Cubs Braves picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Chicago Cubs (7-10) continue with their 3-game road series against the Atlanta Braves (8-10) Wednesday night. First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Trust Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Braves took the first game of the season series Tuesday.

The Braves won 3-1 Tuesday as SP Max Fried allowed only 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. It evened Atlanta’s record to 2-2 on the homestand.

The Cubs lost their second straight game and for their sixth time in their last 7 games.

Cubs at Braves projected starters

RHP Mark Leiter Jr. vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Leiter (0-1, 11.05 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.91 WHIP, 6 BB and 7 K in 7 1/3 IP.

Allowed 2 R, 3 H, 2 BB in 4 innings in his last start. The Cubs have lost both his starts this season.
In 1 career start against the Braves, he’s 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA, allowing 3 R on 9 H in 6 1/3 innings.

Morton (1-2, 6.32 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 7 BB and 14 K in 15 2/3 IP.

Since winning his first start where he allowed 2 R in 5 1/3 innings, he has given up 9R on 15 H in 10 1/3 innings over his 2 last starts.
Making his 16th career start against the Cubs. He is 4-6 with a 5.27 ERA against them.

Cubs at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:52 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Cubs +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Cubs at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Braves 5

Money line

The Cubs have not scored more than 3 runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The other game was a 21-run explosion against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Morton has struggled in his last 2 starts.

The Braves’ bullpen did not allow a run in 3 innings of work Tuesday, but have MLB’s sixth-highest bullpen ERA at 4.19, while the Cubs’ bullpen has the fourth-lowest at 2.47.

The Cubs have picked up a win in every series this season. With a big pitching matchup in the series finale, this game seems the most likely for them to get the W. Take the CUBS (+170).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs have covered the spread only once in their last 6 games, but are 8-3 ATS as an underdog this season, including their failure to cover Tuesday.

The Braves are 7-11 ATS this season and 4-8 ATS as the favorite. Only once this season have they covered the spread in consecutive games, doing so in 3 straight from April 15-17.

Take the CUBS +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

The two teams combined for only 4 runs in the series opener Tuesday.

Two of Morton’s 3 starts this season have had 13-run totals. The totals in Leiter’s 2 starts have been 15 and 7.

Three of the Braves’ last 4 losses have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Only three of the Cubs’ last 8 games have had 9 or more runs, but Wednesday I LEAN OVER 8.5 (-102).

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The Chicago Cubs (7-9) open a 3-game road series against the Atlanta Braves (7-10) Tuesday. First pitch is 7:20 p.m. at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the first meeting this season. Atlanta won 5 of 7 games from the Cubs last year, outscoring them 48-35.

The Cubs just wrapped up a 2-5 homestand, losing 3 of 4 to the Pittsburgh Pirates last weeked, including a 4-3 loss on Sunday.

The Braves have lost 2 of 3 in their homestand so far, losing twice to the Miami Marlins.

Cubs at Braves projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. LHP Max Fried

Stroman (0-2, 8.78 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 6 BB and 14 K in 13 1/3 IP.

The Cubs are 0-3 in his starts this season. He has allowed 13 runs (12 earned) in his last 8 1/3 innings.
In 6 career starts against the Braves, Stroman is 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA over 30 innings.

Fried (1-2, 3.50 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1 BB and 17 K in 18 IP.

Picked up his first win in his last outing, throwing 7 shutout innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Has never lost to the Cubs, going 3-0 in 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA.

Cubs at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Cubs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-140) | Braves -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)

Cubs at Bravespicks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Cubs 2

Money line

Both pitchers have had career success against the other team. Fried is 3-0 ts against the Cubs with a 1.59 ERA while Stroman is 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA against the Braves.

Stroman, though, has been knocked around a bit in his last 2 starts, while Fried is rounding into form.

The Cubs have lost 5 of their last 6 games.

Take the BRAVES (-180).

Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs are 9-7 ATS so far this season and 8-2 ATS as underdogs.

The Braves are 6-11 ATS this season and only 3-8 ATS as favorites. Their last 5 victories have been by at least 2 runs.

But unless Stroman pitches better than he has, I don’t think it will matter, especially if Fried can follow up his last start with another good one.

Things could get interesting in the game when the bullpens get involved. The Cubs have the fifth-lowest bullpen ERA in the majors at 2.54, while Atlanta has the second-highest at 4.38.

Still, take the BRAVES -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under

Ten of the Cubs’ 16 games this season have had 8 or more runs, although 3 of their last 4 have had 7 or fewer.

Five of the Braves’ first 6 games this season had 8 or more runs, but since then, only 4 of their last 11 have. Only 2 of their 7 wins have had more than 7 runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (+105).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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