Roll ‘Bama Roll writer calls Texas’ projected win total ‘laughable’

Texas’ win total prediction receives strong reactions from detractors.

Projected win totals are out for the 2024 season. With transfer portal chaos coming to a close and rosters more solidified, more college football observers are weighing in on the projections.

Roll ‘Bama Roll writer Erik Evans predicted SEC win totals for the 2024 season. He has a less than favorable view of Texas heading into the year.

“This is laughable … The strength of the team, defensive line, got smacked by NFL defections. It’s already a bad road staff. And, son, you’re not playing TCU and Iowa State anymore. Return to the Alamo Bowl. 8-4. Maybe.”

To be sure, TCU and Iowa State put up a better fight than Alabama did against Texas a season ago, but the Longhorns schedule does get more difficult.

The easiest identifiable difference between the Big 12 and SEC is NFL caliber talent. Kentucky and Texas A&M have that regardless of how many games they win. To a lesser degree, Florida, Mississippi State and Arkansas will have NFL talent, too. Nevertheless, many of the Longhorns scheduled opponents match up poorly with Texas, who faces more of the projected bottom half of the SEC than not.

Will Texas fall to 8-4? Maybe. If it does, it will be because the team fell closer to its floor than its ceiling.

Draft Kings favors Texas over Michigan in Week 2 bout

Texas is a three-point road favorite against Michigan.

The Michigan Wolverines host the Texas Longhorns in a highly anticipated Week 2 matchup. Despite the game being played in front of what could be the largest crowd Texas has dealt with on the road, the Longhorns are favored.

Draft Kings Sportsbook favors the Longhorns by three points heading into the matchup.

The game is a difficult one to predict for several reasons. Michigan is the reigning national champion and returns several playmakers from the No. 1 defense in college football. Offensively, the Wolverines are a shell of their 2023 iteration.

Michigan returns 36% of its production from last season according to ESPN’s Bill Connely’s SP+ returning production rankings. The team ranks No. 130 out of 134 teams in that metric. In other words, only four teams have less proven production than the team that Michigan will field in Week 2. Coincidentally, Texas’ Week 4 opponent Louisiana-Monroe ranks No. 133 in returning production.

The inexperience is reason to favor Texas, but the unknown potential of Michigan is reason to keep the line close. The teams will play at 11 a.m. CT on Fox’s Big Noon Kickoff on Sept. 7.

For more Michigan news, previews and analysis visit Wolverines Wire.

Week 1 or Bowl Season: Looking at a loaded first week of football

Competitive Week 1 matchups could pass for bowl games.

Week 1 of the college football season used to be comprised mostly of tune-up games. That’s not the case this season. It could be one of the more exciting first weeks in recent memory.

At a glance, the featured matchups look like bowl games. On Saturday of Week 1, the Georgia Bulldogs and Clemson Tigers kick off the day in the morning. The two teams have separately played in several playoff games.

In the afternoon slot, the Florida Gators and Miami Hurricanes play a must-win game for both teams. The game might be more consequential for Florida given its loaded schedule, but Miami looks to prove it is a contender rather than a pretender this season.

At night, two games highlight the evening. The Texas A&M Aggies host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in Mike Elko’s debut as head coach in College Station. The Aggies share the spotlight with the LSU Tigers who face the coach they were once rumored to have tried to poach in USC Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley.

The Texas Longhorns don’t have as interesting a first game as the ones above, but will get the opportunity to open the season on ESPN. They face the Colorado State Rams at 2:30 p.m. CT on Aug. 31. The following Saturday they’ll face their marquee nonconference matchup against the Michigan Wolverines.

Game times for the most intriguing Week 1 of a college football season in recent memory are lined up. It sets the tone for the first season of super conferences in college football.

Bleacher Report discusses if Texas can make the playoff in 2024

Texas is viewed as a playoff caliber team by Bleacher Report.

The Texas Longhorns face an important first season in the Southeastern Conference in 2024. How they fare could set them up for long-term success or set them back in perception.

Bleacher Report’s David Kenyon discussed whether or not Texas will make the playoff in 2024. Kenyon likes the Longhorns’ chances.

“Whether the Horns defeat Michigan in early September is basically the lone question about if they’ll start 5-0. The following back-to-back against rival Oklahoma and top-ranked Georgia is an enormous two-week stretch, of course. Yet down the stretch, the schedule looks pretty nice. Kentucky and Texas A&M shouldn’t be taken for granted in late November, but Texas has a definite path to double-digit victories.”

The season seems to hinge on how Texas fares in its 50-50 matchups. Those games appear to be Michigan, Oklahoma and Texas A&M away from home. The Longhorns need to go 2-1 against those three opponents to make the College Football Playoff assuming Texas loses to Georgia.

Texas is set up to return to the playoff in 2024. The season will reveal if the team can sustain good performance against top competition.

Saturday Blitz calls Texas a contender that will disappoint in 2024

College football analyst writes that Texas could be due for a “humbling experience.”

Not everybody views Texas as a playoff team in 2024. One college football writer seems confident the Longhorns will underwhelm on the gridiron.

Saturday Blitz’s Connor Muldowney writes that the Longhorns are in danger of a “humbling experience” in the upcoming football season. He shared why Texas is one of five contenders that won’t live up to the hype.

“Not only is top offensive weapon Xavier Worthy gone, but the Longhorns can’t rely on beating up on the rest of the Big 12 this season as they’ll be making the move to the SEC. Usually the first year in a new conference is tough on Power Four teams, and I think that will especially be the case with Steve Sarkisian and the Longhorns in the SEC.

Looking at the schedule, there’s just way too much opportunity for slip-ups. The Longhorns will travel to Michigan in non-conference play, face Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, follow that up with Georgia the following week, and end the season with Florida, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Texas A&M. There’s a legit chance they go 2-2, at best, in that November stretch.”

It’s interesting that Muldowney identifies the last four games as a potential trap for Texas. His prediction of 2-2 at best is pessimistic for a stretch that includes Arkansas (4-8), Florida (5-7) and Texas A&M and Kentucky teams who went 7-6 a season ago. You may recall Arkansas lost to BYU at home in its 4-8 season. The analysis seems to give more credit to names than the talent that currently resides on the rosters. That said, there are several potential losses on the schedule.

The Texas team that Muldowney states relied on beating up the rest of the Big 12 was the team that bullied the Alabama Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa. It imposed its will against the Tide with its offensive line, which returns four of five starters. Dominant offensive line play is usually a sustainable form of winning which would work in Texas’ favor.

It’s certainly possible Texas loses four games. The Longhorns likely lose to the Georgia Bulldogs and face tough games against Michigan, Oklahoma and Texas A&M away from Austin. Even so, it’s hard to fathom the Longhorns do worse than 2-2 against a stretch that includes struggling Arkansas and Florida squads. The team might disappoint, but it’s doubtful Texas will struggle to reach a bowl game.

In all likelihood, Texas needs to win 10 games in 2024 to reach the 12-team College Football Playoff. It hopes its Top 5 portal class and sustained recruiting and developmental success translate on the field again.

College Football writer ranks Texas No. 2 in way-too-early Top 25

One writer views Texas as the No. 2 team in college football.

Preseason projections continue to roll in as we enter recruiting season. The Texas Longhorns rank highly in another projection.

Jeff Mezydlo of Yardbarker ranks the Longhorns No. 2. He explained what could make Texas a force leading up to the 2024 season.

“With a trip to the CFP to build on and quarterback Quinn Ewers (64.3 completion percentage, 5,656 passing yards, 37 touchdowns, 12 interceptions in 22 career games) back in the fold, the Longhorns again have lofty expectations for 2024. Yes, there likely will be holes to fill on both the defensive line and for those receiving targets. Yes, they will be playing in the SEC, so the competition will stiffen (there’s also a Sept. 7 stop at Michigan). However, Texas will be among the 12 best teams in the nation next season when anything can happen.”

Mezydlo is higher on Texas than most as we look forward to a pivotal fourth season for head coach Steve Sarkisian in Austin. If Sarkisian can follow a 12-win season with another good showing in 2024, we could see Texas return to more of the success it had under former head coaches Mack Brown, Fred Akers and Darrell Royal.

The college football writer shared interesting projections for a handful of teams. The Ohio State Buckeyes are given a lower than usual ranking at No. 5. The Oklahoma State Cowboys (No. 10) and Washington Huskies (No. 12) are given more benefit of the doubt than we would give despite potentially lacking the talent to compete at an elite level this season. The Cowboys return plenty from last season, but displayed a low floor in blowout losses to South Alabama and UCF.

Texas’ rivals, the Texas A&M Aggies (No. 24) and Oklahoma Sooners (No. 16), are included in the Top 25 ranking. They might belong higher on the list than Mezydlo gives them credit for in the rankings. The analyst shares that while Sooners quarterback Jackson Arnold gave reason for optimism in the Alamo Bowl, the SEC slate is daunting. Mezydlo opines that Texas A&M’s schedule is favorable in that many of its toughest games are at Kyle Field.

It’s uncertain where the Longhorns will end up by season’s end, but the national perception seems to favor the team. Texas looks to live up to its high ranking in 2024.

Gig ‘Em Gazette ranks Texas at No. 6 in post-spring SEC power rankings

Texas A&M writer has the Longhorns No. 6 in the SEC after the spring.

In what comes as no surprise to Texas faithful, one Texas A&M writer has less faith in the Longhorns than most national college football outlets do for the upcoming season. His ranking might surprise you.

Texas is viewed nationally as a Top 10 team in college football for 2024. Gig ‘Em Gazette writer Graham Harmon argues that Texas isn’t a Top 5 team in the SEC. He shared his justification in ranking the Longhorns at No. 6 in his post-spring SEC power ranking.

“I look at things like a late surge needed to beat an awful Iowa State team. Going to the fourth quarter tied with Wyoming before a pick-six broke the game open. Eking out a win over a horrendous Houston squad that should have been blown out no matter whether Quinn Ewers was playing. A three-point win over a sub-.500 TCU squad. Key players no-showing against OU and the playoff game versus Washington.”

Texas A&M, of course, went 7-6 last season with wins over New Mexico, Louisiana-Monroe and Abilene Christian. Its 4-6 record against power conference teams, including a 48-33 loss to the middling Miami Hurricanes (7-6), is less desirable than barely going 12-2 as Harmon suggests Texas did. Still he’s not sold on Texas because of what it has at quarterback.

“I’m just not a believer in Quinn Ewers to be that guy this year. Kelvin Banks is legit, and still one of the most painful misses from the 2022 class for the Aggies. Anthony Hill could be a star as well. But there are too many question marks and concerns from last year for me to buy in here. I’ve got Texas at 8-4—if that prediction comes to pass, especially if one of those losses is to the Aggies in Kyle (Field), I’ll be very interested to see how things progress.”

The questions marks for the Aggies aren’t as concerning as the Longhorns’ perceived deficiencies according to the Texas A&M writer. The Aggies break in a brand new head coach and offensive coordinator after failing to produce a strong enough offense with schematic wizard Bobby Petrino at offensive coordinator. Head coach Mike Elko is given plenty of benefit of the doubt by Harmon, who explains ranking the Aggies No. 3 in the SEC.

“Under Elko, I feel confident A&M will have an elite defense. The offense is the big question mark—but with a healthy Weigman, Klein at the controls, and an improved OL, I like the Aggies’ chances against a schedule which sees all four of their toughest games come at home.”

The Aggies have done well enough in the transfer portal to be a force in the SEC, but haven’t been a Top 3 team in the conference since the 2020 season. Perhaps they turn the corner this season, but the past three years have seen more disappointment than realized potential. The Longhorns will get a glimpse of how good the Aggies are on November 30 at Kyle Field in College Station.

Get more Texas A&M news, analysis, and opinions on Aggies Wire.

What makes Texas’ returning experience at offensive line advantageous

It’s hard to pick up blitzes with a unit that has never worked together. Texas doesn’t have to worry about that.

College football teams across the country are losing plenty of experience along the offensive line. Texas is one of the few that is retaining the core of its line. It’s a huge advantage.

Kelvin Banks Jr., Devon Campbell Jr., Hayden Conner and Cole Hutson enter their third year of consistent playing time in Austin. They’re joined by fourth year starting center Jake Majors, key contributors Cam Williams and Malik Agbo and another lineman primed to break out in Neto Umeozulu.

The list above includes seven or eight starter quality offensive lineman. That’s not the norm in college football and certainly not on Texas’ 2024 schedule.

There is some confusion as to why Texas is expected to win 10 games and return to a College Football Playoff. Much of that revolves around what it lost on the defensive line.

In fairness, losing two All-American caliber defensive tackles is a huge deal. Albeit, given the offensive line turnover among teams on the Longhorns’ schedule it’s uncertain how many teams can capitalize.

Of the four most difficult matchups on the Texas schedule, three face significant upheaval on the offensive line. Michigan, whose offensive dominance was predicated on bullying opponents in the trenches, loses all five offensive linemen. Oklahoma, who seemed to do better than Michigan in the portal, will have five new starters on the offensive line.

Texas A&M wasn’t the most shining example of great offensive line play in 2023. It loses multi-year starter in five-star center Bryce Foster.

So who is going to make Texas’ defensive interior pay for what it lost? Outside of Georgia, there’s question about several teams’ ability to attack the Longhorns’ perceived weakness.

More than being able to impose its will in the running game, which should happen for Texas in 2024 with former freshmen starters becoming juniors and seniors becoming super-seniors, the Longhorns are more set up to succeed in handling stunts, twists and blitzes that teams dish out.

Like it or not, first year offensive lines are almost certain to struggle against various pressures that defenses throw at them. It’s much easier for defensive tackles to maintain gap integrity than for five new offensive linemen to read several variables at one time and act in cohesion. It’s simply an unrealistic expectation regardless of how those players have performed elsewhere.

While Texas won’t be immune to giving up pressure, it doesn’t have the same level of concern many of its top opponents should have in their offensive line. For the Longhorns and head coach Steve Sarkisian it’s a huge advantage, and one that could vault the team to another College Football Playoff in 2024.

Brad Crawford predicts every SEC football team’s record for 2024

247Sports likes the Longhorns more than the Sooners for 2024.

Spring football is about to begin across college football. One college football analyst is looking ahead and predicting the season.

247Sports national college football analyst Brad Crawford shared his record predictions for every SEC football team in 2024. Some records could surprise you.

According to Crawford, the Texas Longhorns (12-2) are set to follow an 11-1 regular season with the same 11-1 record next year. The football analyst puts Texas atop the league with Georgia and Ole Miss both at 11 wins.

The Longhorns’ rivals are given interesting record predictions for the year. The Texas A&M Aggies and Oklahoma Sooners are both given multiple losses. With both teams breaking in a new offensive play caller, it’s uncertain how consistent a product either team will produce in 2024.

Here’s a look at each SEC team’s record prediction in Crawford’s projections.