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The Chicago Cubs (44-49) and Baltimore Orioles (57-35) wrap up a 3-game set Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cubs lead 2-0
Chicago took down Baltimore 4-0 Wednesday as a +156 road underdog. Cubs 3B Christopher Morel hit a solo shot in the 2nd inning, and LHP Shota Imanaga allowed just 6 hits in 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.
Baltimore has dropped back-to-back games after Wednesday’s loss as a -170 home favorite. With 9 hits, including 3 from 1B Ryan Mountcastle, the Orioles were unable to produce any runs. RHP Corbin Burnes allowed 3 ER in 6 innings to pick up the loss.
Cubs at Orioles projected starters
LHP Justin Steele vs. RHP Albert Suarez
Steele (1-3, 2.95 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 79 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 1 ER, 2 H 2 BB, 7 K in 5-1 home victory against Los Angeles Angels Friday
- Career vs. Orioles: 1-1, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 2 starts, including 1-0 with 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last year
Suarez (5-2, 2.48 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 65 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 victory at Oakland A’s Friday
- Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 2.25 ERA (8 IP, 2 ER), 0.63 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start) in 2016
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Cubs at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-165) | Orioles -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline
BET CUBS (+120).
Chicago has scored 4 or more runs while allowing 2 or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games; it’s 5-1 over that span. It is 3-1 in its last 4 road games, while the Orioles are 1-3 in their last 4 at home. Baltimore has scored just 2 runs combined in 2 games against Chicago this season and 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 6 overall.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is better value on the Cubs’ moneyline.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
Chicago has scored 4 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 9 games while holding opponents to 3 or fewer in 6 of its last 10. Baltimore has scored 4 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 9 games and 3 or fewer in 6 of its last 9. It has also held opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 8 games.
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