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Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (41-47) and New York Yankees (49-41) play the rubber match of their 3-game weekend set Sunday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Yankees evened the 3-game set with a 6-3 victory Saturday as -201 home favorites. RF Giancarlo Stanton hit 2 home runs, DH Josh Donaldson added a solo shot and RHP Gerrit Cole improved to 9-2 after allowing 3 runs on 5 hits and a walk in 7 1/3 innings.

The Cubs are limping into the All-Star break with a 4-9 record over their last 13 games. Thy have fallen 8 games back in the NL Central, despite being the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+23).

The Yankees ended a 3-game skid with Saturday’s win and are 4-5 in their last 9. They are 28-22 at home this season, while the Cubs are 20-25 on the road.

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Cubs at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. RHP Domingo German

Hendricks (3-3, 2.64 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 47 2/3 innings.

  • His 5.1 K/9 is the lowest of his career, but he has still provided strong ratios, thanks in large part to a .224 BABIP and 3.4% HR/FB.
  • He has posted a 1.71 ERA in 4 road starts, albeit with just 14 strikeouts across 26 1/3 IP.

German (5-5, 4.52 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 85 2/3 innings.

  • He has been very up-and-down lately, as his final 3 June starts included back-to-back outings in which he allowed a combined 15 ER in 5 1/3 IP, followed by a perfect game in his final start of the month.
  • Even with the blowups mixed in, he has still allowed 2 ER or less in 8 of his last 11 starts.
  • He has registered a 4.61 ERA in 8 home starts with a 7.7 K/9 and 6 HR in 41 IP (1.3 HR/9).

Cubs at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Cubs 4

Moneyline

Hendricks has the outstanding ratios, but his skills have been soft, and his luck is sure to run out soon. German has had some bumps in the road, but he’s missing plenty of bats, inducing 12-plus swinging strikes in each of his last 3 starts.

The Yankees (-145) are likely to come out on top, but we can probably find better value elsewhere, so PASS on the moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

In Chicago’s last 16 losses, 15 of them have been by more than 1 run. Hendricks has been effective so far, but the lack of strikeouts leaves him prone to blowups and the value here looks strong enough to make a small play on YANKEES -1.5 (+140).

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Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 in the Cubs’ last 7 games and 4-1 in their last 5 vs a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 games for the Yankees as well as in their last 6 against a right-hander.

Neither of these starting pitchers look like great bets to dominate the competition, so both offenses should have a decent day in this one. Look for the total to sneak OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (48-40) open a 3-game series with the Chicago Cubs (40-46) at Yankee Stadium Friday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; the Yankees swept the 2022 series 3-0

The Cubs lost 6-5 at the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday but still earned a split of the 4-game series. Chicago is 3-7 over its last 10 games, 19-24 on the road this season, and trails the Cincinnati Reds by 8 games in the NL Central.

The Yankees suffered a 2nd straight loss when they were destroyed 14-1 at home by the Baltimore Orioles Thursday in the finale of a 4-game series. New York won Monday and Tuesday before dropping the final 2 games of that series and is 5-5 in its last 10 games, sitting 3rd in the AL East, 8 games back of the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.

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Cubs at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Taillon (2-6, 6.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 R (4 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in an 8-6 home loss vs. the Cleveland Guardians Sunday
  • The Cubs are just 2-12 in his starts this season

Rodon makes his 1st start of the 2023 season. He went 14-8 with a 2.88 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 178 IP in 2022 with the San Francisco Giants.

  • Made his second career All-Star appearance last season, ending the year with an MLB-best 12.0 K/9 and 2.25 FIP
  • Making his season debut after being shut down during spring training due to a forearm issue and then developing back problems in his initial attempt to return

Cubs at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cubs at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Cubs 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The value isn’t there to take the Yankees (-175), but they’ve been strong at home despite having been obliterated by the Orioles Thursday. However, the Cubs (+145) have struggled lately and aren’t worth a look on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees will have the superior pitcher on the mound although he may be on a short leash, but the Cubs’ Taillon has given up at least 4 earned runs in 3 straight starts. Given the difference in pitchers and the fact that New York’s last 6 wins have all been by at least 2 runs, BET YANKEES -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

The Yankees are just 19-27-2 O/U at home this season while Chicago is 20-21 O/U on the road. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in batting average and OPS as well.

New York has only plated 4 total runs in its last 2 games and is coming off a 1-run performance, so it may not be able to take advantage of the struggling Taillon.

Back the UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-34) enter the gauntlet to face the New York Yankees (42-16) Saturday in the 2nd of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Yankees lead 1-0. The teams hadn’t played since 2017 before Friday.

What is going on with the Yankees? I literally sat in disbelief watching the game Friday as they needed 13 innings to dispose of the Cubs. RHP Luis Severino was awesome, allowing 1 run on 7 hits and a walk while fanning 10 in 6 innings. The bullpen was lights out as well with 7 scoreless innings.

However, the Yanks had so many opportunities, and OF Aaron Judge was forced to watch as he didn’t see a single pitch in extras. C Jose Trevino, pinch-hitting as the last man available for either team, finally got it done with a hit to left field after the team went through its batting order twice in extras.

The Cubs battled and were forced to use their bullpen for 9 2/3 innings. It only allowed 1 earned run and struck out 10. There might be a carryover effect for tonight’s game, and they’ll need length from their starter. Star C Willson Contreras may also be on the bench after he caught 13 innings last night.

Cubs at Yankees projected starters

RHP Matt Swarmer vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Swarmer (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 12 IP.

  • Beat the St. Louis Cardinals June 4 with 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 K.
  • He utilizes a slider, fastball (90-mph avg.) and changeup. He uses the slider 52% of the time.

Montgomery (1-1, 3.02 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 59 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 3 hits and 4 walks while fanning 3 over 6 2/3 innings in 1 career start against the Cubs in 2017.
  • His ERA is slightly higher at home at 3.15 (as opposed to 2.84 on the road) with a better 0.82 WHIP and higher K-rate at 7.1.
  • Current Cubs hitters have hit .286 with a 21.4 K% in 28 plate appearances against him.

Cubs at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-105) | Yankees -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Cubs 4

Money line

The books are really daring you to take the Cubs as they were +200 at time of publication yesterday, while the Yankees were -250. They want you to think: “Well, the Yankees needed 13 to beat the Cubs yesterday, maybe…” No. The Yankees overlooked the competition yesterday, and the Cubs threw everything in their bullpen to try to win and missed their chance.

Now they’re spent and against the ropes. The Cubs are a tick better against left-handed starters hitting .244 as opposed to .242 against righties. It’s not enough to move the needle. I’m also not confident enough in Montgomery to take the first 5 innings. So, we’ll PASS and look to the spread.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees are now 30-28 on the run line this season, but they’ll be swinging with a little extra aggression after they were nearly embarrassed last night. The Yankees have won 9 of their last 10 games, and 6 of them came by multiple runs. It was -115 yesterday as well, which tells you how confident the book is in this one, too. Take the YANKEES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Under obviously hit last night, but the Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 for the Yanks. The Over is 4-0 in Montgomery’s last 4 starts as a favorite and is 3-0-1 in the Yankees’ last 4 interleague games against a right-handed starter. Neither starter has plus-stuff. I’m not as quick to lock in this one after yesterday’s debacle, but LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-33) head to the Bronx to face the New York Yankees (41-16) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: This is their first meeting of the season. The teams haven’t met since 2017 when the Yankees completed a 3-game sweep in Chicago.

The Cubs have been off since Tuesday as their game was rained out Wednesday before an off-day Thursday. Chicago has lost 4 of its last 5 contests and is 2-6 in interleague play.

The Yankees overcame ace RHP Gerrit Cole allowing home runs to the first 3 batters of the game and a career-high 5 homers in 2 1/3 innings to grind out a 10-7 win over the Minnesota Twins Thursday. The Yankees outscored the Twins 7-0 in the final 5 innings.

Cubs at Yankees projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Luis Severino

Miley (1-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 4th start of the year. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 16 IP.

  • He’s 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA, 1.83 WHIP and 9.2 K/9 in 7 career starts at Yankee Stadium.
  • He missed April due to elbow inflammation and is returning from an elbow strain that landed him on the IL May 22.

Severino (4-1, 2.95 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 55 IP.

  • He allowed 1 run on 4 hits and a walk while fanning 9 over 7 innings in 1 career start against the Cubs in 2017.
  • He’s 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 6 starts at Yankee Stadium this year.
  • Current Cubs hitters have hit just .125 in 16 plate appearances against him.

Cubs at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-105) | Yankees -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Cubs 3

Money line

The Bronx Bombers are huge favorites here, and it’s for good reason. Their offense ranks 5th in Runs/9 (4.91), 2nd in OPS (.756) and 1st in home runs per game (1.57). The wind is blowing out to right-center field at 9.2 mph. You can’t risk -250 on the Yankees, though. I would be open to YANKEES -0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees are just 30-27 on the run line this season, but they’re a super confident bunch that got down 7-2 with their ace and wound up winning 10-7 against a quality team Thursday. They could get DH Giancarlo Stanton (ankle) back today as well. I have confidence in the YANKEES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over is 3-0-1 in the Yankees’ last 4 games overall and of the interleague variety. With the wind blowing out, the juice is in the right place here. Go lightly because we can’t depend on the Cubs to do their job here, and take the OVER 8.5 (-125).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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