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The Connecticut Sun (13-4) and Phoenix Mercury (8-8) meet Monday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Sun lead 1-0
The Sun have struggled lately, dropping 3 of the past 4 games, while failing to cover the past 5 outings. The only win came in a 94-91 OT win on Thursday in Washington, but Connecticut failed to cover as an 11-point favorite as the Over (151.5) cashed. The Under is 4-2 in the past 6 games.
Connecticut topped Phoenix 70-47 as an 8-point favorite on May 28 as the Under (168) cashed.
The Mercury have dropped 2 of the past 3 games, while also going 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while cashing low on the total in 3 straight. Phoenix lost 88-82 to the Indiana Fever on Sunday, snapping a 6-0 ATS in the past 6 tries at home.
Sun at Mercury odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sun -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Mercury +138 (bet $100 to win $138)
- Against the spread: Sun -3 (-108) | Mercury +3 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 160 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Sun at Mercury picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 78, Mercury 72
Moneyline
CONNECTICUT (-170) is worth a look as a moderate favorite on the moneyline. It’s a risky play, as the Sun has dropped 3 of the past 4 outings, but this is a team which punished Phoenix (+138 by 23 points earlier this season.
The Mercury is also playing in the 2nd end of a back-to-back, and it lost 81-78 in New York in its only previous game with no rest on May 29, playing a day after that blowout loss in Connecticut.
Against the spread
Play CONNECTICUT -3 (-108), but be careful. This game is likely to be a lot more competitive than the 1st meeting.
First off, this game is in the Valley of the Sun, not in Connecticut. And Phoenix +3 (-112) has played well at home, while the Sun has failed to cover the past 5 outings. However, this is still a very good team, and the Sun’s defense remains dangerous.
Over/Under
UNDER 160 (-110) might be the best play on the board.
The Under has cashed in 3 straight games for the Mercury, while going 9-4 across the past 13 outings. The total also went low with just 117 combined points on a total of 168 in the first meeting in Connecticut.
The Over has cashed in the past 2 games for the Sun, but the Under is 4-2 in the previous 6 outings.
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