UCLA at Alabama NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Odds, Picks and Prediction

A spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (24-6) or the No. 11 UCLA Bruins (17-9) when the teams meet in a East Region bracket matchup.

A spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (24-6) or the No. 11 UCLA Bruins (17-9) when the teams meet in a East Region bracket matchup. Sportsbooks think Alabama will survive and advance, naming the Crimson Tide as 5.5-point favorites. The action starts at 7:15 PM ET on Sunday at .

In their last game, the Crimson Tide picked up a 96-77 win over Maryland and covered the 6-point spread they were favored by . The teams hit the over on the 138.5 point total set by bookmakers. Jaden Shackelford put up a team-high 21 points in the victory on Monday.

Last time out, Johnny Juzang scored 17 points as the Bruins earned a 67-47 victory over Abilene Christian on Monday. The teams combined to score 114 points to hit the under on the 132.5 point total by sportsbooks, while the Bruins were 5.5-point favorites and covered the spread.

UCLA at Alabama: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 6:30 PM ET on March 28, 2021.

  • Money line: UCLA +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Alabama -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: UCLA +7 (-110) | Alabama -7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Alabama: Three things to know

  • The Crimson Tide rebounds and assists leader is Herbert Jones. He averages 6.5 rebounds and contributes 3.3 assists per game. John Petty is the top three-point shooter for the team, knocking down 2.5 per game.
  • The 79.7 points per game the Crimson Tide record are 11.8 more points than the Bruins give up (67.9).
  • Alabama is 25-1 overall and 17-0-1 against the spread when scoring more than 67.9 points.

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UCLA: Three things to know

  • The Bruins scoring leader is Juzang, who averages 15.1 points per game. Juzang is the top three-point shooter for the team, hitting 2.0 per game.
  • The Bruins score just 3.6 more points per game (73.1) than the Crimson Tide give up to opponents (69.5).
  • UCLA is 10-0 against the spread and 14-5 overall when it scores more than 69.5 points.

UCLA at Alabama: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Alabama 76, UCLA 70

Money line

The Alabama Crimson Tide are the favorites to win this matchup according to both BetMGM’s money line and the model.

Against the spread (ATS)

The model line and the MGM line are in razor-thin margins here, within 1 point of each other. Based off the current model line, UCLA would cover the seven-point spread.

Over/Under (O/U)

In this game, the model projects a total (146 points) marginally higher than the MGM over/under (144.5 points).

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