Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Arsenal (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Liverpool (7-0-1) to Emirates Stadium Sunday for a clash of top English Premier League sides. Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Liverpool entered the weekend as the top side in the EPL and has the league’s best defense, having allowed just 3 goals through 8 matches. The Reds have a +12 goal differential, having netted 15. They are a perfect 4-0-0 on the road. Liverpool’s last match was a 1-0 road win over RB Leipzig in the Champions League Wednesday. Its last league match was a 2-1 home win over Chelsea Sunday.

Arsenal, which is 3-1-0 at home, sat 3rd in the EPL coming into the weekend. The Gunners are led by F Kai Havertz, who has netted 4 goals in 8 starts. They also have a strong defense, having allowed 8 goals in 8 matches. Arsenal has scored 15 for a +7 goal differential. It is coming off a 1-0 Champions League win Tuesday over Shakhtar. Arsenal has won its last 5 home games throughout all competitions.

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Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arsenal +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Liverpool +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Draw +230
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -120)

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Arsenal vs. Liverpool picks and predictions

Prediction

Liverpool 1, Arsenal 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET DRAW (+230).

Liverpool played a close home game with Chelsea last week and only won that game due to having a penalty kick goal called against the Blues. The Reds haven’t played many top-tier teams in the league, and this will be their first true road test, coming off 2 competitive games in the last week.

Arsenal has played well at home and has acquired a point in every home match this season. The Gunners also have a more impressive resume so far, having beaten PSG at home and having taken down Tottenham on the road. They should be able to keep this game close. One of the 2 league matches between these teams last season was a 1-1 draw as well.

For the value, back DRAW (+230).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-120).

Both defenses are among the best in the league with Liverpool having given up just 0.38 goals per game this season. While it has scored 1.88 goals per game, Arsenal is allowing just 1.00 as well and has a competent backline. Liverpool has had 2.0 or fewer expected goals in 5 of 8 league matches so far this season.

Arsenal, which has just 1 player with more than 2 goals, has had 0.7 or fewer expected goals in 2 of its last 4 games throughout all competitions. It isn’t quite as strong offensively but does have a sturdy defense. Combine it all and back UNDER 2.5 (-120).

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LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Denver Nuggets (0-1) welcome the LA Clippers (0-1) to Ball Arena Saturday for a Western Conference clash. Tip is set for 5 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Clippers vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split 2-2 last season

The Nuggets, who were 1-4 straight up (SU) and 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in the preseason, lost 102-87 as 2-point home favorites to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their season opener Thursday with the Under (229) hitting. All 5 Denver starters scored in double figures as 3-time MVP C Nikola Jokic led the way with 16 points and a game-high 13 assists. The Nuggets have been among the best teams in the NBA the last few seasons, but were 43-49-2 ATS (playoffs included) last season.

The Clippers, who lost F Paul George to the Philadelphia 76ers in offseason free agency and failed to find someone to replace his offensive star power, went 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the preseason. They lost their season-opener in overtime to the visiting Phoenix Suns 116-113 Wednesday but covered as 5-point underdogs. The Over (224.5) cashed thanks to OT. G James Harden led the Clips with 29 points and 12 rebounds, both game-highs.

Clippers at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Clippers +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +7.5 (-105) | Nuggets -7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Clippers at Nuggets key injuries

Clippers

  • C Mo Bamba (knee) out
  • F Kawhi Leonard (knee) out

Nuggets

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Clippers at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 114, Clippers 105

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no reason to take the Nuggets (-350) to outright win here. They are too expensive as home favorites, and the Clippers (+260) are too risky as road underdogs. AVOID a moneyline play even though Denver should come out on top.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -7.5 (-115).

The Nuggets shot unreasonably poor from both the field and from deep in their season opener. They shot 35.7% from the field and 18.4% from deep, yet managed 17 offensive rebounds. They should see those percentages improve against a defense not quite as stingy as the Thunder.

The Clippers scored just 103 points in regulation vs. Phoenix and will be down arguably their best player in Leonard. Harden will take the bulk of shots; he put up 28 shots vs. the Suns. The Clippers, outside of losing George, have a similar roster to last season where they were 14-20 ATS after a loss, the second-worst record in that situation in the NBA — the Atlanta Hawks were the worst at 13-33.

Put it all together and BACK NUGGETS -7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 218.5 (-110).

The Clippers and Suns were knotted up at 103 points prior to going into overtime and the Over inevitably hitting.

The Nuggets, who only scored 87 points, and Thunder went far Under the 229 total with just 189 points scored in their opener. The Nuggets didn’t score more than 104 points in 3 of 5 preseason games.

Expect both teams to continue their slow play. BET UNDER 218.5 (-110).

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LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (21-18) battle the Denver Nuggets (24-13) in the Mile High City Thursday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Clippers vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 124-111 Tuesday, failing to cover as 4.5-point road favorites. Denver is 18-19 against the spread (ATS) this season. It is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 and is 14-3 straight up at home. Denver’s strength is in its offensive efficiency, ranking 2nd in FG percentage (50.8%) and 1st in 3-point FG percentage (39.8%).

The Clippers lost to the Miami Heat 110-100 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 1-point home underdog. LA is 0-2 ATS in its last 2, but still 5-3 ATS in its last 8. The Clippers’ strength is in its defensive efficiency, ranking 5th in opponents’ FG percentage (45.7%) and 3rd in opponents’ 3-point FG percentage (34%).

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Clippers at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Clippers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +4.5 (-102) | Nuggets -4.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Clippers at Nuggets key injuries

Clippers

  • F Nicolas Batum (ankle) out
  • F Paul George (hamstring) questionable

Nuggets

  • F Jeff Green (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Clippers at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Clippers 114, Nuggets 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Clippers have a good defense to keep things close, and with F Kawhi Leonard set to play and George questionable, I wouldn’t hate a sprinkle on their moneyline.

Nonetheless, I would pass here and play the points.

Against the spread

BET CLIPPERS +4.5 (-102).

The Clippers are a strong 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games and should have 2 superstars taking the court. Los Angeles is 11-5 straight up with Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers defense should be good enough to keep the Nuggets’ 3-point prowess at bay as well.

Los Angeles ranks 5th in defensive rating, and considering the Nuggets are 24-13 yet rank 10th in net rating, their ranking there suggests their win percentage is a bit misleading. The size of C Ivica Zubac should help tame 2-time MVP C Nikola Jokic as well.

Ultimately, considering the strenth of the Los Angeles’ defense and with Leonard on the court, back the CLIPPERS +4.5 (-102).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 228.5 (-108).

The Los Angeles Under has been a strong play all season with it being 16-23 O/U. The Clippers have gone Under in 2 of its last 3 and are 1-2 O/U with a total of 228 or 228.5 this season.

These teams rank 19th and 22nd in pace, so this won’t necessarily be a high-tempo game, and with the Clippers defensive prowess limiting an efficient Denver attack, I would back the UNDER 228.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (36-37) travel to the Mile High City to play the Denver Nuggets (42-30). Tip-off at the Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

L.A. has lost 4 of its last 5 games — 1-3 against the spread (ATS) — including three straight at the Cleveland Cavaliers 120-111 in overtime March 14, the Toronto Raptors Wednesday 103-100 and at the Utah Jazz Friday 121-99.

Denver has lost back-to-back games, at the Cavs Friday 119-116 in overtime and the Boston Celtics Sunday 124-104. In the last two weeks, the Nuggets are 3-4 straight up (SU) and 2-5 ATS.

The Nuggets are 2-1 SU versus the Clippers this season, but L.A. is 3-0 ATS and the total is 1-2 Over/Under (O/U).

Clippers at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Clippers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Nuggets -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Clippers +6.5 (-110) | Nuggets -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Clippers at Nuggets key injuries

Clippers

  • None

Nuggets

  • PG Jamal Murray (knee) out

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Clippers at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Clippers 103

Money line

PASS  because the Nuggets (-280) should be extra motivated for several reasons and Denver should win by margin here.

But the Nuggets are too expensive for any NBA regular-season ML favorite. An example would be Monday’s Heat-76ers game where Philly upset Miami without both Joel Embiid and James Harden.

The Clippers (+220) could obviously have a hot-shooting night and pull out an upset.

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Against the spread

BET the NUGGETS -6.5 (-110)  because they should be at peak motivation since they are the 6-seed in the West, the final non-play-in seed, and only a half-game ahead of the seventh-place Minnesota Timberwolves.

On top of that, Denver big Nikola Jokic is playing against Marcus Morris, the twin brother of Markieff Morris who Jokic injured in an on-court altercation during the Nuggets-Heat game, Nov. 9. Jokic with any extra motivation is a force on the court.

Furthermore, there’s no love lost between these two teams considering they’ve met in the playoffs in recent seasons.

Also, Nuggets SG Austin Rivers played for L.A. under his father Doc Rivers and role players like Rivers typically play better at home. If Jokic has a big game, all he’ll need is one or two role players to step up for the Nuggets to cruise past the Clippers.

Plus L.A. could be a fake sharp play since the Clippers are considered a plucky underdog and are 19-17 ATS when getting points. But, L.A. is just 3-6 ATS as 5-to-7-point underdogs and 0-4 ATS in the last four games versus teams with a winning record.

BET 1 unit on the NUGGETS -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 222.5 (-112)  since it’s presumably the sharp play and the Under is 4-1 in the last five Clippers-Nuggets meetings.

According to Pregame.com, more money is on Denver but more bets have been placed on L.A. Since the sharps wager more cash than the public, the money column is considered the sharp side of the market.

Also, both teams play at a below-average pace, have a below-average offensive FT/FGA rate and a top-10 defensive FT/FGA rate.

It’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 222.5 (-112)  because I feel stronger about Denver’s spread.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (22-23) visit the Mile High City Wednesday to play the Denver Nuggets (22-20) Tip-off at Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

L.A. snapped a two-game losing skid by beating the Indiana Pacers 139-133 as a 2.5-point home favorite Monday. The Clippers are 20-25 against the spread (ATS) and 19-26 Over/Under (O/U).

Denver had a two-game winning streak end after getting crushed 125-102 by the visiting Utah Jazz Sunday. The Nuggets are 18-24 ATS and 22-20 O/U.

These teams are tied 1-1 in their regular-season series, but the Clippers covered both meetings and the Under cashed in each.

Clippers at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Nuggets -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +8.5 (-115) | Nuggets -8.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Clippers at Nuggets key injuries

Clippers

  • SF Nicolas Batum (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Paul George (elbow) out
  • SG Luke Kennard (return to competition reconditioning) questionable

Nuggets

  • SG Bryn Forbes (acquisition) out

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Clippers at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 112, Clippers 98

Money line

PASS.

The Nuggets are the right side, obviously, but the -370 price is way out of my price range. Also, the Clippers only scored 28 first-half points in their last game against the Nuggets (Jan. 11) and somehow stole that game outright.

I see Denver exacting some revenge in this spot, but no way I’d risk -370 on an NBA regular-season favorite.

Against the spread

LEAN to the NUGGETS -8.5 (-107) for a half-unit since we’re getting to the party a little late in Denver and I like its first-half spread more.

The Nuggets opened as 6.5-point favorites before the market steamed them up to the current number. But the awfulness of Denver’s previous loss to L.A. should motivate the Nuggets to beat the brakes off of the Clippers here.

I like the NUGGETS -4.5 (-120) FIRST-HALF SPREAD as my favorite wager in this game. Denver has a plus-6.7 first-half scoring margin over the past three games, while L.A. has a minus-6.3 first-half scoring margin over its last three games.

Also, we cashed with Denver’s first-half money line vs. L.A. Jan. 11 when the Nuggets entered halftime with a 41-28 lead.

Denver will take it to L.A. early and keep its foot on the gas in this game.

The NUGGETS -4.5 (-120) FIRST-HALF SPREAD is the play, but there’s also value in Denver’s spread.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight lean to the Under 213.5 (-110).

Denver is 6-8 O/U as a home favorite, L.A. is 6-12 O/U on the road and the last four Clippers-Nuggets meetings have gone Under the total.

However, more than 80% of the cash wagered is on the Under (according to Pregame.com) and this total has actually increased from the 213-point opener. This is called reverse-line movement and I’m weary this could be a “trap spot” for the Under.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Clippers (1-0) hit the road to battle the Denver Nuggets (0-1) on Christmas night. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET at Pepsi Center. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Clippers at Nuggets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Nuggets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -2.5 (-110) | Nuggets +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Clippers at Nuggets: Key Injuries

Clippers

  • PF Marcus Morris (knee) questionable

Nuggets

  • PF JaMychal Green (calf) questionable
  • PF Greg Whittington (knee) questionable

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Clippers at Nuggets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 118, Nuggets 111

Money line (ML)

The CLIPPERS (-140) aren’t a bad play on the road against the Nuggets, who are coming off an overtime loss at Pepsi Center in their opener. Meanwhile, L.A. took care of the defending world champion Los Angeles Lakers at Staples Center Tuesday by a 116-109 count. Plus, L.A. has revenge on its mind after blowing a 3-1 series lead to the Nuggets and losing in seven games in a playoff series in the NBA bubble this summer.

Against the spread (ATS)

Backing the CLIPPERS -2.5 (-110) to win by at least 3 points is a good way to go if you want to save a little bit of juice vs. the money line. L.A. won the final two regular-season games against Denver by an average of 21.0 points. Look for L.A. to continue to roll.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 224.5 (-110) is worth a small-unit play in this Christmas matchup. The Over hit in the final two regular-season games between these two combatants, although the Under went 5-0-2 in the seven-game playoff series last summer in the bubble. L.A. got off to a hot scoring start with 116 in its opener, while Denver also hit the Over in its 124-122 OT loss. Look for another high-scoring affair here.

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