, they have faced the washed-up remains of Ben Roethlisberger, an injured Tua Tagovailoa, and Jacoby Brissett, backup QB Taylor Heinecke, and the shouldn’t-be-on-an-NFL roster Davis Mills. Buffalo has one great CB, and he alone will not be able to stifle the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes should still post 300-3 as well … he just doesn’t have the rushing TD upside. The thing to remember here, however, is that this game could devolve quickly into a track meet. If that happens both QBs have a legitimate chance at approaching 500 yards and five TDs. Amazingly, last season, these two teams combined for only 43 total points on MNF in mid-October. They then met up again in the postseason to post a more expected 62 combined points.

Zack Moss has established himself as the goal line back for Buffalo. He has also evenly split all of the carries and targets since being inactive in Week 1. The Chiefs are worse against the run than the pass, but I expect this game to be a throwing fest. In a split backfield, he is no better than the RB2 here. Devin Singletary has been decent as well but just isn’t getting any TD love. In a favorable matchup, he still deserves consideration at FLEX. Unfortunately, both of them are in danger of losing rushing TDs to Josh Allen and short-yardage scores to Dawson Knox.

After being underutilized the first couple of weeks, Kansas City has allowed Clyde Edwards-Helaire to top the 100-yard rushing mark in back-to-back games. Negative game scripts have taken out every RB to face Buffalo so far this year. They’ve allowed a few yards through the air but not much on the ground. The game script won’t be negative here — it will be sideways. This suggests that CEH joins Zach Moss in the RB2 discussion at best. Your hope here is that he catches another shuttle pass for a touchdown. Darrel Williams actually outperformed Edwards-Helaire in the playoffs last year. He has scored a touchdown in two of the last three games, but he remains primarily a handcuff. There are enough talents on this slate to bypass Williams in tournaments, but he could be used in Showdown contests.

Stefon Diggs hasn’t been the touchdown threat he was last year, having scored only once through the first four weeks. Still, he is averaging 10 targets per week and posting reasonable supplementary stats. I have him as the top WR on this slate, because Tyreek Hill may have to deal with Tre’Davious White and because KC has allowed a 7-122 WR performance to each of the last two teams they have faced. Plus, despite the 7-122 line,  DeVonta Smith has been the only WR1 to not score against this defense. Secondary WRs have also had success against KC this season. I will give the slight edge to Emmanuel Sanders on FD, since he has been more consistent than Cole Beasley. Still, both have huge upside here at WR2/3 range. I give Beasley more value on DK, where we get the full PPR. Gabriel Davis has become a forgotten man in Buffalo. He has had a total of TWO targets over the last three weeks. That won’t cut it for DFS, even in a likely high-scoring game.

Tyreek Hill was held in check last year during their regular-season contest, but he exploded for 9-172 in the playoff meeting, and 71 of those yards did come on one pass, but that still left him 8-101 the rest of the game. What is concerning is that he failed to score in both of the games. I’m certainly not going to fade Hill here, but don’t be surprised when he doesn’t have another three-TD outing. On this slate, consider him the WR2 overall and a fine WR1 play, just know that he will have huge ownership numbers after last week. Josh Gordon may be active this week, if you believe Andy Reid’s coach-speak. If he is, then he could be used as a WR3 or FLEX. I will still probably pass. If Gordon is inactive, Demarcus Robinson, Byron Pringle, and Mecole Hardman can be considered as WR3 plays, in what should be a shootout. However, know that they will likely cannibalize each other’s overall numbers.

No team has allowed more receiving yardage to opposing TEs than Kansas City. That isn’t the reason I like Dawson Knox here, though. Knox has evolved into a Darren Fells-type goal line threat. He also is catching a reasonable amount of passes, they just aren’t going for many yards. By sheer volume, I expect Knox to approach 5-50, and another short TD is a lock. This should lock up TE3 for him on this short slate.

Travis Kelce must be locked into your lineup and built around this week. In the two meetings last season, he posted a combined 18-183-4. Buffalo really hasn’t been challenged yet this year by the position, so expect Kelce to explode here.

I dare you to use one of these defenses this week. The best bet either team has is a special teams return TD.

Carson Wentz has received a wrongly deserved injury-prone label. Yes, he has sustained many injuries in his career, but he also played behind a grade school offensive line in Philly. Indy’s line is on a different interplanetary level compared to that of the Eagles. Unfortunately, Wentz has still been subject to a fair amount of pressure, partly thanks to key lineman injuries. It doesn’t help Wentz that he has two bum ankles right now. In fact, you could argue that Wentz has outperformed what his injured body should have allowed him this year. If the line can hold taught here against a Baltimore defense that netted five sacks last week versus Denver, then Wentz should be fine. Still, he will be the QB4 on this stacked slate.

Apparently, the NFL does not want us to use Lamar Jackson in DFS main slate lineups. This is Baltimore’s third primetime game in five weeks. Indy’s pass defense is atrocious. No team has allowed more passing TDs than the Colts. Jackson may get rookie Rashod Bateman active for this game, which should help his passing numbers. Still, you are playing Jackson for his rushing acumen. Only eight players have more rushing yards than Jackson through four weeks. All of them are running backs. Jackson’s rushing numbers have been stunted slightly the last two weeks due to a back injury, but he can break one from anywhere on the field. I have Jackson slightly behind both Sunday night QBs, but he could be a sneaky pivot at less ownership.

Jonathan Taylor finally eclipsed 100 rushing yards and scored last week, despite continuing to split touches with Nyheim Hines and once again Marlon Mack. Mack is the surprising of the two as it was reported that the team would be keeping him inactive in preparation for a trade. Mack’s performance didn’t help his trade value any, and if Taylor appears to be fully healed from his knee issue, I wonder if he will even be active this week. Hines will be active, and his pass-catching skills make him a great FLEX play this week as Baltimore has allowed big yardage to pass-catching backs. Taylor gets the RB1 grade here as Baltimore has been mediocre, at best, against the run and has allowed the second-most running back rushing scores.

I feel bad for anyone that blew their FABB budget on Ty’Son Williams. The Ravens went full Shanahan on the situation listing him as a healthy scratch last week. In Baltimore’s defense, Latavius Murray has been serviceable since signing, scoring in three of four games. Le’Veon Bell didn’t do much in his first action of the season, neither did Devonta Freeman. You can leave them both on your bench. Murray is the RB4 on this slate if Williams is out again, and you can use him at RB2 or FLEX. If Ty’Son plays, it just muddies this situation even more. That would probably take all of them out of play.

I was overexposed to Michael Pittman last week. What I failed to consider was that Miami’s pass defense has some solid individual pieces. Pittman still led all Colts receivers in every category, so it wasn’t like he was awful. Over the last three weeks, only five WRs have more targets than Pittman. Baltimore has stymied every WR1 they have faced this year, so I won’t use him as anything more than a WR3. I almost feel more comfortable using Zach Pascal here, if I need an Indy WR in my lineup. Parris Campbell hasn’t been used enough to reach for here. I like saying Ashton Dulin, I do not like playing Ashton Dulin.

Marquise Brown failed to catch three coulda been TDs in Week 3. He made up for it by catching an absurd, highlight-reel TD in Week 4. In a solid matchup here, I like Brown to score again. I’m just not pumped for his reception volume. Rashod Bateman may get his first start of the season this week. He is coming off of a groin injury, so you need to be concerned about reinjury in his first game back. Nevertheless, Bateman is going to be a target hog and a receiving stud once he gets up to speed. I’ll definitely use him in a couple of lineups at WR3 if he plays. Sammy Watkins has seven or more targets in every game so far. Unfortunately, the calendar has turned to October and Watkins has turned back into a pumpkin. If Bateman is a no-go, Watkins is no better than a FLEX play. If Bateman plays, you can cut Watkins off your season-long rosters. James Proche had a solid Week 4, but prior to that he had four targets for his career. I’m not chasing him here.  I always like Devin Duvernay in Showdown slates, but I’m not reaching for him, especially since Miles Boykin may also return this week and there won’t be enough volume to go around.

I suggested Jack Doyle last week. I had the right team, just the wrong TE. Doyle has had two targets over the last two weeks while Mo Alie-Cox has had seven. Doyle has been dealing with some back discomfort so that may be partially to blame. It shouldn’t matter on this slate, as both would be TE4 at best. Baltimore has allowed the most receptions and the second-most receiving yards and TDs to the position. That said, those numbers are slightly inflated by facing Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, and Noah Fant the first four weeks.

Mark Andrews will eventually start losing targets and TD opportunities once Rashod Bateman is fully incorporated into this offense. For now, he has been averaging 5-78 over the last three weeks, putting himself in a position to be the TE2 here.

With Wentz’s foot ailments in play, I have to assign Baltimore the top defense slot here. It isn’t a great play, but none of them are on this slate.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $5.2k for Jacoby Brissett. $9k for Derrick Henry. $8.4k for Dalvin Cook. $5.2k for Antonio Brown. $4.8k for Jaylen Waddle. $4.8k for Laviska Shenault. $4.2k for Mike Gesicki. $5.5k for Damien Harris at FLEX. $2.9k for the Las Vegas Raiders defense.

At FD: $6.3k for Brissett. $10.4k for Henry. $9k for Cook. $5.1k for Allen Lazard. $5.8k for Shenault. $5.4k for Waddle. $6.2k for Dalton Schultz. $6.5k for Harris at FLEX. $5k for the New England Patriot defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Kirk CousinsJosh Allen at SF, Samaje Perine, Damien Williams, Ezekiel Elliott at FLEX, Cole Beasley, Adam ThielenDalton Schultz, and Travis Kelce.

DraftKings FanDuel
Kyler Murray $8,000 $8,500
Tom Brady $7,400 $8,400
Aaron Rodgers $7,100 $8,000
Jalen Hurts $7,000 $8,100
Dak Prescott $6,900 $8,100
Justin Herbert $6,800 $7,700
Sam Darnold $6,600 $7,600
Kirk Cousins $6,500 $7,500
Ryan Tannehill $6,400 $7,200
Derek Carr $6,100 $7,100
Joe Burrow $6,100 $7,000
Daniel Jones $6,000 $7,400
Taylor Heinicke $5,900 $7,300
Trevor Lawrence $5,800 $6,500
Trey Lance $5,700 $6,900
Jameis Winston $5,600 $7,000
Baker Mayfield $5,500 $6,800
Jimmy Garoppolo $5,500 $6,900
Teddy Bridgewater $5,400 $6,600
Ben Roethlisberger $5,300 $6,600
Jared Goff $5,300 $7,100
Mac Jones $5,300 $6,700
Jacoby Brissett $5,200 $6,300
Justin Fields $5,200 $6,400
Taysom Hill $5,100 $6,100
Drew Lock $4,900 $6,600
Davis Mills $4,800 $6,300

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Aaron Rodgers and Kyler Murray are the top two highest-priced options. Unfortunately, I will be hard-pressed to roster them at those salaries. Kirk Cousins is slightly cheaper and makes a decent pivot. I like but don’t love Joe Burrow and Daniel Jones. Their prices are better on DK than FD. My favorite play in this price range is Trevor Lawrence. To save money, take a flier on Mac Jones or Jacoby Brissett.

Fantasy Four-pack

Kyler Murray, Cardinals vs. SF
($8,000 DK, $8,500 FD)
San Francisco’s defense has been acting as a whipping boy for everyone they have faced. Now they face their toughest matchup in Murray. If Jared Goff and Jalen Hurts can scorch the Niners, then Murray should be safe for 300-3 and another score on the ground.

Aaron Rodgers, Packers @ CIN
($7,100 DK, $8,000 FD)

Cincinnati allowed 351-2 to Kirk Cousins in Week 1. Since then, they have faced a weak trio of QBs and held them mostly in check. Rodgers is better than all four of the other QBs that the Bengals have faced. Plus, Rodgers rediscovered his favorite weapon from the past in Randall Cobb. If you choose to use Rodgers, you can stack him with Cobb, Davante Adams, or Allen Lazard (my personal choice this week). I would even consider a stack with two of them. The one player I won’t be sticking with Rodgers is Robert Tonyan.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys vs. NYG
($6,900 DK, $8,100 FD

Prescott’s yardage numbers have looked lame since Week 1. Still, he has thrown for three or more TDs in three of the four games. Middling QBs, such as Teddy Bridgewater and Taylor Heinicke, have each thrown for two scores against New York, so another three-score finish seems right. Unfortunately, once again, I expect his yardage numbers to be lower as the team should run at will against New York as well.

Kirk Cousins, Vikings vs. DET
($6,500 DK, $7,500 FD)
The Vikings will run the ball a lot in this game, but don’t underestimate what Cousins will achieve through the air. Cousins’ former coach Kevin Stefanski is the only person to slow down the Vikings’ passing game. Detroit doesn’t have that kind of insider information. What the Lions do have is an undermanned secondary and a defense that allowed a total of 625-6 (plus a rushing TD) to Cousins last season. A similar 300-3 will happen here as well, especially if Dalvin Cook is still limited.

DFS Sleepers

Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars vs. TEN
($5,800 DK, $6,500 FD)
Lawrence can take it upon himself this week to put Urban Meyer out of the news stream with a strong performance against a bad Tennessee defense. All you truly need to know about Tennessee is that they just allowed Zach Wilson to nearly top 300 yards passing. Lawrence will have his best game as a pro, and I would not be surprised if Jacksonville pulls off the upset. I particularly like stacking Lawrence with Laviska Shenault this week.

Jacoby Brissett, Dolphins @ TB
($5,200 DK, $6,300 FD)
Speaking of mediocre QBs that play in Florida (no I am not referring to Tom Brady), Brissett has looked like a quarterback who deserves to hold a clipboard instead of a football, a role that Brissett got comfortable with behind Brady in New England. Tampa Bay has allowed a league-worst 11 passing TDs and a league second-worst 1,321 passing yards. This included allowing both Matt Ryan and Mac Jones to post startable lines – and now their secondary is even weaker this week.

DraftKings FanDuel
Derrick Henry $9,000 $10,400
Christian McCaffrey $8,700 $10,000
Alvin Kamara $8,600 $8,600
Dalvin Cook $8,400 $9,000
Aaron Jones $7,900 $8,400
Austin Ekeler $7,600 $7,700
Saquan Barkley $7,300 $7,800
Ezekiel Elliott $7,000 $8,000
Najee Harris $6,900 $7,300
Nick Chubb $6,700 $7,500
Antonio Gibson $6,400 $6,600
Joe Mixon $6,200 $7,100
D’Andre Swift $6,100 $6,900
Chuba Hubbard $6,000 $6,700
James Robinson $6,000 $7,400
Chase Edmonds $5,900 $6,200
Josh Jacobs $5,900 $7,200
Kareem Hunt $5,800 $7,000
Miles Sanders $5,700 $5,900
Damien Williams $5,600 $5,800
James Conner $5,600 $6,300
Tony Pollard $5,600 $5,600
Alexander Mattison $5,500 $6,500
Damien Harris $5,500 $6,500
Melvin Gordon $5,300 $5,900
Eli Mitchell $5,200 $5,500
Jamaal Williams $5,200 $6,000
Leonard Fournette $5,200 $6,400
Myles Gaskin $5,100 $5,300
J.D. McKissic $5,000 $5,300
Jeremy McNichols $5,000 $5,100
Trey Sermon $5,000 $5,800
Javonte Williams $4,900 $5,800
Kenneth Gainwell $4,900 $5,700
Kenyan Drake $4,900 $5,700
Ronald Jones $4,700 $5,500
Giovani Bernard $4,600 $4,600
AJ Dillon $4,500 $5,500
David Johnson $4,500 $5,000
J.J. Taylor $4,400 $5,300
Mark Ingram $4,300 $5,400
Carlos Hyde $4,200 $5,200
Kyle Juszczyk $4,200 $4,500
Brandon Bolden $4,000 $4,900
Chris Evans $4,000 $4,800
Phillip Lindsay $4,000 $4,800
Samaje Perine $4,000 $5,600
Khalil Herbert $4,000 $5,200

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Derrick Henry is once again the top play. A healthier Dalvin Cook and an actually used Alvin Kamara are solid pivots. I also like both Saquan Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott in their meeting at the JerryDome. Nick Chubb draws a decent matchup against a Los Angeles defense that struggled against the run until this past Monday night. They appeared to be faster to the outsides in that game, so I feel safer using Chubb than Kareem Hunt. James Robinson’s DK price is very nice in what could be a sneaky shootout. I will have heavy exposure to Henry paired with one of Damien Williams, Damien Harris, and Leonard Fournette (if Gio Bernard doesn’t play).  The punt plays that I like this week are Brandon Bolden and Samaje Perine (if Joe Mixon doesn’t play).

Fantasy Four-pack

Derrick Henry, Titans @ JAX
($9,000 DK, $10,400 FD)
Until Christian McCaffrey returns to full health, Henry will remain the certified top dog. It really helps that the schedule makers continue to put creampuffs in front of him. If Tennessee continues to be short-handed in their passing game, expect the force-feeding of Henry to continue. Through four games, he has 30 more carries than the next closest running back.

Dalvin Cook, Vikings vs. DET
($8,400 DK, $9,000 FD
Cook appeared mostly healthy last week. He did leave the game briefly but returned to finish it out. Detroit has allowed a league-worst nine total TDs to the RB position. Cook will be good for at least one here as long as he doesn’t aggravate his ankle injury. Perhaps you should consider a hedge lineup where you use Alexander Mattison instead of Cook?

Alvin Kamara, Saints @ WAS
($8,600 DK, $8,600 FD)

Kamara recorded the single-most carries of his career last week. Giving him the carries is a great idea. You know what else is a great idea, throwing him the damn ball. There are zero excuses for Kamara not getting targeted once when your top WRs are Marquez Callaway and Deonte Harris. Washington has allowed a league-worst five RB receiving TDs this year. If Kamara isn’t targeted double-digit times this week, Sean Payton should hang ’em up.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys vs. NYG
($7,000 DK, $8,000 FD)
After splitting touches near evenly with Tony Pollard through the first two games, Elliott has now averaged nearly a 2:1 touch ratio in Weeks 3 and 4. The Giants have only given up two RB rushing scores this year, but they are allowing 171 combo yards per game to the position. At a 2:1 ratio, Zeke should easily approach 120 total yards, and I like him to score again.

DFS Sleepers

Damien Harris, Patriots @ HOU
($5,500 DK, $6,500 FD)
James White is injured. Rhamondre Stevenson has been in the doghouse since Week 1. J.J. Taylor just joined him in the doghouse last week. Brandon Bolden is a pass-catching specialist only. This means a huge day for Harris against a defense that is allowing over 150 combo yards per game to the position. I like Bolden to fare well through the air as well, but Harris is a lock for 100-1.

Leonard Fournette, Buccaneers vs. MIA
($5,200 DK, $6,400 FD)
If Giovani Bernard misses a second straight game, Fournette will be locked in as the pass-catching and goal line back for Tampa Bay. In that spot last week, Fournette held a nearly 5:1 advantage on opportunities compared to Ronald Jones. Bernard was limited in practice on Wednesday and Thursday. Even if he is healthy enough to suit up on Sunday, he may not have a huge role coming off a knee injury. Opposing RBs are averaging 167 combo yards per game against this defense, and they have given up six total TDs to the position. Fournette will make it seven.

DraftKings FanDuel
Davante Adams $8,200 $8,200
Justin Jefferson $7,700 $8,000
DeAndre Hopkins $7,600 $7,500
DJ Moore $7,500 $7,900
Terry McLaurin $7,400 $7,400
Mike Williams $7,200 $7,700
Deebo Samuel $7,100 $7,700
Mike Evans $6,800 $7,000
Julio Jones $6,700 $6,800
Adam Thielen $6,600 $7,500
Diontae Johnson $6,500 $7,000
Keenan Allen $6,500 $7,200
Chris Godwin $6,300 $7,600
CeeDee Lamb $6,200 $6,900
Amari Cooper $6,100 $7,100
Brandin Cooks $6,100 $6,300
Chase Claypool $6,000 $6,000
Odell Beckham $6,000 $6,400
DeVonta Smith $5,900 $6,000
Kenny Golladay $5,900 $6,200
Ja’Marr Chase $5,800 $7,300
Marvin Jones $5,700 $6,600
Henry Ruggs $5,600 $5,900
Jakobi Meyers $5,600 $5,900
Allen Robinson $5,500 $6,100
Courtland Sutton $5,500 $6,100
DeVante Parker $5,400 $5,700
Sterling Shepard $5,300 $6,400
Tyler Boyd $5,300 $6,300
Antonio Brown $5,200 $6,500
A.J. Green $5,100 $5,700
JuJu Smith-Schuster $5,000 $5,900
Robby Anderson $5,000 $5,600
Tee Higgins $5,000 $6,700
Christian Kirk $4,900 $6,100
Hunter Renfrow $4,900 $5,800
Jaylen Waddle $4,800 $5,400
Kalif Raymond $4,800 $5,300
Laviska Shenault $4,800 $5,800
Darnell Mooney $4,700 $5,600
Marquez Callaway $4,700 $5,400
Tim Patrick $4,700 $6,000
Rondale Moore $4,600 $5,200
Brandon Aiyuk $4,500 $5,300
Nelson Agholor $4,400 $5,500
Quintez Cephus $4,300 $5,100
Jalen Reagor $4,200 $5,300
Cedrick Wilson $4,100 $5,200
Darius Slayton $4,100 $5,300
Deonte Harris $4,100 $4,900
Kadarius Toney $4,000 $5,300
Kendrick Bourne $4,000 $5,200
Randall Cobb $4,000 $5,500
Chester Rogers $3,900 $5,100
Tre’Quan Smith $3,900 $5,000
Bryan Edwards $3,800 $5,400
K.J. Osborn $3,800 $5,200
Allen Lazard $3,700 $5,100
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine $3,700 $5,300
Terrace Marshall $3,600 $4,900
Josh Reynolds $3,300 $5,000
Danny Amendola $3,200 $4,700
Dyami Brown $3,200 $4,700
Cameron Batson $3,000 $5,000
Collin Johnson $3,000 $4,900
Curtis Samuel $3,000 $5,200
Donovan Peoples-Jones $3,000 $4,900

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – This week I am spending down at WR. Not because I dislike the high-priced options, but because I love the lower-priced options. When that perfect situation arises, you need to embrace it and spend big elsewhere. Certainly, I love the opportunity to use Davante Adams or Justin Jefferson up top. Deebo Samuel and Adam Thielen are also great expensive options here. That said, my team will likely be made up of three of the following: Ja’Marr Chase, Jakobi Meyers, DeVante Parker, Tyler Boyd, Antonio Brown, Hunter Renfrow, Jaylen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, and Laviska Shenault. You could also go cheaper yet and use one of the Titans’ backups, one of the Giants’ backups, or Allen Lazard, or Randall Cobb.

Fantasy Four-pack

Davante Adams, Packers @ CIN
($8,200 DK, $8,200 FD)
Adams had a down game by his standards last week as Aaron Rodgers rediscovered Randall Cobb. I fully expect Rodgers to right that wrong this time around. Cincinnati has struggled all season with big-bodied WRs that line up all over the field. That is what Adams brings to the game. I also like Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb in this game. If you choose to do a Rodgers stack, consider using two of the WRs.

Justin Jefferson, Vikings vs. DET
($7,700 DK, $8,000 FD)
Jefferson has now scored a TD in three straight games. It is easy to envision four in a row when your opponent is the Detroit Lions. The Detroit secondary can not cover Jefferson nor Adam Thielen, let alone both of them. At a price cheaper than the other top QB options, I love the idea of stacking Kirk Cousins with one of his top-two WRs.

Deebo Samuel, 49ers @ ARI
($7,100 DK, $7,700 FD)
Larger outside WRs have scored in every game this season against Arizona. Meanwhile, Samuel has posted the second-most total yards of anyone in the NFL this year. The only thing that could hold back Deebo is if a full week of practice leads Trey Lance to prefer throwing the ball to George Kittle or Brandon Aiyuk. Either way, if Lance starts, this makes a nice stack.

DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals vs. SF
($7,600 DK, $7,500 FD)
Hopkins’ numbers appeared down again last week, but he still led the Cardinals in targets and yards despite being less than 100 percent and dealing with Darious Williams. This is now the third week since Hopkins was dinged up, so we can hope he is a full go for this week. That should be frightening to a San Fran defense that is worse than last year when they allowed Hopkins to post a total of 22-199 against them.

DFS Sleepers

Laviska Shenault, Jaguars vs. TEN
($4,800 DK, $5,800 FD)
The Jaguars stack is going to be one of my favorites this week. Shenault was the main benefactor of D.J. Chark’s injury last week. Meanwhile, Tennessee has allowed multiple fantasy-relevant WR performances in three of the first four weeks. This suggests you could even stretch and do a triple stack with Marvin Jones as well.

DeVante Parker, Dolphins @ TB
($5,400 DK, $5,700 FD)
I also will have a lot of exposure to the Dolphins’ stack involving Jacoby Brissett and either Parker or Jaylen Waddle. I do not have as much confidence in this as I do in the Jaguars, so I don’t imagine I’d use both WRs. That said, I could use one of the WRs and Mike Gesicki. Tampa has allowed the most receptions, second-most yards, and third-most receiving TDs to opposing WRs. Meanwhile, Parker was the top producer last week for Miami after Will Fuller left with an injury.

DraftKings FanDuel
Darren Waller $7,300 $7,400
George Kittle $5,600 $6,500
T.J. Hockenson $5,500 $6,400
Dallas Goedert $5,100 $6,100
Noah Fant $4,900 $5,900
Dalton Schultz $4,400 $6,200
Robert Tonyan $4,300 $5,300
Mike Gesicki $4,200 $5,600
Hunter Henry $3,700 $5,400
Jared Cook $3,600 $5,200
Tyler Conklin $3,500 $5,100
Maxx Williams $3,400 $5,200
Zach Ertz $3,400 $5,000
Cameron Brate $3,300 $5,000
Jonnu Smith $3,300 $4,900
Austin Hooper $3,200 $4,900
Evan Engram $3,200 $5,300
Anthony Firkser $3,100 $4,700
C.J. Uzomah $3,000 $5,500
Dan Arnold $2,900 $4,800
David Njoku $2,900 $4,700
Eric Ebron $2,900 $4,600
Pat Freiermuth $2,800 $4,500
Cole Kmet $2,700 $4,800
Adam Trautman $2,600 $4,300
Jordan Akins $2,500 $4,200
Ricky Seals-Jones $2,500 $4,900
Tommy Tremble $2,500 $4,400

Tight End

Weekly strategy – I am shocked by how inexpensive George Kittle is this week. I expect to make a few lineups with him in it, but I also like T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant. That said, my most owned TEs this week will be Dalton Schultz and Mike Gesicki. Other options this week include both Patriots, Cameron Brate (if Rob Gronkowski doesn’t play), and Tyler Conklin. There are not many punt plays I like here. I might use C.J. Uzomah or Dan Arnold.

Fantasy Four-pack

George Kittle, 49ers @ ARI
($5,600 DK, $6,500 FD)
Kittle’s price tag is way too low here. I would be more excited if he wasn’t nursing a calf injury, but he played through it last week. Ross Dwelley vultured a TD, and Jamal Adams broke up another potential TD, making Kittle’s Week 4 line look worse than it was. Still, he has averaged 10 targets per game over the last two weeks. Arizona has been stingy against the position this season, but they also have not faced a true threat yet.

Darren Waller, Raiders vs. CHI
($7,300 DK, $7,400 FD)
Chicago has been pretty good at stifling opposing TEs through the first four weeks. They actually have faced some solid options, too. Still, Waller is better than any of the guys they have slowed down. Waller leads all TEs in targets and receptions, and he ranks second in receiving yards. This feels like it may be a floor game for Waller, but that would still be 6-60-1.

Dalton Schultz, Cowboys vs. NYG
($4,400 DK, $6,200 FD)
Schultz has been valuable in three of four weeks, not to mention he has been a verifiable stud the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Giants have allowed the most TE touchdowns. With Amari Cooper clearly not 100 percent and acting the decoy role, Schultz has joined CeeDee Lamb as the possession option for Dallas. I expect Schultz to post 6-60-1 this week, which will be on par with the top options at a lower price point.

T.J. Hockenson, Lions @ MIN ($5,500 DK, $6,400 FD)
Hockenson’s final stat lines have been uninspiring the last two weeks. Fortunately, last week was the third time this year that he finished with eight or more targets. Minnesota has ignored the TE position for what seems like five straight years, including allowing Hockenson to score in one of their two meetings last year. Hockenson did pop up on the injured list on Wednesday with a knee issue and was limited Thursday. He didn’t show any signs of this affecting him in Week 4, so hopefully this isn’t a new injury sustained in practice. Assuming he takes the field, I expect him to lead Detroit in every relevant receiving category this week.

DFS Sleepers

Cameron Brate, Buccaneers vs. MIA
($3,300 DK, $5,000 FD)
Brate’s stat line last week didn’t look great. That said, I watched the game and the eye test suggested that Tom Brady targeted him more than the six times that were credited to him. The rain caused several of Tom’s passes to go errant, and I would not be surprised if some of the passes listed as targets for someone else were actually originally aimed at Brate. The nice thing about Brate is at that DK salary all he needs is to catch a single TD to reach 3x value. Miami allowed Mo Alie-Cox to haul in two of his three catches for TDs last week, so a Brate TD is certainly possible.

C.J. Uzomah, Bengals vs. GB
($3,000 DK, $5,500 FD)
This may seem like stat-chasing, and it is. You would chase stats, too, in this matchup. Green Bay has been dominated by stud TEs this year and even allowed Juwan Johnson to score twice in Week 1. They fared better in Week 4 versus Pittsburgh, but you can blame that on the return of Diontae Johnson and Ben Roethlisberger’s noodle arm. C.J. Uzomah did little the first three weeks, but he absolutely blew up last week. Lest we forget he missed most of last season with an injury after being fantasy-relevant for most of 2018 and 2019. The potential return of Tee Higgins this week could hurt Uzomah’s target share, but if Higgins is not out there, expect another big game from the tight end.

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 4

Breaking down the top players and sleepers for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 3 DFS fantasy football

Smaller slates provide just as much opportunity to score big as the full-day slates do. After stumbling slightly during the Main Slate last week, I balled out in the Primetime slate. This is why I include the Primetime breakdown every week in addition to the regular tournament plays. Hopefully, you also took advantage and fattened your wallet on Sunday and Monday night. So, without further ado, let’s dive right into those late games.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

Tom Brady returns to Foxborough with a chance of proving once and for all that he made Bill Belichick and not vice versa. The Patriots will certainly do everything in their power to slow down the Buccaneers offense. Unfortunately, this won’t be like Week 2 when they faced Zach Wilson, nor will it be like last week when they had to deal with Jameis Winston. Brady is the GOAT, and he will be looking to abuse this defense. He is the obvious QB1 on the slate, and I would not be surprised if he is allowed to pad his stats HEAVILY this week.

As for the Patriots, Mac Jones has some huge shoes to fill being the heir apparent to Brady. His numbers have not looked worthy of Brady’s shadow, but he has faced two solid pass defenses among his first three games. Add to that, an extreme lack of talent at the WR position, and any production at this point has to feel like a victory. Presuming that Justin Herbert will be okay to play on Monday, Jones is the QB4 here. That said, New England will be playing from behind, and it is impossible to run the ball against Tampa Bay, so Jones could get some garbage-time value. I’ll have at least one lineup with him.

Ronald Jones has less than half of the number of touches as Leonard Fournette through the first three weeks. That said, neither has proven reliable on a week-to-week basis. Giovani Bernard was the Tampa back to start last week as he hauled in nine passes while running the James White role in Brady’s offense. I actually believe that this was a slight outlier as well, since many of those short passes to Gio may have gone to Antonio Brown if he had played. I could see using Fournette at FLEX at best this week with Bernard (knee) injured, but I’m not rushing to put any of these guys in my lineup.

Speaking of James White, he is out for the year. This is a huge blow to the New England offense. Brandon Bolden assumed the White role last week after his injury. I expect that to continue. He should be given some FLEX consideration. Damien Harris struggled against a great run defense last week. This one is even better. By volume alone, he is still the RB4 on this slate. I’m just not very high on his output potential here. It also won’t help that he is basically unused in the passing game. Rhamondre Stevenson and J.J. Taylor should share a change-of-pace role, making both of them useless.

I was wrong about which WR would lead Tampa Bay last week. I thought that Mike Evans would be shadowed and swallowed up by Jalen Ramsey. He wasn’t. This WR room is going to become as difficult to predict as Pittsburgh’s. The difference being that Tom Brady can support all three of them while Ben Roethlisberger cannot any longer. An interesting trend through three weeks has New England allowing high catch volume to fast, smaller WRs. That suggests that both Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin have more value this week than Evans. I’d consider either of them as WR2. Evans will stay on my bench this week.

I joked earlier about the lack of talent that New England has at the WR position. They actually have three solid WRs, but none of them stand out as a legit alpha. Jakobi Meyers is probably the closest to that role as he leads the team in targets. Unfortunately, he is averaging less than 60 yards a game despite facing three so-so defenses. I actually kind of like him at WR3 against another bad pass defense here, in what will be a garbage-time special. Kendrick Bourne had a big game last week against New Orleans, but much of it came after James White exited with an injury. So, Bourne may actually have some value if he continues to haul in a bunch of those short passes that White would normally be targeted for. I can see using him at FLEX this week. Nelson Agholor had eight targets last week, but much like his time in Philly and Las Vegas, he struggled to bring them in. Agholor has some TD-dependent value here against a bad defense and could be used at FLEX. I just wish he had better hands.

Rob Gronkowski injured his ribs last week. If he plays, he is the TE2 here. I know it comes down to pain tolerance, so this will be a great test for Gronk. If Gronkowski doesn’t go, Cameron Brate becomes the TE4. It should be noted that New England has allowed nothing to the position so far this year. They also have faced absolutely nothing at the position this year. So, take that nugget with a grain of salt. O.J. Howard had a better pedigree than Brate, but he has done nothing (even in Gronk’s absence) to suggest he deserves a spot in your lineup.

Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry have the same number of receptions this season, but Smith has more targets and Henry has more yards. This suggests that Henry is the safer play of the two. He also played considerably better than Jonnu last week. Tampa Bay has allowed one big performance by an opposing TE each week. So, I see no problem using Henry as my TE3/TE4 here. He also makes a discount run-it-back play if you load your roster with Buccaneers. There is enough talent on this slate to dodge Smith outside of Showdown rosters.

If Justin Herbert (hand) starts as expected, then just use Tampa’s defense. Otherwise, pivot to Vegas’ defense against whichever backup the Chargers trot out there.

Monday night, Derek Carr gets a tough test facing a very good Los Angeles’ secondary. Of course, Carr has already made a mockery of three other very good pass defenses. I like him at QB3 this week. The only issue I have is choosing which WR to pair with him and Darren Waller in my stacks.

Justin Herbert has an easier matchup on paper, but Oakland hasn’t been awful against the pass and Herbert may be limited slightly due to a hand injury. All signs point to him playing, and unless we hear otherwise, he will be my QB2 on this slate. The stack here is easier as possession WRs have done the most damage against the Raiders. This points towards an Herbert-Keenan Allen stack.

Josh Jacobs has missed the last two weeks with an ankle injury. It appears that he might return in Week 4. If he does, he is a lock at RB2 on a weak RB slate. If Jacobs is out, we will see more of the dual backfield of Peyton Barber and Kenyan Drake. Los Angeles has been abysmal at stopping opposing RBs, so Barber would be an easy RB2 and Drake is one of the better FLEX options. If Jacobs plays, leave them both for nothing better than FLEX consideration.

Austin Ekeler is the RB1 of the primetime slate. He should be 100% owned. Larry Rountree and Justin Jackson are both handcuffs at this point. Neither has any standalone value here.

Las Vegas (much like New England) has several WRs that I could conceive of using at WR3. They also have ZERO WRs that I could conceive of using above that spot. No. 1 WRs have not done much against Los Angeles. That said, can you truthfully identify the No. 1 WR on Vegas? Henry Ruggs has the pedigree to be in that role, but he has been splitting the stats with fellow 2020 draft choice Bryan Edwards. I like both at WR3 this week, but I don’t love either of them. If I had to choose a Vegas WR it would probably be Hunter Renfrow. He leads the team in targets and receptions through the first three weeks, and he will definitely not get the defensive attention that Ruggs and Edwards will see. He will be my most-used WR3 option this week ahead of his two teammates and the Patriots’ crew.

Keenan Allen is my WR1 this week. I will roster him and one of the Buccaneers as my top two options. Vegas has struggled all year with possession receivers, making him the safest choice overall. Mike Williams has been an absolute beast this season. I wish that I had more shares of the breakout WR in dynasty, but I had written him off. Fortunately, DFS lineups can give me the opportunity to get exposure to him, even though I don’t have him under any long-term contracts. The Raiders have fared better against larger outside WRs than possession options, but they are by no means elite against them. It is hard to triple-stack two WRs with your QB, but I will do at least one lineup with both of them. I should warn you that Williams will likely have the higher ownership number based on recency bias. Jalen Guyton and Josh Palmer just don’t see enough targets to consider outside of Showdown slates.

Play Darren Waller. He is good. I love the idea of using him in double-TE lineups with Rob Gronkowski or Hunter Henry.

Jared Cook had a very good Week 1. Since then, he has barely posted that same total over the next two weeks combined. The matchup isn’t great and Los Angeles has basically abandoned throwing the ball to anyone not named Allen, Williams, or Ekeler, so start him with caution. Donald Parham is fun to play in Showdown contests due to his TD dependency, but he should not be used in regular tourneys.

If Herbert ends up missing this game due to his hand injury (not likely), then I’d consider using the Las Vegas defense. Otherwise, you can fade the defenses in this game.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $7k for Matthew Stafford. $5.8k for David Montgomery. $6.1k for Antonio Gibson. $7.8k for Cooper Kupp. $5.4k for Michael Pittman. $4.9k for Jaylen Waddle. $3.6k for Dawson Knox. $6.3k for Jonathan Taylor at FLEX. $2.7k for the Indianapolis Colts defense.

At FD: $8.5k for Josh Allen. $9k for Alvin Kamara. $6.6k for Taylor. $8.6k for Kupp. $5.9k for Cole Beasley. $5.8k for Pittman. $4.5k for Maxx Williams. $7.1k for Gibson at FLEX. $4k for the Washington Football Team defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Tom Brady, Stafford at SF, Gibson, Taylor, Montgomery at FLEX, Kupp, Waddle, Rob Gronkowski, and Knox.

DraftKings FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes $8,100 $8,700
Josh Allen $8,000 $8,500
Kyler Murray $7,800 $8,200
Lamar Jackson $7,500 $8,000
Russell Wilson $7,100 $7,700
Matthew Stafford $7,000 $7,800
Jalen Hurts $6,900 $7,900
Aaron Rodgers $6,800 $7,600
Dak Prescott $6,700 $7,700
Kirk Cousins $6,400 $7,500
Ryan Tannehill $6,300 $7,500
Baker Mayfield $6,200 $7,300
Sam Darnold $6,000 $7,200
Taylor Heinicke $5,900 $7,400
Daniel Jones $5,800 $7,000
Teddy Bridgewater $5,700 $6,800
Jameis Winston $5,600 $6,900
Jimmy Garoppolo $5,600 $7,000
Ben Roethlisberger $5,500 $6,800
Carson Wentz $5,400 $6,600
Matt Ryan $5,400 $6,700
Andy Dalton $5,300 $6,200
Jared Goff $5,200 $7,100
Justin Fields $5,200 $6,400
Jacoby Brissett $5,100 $6,500
Nick Foles $5,100 $6,000
Zach Wilson $5,000 $6,400
Davis Mills $4,900 $6,400
Taysom Hill $4,900 $6,200

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Both of our “running QBs” have a tricky matchup this week. Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson both deserve some attention due to their production on the ground, just know that their overall numbers may be down this week. Jackson may also be limited by his back injury. Instead of these two, I will be more exposed to Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford. I can find clear issues with all of the midtier options. Kirk Cousins or Sam Darnold may be the best of the question marks in that range. If I choose to punt the position, I could use Jimmy Garoppolo, Carson Wentz, Taylor Heinicke, or even Jacoby Brissett. None of those options sounds appealing, but each has a chance to reach 3x value.

Fantasy Four-pack

Josh Allen, Bills vs. HOU
($8,000 DK, $8,500 FD)
Houston has failed to slow down much worse QBs than Allen through the first three weeks. Plus, Allen is coming off his best start of the year against a much tougher opponent. I love Allen stacked with each of his weapons (Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley, and Dawson Knox), but I wouldn’t stack more than two of them with him.

Matthew Stafford, Rams vs. ARI
($7,000 DK, $7,800 FD)

Stafford survived and thrived in what could have been a tricky matchup with Tampa Bay last week. His connection with Cooper Kupp is otherworldly, and it has elevated Kupp into elite WR status. Arizona held Trevor Lawrence in check last week, but Stafford is a whole different beast. Jared Goff dissected this defense for 351 yards and two total TDs last year, and it is safe to say that Stafford is a better QB than Goff. The Rams defense is very good, but Kyler Murray should keep this game close, which should equate to Los Angeles being forced to throw the ball a lot.

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs @ PHI
($8,100 DK, $8,700 FD

The Chiefs have been out of sorts of late stumbling to a 1-2 record out of the block. Mahomes is getting time in the pocket, but the opposition has been doing just enough to lock down victories. This week, Mahomes faces another solid pass defense in Philly. Still, this is Mahomes, and he should find his way to 300-3. Just do not expect him to go crazy here, unless he decides to take the team on his shoulders (as only he can) and wills them to the win.

Kyler Murray, Cardinals@ LAR
($7,800 DK, $8,200 FD)
This matchup looks tenuous on paper, but if it turns into a shootout Murray has the weapons to keep it close. In a similar spot last week, the Rams held Tom Brady to two total touchdowns, but he managed to throw for 432 yards. I could see a similar game script here. I still see Murray as more of a pivot than a sure thing. One thing we know for certain is that Murray is more valuable than Brady with his legs.

DFS Sleepers

Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers vs. SEA
($5,600 DK, $7,000 FD)
This is more about my trust in Garoppolo’s weapons than my trust in him. It is also about my complete lack of trust in Seattle’s beleaguered secondary. The first three QBs to face the Seahawks have netted 307 passing yards per game. Much like the Rams-Cardinals game, this could devolve into a shootout, although for slightly different reasons as neither team has much to write home about on defense. I like Jimmy G. to throw for 275-2 and a pair of scores here with a possible goal line plunge added on.

Carson Wentz, Colts @ MIA
($5,400 DK, $6,600 FD)
Miami’s defense has not been as solid against the pass as one might think. Both Josh Allen and Derek Carr posted a pair of passing scores against them, and even Mac Jones in his first career game flirted with 300 passing yards. Wentz has a solid group of weapons to throw to (for the first time in his career) and it smells like a 275-2 type of game here, assuming his ankles don’t give out on him.

DraftKings FanDuel
Derrick Henry $8,800 $10,200
Alvin Kamara $8,400 $9,000
Dalvin Cook $8,100 $9,500
Aaron Jones $7,700 $7,400
Nick Chubb $7,000 $8,000
Najee Harris $6,800 $8,200
Saquan Barkley $6,700 $6,900
Alexander Mattison $6,600 $6,800
Ezekiel Elliott $6,500 $7,000
Miles Sanders $6,400 $6,500
Chris Carson $6,300 $7,300
Jonathan Taylor $6,300 $6,600
D’Andre Swift $6,200 $7,700
Antonio Gibson $6,100 $7,100
Kareem Hunt $6,000 $6,400
Chuba Hubbard $5,900 $6,300
David Montgomery $5,800 $7,500
Tony Pollard $5,700 $5,600
Darrell Henderson $5,600 $6,000
Chase Edmonds $5,500 $6,100
Melvin Gordon $5,500 $6,200
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $5,400 $6,700
Eli Mitchell $5,400 $5,600
Jamaal Williams $5,300 $5,600
Myles Gaskin $5,300 $5,500
Zack Moss $5,300 $6,000
Sony Michel $5,200 $5,800
Ty’Son Williams $5,200 $5,700
James Conner $5,100 $5,500
Mike Davis $5,100 $5,400
J.D. McKissic $5,000 $5,200
Javonte Williams $5,000 $5,900
Trey Sermon $5,000 $5,900
Cordarrelle Patterson $4,900 $6,000
Nyheim Hines $4,900 $5,300
Devin Singletary $4,800 $5,700
Latavius Murray $4,700 $5,300
Mark Ingram $4,700 $5,300
Royce Freeman $4,700 $5,400
Ty Johnson $4,600 $4,700
David Johnson $4,500 $5,000
Michael Carter $4,500 $5,300
Tevin Coleman $4,400 $4,800
Kenneth Gainwell $4,300 $5,500
Malcolm Brown $4,300 $5,100
Phillip Lindsay $4,300 $4,900
Kyle Juszczyk $4,000 $4,500

Running Back

Weekly strategy – This is kind of an ugly week at every position for DFS. Derrick Henry is an easy play, but that FD price is so damn high. The better play is actually Alvin Kamara, and his FD price is much better. I don’t mind Najee Harris here, but I feel like we would be chasing targets. Miles Sanders has a great matchup, but his coach is apparently too busy channeling his inner Adam Gase when it comes to game strategy. If I don’t use the two high-priced guys, I will likely pivot to Jonathan Taylor or Antonio Gibson. I also like David Montgomery (DK only) and Chuba Hubbard (volume-based ROI) here. There isn’t much to choose from as a value play. Sony Michel could return value if Darrell Henderson misses another game. Cordarelle Patterson, J.D. McKissic, and Nyheim Hines could catch enough passes to return value. San Francisco could have a valuable RB starter against a bad Seattle defense, just good luck choosing who it will be. With so many question marks, this feels like a week to just pay up for a pair of the top RBs.

Fantasy Four-pack

Derrick Henry, Titans @ NYJ
($8,800 DK, $10,200 FD)
With A.J. Brown out and Julio Jones questionable, there is a slim chance that the prior-to-Week-2-never-used-in-the-passing game Henry could be one of the leading receiving options for Tennessee on Sunday. Or perhaps, the team will just hand the ball off to him 40 times. Either way, it should amount to a huge game from the monster RB. I am stressing the McCaffreyesque pricing on FD, but $8,800 on DK seems like a steal.

Alvin Kamara, Saints vs. NYG
($8,400 DK, $9,000 FD
Good things happen for New Orleans when they get their only superstar involved in the offense. The Giants’ run defense has been assaulted every week so far, especially through the air. This is Kamara’s sweet spot. I’m expecting a minimum of 150 total yards and a score here.

Najee Harris, Steelers @ GB
($6,800 DK, $8,200 FD)

19 targets? Damn! I’m not going to expect to see that again, but if Diontae Johnson remains out, it just might happen. Ultimately, it comes down to Ben Roethlisberger not being able to throw the deep ball right now while battling his way through injuries and old age. Green Bay has not allowed a ton of rushing yards to the position, but every RB room to face them has posted a serviceable RB2 stat line, thanks to receptions and receiving yards. Harris won’t be splitting any touches out of the backfield, so by sheer volume, he should approach 3x value.

Jonathan Taylor, Colts @ MIA
($6,300 DK, $6,600 FD)
With Marlon Mack getting DNP-management decision designation so that the team can trade him, Taylor has one less vulture to contend with. In each of the first three weeks, Miami has allowed multiple RBs to produce startable lines. So, even if Nyheim Hines continues to cut into Taylor’s workload, they are both startable here. In fact, they both should approach 100 total yards and score here, but Taylor is obviously the safer choice.

DFS Sleepers

Cordarrelle Patterson, Falcons vs. WAS
($4,900 DK, $6,000 FD)
Running the ball against this defensive line should be tough for Atlanta. So, if they are smart, Patterson will get the majority of the RB touches this week (and then predominantly through the air). Patterson has seven targets each of the last two weeks. He should surpass that number this week, especially if Russell Gage is out again.

Myles Gaskin, Dolphins vs. IND
($5,300 DK, $5,500 FD)
I did not like the pair of TD vultures last week for Gaskin. His final line was pretty good, but it could have been so much better. This week Gaskin faces a defense that is allowing 142 combo yards per game against opposing RBs. So, even if he loses a few touches, Gaskin should top 100 total yards. Let’s just hope he isn’t vultured on the score again.

DraftKings FanDuel
Tyreek Hill $8,000 $8,200
Davante Adams $7,900 $8,100
Cooper Kupp $7,800 $8,600
DeAndre Hopkins $7,700 $7,600
Stefon Diggs $7,600 $8,000
Justin Jefferson $7,300 $7,800
DK Metcalf $7,200 $7,700
Tyler Lockett $7,100 $7,900
Calvin Ridley $7,000 $7,200
Terry McLaurin $6,900 $7,100
Adam Thielen $6,800 $7,500
CeeDee Lamb $6,700 $7,400
DJ Moore $6,600 $7,300
Deebo Samuel $6,500 $6,900
Julio Jones $6,500 $6,700
Brandin Cooks $6,400 $6,900
Diontae Johnson $6,200 $7,000
Chase Claypool $6,100 $6,500
Amari Cooper $6,000 $7,600
Allen Robinson $5,800 $6,400
Odell Beckham $5,800 $6,600
Courtland Sutton $5,700 $6,300
DeVonta Smith $5,700 $5,900
JuJu Smith-Schuster $5,600 $6,000
Kenny Golladay $5,500 $5,900
Sterling Shepard $5,500 $6,100
Cole Beasley $5,400 $5,900
Marquise Brown $5,400 $6,400
Michael Pittman $5,400 $5,800
Christian Kirk $5,300 $6,000
Robert Woods $5,300 $6,200
DeVante Parker $5,200 $5,400
Robby Anderson $5,100 $5,700
Sammy Watkins $5,100 $5,500
Brandon Aiyuk $5,000 $5,700
Corey Davis $5,000 $5,700
Emmanuel Sanders $4,900 $5,800
Jaylen Waddle $4,900 $5,400
Tim Patrick $4,900 $6,100
Will Fuller $4,800 $5,300
Jalen Reagor $4,700 $5,500
Jamison Crowder $4,600 $5,500
Rondale Moore $4,600 $5,300
A.J. Green $4,500 $5,600
Zach Pascal $4,500 $5,100
Kalif Raymond $4,400 $5,300
Mecole Hardman $4,400 $5,500
Marquez Valdes-Scantling $4,300 $5,200
Russell Gage $4,300 $5,000
Darius Slayton $4,200 $5,200
James Washington $4,100 $5,100
Olamide Zaccheaus $4,100 $5,100
Cedrick Wilson $4,000 $5,200
Quintez Cephus $4,000 $5,200
Terrace Marshall $4,000 $5,000
Tre’Quan Smith $4,000 $5,000
Darnell Mooney $3,900 $5,200
Devin Duvernay $3,900 $5,000
Freddie Swain $3,900 $4,800
Van Jefferson $3,900 $5,000
Demarcus Robinson $3,800 $4,900
DeSean Jackson $3,800 $5,400
Anthony Miller $3,700 $5,200
Braxton Berrios $3,700 $4,700
K.J. Osborn $3,700 $5,300
Adam Humphries $3,600 $4.700
Allen Lazard $3,600 $5,300
Deonte Harris $3,500 $5,100
Quez Watkins $3,500 $5,200
Dyami Brown $3,400 $4,900
Gabriel Davis $3,400 $4,800
Chester Rogers $3,300 $5,100
Randall Cobb $3,300 $4,900
Amon-Ra St. Brown $3,200 $4,900
Collin Johnson $3,200 $5,200
Donovan Peoples-Jones $3,200 $5,300
Parris Campbell $3,200 $4,700
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine $3,200 $5,300
Trent Sherfield $3,200 $4,600
Byron Pringle $3,000 $5,100
C.J. Board $3,000 $4,700
Cameron Batson $3,000 $4,900

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – I’m basically forced to spend down at WR if I am going to be forced to spend up at QB and RB. I will find spending room to roster one of Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams, or Cooper Kupp. They are the clear top three choices this week. The only pivot I feel solid about is Terry McLaurin. I also like both DK Metcalf and Deebo Samuel against each other if you decide to super-stack one game. Allen Robinson has a great matchup, but a serious question mark at QB. If I don’t use Diggs at WR1, I will use one of Emmanuel Sanders or Cole Beasley at WR2. Otherwise, I really like Michael Pittman, Brandon Aiyuk, Jaylen Waddle, Tim Patrick, Robby Anderson, and the other Dolphins here. In most cases, I will have to settle for one of them at WR2, but if I can afford it I’d take two of them. WR3 and punt options include potential injury substitutes like Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Collin Johnson, Chester Rogers, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Cedrick Wilson. I also like bad-offense plays, such as Anthony Miller, Quez Watkins, Braxton Berrios, and Darnell Mooney.

Fantasy Four-pack

Cooper Kupp, Rams vs ARI
($7,800 DK, $8,600 FD)
Kupp leads the league in receiving yards, receiving TDs, and he is second in targets. This is because Matthew Stafford has goo-goo eyes for him. Arizona has allowed multiple quality WR lines in every game so far. They have especially been damaged by possession receivers. Kupp should have zero trouble continuing his hot streak, and he should be the safest play of the week. That said, he will have huge ownership numbers.

Stefon Diggs, Bills vs. HOU
($7,600 DK, $8,000 FD)
Houston’s defense has struggled against every talented WR1 they have faced since early 2019. They’ve even struggled against some non-talented WR1s. The targets and yardage have been almost evenly split between Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, and Cole Beasley, but Diggs is still the alpha dog here. Against this defense, I see Diggs reasserting himself with a 12-125-2 line.

Davante Adams, Packers vs. PIT
($7,900 DK, $8,100 FD)
Pittsburgh’s defense has been a paper tiger this season. Multiple WRs have been successful against them this year, including all three WR1s. Adams has the elite-level skills to succeed against very good defenses. He should have little trouble exploiting this poor facsimile of last year’s Steelers. Adams got an absurd 18 targets last week. If he repeats that performance, he’ll challenge for overall WR1 this week.

DK Metcalf, Seahawks @ SF
($7,200 DK, $7,700 FD)
Metcalf dominated a bad Vikings’ secondary last week. Now he gets to face a team that has struggled against bigger-bodied WRs this season. It feels like just a couple of years ago these two teams featured elite defenses. Now, they are both in a battle of who could care less. This game could quickly devolve into a shootout, making it a sneaky stack game (especially if you want to go cheap at QB with Jimmy Garoppolo).

DFS Sleepers

Michael Pittman, Colts @ MIA
($5,400 DK, $5,800 FD)
Over the last two weeks, Pittman has had the third-most targets and seventh-most receiving yards among WRs. The thing he has failed to do is get into the end zone. I’m confident that will change this week in what could be a sneaky shootout featuring two mediocre defenses. If you want exposure to an underutilized stack, consider Carson Wentz-Pittman-Jaylen Waddle.

Robby Anderson, Panthers @ DAL
($5,100 DK, $5,700 FD)
I know that Anderson has been a complete stiff this season. As a multiple league owner of his, I know all too well how he has underperformed, despite his familiarity with Sam Darnold. This might finally be his week though as Trevon Diggs will likely shadow D.J. Moore. Coach Matt Rhule has already stated that the team has to get Anderson more involved, which will start this week as the team leans more on the passing game without Christian McCaffrey.

DraftKings FanDuel
Travis Kelce $8,100 $8,200
George Kittle $5,900 $6,700
T.J. Hockenson $5,800 $6,600
Mark Andrews $5,300 $6,500
Kyle Pitts $5,000 $5,800
Logan Thomas $4,900 $5,800
Dallas Goedert $4,800 $6,000
Tyler Higbee $4,600 $5,900
Robert Tonyan $4,500 $5,500
Noah Fant $4,300 $5,700
Mike Gesicki $4,000 $5,400
Austin Hooper $3,700 $5,200
Dawson Knox $3,600 $5,600
Tyler Conklin $3,500 $5,300
Zach Ertz $3,500 $4,700
Dalton Schultz $3,400 $5,000
Eric Ebron $3,300 $4,400
Gerald Everett $3,200 $4,900
Anthony Firkser $3,100 $4,500
David Njoku $3,100 $4,700
Pat Freiermuth $3,100 $5,000
Cole Kmet $3,000 $4,800
Evan Engram $3,000 $5,100
Maxx Williams $3,000 $4,500
Adam Trautman $2,900 $4,300
Jordan Akins $2,900 $4,200
Jack Doyle $2,700 $4,800
Tommy Tremble $2,500 $4,800

Tight End

Weekly strategy – I cannot afford Travis Kelce this week, but I believe he will have a very solid game as teams continue to attempt to shut down Tyreek Hill. You should always make at least a couple of lineups headlined by Kelce and Patrick Mahomes, despite the matchup. George Kittle is cheaper and has a softer matchup. He still is perhaps a smidgen outside of my budget. I will build my lineups using Logan Thomas, Noah Fant, and Mike Gesicki. I can also see pivoting to Dawson Knox or Tyler Conklin on DK. Dalton Schultz is also in this zone, but I feel he will be over-owned as people chase his two-TD start from last week. If I choose to punt the position, I could use Pat Freiermuth, Maxx Williams, Evan Engram, or Jack Doyle.

Fantasy Four-pack

Travis Kelce, Chiefs @ PHI
($8,100 DK, $8,200 FD)
Kelce continues to dominate the position. He has scored and/or topped 100 yards in all but four games since the start of 2020. Philly is very good against WRs, but they just got crumpled by Dalton Schultz last week. Don’t be surprised if Kelce posts another 10-100-2 line. Just know that he will be very hard to fit under the cap, unless you go thrift store shopping at WR.

George Kittle, Seahawks vs. SEA
($5,900 DK, $6,700 FD)
Kittle’s career averages of 4-49-0 against Seattle don’t scream “Start Me”. Plus, he is currently day-to-day with calf soreness. Nevertheless, this is the defense that just made Tyler Conklin look like an All-Pro. For as fragile as Kittle has been during his career, he has also been one of the toughest SOBs when he is on the field. I already have visions of NFTs of Kittle stiff-arming Seattle defenders out of their cleats being purchased by dot-com millionaires Monday morning. At such a discount compared to Travis Kelce, it is hard to not use Kittle here if you can afford him.

Logan Thomas, Football Team @ ATL
($4,900 DK, $5,800 FD)
In case Kittle’s salary is also too high for your tastes, may I offer you a tasty Thomas for $1k less. Thomas’ receptions and yardage have been stunted by all of the passes to the Washington RBs, but he has scored in two of the three games. Meanwhile, Atlanta is tied for the league lead in TE touchdowns allowed. The score is a lock, and I hope he finishes with roughly 6-60 this week. This should make him an interesting stack option with Taylor Heinecke and Terry McLaurin.

Mark Andrews, Ravens @ DEN
($5,300 DK, $6,500 FD)
Marquise Brown’s alligator arms will certainly cause Lamar Jackson to alter his target share elsewhere. The returning Rashod Bateman will eventually be part of that target share, but he will likely be on a snap count this week, if he is active. This leaves no one else but Andrews. Going into this season, Andrews was being written off as falling behind guys like T.J. Hockenson and Kyle Pitts on dynasty radars. Still, he has produced the seventh-most receptions and the fourth-most receiving yards among the position. Denver hasn’t allowed anything to the position this season, but the best TE they have faced is James O’Shaughnessy. This will be their first test.

DFS Sleepers

Dawson Knox, Bills vs. HOU
($3,600 DK, $5,600 FD)
Speaking of James O’Shaughnessy, he is one of several bottom-feeding TEs to do damage against the Texans this year. He has been joined by the elite ranks of Tommy Tremble, Harrison Bryant, and Chris Manhertz. Meanwhile, Knox only has 10 catches this season, but he has a TD in each of the last two games. If he finishes with a score again, 3x on DK is a lock.

Pat Freiermuth, Steelers @ GB
($3,100 DK, $5,000 FD)
I have a hard time saying Freiermuth’s name without adding “will you do the Fandango” afterward. Perhaps he should adopt that as his TD-celebration dance. Freiermuth scored the first of what I believe will be many career TDs last week. His usage should only continue to rise as Eric Ebron has apparently retired without letting anyone know, and since Ben Roethlisberger cannot throw the ball beyond 10 yards. Green Bay has already allowed huge games to George Kittle and T.J. Hockenson, not to mention the two-TD performance by Juwan Johnson opening weekend.

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 1

Breaking down the top plays and best sleeper targets for Week 1 NFL DFS fantasy football contests.

Football is back. Fans are back. Fantasy football is back. As we approach Sunday morning, I feel like the Nicolas Cage Con-Air freedom GIF. Obviously, we are not 100 percent past the threat of COVID, but the reality of live football all across the country broadcast to nearly every nation in the world has to bring a smile to your face.

In Week 1, we get to dive right back into the deep end without a statistical-trend life preserver. So don’t go overboard taking excessive risks. The journey to building a strong bankroll is a long and arduous one. I strongly recommend devoting most of your bankroll to multipliers the first couple of weeks. Still, you are here to chase the ultimate dream.

Like each of us, you want that moment in the sun. You need the thrill of taking down that larger field tournament. Only then will you truly feel the adulation of being a champion. That glowing aura that will be your inevitability. The brass ring is waiting for you … come take it!

DFS: The Primetime Slate

On Sunday night, the Chicago Bears visit Hollywood. This won’t be a Goldilocks’ fairy tale. This will be a redheaded nightmare for Andy Dalton. The best-case scenario for Dalton is that he gets pummeled a few times and isn’t benched at the half. Dalton does have some weapons at his disposal, but the Los Angeles Rams defense is for real. He is the clear QB4 on this slate and shouldn’t be anywhere near your starting lineup. He is facing a ceiling of 240-2, with a considerably lower floor.

Matthew Stafford has a slightly easier matchup, and a stronger supporting cast, but the Bears defense isn’t a pushover. He gets the de facto QB2 nod here, but his ceiling isn’t significantly higher than Dalton’s. That said, everyone will be using Lamar Jackson, so Stafford is also the pivot.

David Montgomery is one of my favorite running backs for this season. The matchup Sunday isn’t elite, but he is the only back guaranteed to see a bell cow’s load. He proved last season that he could be effective both on the ground and through the air. The Bears will be forced to lean on Montgomery to keep Dalton from being decapitated. This suggests a ton of carries and a healthy dose of emergency dump-offs. Between the two, Montgomery should top 125 combined yards and score.

The Rams lost their starting running back, Cam Akers, for the season. This means that Darrell Henderson and the recently acquired Sony Michel will tote the rock for their offense. If we had just one of them, they would be the obvious RB2 on this docket. I believe that eventually Sony Michel will notch out the role of the goal-line back. For this week, I expect to see Henderson as the primary ball-handler, as long as his thumb injury doesn’t get aggravated. He wasn’t on the injury report Wednesday or Thursday, so it is unlikely Henderson misses any time.

Allen Robinson will finish the season as a top-10 WR. It won’t even matter who his QB is, as he has done it with schlock chucking him the ball previously. This week will be an interesting challenge for him, though, as he faces his former Jacksonville Jaguars running mate, Jalen Ramsey. Ramsey has owned Robinson in their prior meetings, so the best you can hope for here is 5-50-1. At his price, I cannot justify playing him. Darnell Mooney or the recently acquired Breshad Perriman are much safer options to roll out. Still, they have the Red Popgun throwing them the ball, so limit your expectations. That said, I’d consider Mooney at my WR3 slot based on price.

Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp are easily the top-2 WR choices on this slate. Choosing between Woods and Kupp at WR1 will be your main roster decision this week. I recommend building multiple lineups, each headlined by one of the two. Keep an eye on DeSean Jackson‘s status for this game. He professes to be ready. If he suits up, play him at WR3. Over the last five seasons, Jackson has averaged 5-97 with four touchdowns in Week 1 games.

Cole Kmet may be something at some point this year. This week is not the week to use him. He is the TE4 on the slate, and it is by a monumental distance. Meanwhile, Tyler Higbee has bid adieu to his TE-by-committee partner, Gerald Everett. Higbee’s price is considerably cheaper than that of Las Vegas Raiders TE Darren Waller, and he has more competition for targets than the Baltimore Ravens’ Mark Andrews. That said, I enjoy the idea of using Higbee in double-TE lineups. Especially when you pair him with Stafford as a pivot-stack.

As for defenses, there is only one defense on this slate not to use (Las Vegas). The Rams are the best choice since they get to hogtie Dalton. The Bears defense would be my third choice.

Monday night, Baltimore looks to take down the house in Sin City. Lamar Jackson is the QB1 on this slate by the length of the Vegas Strip. Unfortunately, he will be nearly 100 percent owned and two-thirds of his receiving weapons are hurt. Still, Jackson’s rushing numbers paired with a pittance through the air will easily be the pacesetter among all skill position plays. Derek Carr has more weapons to throw to, but Baltimore has a strong pass defense. He will be my QB3, but he is much less safe than Stafford as a pivot.

Gus Edwards was expected to shoulder the load lost by the injury to J.K. Dobbins. Unfortunately, he sustained a season-ending injury of his own. Popular waiver wire pickup, Ty’Son Williams, and/or free-agent signees Le’Veon Bell, Latavius Murray and Devonta Freeman will end up sharing the carries. Against Vegas’ so-so run defense, one of them could be used as a deep punt RB2 or FLEX play. Just watch the Friday practice to see who gets the first team run.

For the Raiders, Josh Jacobs was a solid running back last year. So, the team decided to reward him by signing Kenyan Drake to steal touches. In his own defense, Drake was also a solid running back the last couple of seasons. Now they are splitting touches and degrading each other’s value. Jacobs will likely remain the goal-line option, so he is a safe RB2/FLEX play. Drake will likely be the pass-catching option, which should also make him FLEX-worthy, at best. Keep an eye on Jacobs’ practice status Friday and Saturday as he has been dealing with a toe injury. If Jacobs is a no-go, Drake becomes almost a must-start at RB2.

Marquise Brown gets a great matchup this week, and he should be locked in as your WR2. By sheer lack of competition, I see him approaching 8-75-1. Sammy Watkins is also in play as a WR3. Much like DeSean Jackson, Watkins has made a career out of the first week of each season. One of those two should be your WR3, and I wouldn’t shame you if you played both of them in a lineup. Choosing which Raiders WR to play week-to-week is always a challenge. There is some upside to both Bryan Edwards and Henry Ruggs. I’ll avoid both this week and wait until one of them takes the lead here. If I need to roster a Raiders’ WR, I’ll likely use Hunter Renfrow, since he could see some target volume.

Andrews is always a solid TE option. With the lack of healthy receivers for Baltimore, he may see an uptick in targets this week. This should allow him to lock down the TE2 slot on the board. Much like Higbee, I can see using him in a double-TE lineup paired with Waller. Speaking of Waller, he is the only tight end approaching the rarefied air spectrum of Travis Kelce. Just play him, cause everyone else will be, and you cannot afford to not have his stats in your lineup.

Baltimore’s defense is my No. 2 choice this week behind Los Angeles. As for Vegas defense, you have a better chance of winning throwing your entire bankroll on double-zero on the roulette wheel.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $6.5K for Ryan Tannehill. $8.6K for Alvin Kamara. $5.9K for Antonio Gibson. $7.8K for DeAndre Hopkins. $5.7K for Brandon Aiyuk. $3.4K for Marquez Callaway. $3.2K for Anthony Firkser. $5.8K for Raheem Mostert at FLEX. $3K for the Minnesota Vikings defense.

At FD: $8.4K for Kyler Murray. $8.6K for Kamara. $7K for Gibson. $8.2K for Hopkins. $8.1K for Calvin Ridley. $5.3K for Michael Pittman. $4.7K for Firkser. $5.9K for James Robinson at FLEX. $3.8K for the Vikings defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Tannehill, Sam Darnold at SF, Kamara, Dalvin Cook, Christian McCaffrey at FLEX, Russell Gage, Pittman, Callaway, and Firkser.

DraftKings FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes $8,100 $8,800
Kyler Murray $7,600 $8,400
Josh Allen $7,400 $8,100
Russell Wilson $7,000 $7,800
Aaron Rodgers $6,800 $8,000
Justin Herbert $6,700 $7,600
Ryan Tannehill $6,500 $7,700
Jalen Hurts $6,400 $7,600
Kirk Cousins $6,300 $7,200
Trevor Lawrence $6,200 $6,800
Ben Roethlisberger $6,100 $7,100
Matt Ryan $6,000 $7,300
Baker Mayfield $5,900 $7,100
Joe Burrows $5,700 $7,200
Carson Wentz $5,600 $6,500
Jimmy Garoppolo $5,500 $6,900
Ryan Fitzpatrick $5,500 $6,600
Tua Tagovailoa $5,400 $6,600
Daniel Jones $5,300 $6,700
Tyrod Taylor $5,300 $6,800
Jameis Winston $5,200 $6,700
Taysom Hill $5,200 $6,700
Jared Goff $5,100 $6,500
Sam Darnold $5,000 $6,500
Zach Wilson $5,000 $6,500
Teddy Bridgewater $4,800 $6,600
Mac Jones $4,400 $6,200

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Playing Patrick Mahomes is never a bad decision. That said, his price against an improving Cleveland defense isn’t great. If I’m going to pay that much this week, I would rather use Kyler Murray or Aaron Rodgers. Better yet, I like saving some money and using Ryan Tannehill. Jimmy Garoppolo and Jameis Winston are interesting options in the low-to-mid price range. However, in that range, I believe that Ryan Fitzpatrick is the best play. I also love the idea of using Sam Darnold in the revenge game.

Fantasy Four-pack

Kyler Murray, Cardinals @ TEN
($7,600 DK, $8,400 FD)
Tennessee faced four “running QBs” last season: Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Deshaun Watson (2x). Of those three, Jackson was the only one to do anything required of the title rushing QB. So, I’m not expecting Kyler to go ham on the ground here. Still, with Kliff Kingsbury’s offense being so wide open, Murray can finish as QB1 based just on his passing numbers. Only six teams allowed more passing TDs than Tennessee last season. They will start this season among the worst as well following this shootout. If Murray can also take advantage of his legs, he will walk away with the top point spot this week.

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs vs. CLE
($8,100 DK, $8,800 FD)

Mahomes looked mortal in the Super Bowl behind a piecemeal offensive line. No team did more to upgrade their protection unit this offseason than Kansas City. Now, Mahomes can look left and right down the line and see perennial Pro Bowlers instead of perennial turnstiles. Cleveland’s pass defense numbers look improved for last season, but they are aided by games facing: Dwayne Haskins, an aging Philip Rivers, Mike Glennon, Colt McCoy, and Joshua Dobbs. They also got a Sam Darnold Jets game, and a game in which Carson Wentz started and was benched for Jalen Hurts. All that said, the Browns did limit Mahomes to two total TDs in their playoff matchup. This week two TDs are Mahomes’ floor, and I expect him to blow that number out of the water.

Aaron Rodgers, Packers @ NO (in JAC)
($6,800 DK, $8,000 FD

Rodgers led the league in touchdowns thrown last season. This included 12 games with three or more TDs. One of those games was a 283-3 performance against the Saints in Week 3. New Orleans loses the clear “home-field advantage” with the neutral site game, but Green Bay historically travels well anyways in terms of fan presence. Amazingly, during his lengthy tenure in the league, Rodgers has started against New Orleans only five times. In those games, he has averaged 316 passing yards and three total TDs per game. Just hitting that average will give Rodgers 3x value. Then factor in that Rodgers will be playing this season in scorched-earth mode.

Ryan Tannehill, Titans vs. ARI
($6,500 DK, $7,700 FD)
I mentioned above that this game will be a shootout. This equates to a big performance for both offenses. Tannehill will have his new toy, Julio Jones, ready to go for this game. Assuming that A.J. Brown is also good to go, Tannehill should be able to match yards for yards and points for points with Murray through the air. We also spoke earlier about Murray’s legs and his ability to get you bonus points with his rushing. Tannehill sneakily finished tied with Lamar Jackson for fifth among QBs in rushing TDs. This is a quiet bliss for Tannehill owners, since Arizona was actually the worst team in the league last year in yardage allowed on the ground to opposing QBs. Loving Tannehill is even simpler yet, since he is nearly $1k less in price.

DFS Sleepers

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Football Team vs. LAC
($5,500 DK, $6,600 FD)
Why am I choosing a sleeper QB in what I predict will be a low-scoring game? It is because Fitzpatrick finally has some job security, a great supporting cast, and he is facing a Chargers team that gave up a league-worst eight rushing TDs to opposing QBs. Fitzpatrick has never been a big-time rushing QB, but he has scampered for a couple of scores every season. This game will feature a lot of Ryan dumping the ball off to Logan Thomas, J.D. McKissic, and Antonio Gibson. That should allow him to post a reasonable 250-2 floor while possibly punching one in on the ground. Just don’t expect Fitzpatrick to single-handedly win the week for you. If you choose to play him, I recommend stacking him with Thomas. That pairing should let you spend like a drunken businessman on holiday in Thailand at the other positions.

Sam Darnold, Panthers vs. NYJ
($5,000 DK, $6,500 FD)
This is a popular bold sleeper of the week. Darnold facing his former team. Let’s analyze the upgrade from last year: Christian McCaffrey >>>> La’Mical Perine, Robby Anderson >> Breshad Perriman, D.J. Moore > Jamison Crowder, Terrace Marshall >= Denzel Mims, and Dan Arnold >= Chris Herndon. The Jets allowed the fifth-most passing yards and the third-most passing TDs last season and their defense is still in the process of being completely overhauled. Unfortunately, that new-look defense is still lacking mightily in veteran backfield presence. In superflex format DFS, Darnold is a lock for my SF slot. If I had to choose who to stack him with, I’d say  Anderson or Dan Arnold.

DraftKings FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey $9,500 $10,400
Dalvin Cook $9,100 $9,400
Derrick Henry $8,800 $8,900
Alvin Kamara $8,600 $8,600
Jonathan Taylor $8,000 $7,900
Saquan Barkley $7,800 $8,500
Nick Chubb $7,200 $7,700
Austin Ekeler $7,000 $6,900
D’Andre Swift $6,900 $6,400
Aaron Jones $6,800 $7,400
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $6,600 $6,800
Miles Sanders $6,500 $6,600
James Robinson $6,400 $5,900
Najee Harris $6,300 $6,500
Joe Mixon $6,200 $7,200
Myles Gaskin $6,000 $6,000
Antonio Gibson $5,900 $7,000
Chris Carson $5,900 $6,700
Raheem Mostert $5,800 $6,100
David Johnson $5,700 $5,700
Kareem Hunt $5,500 $6,000
Mike Davis $5,400 $6,200
Melvin Gordon $5,300 $5,600
Damien Harris $5,200 $5,800
J.D. McKissic $5,100 $5,100
Nyheim Hines $5,000 $5,400
Tevin Coleman $4,900 $5,400
Devin Singletary $4,700 $5,300
Phillip Lindsay $4,700 $5,200
Chase Edmonds $4,600 $5,900
Zack Moss $4,600 $5,400
Jamaal Williams $4,500 $4,900
James Conner $4,500 $5,500
Trey Sermon $4,500 $5,200
James White $4,400 $4,800
Mark Ingram $4,400 $4,700
AJ Dillon $4,000 $5,000
Javonte Williams $4,000 $5,600
Michael Carter $4,000 $5,300
Wayne Gallman $4,000 $5,000

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Considering their matchups, Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, and Alvin Kamara are all great RB1 options. Unfortunately, they are all very pricey. That means that if you use one of them, you will have to go cheaper at RB2. Or, if you want to use two of them, then you will need to be chintzy at WR. James Robinson and Antonio Gibson are my favorite two options for RB2. I also like Raheem Mostert and Damien Harris. If you wish to punt RB2, consider using Javonte Williams. Just know that he will have an extreme ownership percentage and no guarantee of featured back usage.

Fantasy Four-pack

Alvin Kamara, Saints vs GB
($8600 DK, $8600 FD)
Green Bay was rotten against the run early in the season, but they did get better as the season progressed. The one thing they failed to improve in was covering pass-catching backs. Only one team allowed more RB receiving yards, and only three teams allowed more RB receptions than Green Bay. That defense will be pushed further in this game since Kamara will technically qualify at RB while performing the role of WR1 for New Orleans. Add on the release of Latavius Murray and you’ll see why Kamara will lead all RBs in DFS points this week.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs. NYJ
($9,500 DK, $10,400 FD) 
Of course, FD refuses to give us a discount on the returning McCaffrey. I love this matchup, but seriously … 10k … already. Come on, man! As mentioned above, the Jets are installing a new defense. It should help improve their run coverage, but they get a test right out of the box. Achieving 3x at this price will be tough, but he still should post mid-20s in points and that will be enough to lock up a top-4 spot.

Dalvin Cook, Vikings @ CIN
($9,100 DK, $9,400 FD)

The Vikings have lost their top two TEs from last season. Their No. 3 tight end from last year missed all of the preseason with various maladies. His backup just arrived at the training facility earlier this week. Plus, both Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen have seen limited run this preseason due to injuries of their own. What I am getting at is that Cook will likely have to assume even more of the passing-game work than he has in previous seasons. Cincinnati has added some new pieces to their defensive front this offseason, but several of those new pieces are questionable with injuries right now.

Derrick Henry, Titans vs. ARI
($8,800 DK, $8,900 FD)
Henry is much maligned due to his lack of a pass-catching role in the Tennessee offense. That limited role will diminish even further this season with the presence of Julio Jones. Still, Henry’s ability to bust off a 90-yard TD run at any time makes him a safe floor play all season. Besides, who needs PPR points when Henry’s last seven games produced 1,081 rushing yards. That seven-game stretch would’ve finished as the fifth-highest rushing total for the entire season. Arizona and Tennessee are set for a high-scoring contest, so you must assume that Henry will get in the end zone at least once. That is if Tannehill doesn’t vulture him.

DFS Sleepers

Raheem Mostert, 49ers @ DET
($5,800 DK, $6,100 FD)
Everyone and their sister will be rostering Trey Sermon in this game against the league’s worst defensive team against the run from last season. I have zero reasons to think that Sermon won’t have a productive game. That said, this is Week 1 and Kyle Shanahan is not just going to hand over the reins of the backfield to a rookie. It is the same reason that we will not have Trey Lance at QB this week. Sermon may be the next great thing, but Mostert hasn’t shown any signs of degrading from his previous breakout. Consider both of them this week. Just know that Sermon will have a higher ownership percentage.

Antonio Gibson, Football Team vs. LAC
($5,900 DK, $7,000 FD)
I may end up with too much exposure to this game. Still, at $5.9k on DK this feels like a dramatic pricing error. It is much the same situation we are facing with the $5.9k price tag that James Robinson has on FD. I’ll likely have more exposure to Robinson, since I believe that game will have more combined points, but I’d be amiss to feign disinterest in Gibson. If I do use Gibson, it will be in a lineup without Ryan Fitzpatrick or Logan Thomas.

DraftKings FanDuel
Davante Adams $8,300 $8,600
Tyreek Hill $8,200 $8,500
Calvin Ridley $7,900 $8,100
DeAndre Hopkins $7,800 $8,200
Justin Jefferson $7,700 $8,000
Stefon Diggs $7,600 $7,900
DK Metcalf $7,500 $7,700
A.J. Brown $7,100 $7,800
Adam Thielen $7,000 $7,300
Keenan Allen $6,900 $7,400
Julio Jones $6,800 $7,000
Tyler Lockett $6,700 $6,800
Terry McLaurin $6,400 $6,900
Diontae Johnson $6,300 $6,600
JuJu Smith-Schuster $6,200 $6,400
DJ Moore $6,100 $6,700
Jarvis Landry $6,000 $6,400
Deebo Samuel $5,900 $6,300
DJ Chark $5,800 $6,100
Brandon Aiyuk $5,700 $6,500
Robby Anderson $5,700 $6,200
Chase Claypool $5,600 $6,000
Kenny Golladay $5,600 $6,200
DeVante Parker $5,500 $6,100
Mike Williams $5,500 $5,700
Odell Beckham $5,400 $6,500
Brandin Cooks $5,300 $6,300
Russell Gage $5,300 $5,700
Courtland Sutton $5,200 $5,800
Tyler Boyd $5,200 $5,900
Jakobi Meyers $5,100 $5,400
Sterling Shepard $5,100 $5,500
Laviska Shenault $5,000 $5,600
Corey Davis $4,900 $5,800
Curtis Samuel $4,900 $5,500
Tre’Quan Smith $4,900 $5,500
Ja’Marr Chase $4,800 $5,500
Jerry Jeudy $4,800 $5,500
Mecole Hardman $4,800 $5,400
Tee Higgins $4,700 $6,000
Jamison Crowder $4,600 $5,900
Christian Kirk $4,500 $5,200
DeVonta Smith $4,500 $5,300
Nelson Agholor $4,500 $5,600
Cole Beasley $4,400 $5,500
Tyrell Williams $4,400 $5,400
Demarcus Robinson $4,300 $4,900
Emmanuel Sanders $4,100 $5,300
Michael Pittman $4,100 $5,300
Allen Lazard $4,000 $5,600
Randall Cobb $3,900 $5,400
A.J. Green $3,800 $5,400
Darius Slayton $3,800 $5,000
Jalen Reagor $3,700 $5,400
Marquez Valdes-Scantling $3,700 $5,200
Parris Campbell $3,700 $5,000
Zach Pascal $3,700 $4,900
Jaylen Waddle $3,600 $5,200
Marvin Jones $3,600 $5,800
Nico Collins $3,600 $4,900
Denzel Mims $3,500 $4,900
James Washington $3,500 $4,900
Gabriel Davis $3,400 $4,900
Marquez Callaway $3,400 $5,200
Olamide Zaccheaus $3,400 $5.000
Anthony Miller $3,300 $5,200
Byron Pringle $3,300 $4,700
Deonte Harris $3,200 $5,300
Quintez Cephus $3,200 $4,700
Amon-Ra St. Brown $3,000 $5,000
Donovan Peoples-Jones $3,000 $4,700
Dyami Brown $3,000 $4,700
Elijah Moore $3,000 $5,000
Rondale Moore $3,000 $4,900
Terrace Marshall $3,000 $4,900

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – Calvin Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins are the top two options this week. A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin are my pivot WR1s. When planning WR2, I am looking at a Brandon Aiyuk, Robby Anderson, or D.J. Moore. At WR3, I like Russell Gage (if I don’t use Ridley) and the Bengals. DeVonta Smith could be a sneaky WR3 option if you want to take a flier on a rookie. I expect to have a fair amount of exposure to Michael Pittman or Zach Pascal. Both could also be used at WR3 or FLEX. If I choose to punt the WR3 position, I will take a chance on Marquez Callaway, Quintez Cephus, or Rondale Moore.

Fantasy Four-pack

Calvin Ridley, Falcons vs PHI
($7,900 DK, $8,100 FD)
Despite missing one full game and having one game that he was shut out in, Ridley finished fourth in receiving yards. This also came despite splitting looks with Julio Jones. Julio is gone and many expect Kyle Pitts and Russell Gage to inherit most of his departed targets, but Ridley will inherit a fair share, too. Philadelphia finished last season middle of the pack against the pass. That said, they were absolutely humiliated by most of the true WR1s that they faced. I’d be surprised if Ridley didn’t post 10-125-1 this week. If Jalen Hurts can keep this competitive against a bad Atlanta secondary, Ridley may even post higher numbers in response. I just don’t have that much faith in Hurts.

DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals @ TEN
($7,800 DK, $8,200 FD)
My QB1 is Kyler Murray so it makes sense that my WR1 should be his hookup. Hopkins had more targets last year than the next two Cardinals combined. Arizona has changed up their WR depth chart with the additions of A.J. Green and Rondale Moore, but both of them will eat into Christian Kirk’s target share, not Hopkins’. Tennessee typically allowed one huge WR performance each week (except against Cleveland). DeAndre will get the targets, so he will get the huge stat line as well. I particularly like reverse stacking him where I have Tannehill starting.

Davante Adams, Packers @ NO
($8,300 DK, $8,600 FD)
Yes, I am slightly concerned about Saints CB Marshon Lattimore. Still, this is Davante Adams. He is matchup-proof. Much like Ridley, Adams finished fifth in receiving yards despite missing two full games. He also finished second in total TDs to only Kamara. This could easily be another 10-120-2 game for Adams, but his floor is 7-75-1.

Tyreek Hill, Chiefs vs. CLE
($8,200 DK, $8,500 FD)
The Cleveland Browns held Tyreek Hill out of the end zone in their playoff matchup last year. Hill still caught eight of 10 passes for 110 yards, so it wasn’t a complete loss. Both Tyreek and Travis Kelce posted solid lines in that game, so starting a stack of Kelce-Mahomes-Hill may be worthwhile. Still, it would be detrimental to your overall roster construct. I’d feel better about just doing the Mahomes-Kelce stack.

DFS Sleepers

Russell Gage, Falcons vs. PHI
($5,300 DK, $5,700 FD)
Atlanta will be throwing the ball a lot, so any member of their offense deserves consideration. If you choose to not use Ridley at WR1, then you should definitely use Gage at WR3 and/or Kyle Pitts at TE. If you use Ridley pivot to one of the Jaguars or one of the Bengals at that WR3 slot. All you need to remember is that from Week 11 on last year, Calvin Ridley had the second-most targets among all WRs … Russell Gage had the 10th most. That was more than studs like Keenan Allen, Allen Robinson, DK Metcalf, A.J. Brown, D.J. Moore, and Terry McLaurin.

Michael Pittman, Colts vs. SEA
($4,100 DK, $5,300 FD)
With T.Y. Hilton on the shelf, Pittman gets anointed as the Colts’ WR1 and, most importantly, their primary possession receiver. Seattle allowed the third-most receiving yards to the position last year. They also allowed 15 percent more receptions than the next closest team. Zach Pascal and Parris Campbell both make decent WR3/FLEX plays here as well, but Pittman seems destined to be the primary beneficiary of this cake matchup.

DraftKings FanDuel
Travis Kelce $8,300 $8,500
George Kittle $6,300 $7,000
T.J. Hockenson $4,900 $5,700
Dallas Goedert $4,800 $5,900
Hunter Henry $4,700 $5,300
Logan Thomas $4,600 $5,600
Mike Gesicki $4,500 $5,500
Kyle Pitts $4,400 $6,000
Noah Fant $4,300 $5,400
Robert Tonyan $4,200 $5,400
Evan Engram $4,100 $5,100
Jonnu Smith $4,100 $4,900
Austin Hooper $4,000 $5,100
Eric Ebron $3,900 $5,200
Jared Cook $3,800 $5,200
Zach Ertz $3,800 $5,000
Hayden Hurst $3,700 $4,900
David Njoku $3,500 $4,600
Dawson Knox $3,400 $5,000
Gerald Everett $3,400 $4,800
Chris Herndon $3,300 $4,400
Anthony Firkser $3,200 $4,700
Jack Doyle $3,200 $4,800
Donald Parham $3,100 $4,300
C.J. Uzomah $3,000 $4,800
Jordan Akins $3,000 $4,800
Adam Trautman $2,900 $4,600
Mo Alie-Cox $2,900 $4,700
Tyler Conklin $2,900 $4,400
Kyle Rudolph $2,800 $4,500
Dan Arnold $2,600 $4,500
Albert Okwuegbunam $2,500 $4,200

Tight End

Weekly strategy – Paying up for Travis Kelce is never a mistake. George Kittle is $2k cheaper on DK and has a good matchup, too. After that pair, I would consider pivoting to Logan Thomas or Kyle Pitts. Gerald Everett and Jared Cook are possible plays for a discount. That said, if I am going cheap, I will use Anthony Firkser or Dan Arnold.

Fantasy Four-pack

Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. CLE
($8,300 DK, $8,500 FD)
Kelce has reached the financial equivalency at the TE position of Christian McCaffrey at RB. He is even the same price as Davante Adams, so if you wish to use Kelce, know that you likely won’t be able to spend big at WR1. The matchup is very good, but I’m not sure that I want to spend this much when I can get solid production from Kittle for $2k less on DK and $1.5k less on FD. There is definitely a spot to triple-stack Patrick Mahomes, Kelce, and Tyreek Hill. To use that group, go with two cheap RBs like Myles Gaskin, Javonte Williams, Damien Harris, or Raheem Mostert.

George Kittle, 49ers @ DET
($6,300 DK, $7,000 FD)
I’d be concerned about the split in targets between Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Kittle … if they were facing anyone else. Detroit is rotten against every position. There is a decent likelihood that they all top 7-70-1. That is if the Niners don’t just run for 300 yards against the Lions. That possibility is even more concerning to me. I’m not going to use him on FD, but at $6.3k on DK, I like the price.

Logan Thomas, Football Team vs. LAC
($4,600 DK, $5,600 FD)
Thomas finished 2020 as the third-most targeted TE. It is a shame that he did not get the draft rub that other TEs got this offseason. Everyone expects T.J. Hockenson and Kyle Pitts to challenge for the TE3, TE4, and TE5 slots this season behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. I think the dark horse should be Lo-T. The Chargers were actually pretty solid against opposing WRs last year, but they struggled against TEs allowing a fourth-worst 10 TDs. If the Chargers effectively limit Terry McLaurin, expect a huge game from Thomas as well as the RBs.

Kyle Pitts, Falcons vs. PHI
($4,400 DK, $6,000 FD)
So obviously I am not going to roster all three of Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage, and Pitts. I’m especially not paying $6k for Pitts in his game one on FD. That said, the $4.4k on DK isn’t awful if you don’t use either of the Falcons’ WRs. Mark Andrews was the only top-10 TE to not score a TD against Philly last year. Regardless of what you think about Pitts’ future potential, everyone believes he will be a top-10 TE this season.

DFS Sleepers

Gerald Everett, Seahawks @ IND
($3,400 DK, $4,800 FD)
Many people (myself included) are excited to see how Tyler Higbee performs now that he is free from Everett. I’m also excited to see how Everett performs without Higbee. In general, I am down on the Seahawks’ passing offense this season (despite the presence of two solid WRs) as I expect they will run the ball more than in prior seasons. The Colts’ numbers from 2020 against TEs are very good, but they also faced a lot of nobodies. The quality TEs they faced all (with the exception of Andrews again) did well against them. Russell Wilson has looked at his TEs in the red zone before. If Everett hauls in a touchdown at this price, he has already hit 3x.

Anthony Firkser, Titans vs. ARI
($3,200 DK, $4,700 FD)
First, everybody wanted him. Then nobody wanted him. Firkser was one of the most polarizing players this offseason for fantasy analysts. Much like Everett, at this price a single TD gives him 3x with everything else as gravy. The Cardinals were light years better against TEs last season than in previous seasons. Still, they are only one year removed from a decade of futility against the position. The statistical split between Firkser and Jonnu Smith last year wasn’t much with the exception of the TD category. Jonnu finished with just 61 more yards, two more catches, and 12 more targets. Together they posted a line of 80-835-9. That would have finished third in all three categories. If Firkser adds even a smidgen of Smith’s eight TDs to his line, he is in for a big season.

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 4

DFS Sleepers and Values

We are facing the first CoVid related terrorism this week. As if we needed more fantasy stars out. This time they may not even be injured, but they will miss this week because someone else in their team bubble got the bug. If you have Steelers or Titans adjust appropriately. DK and FD have both removed these players from this slate, so double-check any previously submitted lineups to swap them out. As for the disease, will we ever find out who the NFL’s Rudy Gobert was? Probably not, but it will be interesting to see if there are any other mysterious injury designations on the Week 5 injury report for the Titans.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

Sunday, the Eagles head west to San Francisco in the battle of sixth string WRs and injured TEs. Never did I ever think that I’d be considering Nick Mullens above Carson Wentz in rankings. Fortunately, they are both ranked below Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan. Whomever actually plays at RB for San Fran is a worthy starter. If both Raheem Mostert and Jerick McKinnon miss this game, I’d rank Jeff Wilson at RB2 on this slate behind only Aaron Jones. If either Mostert or McKinnon plays, they will cut into Wilson’s total thus hurting all three of them. In that case, all of them will fall into the RB4 range. Miles Sanders is a very talented back, and one of the few healthy bodies on offense for Philly, but even injury-ravaged the Niners run defense is elite. At his price, he cannot be anything higher than RB4 on this slate. I’d love to see Philly use Boston Scott at Slot WR, it isn’t like they are using him in the running game. He can be ignored except in Showdown contests.

The Niners are starting to get their WRs back healthy. They still will have to wait at least one more week for Deebo Samuel. Brandon Aiyuk looks like the real deal for a future starter opposite Samuel. With injuries throughout both games at the WR position, he needs to be considered as a WR2/3. Kendrick Bourne also is in play at WR3. Mohamed Sanu has not clicked as fast as I would have hoped. I’ll leave him and Trent Taylor on the bench until we see more use from either.

Can you name the second and third WR for Philadelphia? Right now, with DeSean Jackson questionable, we may see Greg Ward and Deontay Burnett start, with John Hightower and the injured J.J. Arcega-Whiteside play supplemental roles. Ward (WR7 on the slate) is the only one worth playing and he is my favorite WR3 option. Reports have George Kittle ready to return this week. Coming off of the injury, he slides into TE2 territory, but don’t be surprised if his utilization is not full-go. Zach Ertz may receive 40 targets in this game, putting him firmly as the TE1 on this docket. In addition, Richard Rodgers actually finished Week 3 playing WR, but he qualifies at TE, making him a potential TE5. The team just added former WR, Hakeem Butler to play TE (although he qualifies at WR), so maybe they will end up trading jobs.  Either defense should be considered, but the Niners are the clear DEF1 this weekend.

Monday, We get two more confidence-inspiring QBs in Matt Ryan and Aaron Rodgers. Ryan is the QB1 and the safest play on the docket. Ryan would normally be interchangeable with Rodgers, but Aaron has more injury concerns at WR. Aaron Jones is the easy RB1 as Atlanta has been rotten against the run. Green Bay has struggled to stop the run as well, but Brian Hill has started to butt into Todd Gurley’s workload. Gurley is no better than RB2 on this slate and may fall to RB3 if only one back is healthy for San Fran. Hill is a solid FLEX play, but he shouldn’t be among your top four choices.

Russell Gage left last week’s game with an injury and he is joining Julio Jones, Allen Lazard, and Davante Adams as high-end WRs that may or may not play. If Davante suits up, he is the WR1 on this slate. Otherwise, that role goes to Calvin Ridley (who is no lower than the WR2). Julio would be the WR2 if he goes.  I love Gage, and I hope he plays. If he does, he is in play at WR3. Also in that conversation is Marquez Valdes-Scantling. If both Gage and Jones are out for Atlanta, Olamide Zaccheaus could be a sneaky WR3 play, but I wouldn’t go as deep as Brandon Powell. Green Bay has dominated opposing TEs for a few years now. This is why I can’t rate Hayden Hurst higher than TE4 here. I actually will put Rodgers’ red zone target, Robert Tonyan in at TE3. I won’t have a lot of exposure to him, due to the presence of both Marcedes Lewis and Jace Sternberger. Still, Atlanta is one of the worst teams in the league against opposing TEs, so playing Tonyan or even Sternberger is not out of the question. Plus, they both need to be considered in Showdown formats. I expect this game to be fairly high-scoring, so I will look elsewhere for my defense.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $7.8K for either Russell Wilson. $8K for Alvin Kamara. $6K for Kenyan Drake. $6.8K for D.K Metcalf. $4.5K for Tee Higgins. $3.97K for Isaiah Ford or Gabriel Davis for less if John Brown is out. $4.3K for Dalton Schultz. $5.9K for Devin Singletary at FLEX. $3K for the Jaguars’ defense.

At FD: $9K for Wilson. $8.8K for Kamara. $6K for Singletary. $6.5K for Devante Parker. $6.9K for Metcalf. $5.7K for Jarvis Landry. $4.9K for Schultz. $7K for Drake at FLEX. $5K for the Ravens’ defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night: Wilson, Ryan Fitzpatrick at SF, Kamara, Ezekiel Elliott, Metcalf, Parker, Landry, Drew Sample, and either Drake or Singletary at FLEX.

DraftKings FanDuel
Lamar Jackson $8,100 $9,600
Russell Wilson $7,800 $9,000
Patrick Mahomes $7,400 $8,700
Josh Allen $7,300 $8,600
Dak Prescott $7,200 $8,200
Kyler Murray $7,000 $8,400
Jared Goff $6,700 $7,500
Deshaun Watson $6,600 $7,800
Cam Newton $6,400 $7,900
Joe Burrow $6,300 $7,400
Tom Brady $6,100 $7,300
Gardner Minshew $5,900 $7,400
Matthew Stafford $5,900 $7,200
Baker Mayfield $5,800 $7,000
Drew Brees $5,800 $7,700
Justin Herbert $5,800 $6,700
Nick Foles $5,700 $7,100
Kirk Cousins $5,600 $6,800
Teddy Bridgewater $5,600 $6,800
Philip Rivers $5,500 $6,700
Ryan Fitzpatrick $5,400 $7,100
Derek Carr $5,300 $6,900
Daniel Jones $5,100 $6,600
Dwayne Haskins $5,000 $6,500

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – The Miami-Seattle contest is this week’s DAL-SEA contest from last week. Obviously, Ryan Fitzpatrick is not Dak Prescott. Still, Fitz is a capable veteran with some solid weapons around him. He also is considerably cheaper than Dak was last week. I love Fitzpatrick in DFS this week. This is truly the first time that we have had a high-leverage playable asset as a value-priced QB on the main slate. It should also be clear that Russell Wilson is a clear #1 option at the position once again. Among the pivots, up high are Josh Allen, Dak Prescott, and Deshaun Watson (assuming the Vikings/Texans game is played as planned). I can also go a little cheaper and use Joe Burrow, Gardner Minshew, or Baker Mayfield. That said, if I am going to spend down, I might as well spend down on Fitzpatrick.

Fantasy Four Pack

Russell Wilson, Seahawks @ MIA ($7800 DK, $9000 FD)
FD is giving Russell Wilson and Lamar Jackson the CMAC treatment at QB pricing them both over $9K. Jackson has a slightly tougher matchup, but he is still a decent option, but Russell Wilson is on historical record pace. I doubt that Wilson will throw another five TDs, but 350-3 is a pretty impressive floor. Plus, there is an increased likelihood that Wilson could score a rushing TD with Chris Carson likely out.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens @ WAS ($8100 DK, $9600 FD)
Washington is going to have to deal with the problem of an angry Lamar Jackson this week. Jackson, coming off one of his worst performances ever, will no doubt be looking to recement himself as one of the top-three dynasty options despite his inability to win the big one versus Patrick Mahomes. The Football Team actually has a decent defense, especially up front. This is the only reason that I am not going to give Jackson a GREEN grade. That said, Lamar could easily channel his inner Hulk and turn himself green.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys vs. CLE ($7200 DK, $8200 FD)
Only two teams have allowed more passing TDs than Cleveland. One of those teams is the Dallas Cowboys. Baker Mayfield is not Russell Wilson, but he can use his weapons to keep this game competitive. This will force Dak Prescott to keep his foot on the accelerator. I’m certain that the SEA-MIA game will draw a lot of attention from the DFS world, making this contest a sneaky pivot, for both Dak and Baker.

Patrick Mahomes vs. NE ($7400 DK, $8700 FD)
Last week, Patrick Mahomes proved to the world that no team can truly stop him. New England will try here. The Lord knows, that Bill Belichick prides himself on taking away an opponents’ biggest weapon. Well, go ahead Bill. Try to take away Tyreek Hill and watch Travis Kelce beat you. Try to take away both of them and watch Mecole Hardman and Sammy Watkins beat you. Take away all four of them, and Mahomes will throw the ball to their fullback and their tackle-eligible and win that way. Simply put, there is no way to stop this offense. You can barely hope to contain it. Through three career meetings, Mahomes has averaged 2.6 TDs and 310 passing yards against the Patriots. That is always his floor.

DFS Sleepers

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Dolphins vs. SEA ($5400 DK, $7100 FD)
Ryan Fitzpatrick is my favorite sleeper of the week. Despite his puny DK price, he just missed making the top four overall for the week. Seattle has the second-best passing offense in football. The best passing offense in football belongs to whoever is facing them. Through three weeks, Seattle is allowing an average of 440 passing yards per game and two passing TDs per game. Plus they have also allowed two QB rushing TDs. Fitzpatrick is no spring chicken, but he has been known to rush one in from time to time. To fit all the top RBs and WRs into your lineup, Fitz is such a perfect play. My only concern here is that it seems like every season Ryan has one sure thing game that he underperforms in. Let us hope its not this one.

Baker Mayfield, Browns @ DAL ($5800 DK, $7000 FD)
Dallas will have no problem scoring at will in this game. This means, that Baker Mayfield will be forced to throw the ball extensively to stay in the game. With weapons such as Kareem Hunt, Nick Chubb, Austin Hooper, Odell Beckham, and Jarvis Landry, Baker has no excuses for not fighting here. Plus, since the game is in Dallas, Baker doesn’t have to worry about cleaning up the stadium afterward.

DraftKings FanDuel
Alvin Kamara $8,000 $8,800
Ezekiel Elliott $7,800 $9,000
Dalvin Cook $7,600 $8,700
Austin Ekeler $7,100 $6,900
Nick Chubb $7,000 $8,300
Josh Jacobs $6,800 $8,000
Jonathan Taylor $6,600 $7,500
James Robinson $6,500 $6,600
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $6,400 $7,400
Chris Carson $6,300 $7,900
Kareem Hunt $6,200 $5,900
Kenyan Drake $6,000 $7,000
Devin Singletary $5,900 $6,000
Darrell Henderson $5,800 $6,400
Joe Mixon $5,800 $6,800
Mark Ingram $5,700 $6,500
Mike Davis $5,700 $6,300
David Johnson $5,600 $6,700
Leonard Fournette $5,600 $5,500
David Montgomery $5,500 $5,800
Carlos Hyde $5,300 $5,700
James White $5,200 $5,200
Joshua Kelley $5,100 $5,300
Myles Gaskin $5,000 $5,400
Latavius Murray $4,900 $4,900
Devonta Freeman $4,800 $5,400
J.K. Dobbins $4,800 $5,700
Rex Burkhead $4,800 $5,600
Adrian Peterson $4,700 $5,500
Malcolm Brown $4,700 $5,300
Nyheim Hines $4,700 $5,200
Ronald Jones $4,700 $5,600
Sony Michel $4,600 $5,600
Antonio Gibson $4,500 $5,500
Wayne Gallman $4,500 $4,900
Dion Lewis $4,400 $5,000
Giovani Bernard $4,400 $4,800
D’Andre Swift $4,300 $5,300
Jalen Richard $4,300 $4,500
Zack Moss $4,300 $5,100
Chase Edmonds $4,200 $5,300
Cam Akers $4,100 $5,400
Chris Thompson $4,100 $5,000
Jordan Howard $4,100 $5,000
J.J. Taylor $4,000 $4,700

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Alvin Kamara is the easy lock and load option as long as Michael Thomas remains out. Even if Thomas returns, Kamara’s price tag makes him a safe 3x play. It would be very hard, but fitting both Kamara and Ezekiel Elliott into a lineup would be glorious. Dalvin Cook is a nice pivot play from those two, assuming the Vikings play their game. I will likely use one of that threesome paired with either James Robinson or Kenyan Drake. The other mid-priced RBs that I like this week are Devin Singletary, Darrell Henderson, Mike Davis, and Joe Mixon. This gives you a list of nine players to mix and match from in filling your RB1, RB2, and FLEX. The cheap options are just not interesting this week. I suppose that you could trot out Adrian Peterson for potential volume or Chase Edmonds for the great matchup, but I’d pass.

Fantasy Four Pack

Alvin Kamara, Saints @ DET ($8000 DK, $8800 FD)
Detroit hasn’t been nearly as bad against the run as you probably think. Still, Alvin Kamara is the New Orleans’ offense with Michael Thomas out. Now, should Thomas manage to return this week, lower your expectations slightly. Even then, he should be able to secure 125-2, with seven or more receptions. So, even with Thomas, Kamara is a lock for 3x performance. This price is just too low to not take advantage of.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys vs. CLE ($7800 DK, $9000 FD)
Cleveland’s RB rushing numbers against are very low. Of course, in the last two weeks, they have faced teams not interested in establishing the run. Dallas on the other hand will have every intention of steamrolling the Browns with Ezekiel Elliott. The DK price is very nice for Elliott, but I don’t love paying $9K for him on FD. Especially if this game becomes a shootout between two bad pass defenses. Fortunately, Zeke is used in the passing game as well.

Dalvin Cook, Vikings @ HOU ($7600 DK, $8700 FD)
Pay attention the next couple of days to verify that the Vikings are playing. As of today, Minnesota and Houston are scheduled to face off without postponement. Still, with CoVid issues related to the Vikings’ Week 3 opponent Tennessee, things could turn fast. Houston has allowed the most rushing yards to opposing RBs and they have given up a rushing TD to every #1 RB they have faced.  Dalvin Cook was finally allowed to Russ this week, and he finished with 199 total yards and a score. I’d be happy with 2/3 of that here.

Kenyan Drake, Cardinals @ CAR ($6000 DK, $7000 FD)
Kenyan Drake has been so-so so far this year. Part of that is because Arizona has been so pass-happy. Part of that is also because Kliff Kingsbury is committed to giving Chase Edmonds significant touches. Finally, part of this is because Kyler Murray is channeling his inner Lamar Jackson. Drake won’t have any trouble putting up big yardage against a Carolina run defense that has been historically bad for a season plus now. The Panthers are allowing 188 total yards per game to opposing backs, 2.3 total touchdowns, and 11 receptions per game. Edmonds is also in play as a cheap punt, but Drake will top 125-1 without much effort.

DFS Sleepers

Devin Singletary, Bills @ LV ($5900 DK, $6000 FD)
Carolina is bad against RBs, and now in true Las Vegas form, the Raiders want their piece of the action. No team (including Carolina) has allowed more RB total yards. The Raiders are only tied with Carolina for the most total TDs allowed to the position. The Panthers still hold the advantage in RB receptions allowed, but Vegas is a close second and the Raiders have given up more RB receiving yards. What I am leading to is that while everyone knows that Carolina gets smoked by running backs, people may not be aware of how bad Vegas has been. Devin Singletary has had a slight advantage in touches over Zack Moss, and with Moss out last week, Singletary nearly reached his first two weeks stats combined. Early reports have Moss returning this week, but if he does miss this game or is limited, Singletary will go off. Of course, even if Moss plays Singletary should still post a big line here.

Mike Davis, Panthers vs. ARI ($5700 DK, $6300 FD)
So, is Christian McCaffrey a system RB? Mike Davis didn’t completely replicate McCaffrey’s production, but I’m certain his owners were not upset with 91 total yards, eight receptions, and a score. Arizona has been solid against the run, but they have allowed the fifth-most RB receiving yards, despite holding opponents to only 4.3 RB receptions per game. Davis’ price tag is only slightly higher than that of CMAC normally, which makes his ability to reach 3x value that much easier.

DraftKings FanDuel
DeAndre Hopkins $8,500 $8,700
Michael Thomas $7,600 $8,800
Tyler Lockett $7,000 $7,500
Tyreek Hill $6,900 $8,000
DK Metcalf $6,800 $6,900
Stefon Diggs $6,800 $7,000
Allen Robinson $6,700 $7,000
Amari Cooper $6,700 $7,100
Cooper Kupp $6,700 $7,200
Adam Thielen $6,600 $7,100
Keenan Allen $6,500 $6,900
Mike Evans $6,400 $7,400
Marquise Brown $6,300 $6,300
Robert Woods $6,300 $6,700
Michael Gallup $6,200 $5,900
Tyler Boyd $6,100 $6,000
DJ Chark $6,000 $6,800
Kenny Golladay $6,000 $7,300
Will Fuller $5,900 $6,100
Odell Beckham $5,800 $6,600
Terry McLaurin $5,800 $6,600
DeVante Parker $5,700 $6,500
Julian Edelman $5,700 $6,400
DJ Moore $5,600 $6,800
A.J. Green $5,500 $5,700
CeeDee Lamb $5,400 $5,600
Robby Anderson $5,400 $6,200
T.Y. Hilton $5,300 $5,900
Justin Jefferson $5,200 $5,400
Jarvis Landry $5,100 $5,700
John Brown $5,100 $6,100
Darius Slayton $5,000 $5,500
Tre’Quan Smith $5,000 $5,300
Anthony Miller $4,900 $5,500
Marvin Jones $4,900 $6,000
Curtis Samuel $4,800 $5,100
Emmanuel Sanders $4,800 $5,800
Randall Cobb $4,800 $5,400
Cole Beasley $4,700 $5,100
Golden Tate $4,600 $5,300
Hunter Renfrow $4,600 $5,300
Andy Isabella $4,500 $5,000
Brandin Cooks $4,500 $5,300
Keelan Cole $4,500 $5,600
Preston Williams $4,500 $5,500
Tee Higgins $4,500 $5,300
Christian Kirk $4,400 $5,400
Larry Fitzgerald $4,400 $5,100
Laviska Shenault $4,400 $5,200
Sammy Watkins $4,400 $5,600
Zach Pascal $4,400 $5,000
Mecole Hardman $4,300 $5,200
Mike Williams $4,200 $5,800
Josh Reynolds $4,100 $4,600
Scotty Miller $4,100 $5,000
Danny Amendola $4,000 $5,100
Miles Boykin $4,000 $4,700
N’Keal Harry $4,000 $5,300
Willie Snead $4,000 $5,200
Demarcus Robinson $3,900 $4,900
Chris Conley $3,700 $4,900
Dontrelle Inman $3,700 $5,000
Isaiah Ford $3,700 $4,600
Steven Sims $3,400 $4.900
Cedrick Wilson $3,200 $5,000
Gabriel Davis $3,200 $4,600
Kenny Stills $3,200 $4,700
Damiere Byrd $3,000 $4,500
Isaiah McKenzie $3,000 $4,500

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy –  Michael Thomas may return this week, but at what percent. I’d be more inclined to give him a chance if the sites had given us a returning from injury discount. It isn’t happening though, so just ignore him. I believe DeAndre Hopkins could have a very good game, but he has now missed a couple of consecutive practices this week. Check his Friday practice status before using him. Or better yet, just skip both of them and use your Cowboys and Seahawks again. Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf, and Amari Cooper all should be in your consideration every week at WR1. Metcalf is my favorite this week as teams may be more in on Lockett due to his three scores last week. Lest they forget that DK should have had a second score as well, if not for his bone-headed play. If you don’t choose one of those three consider target hog Keenan Allen. For WR2 I am targeting one of the following: Tyler Boyd, Will Fuller, Odell Beckham, DeVante Parker (my favorite), or Jarvis Landry. If you spend less at RB2, you may consider starting three from the above two lists. Otherwise, there are several decent WR3 options. My favorites this week are Andy Isabella, Tee Higgins, Preston Williams (if you don’t use DaVante Parker), Cole Beasley (especially if John Brown misses the game), and Laviska Shenault. Beyond them, there are a few cheap punt choices. I won’t use them unless I end up $24K+ at RB/FLEX. Danny Amendola, the Bills’ reserve options if Brown doesn’t play, and Damiere Byrd are the ones that interest me the most.

Fantasy Four Pack

Tyler Lockett, Seahawks @ MIA ($7900 DK, $7500 FD)
Three TDs and 9-100 on a team-high 13 targets, Tyler Lockett won’t reach these lofty figures every week. Still, his elite-level speed puts him into a position to break any catch into a touchdown. He has topped 90 yards and/or scored in every contest this season. Both will happen this week, just don’t count on three scores. Last year, no team gave up more WR touchdowns than Miami. They’ve improved this season, but not that much.

DK Metcalf, Seahawks @ MIA ($6800 DK, $6900 FD)
Yes, the top two WR scorers this week will come from the same team. Russell Wilson tried to get DK Metcalf two deep TDs last week. Unfortunately for DK, his nonchalance ended up in a fumbled touchback on one of those attempts. Through three weeks, Metcalf has exactly four catches each week. He has topped 90 receiving yards in each of those games and he has scored in each of those games too. I expect more catches this week, but the 90+ yards and the TD are locks as well. I will actually have more exposure to Metcalf than Lockett due to the price difference and recency bias which may have the chalk bets on Lockett instead. Still, if you want to do the triple stack with Russell, go right ahead.

Amari Cooper, Cowboys vs. CLE ($6700 DK, $7100 FD)
Amari Cooper doesn’t get to face the rotten Seahawks’ pass defense this week. Fortunately for his owners, Cleveland’s secondary isn’t much better. Opposing #1 WRs are averaging 5.3-89 against them, but only one has scored so far. That said, they have faced two mediocre offenses and a Ravens’ offense that is more run-focused. Cooper is the safest option week-to-week in this passing offense, and 7-100-1 is always in play.

Keenan Allen, Chargers @ TB ($6500 DK, $6900 FD)
Justin Herbert is already a better QB than Tyrod Taylor could ever dream of being. He also knows to throw to pepper one of the surest-handed receivers in the recent history of football in Keenan Allen. The two games that the pair have played together have featured 29 targets for Allen, including 19 last week. This has worked out to 20-228-1 for Allen over that pair of games. Tampa Bay wasn’t tested Week 1 when Michael Thomas left the game early with an injury. Since then, they have given up 13-175 to Carolina and Denver’s #1 WRs. I shouldn’t have to tell you that Herbert is already a better QB than either Teddy Bridgewater or Jeff Driskel as well. For those wanting to pivot completely from the Seahawks game, this is the easy pick.

DFS Sleepers

DeVante Parker, Dolphins vs. SEA ($5700 DK, $6500 FD)
Whoever faces Seattle this season will have to chuck the pigskin repeatedly to stay in contention. Ryan Fitzpatrick is not opposed to that, he has nothing to lose. Through three games, NINE different WRs have topped 70 receiving yards against this defense. Plus, SIX of those nine topped 100 yards against them. Devante Parker is the clear cut #1 for Fitzpatrick, so this will be his best game to date. You can even get cute and consider starting Preston Williams and Isaiah Ford as discount punt WR3 plays.

Laviska Shenault, Jaguars @ CIN ($4400 DK, $5200 FD)
I’m not going to take anything away from running back, favorite, James Robinson, but he has a great change-of-pace replacement in Laviska Shenault. Oh yeah, he also is one of the better WRs on their team as well. The new-look Cincinnati’ secondary has actually gelled faster than I expected, but with Joe Burrow throwing the ball nearly 50 times per week, opposing offenses will throw the ball a ton too. A shootout environment can also be foreseen here since Burrow’s Bengals will be facing gunslinger Gardner Minshew. Between carries and catches, Shenault should have little trouble reaching 3x value in a poor man’s Percy Harvin sort of way.

DraftKings FanDuel
Travis Kelce $6,800 $7,600
Mark Andrews $6,000 $7,400
Tyler Higbee $5,700 $6,000
Jared Cook $5,400 $6,300
Darren Waller $5,200 $6,700
Mike Gesicki $5,100 $5,700
T.J. Hockenson $4,800 $5,400
Hunter Henry $4,600 $6,100
Evan Engram $4,400 $5,600
Dalton Schultz $4,300 $4,900
Greg Olsen $4,100 $5,000
Austin Hooper $4,000 $5,100
Mo Alie-Cox $3,900 $5,300
Jimmy Graham $3,800 $5,300
Rob Gronkowski $3,600 $5,200
Dawson Knox $3,500 $4,600
Drew Sample $3,500 $4,700
Jack Doyle $3,500 $5,000
Logan Thomas $3,500 $4,900
Tyler Eifert $3,500 $4,800
Tyler Kroft $3,400 $4,700
Jordan Akins $3,300 $4,900
Kyle Rudolph $3,300 $4,800
Ian Thomas $3,000 $4,400
Jacob Hollister $2,900 $4,000

Tight End

Weekly strategy – I find myself looking at the top prices on the TE chart and questioning how Mike Gesicki, T.J. Hockenson, Hunter Henry, and Dalton Schultz are among the ten highest-priced. Even more amazingly, those are my favorite plays this week at the position. I don’t mind Travis Kelce at a reduced price, but he still has the specter of Bill Belichick staring at him. Mark Andrews also has a ridiculously low DK price, but his hands-of-stone showing last Monday has me fearing something is amiss in the city of Baltimore.  Even Tyler Higbee has a reasonable price tag, but the Giants’ tight end coverage has been surprisingly effective this year. Gesicki and Schultz will probably be my top-two in terms of usage. I also will go to the Drew Sample well again despite his poor showing last week. Outside of that consider Jordan Akins and the Buffalo and Jacksonville TEs as potential punt fodder. Perhaps, you could even consider Ian Thomas, he is facing the Cardinals.

Fantasy Four Pack

Mark Andrews, Ravens @ WAS ($6000 DK, $7400 FD)
Yes, the drops Monday night were concerning. This is still Mark Andrews though. He has shown remarkable hands throughout his short career, so we can likely chalk up Monday to a fluke. The DK $6K price is absurdly low against Washington, but I don’t love the FD $7.4K. Coming off of a bad game, expect Lamar Jackson to pepper his favorite target early and often. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him lock up a pair of scores here.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. NE ($6800 DK, $7600 FD)
Travis Kelce managed to put up a quality line against the tough as nails Ravens last week. He now was 85 or more receiving yards and/or a score in each game. New England does like to attempt to shut down a team’s best weapon, and they were successful in said goal against Darren Waller two weeks back. Still, Kelce has fared well against NE in the past averaging 5.7-52-0.5 over six games. Not elite trends, but certainly worth some exposure.

Tyler Higbee, Rams vs. NYG ($5700 DK, $6000 FD)
As I mentioned above, the Giants haven’t been horrible against opposing TEs. That alone raises a little worry in me. Nevertheless, the slate is a little thin up top. That elevates Tyler Higbee into a safe TE3/4 spot. Plus, the Giants stats may be slightly skewed here. They were dominant against the opposing TEs the first two weeks, but last week Jordan Reed and Ross Dwelley combined for 6-72. You don’t have to look far into recent history, last year they finished with the third-most TDs allowed to the position. I expect Los Angeles to run the ball a lot this game, but I also expect them to get Higbee back into the game script too.

Mike Gesicki, Dolphins vs. SEA ($5100 DK, $5700 FD)
Throughout this article, you’ve witnessed me bad-mouth Seattle’s pass defense repeatedly. Their TE defense doesn’t get a pass either. Their numbers look decent because their opponents have decimated them via the WR route, with nine WRs topping 70 receiving yards. When you look at the Dolphins’ offense, Mike Gesicki is no worse than their #3 option in the passing game. He has scored in back-to-back games and he went ham in Week 2 for 8-130 on 11 targets. There is a pretty clear path to targets here, and an even easier path to yardage.

DFS Sleepers

Dalton Schultz, Cowboys vs. CLE ($4300 DK, $4900 FD)
Even as the tenth-highest priced TE on DK this week, Dalton Schultz projects as a value. Cleveland finished last season allowing the second-most scores to the position. They are only fourth-worst in TDs allowed so far this season. Of course, they have also allowed the third-most receptions and tenth-highest number of receiving yards to the position through three weeks. Schultz’s numbers dipped from Week 2 to Week 3 as Cedrick Wilson stole the spotlight inside. I expect his numbers to trend back up here.

Drew Sample, Bengals vs. JAX ($3500 DK, $4700 FD)
Yes, I am going back to the small Drew Sample size play again. It burnt me badly last week, but I still have confidence in the young Bengal. Jacksonville has given up the fifth-most yardage and fourth-most TDs to the position, so opportunities should be there. Cincy wasn’t able to use their TEs last week, as they had to stay in and block to try and keep Joe Burrow upright. It didn’t work, Burrow was still planted eight times. Jacksonville’s pass rush is nowhere near as scary as Philly’s. They have exactly one sack in each of the first three games.

[lawrence-newsletter]

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 3

Fantasy Football DFS Domination

Wow, the carnage that was Week 2. If you sustained two or fewer injuries consider it a victory. Once again, I proved myself the original and true TE whisperer, but injuries to Davante Adams and every bell-cow RB in the league cost me the big payday. Fortunately with DFS, If you fall off your horse, you can immediately get back up again the following week.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

Sunday we get a battle of two grizzled veteran QBs each trending a different direction in their careers. Last Monday, Drew Brees looked like he should have retired this offseason. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers has looked like he is looking to serve to Green Bay management his foul thoughts about their drafting of Jordan Love. Brees is at home (Not that home-field advantage means much in the time of CoVid), so maybe he won’t be as atrocious as he was this past week.  Rodgers may be without his top weapon, Davante Adams, but he has played like he has a lot left to give. Still, with the consensus top-two fantasy QBs facing off on Sunday Night, Aaron and Drew will be looking at QB3 and QB4 at best. Aaron Jones has been dominant in both the passing and running game. He is actually starting to remind me of Alvin Kamara. Kamara dominated the touches for New Orleans last week with Michael Thomas out. Thomas should remain out, leaving Kamara and Jones your consensus RB1 and RB2. I could also see using Latavius Murray at FLEX if you decide to spend up at WR. Even if Davante Adams plays, a hamstring will likely slow him down. If that wasn’t enough he would also have to deal with Marshon Lattimore. Despite the quality QBs on this docket, the WR matchups aren’t great. I doubt I would use Adams much, if at all unless he has a full practice before Friday. If he is given a clean bill of health, I might use him as a pivot WR1. I actually wish he would take a week off to be fully repaired for their Week 4 contest. Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Allen Lazard are both legit WR2 options, and I would be happy to use either.

Emmanuel Sanders was handed the keys to a Ferrari last week and left the lot with a Yugo. It will be hard to trust him here, although he cannot possibly be targeted less. I guess you could use him at WR3, but I don’t love the matchup. Tre’Quan Smith was the actual WR-beneficiary of Thomas’ absence. He needs to be on your short-list for WR3. Deonte Harris looks like a future star in the league, but his time isn’t yet. I’m not going to dig that deep except in Showdown formats. At TE, Robert Tonyan or Marcedes Lewis could do 1/3 of the damage Darren Waller did and make themselves relevant at a cheap price. Still, they are TE5 and TE7 at best. Jared Cook was also inexcusably not used on MNF. That will need to change in this game. He will still be TE3 behind Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews, but the price difference may make the slide worth it. He also could be a useful FLEX, if you don’t use three RBs. On paper, the Saints’ defense is better than the Packers. They didn’t look the role last week, but the whole team was Vegas-drunk on the field. At home, I would list them at DEF1. The Packers get the defacto DEF2 spot, but I almost feel safer playing them than New Orleans.

Monday, Baltimore hosts Kansas City in a battle between the young phenoms, Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Both teams have electric offenses that can score from anywhere, but the Baltimore defense is far more proven than that of KC. Still, Mahomes has averaged 376-2.5 against this defense in two career starts. I’ll slot him in at QB2, but Jackson (despite lesser numbers against KC in their two meetings) gets the QB1 slot thanks to his rushing ability. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is the RB3 on this slate in a tough matchup. I still am tempted to use him at FLEX alongside both Jones and Kamara. We got a strange RB usage collection from Baltimore last week. J.K. Dobbins is clearly the most talented, but he played third-fiddle to both Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards. At this point, we need to ignore this backfield until Dobbins ascends to the rightful position on top. None is worthy of anything more than a FLEX slot. Tyreek Hill went off versus Baltimore last season, a sign that even an elite defense cannot contain Hill. He is the easy WR1 on this slate. Sammy Watkins did what we all expected and turned back into a pumpkin Week 2. Even if he was 100% healthy, I refuse to start him outside of Week 1. Demarcus Robinson is the safer play this week and he is worthy of WR3 consideration (especially if Watkins doesn’t suit up). Mecole Hardman also can be considered at WR3 if Watkins sits out.

Targets and yardage were pretty well split between Hollywood Brown, Miles Boykin, and Willie Snead last week. In Week 1, Brown was the clear alpha male in terms of yardage and Snead scored the touchdown. Brown remains a WR2 option here and Snead and Boykin can each be considered at WR3 or FLEX. KC had some difficulty covering Keenan Allen across the middle of the field last week, this could suggest Snead is the best option here working out of the slot. Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews are your TE1 and TE2 respectively. Start either of them, if you can afford them. Heck, I wouldn’t give you flack for starting both of them and benching one of the top-three RBs.  On talent alone, Baltimore has the best defense on the slate. Unfortunately, Mahomes has already proven that he can beat them. If they are your defense, don’t drop them in season long, just highly consider benching them for a week. I’ll leave them benched in DFS as well. The Chiefs defense has outperformed their talent level so far. Still, I will pass on using them here as anything other than a pivot.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $7.3K for either Russell Wilson or Dak Prescott. $7.8K for Derrick Henry. $6.4K for Miles Sanders. $6.5K for D.K Metcalf. $5.4K for CeeDee Lamb. $3.9K for Adam Humphries (assuming A.J. Brown is out), otherwise $4K for Michael Pittman. $3.5K for Drew Sample. $5K for Joshua Kelley at FLEX. $3.7K for the Buccaneers’ defense.

At FD: $8.5K for Prescott. $8.2K for Henry. $7.4K for Sanders. $8K for Calvin Ridley. $6.5K for Metcalf. $5.6K for Lamb. $4.9K for Sample or Dalton Schultz. $5.9K for Kelley at FLEX. $4.8K for the Colts’ defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Prescott, Kyler Murray at SF, Henry, Sanders, DeAndre Hopkins, Amari Cooper, Corey Davis, Sample, and Kelley at FLEX.

DraftKings FanDuel
Russell Wilson $7,300 $8,700
Dak Prescott $7,200 $8,500
Josh Allen $6,900 $8,100
Kyler Murray $6,800 $8,400
Cam Newton $6,700 $7,700
Matt Ryan $6,600 $7,800
Deshaun Watson $6,500 $8,000
Ben Roethlisberger $6,400 $7,500
Matthew Stafford $6,300 $7,300
Joe Burrow $6,200 $7,400
Tom Brady $6,100 $7,300
Philip Rivers $6,000 $7,000
Justin Herbert $5,900 $7,200
Ryan Tannehill $5,900 $7,400
Carson Wentz $5,800 $7,600
Baker Mayfield $5,700 $7,100
Mitchell Trubisky $5,700 $7,500
Jared Goff $5,600 $7,200
Daniel Jones $5,500 $6,900
Kirk Cousins $5,500 $7,100
Derek Carr $5,400 $6,800
Jeff Driskel $5,300 $6,500
Dwayne Haskins $5,200 $6,600
Teddy Bridgewater $5,200 $6,700
Nick Mullens $5,100 $6,500
Sam Darnold $5,000 $6,600

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – The Dallas-Seattle contest is the easy target here. I fully expect to choose either Dak Prescott or Russell Wilson for most of my lineups. Kyler Murray is my pivot. I don’t love any of the middle tier QBs. Philip Rivers has a good matchup, but it  feels like a low scoring game. Ryan Tannehill, Carson Wentz, Joe Burrow, and Ben Roethlisberger have the most upside. The only punt option I will even consider is Nick Mullens.

Fantasy Four Pack

Russell Wilson, Seahawks vs DAL ($7300 DK, $8700 FD)
What’s not to like? Through the first two weeks Russell Wilson has nearly as many touchdowns as incompletions. Dallas’ secondary is middle of the pack at best, and this projects to be a shootout.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys @ SEA ($7200 DK, $8500 FD)
No team has allowed more passing yards this year than the Seahawks. Plus, they have given up two QB rushing scores. This game has the highest over currently, and I expect it to be obliterated. Each QB should top 350 total yards and each will account for at least three total TDs.  I firmly expect Russell to be the leader in ownership, so Dak might be the wiser play here.

Kyler Murray, Cardinals vs. DET ($6800 DK, $8400 FD)
Detroit is still without their top two cornerbacks, but rookie Jeff Okudah is back (although it seems he doesn’t have his own coaches’ support). Kyler Murray is doing his best Lamar Jackson impersonation, throwing for a TD in each game, plus adding three on the ground. He is also averaging 79 rushing yards per game. This week Murray is the sneaky pivot play, if you want to be contrarian against the DAL-SEA game. He is the only QB on this slate with any chance of besting their point totals.

Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers vs. HOU ($6400 DK, $7500 FD)
Ben Roethlisberger at home is always a playable option. Especially, with the development of Diontae Johnson as a legit WR2 in that offense. Houston has faced Patrick Mahomes followed by Lamar Jackson, so they may be spent coming into this game. Or worse yet, they may underestimate the Steelers’ offense after facing those two dynamos. I’m not going to predict 300-3 here, but 275-2 is a lock. In an otherwise weak QB room this week, that puts Big Ben in play.

DFS Sleepers

Philip Rivers, Colts vs. NYJ ($6000 DK, $7000 FD)
Philip Rivers underperformed last week, but it wasn’t really his fault. Indianapolis didn’t have to throw the ball much as Jonathan Taylor was eating. The Jets rushing defense is not as good as I gave them credit for  last week. That said, their passing defense is still worse. That FD price is slightly off-putting, but I could see throwing out a couple DK lineups. He also makes a nice SF play on FB.

Ryan Tannehill, Titans @ MIN ($5900 DK, $7400 FD)
Much like Philip Rivers last week, Ryan Tannehill may not need to throw the ball a ton here. Still, if he does the matchup is juicy as Minnesota cannot cover anyone. Tannehill has stolen all of the TD thunder this year from Derrick Henry. That will change this week, but I still see Tannehill throwing for 275-2. In case things go pear-shaped for Henry in this game, Tannehill should be able to pick up the slack. So don’t be afraid to do a Tannehill-Davis/Humphries-Jonnu stack and pray that Henry is once again held out of the end zone.

DraftKings FanDuel
Ezekiel Elliott $8,300 $9,000
Derrick Henry $7,800 $8,200
Dalvin Cook $7,600 $8,600
Josh Jacobs $7,300 $8,300
Jonathan Taylor $7,000 $6,700
Nick Chubb $6,900 $7,800
Austin Ekeler $6,800 $7,500
James Conner $6,700 $7,100
Chris Carson $6,600 $7,700
Miles Sanders $6,400 $7,400
Leonard Fournette $6,200 $6,400
Kareem Hunt $6,100 $6,200
Kenyan Drake $6,000 $6,500
Joe Mixon $5,900 $7,000
Melvin Gordon $5,800 $6,500
Todd Gurley $5,800 $6,600
David Montgomery $5,700 $6,100
Devonta Freeman $5,500 $5,200
Darrell Henderson $5,400 $5,800
David Johnson $5,400 $6,900
Dion Lewis $5,300 $5,500
James White $5,300 $5,300
Malcolm Brown $5,200 $5,600
Mike Davis $5,100 $6,000
D’Andre Swift $5,000 $5,300
Joshua Kelley $5,000 $5,900
Ronald Jones $5,000 $5,600
Devin Singletary $4,900 $5,900
Jerick McKinnon $4,900 $5,700
Wayne Gallman $4,900 $5,400
Nyheim Hines $4,800 $5,300
Antonio Gibson $4,700 $5,500
Adrian Peterson $4,500 $5,100
Zack Moss $4,500 $5,200
Frank Gore $4,400 $5,400
Sony Michel $4,400 $5,700
Carlos Hyde $4,300 $5,500
Peyton Barber $4,300 $5,100
Tarik Cohen $4,300 $5,000
Cam Akers $4,200 $5,500
Giovani Bernard $4,200 $4,800
Kerryon Johnson $4,200 $5,200
J.D. McKissic $4,000 $4,800
Jeff Wilson $4,000 $5,200
Josh Adams $4,000 $4,700
Rex Burkhead $4,000 $4,800

Running Back

Weekly strategy – The top of the price chart looks very different without Christian McCaffrey and Saquan Barkley. In these odd days, I find myself looking at this chart and thinking there is very little reason to not roster Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor on every lineup. Ezekiel Elliott and Dalvin Cook aren’t horrible as pivots, but I expect to have a lot of other exposure to the DAL-SEA game, and the Vikings’ O-Line is highly concerning. I especially do not like the fact that both Cook and Zeke, as well as Josh Jacobs, are more expensive than Henry on FD. If I do pivot, the easier choices would be Austin Ekeler or Miles Sanders. Considering the price difference, and the likely high-ownership level for Henry, Sanders is the clear contrarian play. In the mid-tier, there are three names that jump out with good matchups: James White, Melvin Gordon, and Mike Davis. I doubt I will have much exposure to any of them outside of FLEX. The one mid-priced RB that I will have massive exposure to is Joshua Kelley. Considering the matchup and the price, it would behoove you to pencil in Kelley in every FLEX slot. Heck, I may even put him into RB2, if I want to spend up at WR. If you don’t use Kelley at FLEX, please roster Ekeler at RB2. The punt options I may have some interest in include: Devin Singletary, the 49ers pairing, Antonio Gibson, and Tarik Cohen.

Fantasy Four Pack

Derrick Henry, Titans @ MIN ($7800 DK, $8200 FD)
Amazingly, Derrick Henry has not scored a TD yet this year. That will change on the Titans’ first drive of this game. Minnesota is currently playing with only one returning starting defensive lineman from last year and without one of their top-two linebackers. One week after Aaron Jones destroyed this run defense’s will to live, Jonathan Taylor piled it on flattening them like a steamroller. Derrick Henry is a battering ram not unlike Taylor and Jones, so I expect similar outcomes. As long as Ryan Tannehill doesn’t hog all of the scoring opportunities, this legitimately could be one of those slate-busting 225-3 type of games for Henry. He will have near 100% ownership, so bear that in mind if you want to be contrarian. Still, do you want to be on the outside looking in if he does go off? If I do skip Henry, I would use Miles Sanders or Austin Ekeler and pray against the chalk.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys @ SEA ($8300 DK, $9000 FD)
We already know that this will be a high-scoring game. This could possibly hurt Ezekiel Elliott if he doesn’t get the carries he normally does. He will still get a healthy dose of runs and a fair amount of catches out of the backfield too, so don’t completely ignore him. That said, I am going to have immense exposure to both passing attacks in this game. In these situations, you need to be careful not to be over-exposed to one game. With lesser prices assigned to both Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor, this seems like the easy fade in the DAL-SEA game. If you are dead-set on playing Zeke this week, may I suggest fading the rest of that game, and then loading up on Chargers and Titans.

Jonathan Taylor, Colts vs. NYJ ($7000 DK, $6700 FD)
I gave the Jets’ run defense way too much credit going into Week 2. Jerick McKinnon and Raheem Mostert had their way with this group. Now, New York gets to face an even tougher challenge in Jonathan Taylor and the Colts’ offensive line. Without Marlon Mack, Taylor lodged 26 carries against the Vikings. Jordan Wilkins served as the change of pace option last week, and Nyheim Hines barely saw the field. That was a bit puzzling. I firmly expect Hines to return to his pass-catching role as the season progresses. That said, there isn’t going to be a need for that in this game as the Colts will lead throughout. That means another healthy carry load for Taylor.

Austin Ekeler, Chargers vs. CAR ($6800 DK, $7500 FD)
Carolina is officially the RB whipping boy for 2020. On the year, they are allowing an average of 185 total yards, three TDs, and 9.5 receptions to opposing backs. At this point, you can start both Austin Ekeler and Joshua Kelley without a problem. Ekeler is a great pivot from the top-dollar guys this week. His numbers will only be limited by Kelley’s activity. I still see each of them posting well over 100 total yards and each will score at least once.

DFS Sleepers

Joshua Kelley, Chargers vs. CAR ($5000 DK, $5900 FD)
As much as I love Austin Ekeler at his price, I love Joshua Kelley even more so at his price. One of the two must be in your lineup, and if you want to roll both of them, I wouldn’t blame you. As I mentioned just above, they will both go ham this week. The biggest question mark is, will they each score twice, or will one of them score only once?

James White, Patriots vs. LVR ($5300 DK, $5300 FD)
James White suffered a personal tragedy last weekend when his father was killed and his mother was critically injured in a car accident. No one should ever be subjected to that sort of horror. I can’t even fathom what must have been going through his mind. As of Wednesday, White hadn’t returned to practice. So, you will need to watch the reports this Friday to see if he will be back this week. If he returns, the matchup is sweet against a Raiders’ run defense that has given up four rushing TDs, the league-high in RB receiving yards, and the league fourth-high in running back receptions. If he sits out this week (and I would fully understand if he did), the other value play RB is Mike Davis taking over the CMAC role on the road in Los Angeles. My concern here is that he will be over-owned.

DraftKings FanDuel
DeAndre Hopkins $7,900 $8,500
Julio Jones $7,400 $7,800
Calvin Ridley $7,200 $8,000
Stefon Diggs $7,000 $6,900
Adam Thielen $6,900 $7,200
Mike Evans $6,800 $7,700
Chris Godwin $6,700 $7,900
JuJu Smith-Schuster $6,600 $7,000
Amari Cooper $6,500 $7,000
DK Metcalf $6,500 $6,500
Tyler Lockett $6,400 $6,800
Cooper Kupp $6,300 $7,100
Odell Beckham $6,300 $6,800
Allen Robinson $6,200 $6,900
Julian Edelman $6,200 $6,500
Kenny Golladay $6,200 $7,500
DJ Moore $6,100 $6,700
Keenan Allen $6,100 $7,100
Robert Woods $6,100 $6,600
A.J. Brown $6,000 $6,500
A.J. Green $6,000 $5,900
Will Fuller $6,000 $6,000
Terry McLaurin $5,900 $6,700
Tyler Boyd $5,900 $5,800
Marvin Jones $5,800 $6,100
John Brown $5,700 $6,400
T.Y. Hilton $5,600 $6,200
Jarvis Landry $5,500 $5,800
Michael Gallup $5,500 $5,700
CeeDee Lamb $5,400 $5,600
Diontae Johnson $5,400 $6,300
Jamison Crowder $5,300 $6,000
Brandin Cooks $5,200 $5,700
Corey Davis $5,200 $5,300
DeSean Jackson $5,200 $5,500
Robby Anderson $5,200 $6,100
Russell Gage $5,100 $5,600
Henry Ruggs $5,000 $5,400
Jerry Jeudy $5,000 $5,300
Kendrick Bourne $5,000 $5,500
Anthony Miller $4,900 $5,500
Darius Slayton $4,900 $5,500
Danny Amendola $4,600 $5,200
Larry Fitzgerald $4,600 $5,400
Christian Kirk $4,500 $5,600
Cole Beasley $4,500 $5,300
Golden Tate $4,500 $5,400
Zach Pascal $4,500 $5,100
Randall Cobb $4,400 $5,200
Hunter Renfrow $4,300 $5,100
Mike Williams $4,300 $5,700
Justin Jefferson $4,200 $4,900
N’Keal Harry $4,200 $5,300
Brandon Aiyuk $4,100 $4,800
James Washington $4,100 $4,900
Curtis Samuel $4,000 $5,100
Michael Pittman $4,000 $5,000
Quintez Cephus $4,000 $4,900
Scotty Miller $4,000 $5,000
Steven Sims $4,000 $4,900
Adam Humphries $3,900 $4,600
Breshad Perriman $3,900 $5,200
Nelson Agholor $3,800 $4,800
Bryan Edwards $3,700 $4.900
Chase Claypool $3,700 $5,000
Chris Hogan $3,700 $5,000
Braxton Berrios $3,600 $5,100
Greg Ward $3,400 $4,700
Mohamed Sanu $3,000 $4,900

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy –  There are a lot of good but not great options up top this week. DeAndre Hopkins is the only sure thing, but his price is appropriately high. If you wish to spend lower at RB, you can probably utilize Hopkins. As for me, I will join the huddled masses and go all-in on the DAL-SEA game. DK Metcalf and Amari Cooper are primed for huge performances. That said, they will also have high ownership. Using Tyler Lockett and/or Michael Gallup instead of Metcalf and/or Cooper might be the slier option. If you choose to use Big Ben, make sure to pair him with JuJu Smith-Schuster up top or Diontae Johnson for less (assuming he plays). Several people may scroll down and see Allen Robinson versus Atlanta. Do you really trust Mitchell Trubisky to have another decent performance? Show me don’t tell me. At WR2, I could also see you using Terry McLaurin, CeeDee Lamb (if you don’t use Gallup or Cooper), Corey Davis, DeSean Jackson, or Russell Gage. You could also use any of them at WR3. Punt options that I like this week are Darius Slayton, the Cardinals’ backups, Adam Humphries, Greg Ward, and Braxton Berrios. That said, Humphries is the only one from that list that I will have significant exposure to (and then only if A.J. Brown misses the game).

Fantasy Four Pack

DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals vs DET ($7900 DK, $8500 FD)
DeAndre Hopkins gets his turn against the depleted Lions’ secondary. Davante Adams left the game early last week with an injury. That was the only thing that kept him from a great game. Marquez Valdes-Scantling stepped in and the two combined for 100 yards. With so much exposure to the DAL-SEA passing game, Hopkins might make a sneaky pivot. The negative is that Hopkins costs more. Still, if you choose to use Kyler Murray, you really need to use his top option in the receiving game. If you don’t use Hopkins consider using Larry Fitzgerald or Christian Kirk at WR3.

Calvin Ridley, Falcons vs. CHI ($7200 DK, $8000 FD)
Take nothing away from the Chicago pass defense. They can stifle some of the best. This is simply a case of Calvin Ridley emerging as one of the best of the best. Through two weeks, Ridley leads the league in receiving TDs and he is tied for the most receiving yards. I’m torn as to what effect an absent Julio Jones would have on this game. With Jones on the field (even as a decoy), Ridley will receive lesser coverage. However, if Jones is limited or a no-go, Ridley may see even more targets thrown his way. Either way, you can count on 8-125-1 from Ridley as a floor. This is another situation where if you don’t use the big dollar option, consider using Russell Gage at WR3.

DK Metcalf, Seahawks vs. DAL ($6500 DK, $6500 FD)
Speaking of breakout performances, DK Metcalf served the world notice by making Stephon Gilmore look like an every day ham-and-egger. Dallas does not have anyone that I believe can cover this chiseled beast. We are looking at a shootout in this contest, so anything less than 8-100-1 would seem a failure.

Amari Cooper, Cowboys @ SEA ($6500 DK, $7000 FD)
If this game is going to devolve into a shootout, I want as much exposure as possible. Amari Cooper trails only DeAndre Hopkins among all WR in targets. That trend will likely continue this week. I should clarify that I like all three of Dallas’ WRs as legit plays this week. Amongst them, Cooper may have the lowest ownership since he is the most expensive of the three. He also will likely have lower ownership than Metcalf, who is coming off the breakout game. The easy solution, give me Cooper and Metcalf and sprinkle in something cheaper at WR3. Cooper hasn’t scored yet this year, that changes this week.

DFS Sleepers

Corey Davis, Titans @ MIN ($5200 DK, $5300 FD)
A.J. Brown may not go this weekend. It shouldn’t matter since he won’t be needed for Tennessee to win this game. Minnesota’s secondary was already young and inexperienced. Now, they will likely be without the two best of the inexperienced guys. Corey Davis didn’t have the large output of yardage he had in Week 1, but he scored in Week 2. This week, he accomplishes both.

Russell Gage, Falcons vs. CHI ($5100 DK, $5600 FD)
If I told you after two weeks that two Falcons’ WRs were among the top-ten in targets, you would have guessed it was Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. In reality, Russell Gage has more targets than Julio who was slowed down last week by an injury. Now it appears that Julio is questionable at best for this weekend. If he cannot go, that will undoubtedly increase the target share for Gage. His price is considerably cheaper than Ridley and there is no chance that he will face the Bears’ top cover cornerback. If you don’t roll him out this week, when will you?

DraftKings FanDuel
George Kittle $6,300 $7,500
Tyler Higbee $5,900 $6,100
Darren Waller $5,700 $6,600
Noah Fant $5,400 $5,800
T.J. Hockenson $5,300 $5,400
Jonnu Smith $5,200 $5,600
Zach Ertz $5,100 $6,200
Evan Engram $5,000 $5,900
Dallas Goedert $4,900 $5,200
Hunter Henry $4,800 $6,000
Hayden Hurst $4,700 $5,700
Dalton Schultz $4,500 $4,900
Austin Hooper $4,400 $5,300
Eric Ebron $4,300 $4,700
Greg Olsen $4,200 $5,100
Jordan Reed $4,000 $5,300
Jack Doyle $3,900 $5,200
Mo Alie-Cox $3,800 $5,000
Logan Thomas $3,700 $4,900
Drew Sample $3,500 $4,800
O.J. Howard $3,500 $4,700
Chris Herndon $3,400 $5,000
Dawson Knox $3,400 $4,600
Jimmy Graham $3,400 $5,100
Jordan Akins $3,400 $5,000
Rob Gronkowski $3,300 $5,000
Kyle Rudolph $3,100 $4,500
Ian Thomas $3,000 $4,600
Irv Smith $2,800 $4,600

Tight End

Weekly strategy – So many bargains at the TE position this week. Even the expensive options aren’t that expensive. I’m a little concerned about George Kittle coming back too early from injury and I’m also concerned about Bill Belichick trying to shut down Darren Waller. Outside of that, start any of these guys. Jonnu Smith is the popular new-guy who will have huge ownership against the rotten Vikings’ defense. Tyler Higbee is the young star coming off the three-score game. Then there is Zach Ertz, the veteran with the team with no WRs facing a questionable secondary. Let us not forget, Evan Engram, who gets to absorb both Sterling Shepard and Saquan Barkley’s targets. Not to mention, guys like Dalton Schultz and Greg Olsen in the DAL-SEA point orgy and Jordan Reed if George Kittle cannot go. This smells like one of those weeks where I could roll out the Double-TE. I especially am tempted to play Drew Sample against the same Philly defense that allowed Higbee to score three times last week.

Fantasy Four Pack

Tyler Higbee, Rams @ BUF ($5900 DK, $6100 FD)
I am concerned a little about the Rams traveling east for an early game. That said, my concern falls more on Cooper Kupp and especially Robert Woods since they also must face the Bills’ tough cornerbacks. In the first two weeks, Buffalo did fumble some at covering TEs. Chris Herndon and Mike Gesicki combined to post 14-167-1 against them. I’d argue that Higbee is better than either of them. If Jared Goff struggles to find his WRs open, expect a huge game from Higbee.

Jonnu Smith, Titans @ MIN ($5200 DK, $5600 FD)
Without A.J. Brown in the lineup, Jonnu Smith led Tennessee in receiving yards last week. This week he faces another easy opponent in Minnesota. The Vikings just got done allowing 5-111 to reserve TE, Mo Alie-Cox in Week 2. Even if Brown plays, I expect Smith to top 100 yards. What remains to be seen, however, is whether he vultures one of Derrick Henry’s likely four TDs.

Zach Ertz, Eagles vs. CIN ($5100 DK, $6200 FD)
Stop me if you’ve heard this before. Philadelphia is short-handed at WR. Fortunately for the Eagles, they have two of the best TEs in football in Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert. Goedert actually has more targets than Ertz through two weeks, but Ertz is the proven veteran who stepped up and led the team to finish the 2019 season. Ertz also caught five of his seven targets last week while Goedert dropped half of his. Carson Wentz will target both of them double-digit times this week, and I don’t blame you for rolling with either of them.

Darren Waller, Raiders @ NE ($5700 DK, $6600 FD)
I was down on Darren Waller this offseason. I was concerned by the sheer volume of receiving options that the team brought in. I was wrong. Waller has taken the next step. He now joins George Kittle, Travis Kelce, and Mark Andrews in the elite TE tier. Bill Belichick has a habit of strategizing to take out an opponents’ best players, but we saw how poorly that worked on DK Metcalf last week. Waller is talented enough to best this defense, just don’t go overboard here, since there are cheaper options.

DFS Sleepers

Dalton Schultz, Cowboys @ SEA ($4400 DK, $5300 FD)
In case you need more exposure to this game, may I suggest Dalton Schultz. My namesake went off last week as he got to absorb the hype that was previously destined for Blake Jarwin. Seattle hasn’t been properly tested by a TE yet this year, but last year they allowed the second-most yardage and the third-most receptions to the position. If you decide you want a Cowboys’ receiver without spending up for Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, or Michael Gallup, consider Schultz here. He actually led the team in targets and receptions last week. Plus, there are more than enough points to go around here.

Drew Sample, Bengals @ PHI ($3500 DK, $4800 FD)
It is clear that Joe Burrow likes to target the TE position. Through two weeks, Burrow has targeted Drew Sample and C.J. Uzomah a total of 21 times. The pair has accumulated a total of 16-139-1. Now Uzomah is done for the year leaving Sample to be the primary weapon from the TE spot. He was peppered repeatedly in Week 2 following the injury and I expect more of the same here. Plus, Philadelphia just allowed three TDs to Tyler Higbee, so there is chum in the water.

[lawrence-newsletter]

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 2

Breaking down the top plays and best sleeper targets for Week 2 NFL DFS fantasy football contests.

So, what did we learn from Week 1? Nobody is immune to injuries. Cheap chalk replacement-level RBs cannot be trusted. Don’t tinker too much on Sunday morning (I – and my wallet – apologize to you, Davante Adams). Carolina against RBs is the new Arizona versus TEs, and nobody can lose a game quite like Detroit.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

We are back to a two-game primetime slate this week. I enjoyed the MNF doubleheader, but my standard sleep schedule approves of the return to normalcy.

On Sunday night, the Patriots set out west to Seattle. The Seahawks were just torched through the air by the Falcons, but the Patriots do not have the WR weaponry that Atlanta had. Still, with Michael Thomas all but out on Monday. You have to consider N’Keal Harry and Julian Edelman as legit WR2 options. You also have to consider Cam Newton as the possible QB1. Even more confusing is the RB position. Both New England and Seattle have muddled backfields, with very little to truly rely on. You probably have to choose at least one of the fivesome of Carlos Hyde, Chris Carson, Rex Burkhead, Sony Michel, and James White. White and Carson are the most consistent in that group, so I will lean on one of them (likely in FLEX). Russell Wilson has two very good WRs to lean on, as well as his own legs. The Patriots pass defense’ is still solid, but with Thomas likely out, you have to consider Tyler Lockett or DK Metcalf as the likely WR1 here by default. Greg Olsen scored in Week 1 versus Atlanta, but he is no better than TE3 on this slate. That said, I could see using him at FLEX if you don’t use one of the above RBs.  I’m not going to waste a spot on either of these defenses unless I am seeking a pivot from the obvious Saints play.

New Orleans also travels west to lock horns with the Raiders. Las Vegas showcased their offense in Week 1, but it was against the junior varsity defense of Carolina. New Orleans’ defense will humble Derek Carr and Company very fast. Carr might be QB5 on this slate behind Taysom Hill depending on contest positioning rules. Josh Jacobs is probably RB2 just because of the lack of clear talent in the Sunday night game. I don’t love him here, but volume alone makes him a safe play. Plus, Jalen Richard didn’t get utilized enough to be considered seriously here. Nelson Agholor, Henry Ruggs, Hunter Renfrow, and Bryan Edwards are a deep collection of mediocrity. They are facing an elite secondary, and none should be thought of as more than a WR3 this week. I don’t even think I can stomach that play. Darren Waller on the other hand is an elite play and he deserves consideration at TE or FLEX. For New Orleans, Drew Brees would be the clear QB1, if Michael Thomas would play. I’m not holding my breath on that. Even without Thomas, Brees is probably QB2 here. A nearly 100% Thomas is still the WR1 on this slate. Heck, a nearly 85% Thomas is WR1 as well. If Thomas sits, Emmanuel Sanders is no worse than WR2, and he suddenly joins the Seahawks duo in WR1 consideration. In addition, Tre’quan Smith would jump into WR3 talk. Alvin Kamara was clearly not 100% in Week 1. He still scored twice and almost scored a third time. His numbers will be limited by his volume, but he should still be in RB1 or RB2 range. Latavius Murray could also be considered at RB2 or FLEX. Jared Cook joins Waller in TE1 talk and he becomes a must-start if Thomas is out. The Saints’ defense should be option 1, option 2, and option 3 at the position on this slate. Don’t get cute here.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $6.9K for Aaron Rodgers. $7.9K for Derrick Henry $4.5K for Benny Snell (if James Conner cannot go, otherwise take your pick of Josh Adams, James Robinson, one of the Washington running backs, or Miles Gaskin). $8.1K for Davante Adams. $5.2K for Anthony Miller. $4.5K for Parris Campbell. $4.2K for Jonnu Smith. $4.8K for Leonard Fournette at FLEX. $3.9K for the Bills’ defense.

At FD: $7.9K for Rodgers. $8.3K for Henry. $8K for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. $8.6K for Adams. $6K for Jamison Crowder. $5.3K for Campbell. $4.9K for Jonnu. $6K for Fournette at FLEX. $4.9K for the Bills’ defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Rodgers, Jimmy Garoppolo at SF, Henry, Edwards-Helaire, Adams, Julio Jones, Campbell, Jonnu, and Fournette at FLEX.

DraftKings FanDuel
Lamar Jackson $8,200 $9,500
Patrick Mahomes $7,700 $9,000
Aaron Rodgers $6,900 $7,900
Dak Prescott $6,800 $8,300
Josh Allen $6,700 $8,200
Matt Ryan $6,600 $7,700
Tom Brady $6,500 $7,600
Deshaun Watson $6,400 $7,900
Ben Roethlisberger $6,300 $7,500
Matthew Stafford $6,200 $7,200
Kyler Murray $6,100 $8,000
Carson Wentz $6,000 $7,300
Kirk Cousins $5,900 $7,400
Philip Rivers $5,900 $7,100
Ryan Tannehill $5,900 $7,000
Daniel Jones $5,800 $6,900
Gardner Minshew $5,800 $7,000
Jared Goff $5,800 $6,900
Teddy Bridgewater $5,800 $7,100
Jimmy Garoppolo $5,700 $7,100
Mitchell Trubisky $5,500 $7,200
Drew Lock $5,400 $6,700
Tyrod Taylor $5,300 $6,800
Ryan Fitzpatrick $5,200 $6,500
Dwayne Haskins $5,100 $6,500
Sam Darnold $5,100 $6,600

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Aaron Rodgers is the easy and obvious play this week. Unfortunately, everyone knows this. If you want to seek out a pivot, consider Josh Allen or Matt Ryan. I’d also consider Dak Prescott and Lamar Jackson on DK. If I decide to punt the position, Philip Rivers, Jimmy Garoppolo, Jared Goff and Ryan Tannehill would be my choices. My suicide dive this week would be trusting in Tyrod Taylor again after his first-week fiasco. He did have the green light to throw the deep ball, and he will certainly need to this week. If you are going to go down this rabbit hole, fully embrace it and stack him with either Mike Williams or Keenan Allen.

Fantasy Four Pack

Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs DET ($6900 DK, $7900 FD)
Aaron Rodgers just disassembled the Vikings’ kiddie corps cornerbacks. They get easy assignment number two this week, as Detroit will likely be without their top three cornerbacks. Rodgers is likely to be playing with a chip on his shoulder all season as the Packers wasted a high pick on his supposed heir apparent. Rodgers’ Stone Cold Salute tour continues here with an easy 350-3 for the not-nearly-washed veteran.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens @ HOU ($8200 DK, $9500 FD)
Houston’s defense isn’t as bad as it appeared against Kansas City. Still, you have to feel bad for this unit being forced to lock horns with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson in the first two games of the year. Mahomes ate the Texans’ defense alive thanks in part to his depth. Lamar Jackson is surrounded by great runners, but only Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews truly strike fear in the passing game. Jackson is always a lock for 225-1 through the air and 60-1 on the ground, and that doesn’t change this week. I’m just going to dodge him on FD where the price is a bit too high.

Josh Allen, Bills @ MIA ($6700 DK, $8200 FD)
One week into the season and Miami is already flailing in their rushing defense allowing 217 yards on the ground to New England. 75 of those yards and two of the scores went to the no-longer-running QB, Cam Newton. Newton’s legs may be past their prime, but he did a number on the Dolphins. Josh Allen is a younger, healthier version of Newton, arguably with a stronger arm. Working against Allen is that John Brown is nursing a foot injury and Stefon Diggs will likely lock horns with Xavien Howard. Working in Allen’s favor is that he is coming off a huge rushing game. Considering the matchup, Allen could produce a Lamar Jackson like line for more than a thousand fewer dollars.

Matt Ryan, Falcons @ DAL ($6600 DK, $7700 FD)
Matt Ryan failed to lead his team to victory Week 1, but he did manage to rattle the digit counters for 450-2. There is no way to properly cover Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage, and Hayden Hurst. The numbers will continue to bulge your eyes all season, as long as everyone remains healthy. Dallas is middle of the pack against the pass, which should be good enough to hold Ryan to 325-2. That is still an easy lock for fourth-best on this slate. Dak Prescott just missed this top-4, so feel free to use him as well. On FB, I wouldn’t blame you for double-stacking this game in SF.

DFS Sleepers

Philip Rivers, Colts vs. MIN ($5900 DK, $7100 FD)
We learned last week that Minnesota’s pass defense is not ready for primetime. We also learned that if you give Philip Rivers a professional offensive line, he can pick apart a secondary despite being slightly less mobile than the Statue of Liberty. Due to their prices, I adore the stack of Rivers with Parris Campbell. That said, I don’t have any problem with stacking him with Nyheim Hines, T.Y. Hilton, or even Jack Doyle as well.

Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers @ NYJ ($5700 DK, $7100 FD)
This recommendation is predicated on the 49ers’ receiving corps being healthy. If the team can get back Brandon Aiyuk or George Kittle this week, the Jets will have their hands full. Jimmy Garoppolo managed to throw for two TDs last week despite his top receivers being a trio of RBs and Kittle (who left halfway through the game). The Niners also added Mohamed Sanu to their receiver group earlier this week. He has familiarity with Kyle Shanahan’s offense, and he is a well-traveled veteran, so he should be able to step right in and contribute. I don’t love the FD price, but his DK price should make him a sneaky QB punt play.

DraftKings FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey $10,000 $10,500
Saquan Barkley $8,400 $9,000
Ezekiel Elliott $8,200 $8,600
Derrick Henry $7,900 $8,300
Dalvin Cook $7,600 $8,800
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $7,400 $8,000
Aaron Jones $7,100 $7,700
James Conner $6,800 $6,900
Austin Ekeler $6,500 $6,900
Raheem Mostert $6,400 $6,500
Todd Gurley $6,100 $7,000
Miles Sanders $6,000 $6,800
Kenyan Drake $5,900 $6,600
David Johnson $5,800 $7,200
Jonathan Taylor $5,700 $5,800
Malcolm Brown $5,700 $5,200
David Montgomery $5,600 $5,600
Mark Ingram $5,400 $6,200
Nyheim Hines $5,300 $5,500
Devin Singletary $5,200 $6,000
Melvin Gordon $5,200 $6,700
Ronald Jones $5,200 $5,900
J.K. Dobbins $5,100 $5,700
Philip Lindsay $5,100 $5,000
Boston Scott $5,000 $5,300
D’Andre Swift $4,900 $5,200
Leonard Fournette $4,800 $6,000
Tarik Cohen $4,800 $5,000
Zack Moss $4,800 $5,200
Adrian Peterson $4,700 $5,500
Jordan Howard $4,700 $5,100
Joshua Kelley $4,700 $5,500
Corey Clement $4,600 $4,700
Darell Henderson $4,600 $4,900
Cam Akers $4,500 $5,600
Frank Gore $4,500 $5,400
Matt Breida $4,500 $4,800
James Robinson $4,400 $5,300
Josh Adams $4,400 $4,900
Peyton Barber $4,400 $5,400
Antonio Gibson $4,300 $5,100
Myles Gaskin $4,300 $4,900
J.D. McKissic $4,100 $4,600
Justin Jackson $4,000 $5,000
Kerryon Johnson $4,000 $5,000

Running Back

Weekly strategy – This week, I am all in on three stud RBs. Ezekiel Elliott, Derrick Henry, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are all super juicy based on their prices. I am going to do everything possible to fit two of that threesome in every lineup. Hell, I may even try to squeeze all three onto a roster. Austin Ekeler could be a decent pivot if you want exposure to the KC-LAC game without rolling with the rookie phenom. The middle tier offers some decent FLEX play options including Jonathan Taylor, Malcolm Brown, Nyheim Hines, J.K. Dobbins, the Bills’ RBs, and the Tampa RBs. This is the group that I am likely to choose my FLEX from. There are several decent punt options this week. I particularly like Tarik Cohen, Peyton Barber, James Robinson, Miles Gaskin, and Josh Adams. With a need to spend up here and for Davante Adams, their cheap salaries could be necessary.

Fantasy Four Pack

Derrick Henry, Titans vs JAX ($7900 DK, $8300 FD)
The Jaguars only allowed Indianapolis’ RBs to post 20-76-1 on the ground Week 1. Their big issue was that they gave up 17-142-1 to the position through the air. Unlike Indy with their three-headed backfield Week 1, Tennessee has Derrick Henry, Derrick Henry, and Derrick Henry in their backfield. It is true that he has never been a huge pass-catcher, but he isn’t a bum in that regard either. If you need more reason to get Henry into your lineup, over his last four games against Jacksonville, Henry has posted 516 total yards and seven total TDs.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys vs. ATL ($8200 DK, $8600 FD)
Ezekiel Elliott was his usual self in Week 1, topping 125 total yards and scoring twice. This is what you expect on a week-to-week basis from Zeke, so the final line should not surprise. Still, for some reason, the DFS sites do not have his salary in the stratosphere of Christian McCaffrey. Atlanta just allowed Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde to combine for 89 total yards and three total TDs. Neither of those two is close to on par with Zeke. Another 125-2 should be Elliott’s floor here, in what I expect to be a shootout.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers @ TB ($10000 DK, $10500 FD)
Once again Christian McCaffrey finds himself trapped in a spot where he will produce 20+ points but not return 3X value. With other lesser-priced studs in equal or better matchups, McCaffrey becomes a trap for inexperienced DFS players. Sure, you need to have some exposure to him, but know that it will put cramps onto the rest of your roster. It doesn’t help him that he is facing a Tampa team whose strength is their run defense. Alvin Kamara did have some success against this defense through the air (something that CMAC is quite familiar with). That said, Teddy Bridgewater only targeted McCaffrey three times in Week 1. Plus, once again, Bridgewater only threw for one touchdown (a problematic trend he has had his whole career). Last year, McCaffrey posted 110 total yards and two scores against Tampa. That sounds about right for one game by CMAC, the issue is that was his TWO-GAME total.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chiefs @ LAC ($7400 DK, $8000 FD)
Fresh off of breaking the opening night Showdown slate, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is going to be a very popular play at RB1 this week. The biggest issue I have is that CEH was not used at all in the passing game. I would’ve guessed by default he would have received one target, but nope. I’m going to go out on a limb and guess that he doesn’t get 25 carries again, but I also have to assume he gets a couple passes thrown his way. Ultimately, it should balance out to something around 125 total yards and a score. The rub that may help Helaire outperform this projection is that the Chargers are elite against the pass. This includes giving Patrick Mahomes fits over his last three starts against them. If Mahomes struggles with Los Angeles’ pass defense again, the Chiefs may have to give Helaire another 25 carries.

DFS Sleepers

Jonathan Taylor, Colts vs. MIN ($5700 DK, $5800 FD)
Jonathan Taylor didn’t finish with many yards on the ground last week, but both he and Nyheim Hines had huge games through the air. With Marlon Mack out of the picture, Taylor will gain all of the work on 1st and 2nd downs, and he doesn’t have to be replaced on 3rd down. Hines will still get some love, and I like both of them this week. Minnesota lost it’s top run stuffer from last year. They then watched his replacement opt-out due to CoVid. Plus, they will also be without two of their other primary defensive linemen from last year. Taylor will be a popular play at RB2 or FLEX, if you want to go against the grain, roll with Nyheim instead. If you are really ballsy, play them both.

Leonard Fournette, Buccaneers vs. CAR ($4800 DK, $6000 FD)
Speaking of two-headed sleeper operations, Leonard Fournette was not added by Tampa to play second-fiddle to Ronald Jones. Fournette will eventually be the featured back here. That “eventually” begins this week. Carolina used to have an elite linebacker corps and they used to be feared by opposing backs. Nowadays, they consider it a victory when they hold opposing backs under 250 total yards and three touchdowns. Much like Hines, Jones will post a juicy line here also. That said, Fournette (even without trying) will top 100 yards and score at least once.

DraftKings FanDuel
Davante Adams $8,100 $8,600
DeAndre Hopkins $7,700 $8,300
Tyreek Hill $7,500 $8,000
Julio Jones $7,400 $8,200
Adam Thielen $7,200 $7,300
Chris Godwin $7,000 $7,800
Calvin Ridley $6,800 $7,100
Cooper Kupp $6,700 $7,200
JuJu Smith-Schuster $6,500 $7,100
Stefon Diggs $6,500 $6,800
Allen Robinson $6,400 $7,000
Mike Evans $6,400 $7,400
Robert Woods $6,400 $6,700
Amari Cooper $6,300 $7,000
DJ Moore $6,300 $6,800
Will Fuller $6,300 $6,100
Kenny Golladay $6,200 $7,500
Marquise Brown $6,200 $6,200
A.J. Brown $6,100 $6,600
Courtland Sutton $6,000 $6,900
DJ Chark $6,000 $6,700
John Brown $6,000 $6,400
DeVante Parker $5,900 $6,500
Terry McLaurin $5,900 $6,500
Keenan Allen $5,700 $6,900
Marvin Jones $5,700 $6,400
T.Y. Hilton $5,700 $6,300
Michael Gallup $5,600 $6,000
Sterling Shepard $5,500 $5,600
Jamison Crowder $5,400 $6,000
Allen Lazard $5,300 $5,600
Anthony Miller $5,200 $5,700
Robby Anderson $5,200 $5,900
DeSean Jackson $5,100 $5,500
Darius Slayton $5,000 $5,300
Brandin Cooks $4,900 $5,600
Golden Tate $4,900 $5,500
Jerry Jeudy $4,900 $5,300
Kendrick Bourne $4,900 $5,500
Danny Amendola $4,800 $5,200
Preston Williams $4,800 $5,400
Russell Gage $4,800 $5,400
Sammy Watkins $4,800 $5,900
CeeDee Lamb $4,700 $5,200
Cole Beasley $4,700 $5,400
Curtis Samuel $4,700 $5,200
Steven Sims $4,700 $5,100
Larry Fitzgerald $4,600 $5,200
Marquez Valdes-Scantling $4,600 $5,100
Diontae Johnson $4,500 $5,800
Parris Campbell $4,500 $5,300
Justin Jefferson $4,400 $4,700
Randall Cobb $4,400 $4,900
Brandon Aiyuk $4,300 $4,900
Christian Kirk $4,300 $5,700
Keelan Cole $4,300 $4,800
Willie Snead $4,300 $5,100
Greg Ward $4,200 $4,900
Laviska Shenault $4,200 $4,900
Mike Williams $4,200 $5,800
Jalen Reagor $4,100 $5,100
James Washington $4,100 $4,900
Miles Boykin $4,100 $4,700
Scotty Miller $4,100 $5,200
Corey Davis $4,000 $4.900
Breshad Perriman $3,800 $5,200
Mecole Hardman $3,800 $5,000
Quintez Cephus $3,800 $4,600
Adam Humphries $3,400 $4,700
Cordarrelle Patterson $3,400 $5,000

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – I cost myself roughly a thousand dollars Sunday morning by tinkering and subbing in Michael Thomas for Davante Adams in my best lineup of the week. Yes, it happens to everyone. Fortunately, Davante is in a class by himself this week. It would be a horrible mistake to not roster him. The only tinkerable offense that I could commit this week, would be to sub in DeAndre Hopkins. I really don’t want to spend down at RB, so I won’t be finagling to get both of them on a roster. The only other high-priced WRs that I might consider using at WR1/WR2 are JuJu Smith-Schuster and Calvin Ridley.  The middle tier is loaded with potential, but no one jumps out. This looks like one of those weeks where after WR1, I may spend just under $10K on DK and $12K on FD to roster my WR2 and WR3. Some of the better choices include T.Y. Hilton, Keenan Allen, Marvin Jones, Anthony Miller, Darius Slayton, CeeDee Lamb, and my three favorites: Jamison Crowder, Mike Williams, and Parris Campbell. If you choose to punt WR2 and WR3 even further, you can find deals like Cole Beasley, Keelan Cole, James Washington, Adam Humphries, Scotty Miller, and Quintez Cephus (if Golladay doesn’t play).

Fantasy Four Pack

Davante Adams, Packers vs DET ($8100 DK, $8600 FD)
14-156-2 on 17 targets. I’ll remember those stats for awhile. Why did I allow myself to tinker? Of course, no one could’ve foreseen Michael Thomas going down with an injury. I’ll just keep telling myself that. Davante Adams’ price is still too low based on what he projects for this week. Detroit will likely be without their three best cornerbacks. This is not optimal when you are about to face Aaron Rodgers. All of Rodgers’ weapons are in play as potential bargains, but considering Adams’ target hoarding, he is a mortal lock. I am already penciling him in for 12-135-2.

DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals vs. WAS ($7700 DK, $8300 FD)
My humble pie tour continues here, as I was down on DeAndre Hopkins last week against the Niners. I really wanted to see what his usage would be. Plus, it was San Fran and their defense was supposed to be elite. Needless to say, Hopkins balled out in his first game in this new offense. 16 targets might not be replicable from week to week, but double-digit targets should be the norm for Nuk. Washington has a great D-line, but Kyler Murray has the legs to make plays on the run. With Hopkins’ hands being beyond reliable, I expect him to be peppered this week. If you are unable to or unwilling to roster Adams, please consider Hopkins here. He will finish with a floor of 10-120-1.

Julio Jones, Falcons @ DAL ($7400 DK, $8200 FD)
No-score Julio Jones returned last week, but no one will be angry about a 9-157 line from their top WR option. The TD would’ve been a nice cherry on top, but Matt Ryan was redistributing the wealth between Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Russell Gage. We could easily see a repeat performance this week, with all three topping 100 receiving yards. Considering their prices, Gage and Ridley are more likely to hit 3X value, but Jones has the safest floor.

Adam Thielen, Vikings @ IND ($7200 DK, $7300 FD)
The Indianapolis Colts inherited former Vikings’ cornerback, Xavier Rhodes this offseason. It wasn’t an upgrade. Rhodes has been trending downward each of the last three years. Last week, the Colts’ secondary allowed touchdowns to three of the top four WRs on Jacksonville. When you look at the Vikings’ depth chart at WR, it reads Adam Thielen, Adam Thielen, Adam Thielen, Olabisi Johnson, and Justin Jefferson. Thielen finished with more than half of Kirk Cousins’ WR targets. He also topped 100 yards and scored twice (despite being the only true threat outside, and despite facing a very good CB for the Packers). Minnesota’s secondary is equally suspect, so this game should devolve into a shootout. Load up appropriately.

DFS Sleepers

Cole Beasley, Bills @ MIA ($4700 DK, $5400 FD)
John Brown is questionable with a bum foot. Stefon Diggs will likely be shadowed by Xavien Howard (assuming he is good to go). This will leave an opening for Cole Beasley to get a bump from his seven Week 1 targets. Beasley finished 2019 with touchdowns and/or 100 yards receiving in seven of his last eleven games. This was obviously pre-Diggs. That said if Diggs is there, but Brown isn’t, those numbers could repeat themselves.

Parris Campbell, Colts vs. MIN ($4500 DK, $5300 FD)
Parris Campbell rewarded his offseason suitors by tying with T.Y. Hilton for a team-high nine targets in Week 1. Campbell did more with his targets than Hilton did, and it appears we may have a changing of the guard up top for Indy. Minnesota couldn’t stop anyone through the air last week as Aaron Rodgers picked them apart. Philip Rivers is less mobile than Rodgers, but he also has the best offensive line he has ever had in front of him. This game has the makings of a shootout, so getting cheap exposure to it is wise.

DraftKings FanDuel
Travis Kelce $7,000 $7,800
George Kittle $6,700 $7,400
Mark Andrews $6,300 $7,500
Zach Ertz $5,600 $6,300
Evan Engram $5,300 $6,000
T.J. Hockenson $5,200 $5,600
Hunter Henry $5,100 $6,100
Dallas Goedert $5,000 $5,500
Tyler Higbee $4,700 $5,800
Hayden Hurst $4,600 $5,700
Noah Fant $4,400 $5,300
Eric Ebron $4,300 $4,900
Jonnu Smith $4,200 $4,900
Rob Gronkowski $4,100 $5,400
Mike Gesicki $4,000 $5,200
O.J. Howard $3,900 $4,800
Jimmy Graham $3,800 $5,500
Dalton Schultz $3,700 $4,000
Dawson Knox $3,700 $4,700
Jack Doyle $3,600 $5,300
Logan Thomas $3,600 $4,700
Kyle Rudolph $3,500 $5,000
Chris Herndon $3,400 $5,100
Dan Arnold $3,300 $4,400
Jordan Akins $3,300 $4,600
Darren Fells $3,200 $4,300
Ian Thomas $3,200 $5,000
Tyler Eifert $3,000 $4,600
Irv Smith $2,900 $4,600
Cameron Brate $2,600 $4,200
Jordan Reed $2,600 $4,800

Tight End

Weekly strategy – Mark Andrews is the only truly elite play up top. Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and Evan Engram deserve some rub, but I’m going cheap here this week. Last week’s MNF matchup of Jonnu Smith and Noah Fant gave us a peek into the future of the top tier of TEs. Each looked phenomenal. They will be my top two options this week since their price is more in alignment with my free-spending ways at RB and WR. I don’t mind Hayden Hurst, Tyler Higbee, Mike Gesicki, or Eric Ebron as a pivot play in the same price range. There are also several deep punt values that may encourage me to go double-TE and squeeze both Adams and Hopkins along with Zeke and Henry. Feel free to consider Dalton Schultz, Dawson Knox, Jack Doyle, Logan Thomas (my favorite punt of the week), and Ian Thomas. I particularly love this fivesome on DK where their price is very low.

Fantasy Four Pack

Mark Andrews, Ravens @ HOU ($6300 DK, $7500 FD)
Houston is (much like last year) a decent but not great team against TEs. Travis Kelce was left wide open on multiple occasions last week, including in the red zone. That strategy didn’t work very well. Lamar Jackson doesn’t have the dearth of weapons that Patrick Mahomes has, but he has his favorite binky, Mark Andrews. Andrews tied with Hollywood Brown for the team lead in targets and receptions, but the tight end hauled in two scores while Brown was held out of the end zone. Unless Houston changes their gameplan significantly, Andrews should finish with a floor of 6-80-1.

Jonnu Smith, Titans vs. JAX ($4200 DK, $4900 FD)
Yes, I have Jonnu Smith ranked above Travis Kelce and George Kittle. Kittle would be above him if we knew he would play, but Jonnu has arrived and he isn’t going anywhere but up. In Week 1, the Colts’ TEs combined for 5-69. That should be Smith’s floor this week as long as he continues to see a healthy dose of targets. Jacksonville also gave up a ton of receptions to Indy’s RBs out of the backfield. Derrick Henry isn’t known as a huge pass catcher, so some of those looks might go to Smith lined up from an H-Back position.

George Kittle, 49ers @ NYJ ($6700 DK, $7400 FD)
George Kittle remains questionable as of the publication of this article. That said, Kittle is a tough SOB and if anyone can play through his injury, it is him. The Niners will likely get Brandon Aiyuk back this week as well which should throw Kittle some shade in coverage. Not that he will need any against a Jets’ secondary that just isn’t very good. The Jets’ run defense is actually pretty decent, so I expect the Niners to lean more on the pass than the run this week. If Kittle plays the full game he should finish with 8-80-1. Even limited he should top 5-50. Watch as we get closer to Sunday because you hate to spend this much on a questionable guy, especially with some incredible bargains at the position this week.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs @ LAC ($7000 DK, $7800 FD)
One of the spots in the Chargers’ secondary you can attack successfully is with your TEs. Last year, they were middle of the pack against the position, and last week, they allowed C.J. Uzomah to go for 4-45. Travis Kelce is considerably more talented than Uzomah, and Andy Reid does a great job of game-planning to exploit his opponent’s biggest weakness. Throwing outside versus the Chargers’ cornerbacks isn’t normally a winning strategy (although Tyreek Hill has been serviceable against them in the past). A big worry I have here is that Kelce has only scored twice in twelve career games versus LA. You are still gonna be happy with your 6-60 floor, but without a guaranteed score, I abhor paying this much.

DFS Sleepers

Noah Fant, Broncos @ PIT ($4400 DK, $5300 FD)
Noah Fant joined Jonnu Smith in busting out on MNF. This week he faces a much stiffer challenge in Pittsburgh. Still, if Courtland Sutton misses another game, Fant will likely repeat his role as the number two receiving option for Drew Lock. I’m not going to predict another 5-81-1, but 4-60-1 is certainly in play. Last season, Pittsburgh was beatable by TEs. Only two teams allowed more tight end TDs. Fant may also be under-owned, as teams use Jonnu for right around the same dollar amount in a perceived better game script. This will make him a nice pivot.

Logan Thomas, Football Team @ ARI ($3600 DK, $4700 FD)
Yes, Arizona improved their coverage against tight ends this offseason. That said, an improvement from historically bad to slightly below average isn’t exactly a confidence builder. They still allowed a gimpy George Kittle and the undead corpse of Jordan Reed to post 6-56 against them. Meanwhile, Dwayne Haskins targeted Logan Thomas a team-high eight times in their upset of the Eagles. They say don’t mess with what is working for you, so I expect Ron Rivera to continue to utilize Thomas frequently. I mean, It isn’t as if they have a lot of weapons in their passing game to rely upon anyway.

[lawrence-newsletter]

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 1

Breaking down the top players and sleepers to consider for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 1 DFS fantasy football

Well, we are finally back. This has been one heck of a year, right? I never thought that our country would come to a point where people were actually questioning if we would, or could, have a football season. Personally, I never doubted the collective spirit of our sports-loving fans and the undiluted competitiveness of these fine athletes to tread forward. Fortunately, we do have football — and fantasy football — now to distract us.

Even more, fortunately, we also have been blessed with the opportunity to personally profit from identifying and selecting the best performers among these superstars.

For those new to the Dominator, every week we identify all of the players on DraftKings (DK) and FanDuel (FD) that are likely to be rostered. We then assign a grade to each of those players representing their presumed performance. Players rated to achieve 3X their value or more, (30+ points for $10K salary) will be shaded in GREEN. Players rated to achieve between 2X and 3X their value (20-29 points for $10K salary) will be shaded BLACK. Players rated to finish with less than 2X value (less than 20 points for $10K salary) will be shaded RED.

We also give you The Fantasy Four-pack, a breakdown of the top four performers at each position regardless of their salary. So you know which guys are the safest to construct your roster around.  In addition, we provide our top-two Sleepers at each position, This will help you fit your roster under the league salary caps.

If that wasn’t enough, I also give you my favorite GPP lineup for both DK and FD, along with my top lineup for Fanball (FB). Heck, I even give you a comprehensive break down of the Primetime slate games which are not part of the main “Millionaire” slates.

Just follow these simple steps:

  1. Read the Dominator
  2. Enter your lineups
  3. Follow me @NewClearHarley on Twitter for Sunday morning updates and additional sleepers
  4. Profit

DFS: The Primetime Slate

We have three games on the evening docket this week thanks to a MNF doubleheader. On Sunday, Dallas travels to Los Angeles to take on the Rams. Both these teams can score some points, and with better defenses showing up in both MNF games, I expect to have a lot of exposure here. The biggest issue here is, who is going to be doing all of the scoring? There are too many weapons in the Dallas passing game now, plus they still have Ezekiel Elliott. St. Louis has a three-headed monster in their backfield, effectively negating the value of each of them. They also tend to be more pass-happy. I don’t love any of the QBs on Monday (except as a money-saving option), so I would recommend choosing either Dak Prescott or Jared Goff here. Goff will be cheaper, making him my preference. I want nothing to do with the RB mess in Los Angeles until things shake out. As for Zeke, you have three elite RBs to choose from on this slate. You won’t be able to afford all three, but choose two of them. Both of these teams were tough on opposing WRs last year, but Dallas was a hair better. I can see rostering one of Cee Dee Lamb or Michael Gallup at WR2, or Josh Reynolds at WR3. I doubt I will be able to afford Amari Cooper, Robert Woods, or Cooper Kupp. I like Blake Jarwin as a sleeper for the year, but not this week. That said, Tyler Higbee is super juicy against a Dallas team that allowed more TE receptions than any other team last year. Don’t waste your time on either of these defenses.

The Giants host the Pittsburgh Steelers in the early MNF game. The G-Men were easily the worst team on this slate against the pass last year, but Ben Roethlisberger has always performed better at home than on the road, and he is coming off a major injury. If his price remains low enough, I will have to have some exposure to him. Still, I won’t love it. This means that each of the Steelers’ passing game weapons is in play. I love JuJu Smith-Schuster this week, and he should be in all of our lineups at WR1. If you want some differentiation from the chalk, use James Washington or Diontae Johnson at WR3 instead. I even like using Eric Ebron at TE, if you don’t pay up for Higbee. James Conner is possible at RB2 or FLEX, but I wouldn’t overpay for him. Keep all of your Giants on the bench except for maybe Saquan Barkley. Even then, I’d rather have the pairing of Zeke and Derrick Henry. If I need to squeeze a WR3 in, I might consider Sterling Shepard. I don’t want any part of Daniel Jones, Golden Tate, Evan Engram, or Darius Slayton against this stud-laden defense. Speaking of defenses, just choose Pittsburgh and lock it and forget it.

The late MNF game is Tennessee traveling west to face the Broncos. Ryan Tannehill is about as boring as they come at QB. He is still the fourth-best option on this slate. Just don’t expect more than 250-2 from him in any game this year. Derrick Henry needs serious consideration at RB1 or RB2. He is the second-best option on this slate. I don’t love A.J. Brown based on his price point, and I will never use Corey Davis as anything other than the butt of my jokes. If I had to go with a WR on this offense, I’d choose Adam Humphries or Kalif Raymond as WR3/FLEX. Jonnu Smith is also a nice option as a punt TE or at FLEX. Denver was effective at keeping TEs out of the end zone, but they did give up a ton of receptions and yards to the position. As for the Broncos, I like Drew Lock’s potential, but I am not going there yet. I also am hesitant to trust either Melvin Gordon or Philip Lindsay until we see their usage. I might choose Gordon at FLEX, but I am not trusting either of them at one of the top two RB slots. Courtland Sutton will likely be more expensive than I want, so I will fade him. On the other hand, Jerry Jeudy could have some interest to me at WR3. Tennessee could be picked on by TEs last year, so Noah Fant is definitely in play at the position, or as a discount FLEX. The Broncos’ defense is nearly as good as Pittsburgh. So, if you want to avoid the defense chalk, go with Denver instead.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $6.8K for Drew Brees. $6.8K for Josh Jacobs. $4.9K for Tarik Cohen. $7.3K for Davante Adams. $5.8K for T.Y. Hilton $4.9K for DeSean Jackson. $6K for Mark Andrews. $4.5K or less for one of Chris Thompson, Preston Williams, Antonio Gibson, or Jack Doyle at FLEX. $3K for the Colts’ defense.

At FD: $8.4K for Russell Wilson. $10K for Christian McCaffrey. $5.4K for Jonathan Taylor. $8.8K for Michael Thomas. No more than $6.5K for WR2 (leaning T.Y. Hilton). $5.7K for DeSean Jackson. $5.3K for Jack Doyle or Hayden Hurst (if you go T.Y. at WR). $5.3 for James White at FLEX. $4.7K for the Bills’ defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Lamar Jackson, Drew Brees at SF, Josh Jacobs, James White, Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, DeSean Jackson, Tyler Higbee, and Chris Thompson at FLEX.

DraftKings FanDuel
Lamar Jackson $8,100 $9,400
Russell Wilson $7,000 $8,400
Drew Brees $6,800 $8,100
Matt Ryan $6,700 $7,800
Josh Allen $6,500 $7,900
Tom Brady $6,500 $7,600
Kyler Murray $6,400 $7,700
Aaron Rodgers $6,300 $7,500
Carson Wentz $6,300 $7,700
Matthew Stafford $6,200 $7,300
Cam Newton $6,100 $7,300
Philip Rivers $6,000 $7,100
Derek Carr $5,900 $7,100
Teddy Bridgewater $5,900 $6,800
Gardner Minshew  $5,800 $6,700
Jimmy Garoppolo $5,800 $7,400
Joe Burrow $5,800 $6,600
Baker Mayfield $5,700 $7,000
Kirk Cousins $5,700 $7,200
Tyrod Taylor $5,600 $7,000
Sam Darnold $5,500 $6,800
Mitch Trubisky $5,400 $6,900
Ryan Fitzpatrick $5,300 $6,400
Dwayne Haskins $5,000 $6,500

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – I have no issue with any of the top four QBs this week. Drew Brees has a history of lighting it up at home. Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan should be tangled in an offensive shootout. Then there is Lamar Jackson versus the Browns, which just isn’t fair. Jackson’s salary is high, making him a tough play on DK. Nevertheless, with the extra cap space, I can see using him more frequently on FD and FB. With most prices actually close to on point for Week 1, I don’t love any of the cheaper options. I could see using Tyrod Taylor, Philip Rivers, or Ryan Fitzpatrick. However, none of them inspires a ton of confidence. If you do choose Brees or Jackson, make sure to stack them with Michael Thomas and Mark Andrews respectively.

Fantasy Four Pack

Lamar Jackson, Ravens vs CLE ($8100 DK, $9400 FD)
Lamar Jackson failed to top 250 passing yards against the Browns in either contest last season. That said, he did throw for three TDs in each game and he ran for 169 total yards on the ground. I expect the passing yards get a slight bump here, while the rushing yards slide down slightly. He is also guaranteed at least three total scores.

Drew Brees, Saints vs TB ($6800 DK, $8100 FD)
Sure, Tampa Bay has Tom Brady now; that doesn’t help their passing defense any. No team gave up more passing yards, and only two franchises allowed more passing scores. The Bucs did add Antoine Winfield to their secondary, but that is like putting a band-aid on a severed carotid. Drew Brees has averaged 327-3 over 13 home games the last two years, and that was without a legitimate second WR. That should be his floor this week.

Russell Wilson, Seahawks @ ATL ($7000 DK, $8400 FD)
Only eight teams allowed more passing TDs per game last year than Atlanta. The Falcons addressed this in the draft by selecting A.J. Terrell, but they still will have their hands full with the Seahawks’ weapons. In addition, Atlanta will be heaving the ball up and down the field in this contest too. This suggests that Seattle will be forced to throw the ball to keep up.

Matt Ryan, Falcons vs. SEA ($6700 DK, $7800 FD)
The other QB in this pairing, Matt Ryan, will likely be more popular due to the lower price. I’m fine with using either, as each should lock in at a floor of 300-2. I give a slight edge to Wilson, as Seattle’s secondary is better than Atlanta’s. Still, when you have Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Hayden Hurst at your disposal, you will post strong numbers every week.

DFS Sleepers

Philip Rivers, Colts @ JAX ($6000 DK, $7100 FD)
Jacksonville’s passing defense was middle of the road at best last year. Since then, they have punted anyone on their roster with a modicum of talent (with the exceptions of Gardner Minshew and D.J. Chark). Philip Rivers has the best offensive line he has ever had, he also has a deep corps of weapons to throw to. I don’t recommend punting QB this week, but if you do Rivers’ price on DK might be satisfactory. I love all of his passing game weapons this week, so I guess I will have some exposure to Rivers stacked with Jack Doyle and either T.Y. Hilton or Parris Campbell.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Dolphins @ NE ($5300 DK, $6400 FD)
New England’s defense remains solid despite a few players stepping away due to Covid-19. Nevertheless, Ryan Fitzpatrick has several weapons to target in this game including a healthy Davante Parker and Preston Williams. At this low price, you can afford to target two premium RBs (Christian McCaffrey and Josh Jacobs) and still piece together a solid body to your roster. If you do go this route, I recommend stacking Fitz with Williams or Mike Gesicki.

DraftKings FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey $10,000 $10,000
Dalvin Cook $7,900 $8,700
Alvin Kamara $7,200 $8,300
Austin Ekeler $7,000 $7,700
Aaron Jones $6,900 $7,800
Josh Jacobs $6,800 $8,200
Joe Mixon $6,700 $7,300
Nick Chubb $6,500 $7,500
Kenyan Drake $6,400 $6,600
Miles Sanders $6,300 $6,800
Chris Carson $6,200 $7,200
Todd Gurley $6,100 $7,100
James White $6,000 $5,300
Leonard Fournette $6,000 $6,900
Raheem Mostert $5,800 $6,200
Jonathan Taylor $5,700 $5,400
Le’Veon Bell $5,600 $6,500
Mark Ingram $5,500 $7,000
Devin Singletary $5,400 $6,300
Marlon Mack $5,300 $6,100
Ronald Jones $5,200 $5,700
Jordan Howard $5,100 $5,500
Kareem Hunt $5,100 $5,800
J.K. Dobbins $5,000 $5,200
Matt Breida $5,000 $5,200
Tarik Cohen $4,900 $5,200
Boston Scott $4,800 $4,700
Carlos Hyde $4,600 $5,000
Latavius Murray $4,600 $5,100
Sony Michel $4,600 $6,000
Kerryon Johnson $4,400 $5,600
Zach Moss $4,400 $4,700
Tevin Coleman $4,200 $5,400
Jamaal WIlliams $4,100 $4,900
LeSean McCoy $4,100 $5,300
Antonio Gibson $4,000 $4,600
Bryce Love $4,000 $4,500
Chris Thompson $4,000 $4,800
Devine Ozigbo $4,000 $4,500
Frank Gore $4,000 $4,800
J.D. McKissic $4,000 $4,500
James Robinson $4,000 $4,500
Jerick McKInnon $4,000 $5,000
Nyheim Hines $4,000 $4,900
Peyton Barber $4,000 $4,700

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Josh Jacobs is the only running back that I absolutely love this week. I’m still going to have exposure to Christian McCaffrey because he is a stud, and Aaron Jones, Austin Ekeler, and Miles Sanders due to their matchups. I just will look at those options as pivots. For RB2, I expect to target James White, Mark Ingram, Devin Singletary, or Jonathan Taylor. Each of those four may split time this week, but their matchups are golden. There is a strong likelihood that I will also roster my FLEX from this position. Currently, I am leaning one of the replacement-RBs (Tarik Cohen, Antonio Gibson, or James Robinson). They are each cheap enough to squeeze without much difficulty. I could also use a “pass-catching” back at my FLEX (Chris Thompson, Boston Scott, or Nyheim Hines) if I am really strapped for cash.

Fantasy Four Pack

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs LVR ($10000 DK, $10000 FD)
The Raiders were actually very stingy against opposing RBs last year. Only two teams allowed fewer RB rushing yards per game. That said, only six teams allowed more RB receiving yards than them. Christian McCaffrey is certainly known for his receiving prowess. I’m expecting him to have a very productive day, and he may even reach 3X value with the catches. The only reason he doesn’t get a green rating is that we don’t know yet what affect Teddy Bridgewater will have on the offense.

Josh Jacobs, Raiders @ CAR ($6800 DK, $8200 FD)
If he was guaranteed to be involved in the passing game as much as McCaffrey, Josh Jacobs may actually rank higher than him this week. Based on salary, he is the better option this week. Carolina managed to allow 30 total RB scores last year. That was ten more than the next-worst team. 27 of those scores came on the ground, and Jacobs doesn’t need to worry about splitting any ground touches.

Austin Ekeler, Chargers @ CIN ($7000 DK, $7700 FD)
Over the first four weeks of 2019 (while Melvin Gordon was out), Austin Ekeler had the fifth-most total yards and the most total TDs among RBs. In addition, his 24 receptions trailed only McCaffrey and he actually led the league in receiving yards over that span. Cincinnati didn’t give up a ton of receptions or receiving yards to opposing backs last year, but that was mainly because they couldn’t stop anyone on the ground. Cincinnati did upgrade their defense and Ekeler has a new QB, so there is a slight beware here. Still, if you can fit both Ekeler and Jacobs into your lineup – DO IT!

Aaron Jones, Packers @ MIN ($6900 DK, $7800 FD)
Last season, Aaron Jones exploded for 19 total scores. How does Green Bay repay him? They draft a running back early in the 2020 draft. That is almost as bad as drafting a QB high in the draft when you have a stud like Aaron Rod…oh wait. Jones scored three times and amassed 310 total yards in the two meetings with the Vikings last year. I’d be happy with half of that, but 125-1 would work too.

DFS Sleepers

Jonathan Taylor, Colts @ JAX ($5700 DK, $5400 FD)
Jacksonville finished last year allowing the second-most total scores to opposing RBs and the third-most rushing yards. Then they gutted their defense. That is right. It is only going to be worse for them this year. Yes, I am concerned about both Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines stealing some touches here. It won’t matter as all three could top 100 total yards and score before this one is over. The Colts did use a high pick on Jonathan Taylor so I expect he gets the lions’ share of the spoils.

Antonio Gibson, Football Team vs. PHI ($4000 DK, $4600 FD)
Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson have both left the facility leaving Antonio Gibson as the likely starter here. Technically, J.D. McKissic sits atop the Washington depth chart, but if you believe that, I have some nice oceanfront property in Oklahoma to sell you. Philly’s run defense isn’t awful, but they did give up a lot of RB receptions last year. Those will go to either McKissic or Gibson as Washington attempts to keep up with the Eagles.

DraftKings FanDuel
Michael Thomas $9,000 $8,800
Julio Jones $7,700 $8,200
Davante Adams $7,300 $8,000
Chris Godwin $7,100 $7,700
Mike Evans $6,900 $7,500
DeAndre Hopkins $6,800 $7,800
Adam Thielen $6,700 $6,800
DJ Moore $6,600 $7,100
Allen Robinson $6,500 $7,200
Tyler Lockett $6,500 $6,800
Keenan Allen $6,400 $7,000
Stefon Diggs $6,400 $6,600
DJ Chark $6,300 $6,600
Kenny Golladay $6,200 $7,300
Calvin Ridley $6,100 $6,600
Tyler Boyd $6,100 $6,100
DeVante Parker $6,000 $6,700
Julian Edelman $6,000 $6,700
Jarvis Landry $5,900 $6,300
Odell Beckham $5,900 $6,900
DK Metcalf $5,800 $6,400
T.Y. Hilton $5,800 $6,400
A.J. Green $5,700 $6,200
Emmanuel Sanders $5,700 $5,600
John Brown $5,600 $6,100
Terry McLaurin $5,600 $6,500
Marvin Jones $5,500 $6,200
Deebo Samuel $5,300 $6,000
Jamison Crowder $5,200 $6,000
Henry Ruggs $5,100 $5,100
Marquise Brown $5,100 $5,900
Anthony Miller $5,000 $5,400
Christian Kirk $5,000 $5,800
Kendrick Bourne $5,000 $5,700
Allen Lazard $4,900 $5,500
Breshad Perriman $4,900 $5,800
DeSean Jackson $4,900 $5,700
Cole Beasley $4,800 $5,400
Danny Amendola $4,800 $5,100
Justin Jefferson $4,800 $5,000
Mike Williams $4,700 $5,900
Robby Anderson $4,700 $5,600
Steven Sims $4,700 $5,100
Curtis Samuel $4,600 $5,500
Dede Westbrook $4,600 $5,400
Brandon Aiyuk $4,500 $5,200
Hunter Renfrow $4,500 $5,200
Larry Fitzgerald $4,500 $5,300
Preston Williams $4,500 $5,300
Laviska Shenault $4,400 $4,600
Michael Pittman $4,400 $5,200
N’Keal Harry $4,400 $5,100
Denzel Mims $4,300 $4,900
Bryan Edwards $4,200 $4,500
Greg Ward $4,200 $4,800
Zach Pascal $4,200 $5,400
Miles Boykin $4,100 $4,900
Olabisi Johnson $4,100 $4,900
Parris Campbell $3,900 $5,100

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – There isn’t really a bad option among the higher-priced options this week. That doesn’t take away from the fact that two stand out the most: Davante Adams and Michael Thomas. I intend to get as much exposure to both of them as I can, and at the least will have one of the two in all of my lineups. Normally, I don’t spend up at WR, but their matchups are just too hot! If I do pivot from those two, it will be for Stefon Diggs or Kenny Golladay. I guess a perfect solution is pair one of Thomas and Adams with one of Diggs or Golladay. There is zero possibility of fitting three of them under the cap. Other WR2 candidates, I like include Julian Edelman, T.Y. Hilton, Jamison Crowder, Marquise Brown, DeSean Jackson, and Allen Lazard. I could also use one of that six-some at WR3. There are several punt options that I like at WR3 including N’Keal Harry, Preston Williams, Greg Ward, and Parris Campbell.

Fantasy Four Pack

Michael Thomas, Saints vs TB ($9000 DK, $8800 FD)
Both sites are giving Michael Thomas the “CMAC pricing experience”. That should not hold you back from rostering the most reliable 20-30 point WR on the board. The addition of Emmanuel Sanders should give Thomas even more room to operate. That is frightening to imagine. Tampa allowed three hundred more WR receiving yards than the next worst team last year. Anything less than 10-125-1 would be highly disappointing.

Davante Adams, Packers @ MIN ($7300 DK, $8000 FD)
Davante Adams has been a thorn in the Vikings side ever since becoming a starter for the Packers. He will have another successful outing Sunday since the Vikings will be playing without their top three cornerbacks from last year. Aaron Rodgers knows this and so does Adams. This will be a trial by fire for the new-look secondary, and it won’t be pretty as Rodgers picks them apart. If you don’t use Adams, please find a spot for Allen Lazard.

Julio Jones, Falcons vs. SEA ($7700 DK, $8200 FD)
I have Matt Ryan ranked high this week so I would be amiss to not include his top receiving option. The only thing keeping me from giving Jones a higher rating is that I am concerned about how much of a role Calvin Ridley and Hayden Hurst have in this game. Even sharing the limelight, Jones should post a floor of 8-100. If he gets into the end zone, that will push him into 3X territory.

Stefon Diggs, Bills vs. NYJ ($6400 DK, $6600 FD)
Stefon Diggs channeled his inner Antonio Brown and moaned himself onto a new team. His new QB may not be as accurate as his former, but he definitely has a strong arm. With John Brown keeping defenses honest deep, Stefon Diggs should be a target hog going across the middle of the field. The Jets allowed the seventh-most WR receiving yards and the fifth-most WR scores last year, and now they will be without Jamal Adams. This should greenlight Diggs for about 8-100-1 and arguably the easiest 3X on the docket.

DFS Sleepers

DeSean Jackson, Eagles @ WAS ($4900 DK, $5700 FD)
Game 1 of last year, DeSean Jackson went bonkers racking up a line of 8-154-2 versus the boys from the beltway. He then got hurt and disappeared for the rest of the season. Fast-Forward to 2020, and who does Jackson get to face in Week 1? It is the same Washington footballers. Now, I’m not going to predict a repeat performance, but half of that would work for me. Plus this is 2020, so anything goes. He could double his line from 2019. It isn’t as if he has a lot of WRs to fight with for targets. If you don’t use Jackson, consider using Greg Ward or Zach Ertz.

N’Keal Harry, Patriots vs. MIA ($4400 DK, $5100 FD)
All reports out of camp are that N’Keal Harry and Cam Newton have developed a strong rapport. This week, he will be given an opportunity that he didn’t really get last year – to be a starter and a featured part of the offense. Miami allowed more WR touchdowns than any other team last year, and Harry will score one this week. I wouldn’t be surprised if Bill Belichick scripts him one on the first drive, or maybe even their first offensive play.  Julian Edelman and James White will still get all the DFS attention but gather some exposure here for a lot less.

DraftKings FanDuel
George Kittle $7,200 $8,000
Mark Andrews $6,000 $7,400
Darren Waller $5,900 $6,800
Zach Ertz $5,800 $6,600
Jared Cook $5,500 $5,900
Hunter Henry $5,300 $6,000
Austin Hooper $5,100 $5,700
Rob Gronkowski $4,900 $5,500
Mike Gesicki $4,500 $5,400
Hayden Hurst $4,300 $5,200
T.J. Hockenson $4,200 $5,300
Dallas Goedert $4,100 $5,200
Greg Olsen $4,000 $4,900
Dawson Knox $3,900 $4,700
C.J. Uzomah $3,800 $4,600
Jimmy Graham $3,800 $5,000
Kyle Rudolph $3,700 $5,100
O.J. Howard $3,700 $4,700
Jack Doyle $3,600 $5,300
Dan Arnold $3,500 $4,400
Devin Asiasi $3,500 $4,100
Ian Thomas $3,400 $5,100
Chris Herndon $3,300 $4,800
Tyler Eifert $3,300 $4,600
Irv Smith $3,100 $4,800

Tight End

Weekly strategy – I usually despise spending up at TE as well. Not this week. Any of the top four tight ends would be a smart play this week. Mark Andrews is my favorite play here and Zach Ertz has the safest floor. I would recommend having one (if not both of them in every lineup. If you are pinching pennies, consider Hayden Hurst, T.J. Hockenson, Tyler Eifert, Chris Herndon, and Jack Doyle.

Fantasy Four Pack

George Kittle, 49ers vs ARI ($7200 DK, $8000 FD)
Arizona was historically rotten against TEs last year. You could pencil in any tight end that they faced to post 10-125-2. To address this deficiency they did add stud hybrid linebacker, Isaiah Simmons in the draft and they reinforced their secondary via free agency. Still, it takes time for a new defensive backfield to gel. George Kittle posted 6-79-1 against Arizona in the early meeting between these two clubs and missed the second meeting. In that game, Ross Dwelley scored twice. San Francisco’s WR corps is banged up, so expect Kittle to be the focal point this week. He will score and record a floor of 7-70.

Mark Andrews, Ravens vs CLE ($6000 DK, $7400 FD)
I don’t love the FD price, but that DK price is absurdly low. Last season, Baltimore tight ends combined to post 17-205-3 against Cleveland. One of those TEs, Hayden Hurst is now in Atlanta. This should open up even more opportunities for Mark Andrews. A safe estimate would be 7-60-1.

Zach Ertz, Eagles @ WAS ($5800 DK, $6600 FD)
Speaking of absurdly low prices, Zach Ertz is woefully underpriced this week. As I mentioned above with DeSean Jackson, the lack of healthy weapons should open up double-digit targets for Ertz. Washington allowed the sixth-most TE scores last season. I expect this season starts out with at least one more score against them by the position. If you don’t roster DeSean Jackson or Greg Ward, please roster Ertz.

Darren Waller, Raiders @ CAR ($5900 DK, $6800 FD)
I like Darren Waller this week, but I don’t love him. If we knew how the rest of the passing offense was going to shake out, I would be more interested in this play. Carolina is actually solid against the position, but Waller was among the league leaders in every TE stat category last year. I’d say only use Waller as a pivot from the other more popular options.

DFS Sleepers

Hayden Hurst, Falcons vs. SEA ($4300 DK, $5200 FD)
The only team to allow more receiving yards to opposing TEs last season than Seattle was Arizona, and only two teams allowed more receptions to the position. Hayden Hurst inherits the Austin Hooper target share in this offense (88 last year), and many would say Hurst has more natural talent. There is zero chance that Hurst doesn’t return 3X value at this price.

Jack Doyle, Colts @ JAX ($3600 DK, $5300 FD)
Jack Doyle has been cleared for action for this weekends’ matchup with the Tanksonville Jaguars. He should benefit from his new QB, Philip Rivers, who loved to pepper his tight ends (especially in the red zone) while with the Chargers. In addition, questions remain about Rivers’ ability to get the ball deep downfield at this stage in his career. That should just mean more targets for Doyle, Nyheim Hines, and the other running backs.

[lawrence-newsletter]