Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (44-49) and Baltimore Orioles (57-35) wrap up a 3-game set Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 2-0

Chicago took down Baltimore 4-0 Wednesday as a +156 road underdog. Cubs 3B Christopher Morel hit a solo shot in the 2nd inning, and LHP Shota Imanaga allowed just 6 hits in 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Baltimore has dropped back-to-back games after Wednesday’s loss as a -170 home favorite. With 9 hits, including 3 from 1B Ryan Mountcastle, the Orioles were unable to produce any runs. RHP Corbin Burnes allowed 3 ER in 6 innings to pick up the loss.

Cubs at Orioles projected starters

LHP Justin Steele vs. RHP Albert Suarez

Steele (1-3, 2.95 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 79 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 1 ER, 2 H 2 BB, 7 K in 5-1 home victory against Los Angeles Angels Friday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-1, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 2 starts, including 1-0 with 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last year

Suarez (5-2, 2.48 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 65 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 victory at Oakland A’s Friday
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 2.25 ERA (8 IP, 2 ER), 0.63 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start) in 2016

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-165) | Orioles -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET CUBS (+120).

Chicago has scored 4 or more runs while allowing 2 or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games; it’s 5-1 over that span. It is 3-1 in its last 4 road games, while the Orioles are 1-3 in their last 4 at home. Baltimore has scored just 2 runs combined in 2 games against Chicago this season and 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 6 overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Cubs’ moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

Chicago has scored 4 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 9 games while holding opponents to 3 or fewer in 6 of its last 10. Baltimore has scored 4 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 9 games and 3 or fewer in 6 of its last 9. It has also held opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 8 games.

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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (43-49) and Baltimore Orioles (57-34) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 1-0

The Cubs have won back-to-back games after taking down the Orioles 9-2 Tuesday as +164 road underdogs. LF Ian Happ and 1B Michael Busch each hit a HR, and RHP Jameson Taillon allowed 2 ER in 6 innings and picked up the win.

The Orioles failed to cash as -180 home favorites in Tuesday’s loss. Rookie 2B Jordan Westburg hit his 15th homer of the year with a solo shot in the 2nd inning, while RHP Dean Kremer allowed 5 ER in 4 innings to pick up the loss.

Cubs at Orioles projected starters

LHP Shota Imanaga vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Imanaga (7-2, 3.16 ERA) makes his 17th start. The rookie has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 91 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 5-3 home loss against Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • Never faced Orioles before

Burnes (9-3, 2.32 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 112 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-3 loss at Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • Career vs. Cubs: 2-4, 3.26 ERA (69 IP, 25 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 in 16 appearances (10 starts), including 0-2 with 3.75 ERA (12 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Orioles -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-130) | Orioles -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Orioles 5

Moneyline

BET CUBS (+150).

The Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They scored 5 or more runs while allowing 2 or fewer in each of those wins.

Baltimore has allowed 9 or more runs in 2 of its last 3 and lost back-to-back games at home. In what is sure to be a pitchers’ duel, the Cubs hold the advantage Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value on Chicago.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Cubs are 5-3 to the Over in their last 8 games, while the Orioles are 6-3 in their last 9. Chicago has scored 5 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games, including 9 or more twice in that span, while Baltimore has scored 6 or more in 2 of its last 3. The Orioles have also allowed 7 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games.

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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (49-67) visit the Baltimore Orioles (61-56) Thursday, making up a postponed June 8 game. First pitch is set for 3:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

After taking 2 of 3 at the Toronto Blue Jays, the Orioles sit 1½ games back of the final AL wild-card spot. Despite Orioles RHP Austin Voth allowing just 2 hits in 6 scoreless innings, Baltimore lost 6-1 to Toronto Wednesday. Voth received no run support – the O’s didn’t score until the 8th – and the bullpen yielded 6 runs in the bottom of the 7th.

The Cubs also won their midweek road series, beating the Washington Nationals twice after dropping Monday’s opener. Cubs C Yan Gomes’ RBI single broke a 2-2 tie in the top of the 7th in a 3-2 victory.

Thursday starts a rough stretch for the Cubs, who will play 18 consecutive games against teams – Milwaukee (6), St. Louis (8) and Toronto (3) – with winning records.

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Cubs at Orioles projected starters

RHP Adrian Sampson vs. RHP Spenser Watkins

Sampson (0-3, 3.88 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 53 1/3 IP.

  • Allowing a .304 BA in interleague games this season
  • Last 7 games (all starts): 0-3, 4.10 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 28 K, 4 HR

Watkins (4-2, 4.23 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • August splits: 5.02 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 8 ER) in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last outing: 3 IP of relief (no-decision), 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 K Saturday at Tampa Bay in 8-2 loss
  • Last 7 starts: 4-1, 2.52 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 31 K, 2 HR

Cubs at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Cubs 3

Money line

The Cubs, to put it bluntly, are not good against the American League. They have a 4-12 record, including 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games against teams with a winning record.

TAKE ORIOLES (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles have been dominant all season ATS, leading MLB with a 65% coverage rate (76-41). But they were the underdogs in most of those games, going 68-33 ATS.

As a favorite, Baltimore covers just 50% of the time, going 8-8 ATS. As home favorites, the Orioles are 6-8 ATS, covering 42.9% of their chances.

However, the -160 juice is too high to take on a below-average Cubs team.

It’s best to AVOID altogether.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102) as both teams trend toward the Under in interleague play.

The Orioles sport the majors’ best Under record in that situation with a 10-4-3 Under mark vs. the NL (71.4%)

The Cubs play Under 53.3% (8-7-1) of the time against the AL. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Cubs’ previous 4 games against the AL East.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-33) try to rebound against the Baltimore Orioles (24-33) Wednesday in the final of a 2-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0 with 2 games scheduled at Wrigley Field in July.

The Orioles rolled over the Cubbies Tueaday in a 9-3 rout. They touched Cubs RHP Keegan Thompson for 7 runs in 3 innings for his 1st loss of the season. The O’s hit 5 home runs in the game.

Rain is in the forecast Wednesday so that’ll be something to watch as the evening progresses.

Cubs at Orioles projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Stroman (2-5, 5.32 ERA) makes his 10th start in what has been a rough year. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

  • He’s 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, 5 BB and 26 K in 32 1/3 IP over 6 career starts at Camden Yards.
  • His ERA is bloated after allowing 9 ER in his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He also allowed 7 ER in an April start against the Tampa Rays.
  • Current Orioles hitters have hit .306 in 51 plate appearances against him.

Lyles (3-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 62 IP.

  • He’s 3-4 with a 5.68 ERA in 15 career appearances (9 starts) against the Cubs.
  • Has an extreme home-road split with a 6.03 road ERA this year. He’s 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA at home.
  • Current Cubs hitters have tattooed him for a .409 batting average and a .511 weighted on-base average in 23 plate appearances.

Cubs at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Orioles 3

Money line

Stroman’s career numbers against a predominately bad Orioles team in Camden are a little concerning, but he’s coming off one of the worst starts of his career. He’ll be dialed in to miss bats. Despite being a sub-.500 team, the Cubs have the 13th-ranked offense in baseball. I like the CUBS (-130) here.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs are 12-13 on the road, which is pretty good for a 23-33 team. They’re also 16-9 on the run line on the road, which is deceiving because most of the time, they’re the underdogs. I’m picking the run line to cash, but I need more than +125 for a sub-.500 road team to win by 2 or more. Instead, let’s go with the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-108) because I don’t think we’ll need extras to settle this.

Over/Under

This total is pretty dicey, and I don’t want anything to do with it — especially with rain in the forecast, which could end it prematurely. Instead, I’ll present a prop bet option. Cubs C Willson Contreras is 4-for-7 with 2 HR and 1 double lifetime against Lyles. You could take him for OVER 1.5 total bases (-104) on its own. You could also parlay the CUBS’ ML, the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS with Contreras OVER 1.5 total bases — and a $10 wager could cash a $56.58 payout.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-32) stop by Oriole Park at Camden Yards Tuesday for the opener of a 2-game interleague set with the Baltimore Orioles (23-33). First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago is 4-6 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games and lost 3 games of a 4-game home series with the St. Louis Cardinals Friday-Sunday.

Baltimore is also 4-6 SU in the last 10, losing two straight home series 2-1 to the Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners after splitting the final 4-games of a 5-game series win at the Boston Red Sox May 27-30.

Cubs at Orioles projected starters

RHP Keegan Thompson vs. RHP Kyle Bradish  

Thompson is 6-0 with a 1.99 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP over 4 starts and 8 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Win, 7-5, Thursday at home vs. the St. Louis Cardinals with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 3 K.

Bradish is 1-3 with a 6.82 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 33 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 9-2 home win vs. the Seattle Mariners Wednesday with 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.

Cubs at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 7, Orioles 3

Money line

BET the CUBS (-115).

Thompson has better advanced pitching numbers than Bradish, Chicago’s lineup is more productive against righties than Baltimore’s and there’s been some sharp line movement towards the Cubs.

Bradish grades in the 15th percentile or worse in expected ERA (xERA), exit velocity (EV), hard-hit rate barrel rate and expected batting (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, per Statcast. Also, none of Bradish’s 4 pitches have a minus-run value (RV).

On the other hand, most of Thompson’s pitching peripherals have improved year over year and Thompson grades in the 72nd percentile or better in xERA, EV, hard-hit rate and xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line. Also, 3 of Thompson’s 5 pitches have a minus-RV and none have a plus-RV.

Chicago’s lineup is better than Baltimore’s vs. right-handed pitching by wRC+ (100-92), wOBA (.316-.296), BB/K rate (0.43-0.32) and hard-hit rate (30.4-29.2%), according to FanGraphs.

The Cubs opened at -105 (according to Pregame.com) but are getting pricier. This line movement is noteworthy because who’s moving the line for a Cubs-Orioles game Tuesday during the NBA and NHL playoffs? Answer: Sharps.

BET the CUBS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN CUBS -1.5 (+135).

It’s only a “lean” because both teams have played in a bunch of 1-run games, each bullpen is solid, Chicago is just 1-3 RL as a road favorite and Baltimore is 18-8 RL as a home underdog.

However, Chicago does have a 3-phase edge over the Orioles in starting and relief pitching and hitting so there’s a smidge of value in the CUBS -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

PASS.

The situational trends don’t provide much of a clue and this is a sharp total.

If anything, I “lean” towards the Under since Camden Yards has been more pitcher-friendly this year, the Cubs are 1-5 O/U after a day off and the weather forecast is predicting double-digit mph winds blowing in from left-center field.

PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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