Sun Belt Championship: Coastal Carolina at Troy odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Coastal Carolina at Troy odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (9-2, 6-2 Sun Belt) and Troy Trojans (10-2, 7-1) clash in the conference championship game Saturday. Kickoff at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Ala., is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Coastal Carolina vs. Troy odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

East Division champion Coastal Carolina heads into the Sun Belt title game after being routed by James Madison 47-7 last Saturday as a 15-point road underdog. The Chanticleers averaged 458.4 yards of offense per game in their 1st 7 games but only 322.8 in the last 4. Coastal was held to a season-low 183 total yards in the loss to JMU.

The Trojans have won 9 straight games and haven’t lost since Sept. 17. They tied with South Alabama atop the West Division but won the title by way of an 10-6 head-to-head triumph at the Jaguars Oct. 20. Last Saturday, Troy covered a 13.5-point spread in a 48-19 win at Arkansas State. Over their last 5 games, the Trojans are 4-1 ATS.

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Coastal Carolina at Troy odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:13 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Coastal Carolina +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Troy -310 (bet $310 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Coastal Carolina +8.5 (-111) | Troy -8.5 (-109)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Coastal Carolina at Troy picks and predictions

Prediction

Troy 28, Coastal Carolina 21

Moneyline

Three-time Sun Belt Player of the Year Grayson McCall, the Coastal Carolina quarterback, has missed the last 2 games with a foot injury, and his status for the title bout is unclear. It seems unlikely McCall plays — He’s listed out indefinitely by Covers.com. Coach Jamey Chadwell left the door to a return open just wide enough to … well, to make the Chanticleers worth a look at +250.

McCall has completed 68.9% of his passes this season, throwing for 2,314 yards and 21 TDs against just 1 interception. In 33 career games, he has thrown for 7,700 yards and 75 TDs against just 7 picks.

Consider a partial-unit play on COASTAL CAROLINA (+250).

Against the spread

CCU has managed close wins over Troy each of the last 3 seasons — by 7 points, 4 points and 1 point. The Chanticleers defense is not as good as Troy’s, but is capable in creating havoc. Plus, Coastal is the better team at both ends in red-zone performance.

This line opened in the 6.5 range across much of the market. It has hopped over the key number of 7 and gone another couple full clicks and is now worth some Coastal action, even if McCall does not play.

BACK THE CHANTICLEERS +8.5 (-111).

Over/Under

A solid number with no arguments to be made for leverage on either side. PASS.

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Troy at Coastal Carolina odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Troy Trojans at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Troy Trojans (4-3, 2-1 Sun Belt) travel to meet the No. 24 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (6-1, 2-1) Thursday at Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Troy vs. Coastal Carolina odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Trojans enters on a two-game win streak, it’s first of the season. However, Troy has failed to cover in each of the past four outings. In addition, the Under is 5-1 in the past six for Troy.

The Chanticleers were dropped 30-27 at Appalachian State, failing to cover for the first time in four outings. It was also just the second time in seven games CCU failed to score at least 49 points.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Troy at Coastal Carolina odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:32 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Troy +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Coastal Carolina -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Troy +17.5 (-115) | Coastal Carolina -17.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Troy at Coastal Carolina odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 34, Troy 13

Money line

Coastal Carolina (-900) will cost you nine times your potential return. That’s just not a good long-term betting strategy. Eventually, a big upset is just around the corner, even after several betting wins of this variety. There is just no value.

AVOID.

Against the spread

COASTAL CAROLINA -17.5 (-115) is worth a look as it tries to bounce back after its narrow loss at App State.

Coastal has rolled up 45.7 points per game (PPG) to rank third in the nation, while posting 523.0 total yards per outing. QB Grayson McCall will enter this game angry after getting handled by the Mountaineers.

Troy has a tremendous defense, but it has really struggled to put points on the board. Troy’s offense will be sluggish against a Coastal Carolina defense, which has yielded just 17.1 PPG, ranking 13th overall in the country. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in the past six, including four consecutive non-covers. Roll with the Chants.

Over/Under

UNDER 51.5 (-110) is the play as both Coastal and Troy have lockdown defenses. I expect Coastal’s offense to still put up its fair share of points, while Troy will struggle. The Trojans have had a difficult time finding the end zone. Remember, this is a team which has hit the Under in five of the past six.

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Coastal Carolina at Troy odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Coastal Carolina at Troy sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (10-0 overall, 7-0 SBC) visit the Troy Trojans (5-5, 3-3) Saturday afternoon for a 3 p.m. ET kickoff in Sun Belt action. Below, we analyze the Coastal Carolina-Troy college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Coastal Carolina is No. 13 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Coastal Carolina at Troy: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Coastal Carolina -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Troy +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Coastal Carolina -13.5 (-110) | Troy +13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Coastal Carolina at Troy: Three things to know

  1. Coastal Carolina is coming off a monster, program-defining 22-17 win last Saturday over then-No. 8 BYU. Cougars QB Zach Wilson — who went into the game with 26 touchdown passes and six games of 280-plus yards passing — was held to a 19-for-30, 240-yard performance by a solid CCU defense. The Chanticleers’ running game did the rest with 281 yards.
  2. Troy bounced back from allowing 47 points to Appalachian State two weeks back to shut out South Alabama in a 29-0 win Saturday. QB Gunnar Watson threw for 297 yards and three TDs (all three were in the second quarter), and the Trojans defense held USA to 6-for-21 on third- and fourth-down attempts. Troy allowed the Jaguars just 239 total yards, a season-best for the Trojans.
  3. This game is a rescheduled affair from Nov. 14 (COVID-19 postponement stemming from protocols at Troy). Troy leads the series between these two programs three games to one. Coastal’s lone win in the series came in a 36-35 game — one sealed by a two-point conversion with 30 seconds remaining — last season.

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Coastal Carolina at Troy: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 31, Troy 20

Money line (ML)

Troy is in a likable spot here, theoretically. It’s at home after four road games and has played just one at home since October. The Chanticleers are perhaps being on a downward bounce after its relative Game of the Century. PASS on the tag, though. The spread offers better value.

Against the spread (ATS)

TROY +13.5 (-110) is a nice play, especially given a total that has dropped two full points in the lead-up. Coastal Carolina’s defense is good but, at 16.7 points per game allowed, is overrated.

CCU could well be looking to ice a 10-to-20-point lead on the ground late in the game. Give the Trojans just enough of a nod on defense in their ability to utilize the forward pass to counter in a big game at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS ON A TOTAL THAT LOOKS TO BE WELL MADE with just the slightest lean to the Under 51.5 (-110).

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Coastal Carolina at Troy odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Troy Trojans sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (7-0 overall, 5-0 Sun Belt) visit the Troy Trojans (4-3, 2-2) Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Below, we analyze the Coastal Carolina-Troy college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Coastal Carolina is ranked No. 17 in the Amway Coaches Poll presented by USA TODAY Sports.

Coastal Carolina at Troy: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Coastal Carolina -385 (bet $385 to win $100) | Troy +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Coastal Carolina -10.5 (-106) | Troy +10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Coastal Carolina at Troy: Three things to know

  • Coastal Carolina edged Troy 36-35 when these two Sun Belt foes met last season. CCU finished off the game with a touchdown and a 2-point conversion with 30 seconds remaining. The Chanticleers and Trojans combined to crank out 976 total yards in the game at CCU.
  • Troy starting QB Gunnar Watson has been out for a couple weeks with a ribs injury. He’s day-to-day heading into the weekend. Backup QB Jacob Free has been capable in throwing for a 957 yards this season.
  • The Chanticleers have logged a third-down conversion rate over 55% in five of their games this season. CCU’s 52.9% rate for the season ranks 12th in FBS.

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Coastal Carolina at Troy: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 31, Troy 28

Money line (ML)

TAKE THE TROJANS (+300) as an undercard play. Troy has a defensive front seven that can help turn this into a one-score game. Add in the Chanticleers being just too far out over their skis with the overall ranking, and the +300 tag is worth a go.

Against the spread (ATS)

Play-by-play analytics like Troy more than the picture painted by point-per-game averages, and that’s true on both sides of the ball. Head coach Chip Lindsey — a former offensive coordinator at Auburn — has a passing game that figures to be able to test Coastal Carolina more than most of the opponents making up its 7-0 record.

Troy has had a significant recruiting edge over the Chanticleers in recent cycles. Peg the TROJANS +10.5 (-115) as being within a score in this tilt on home turf.

Over/Under (O/U)

Recent O/U trends on both sides have this number tamped down too far. In a game where Troy figures to stay with Coastal for maybe three quarters or more, BACK THE OVER 54.5 (-106).

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