Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (41-32) meet the Minnesota Twins (32-43) Sunday for the third game of what was supposed to be a four-game series as Saturday’s meeting was rained out. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split the first two meetings of the series as the Indians won 4-1 Thursday and the Twins took Friday’s game 8-7.

Season series: Tied 4-4.

LHP Sam Hentges takes the ball for the Indians. Hentges is 1-1 with a 6.40 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.89 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 over five starts and seven relief appearances in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Cleveland’s 2-1 win at the Pittsburgh Pirates June 20.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-1 with an 8.64 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 2.16 WHIP and 1.8 K/BB rate over three starts and two bullpen outings.

LHP J.A. Happ makes his 14th start for the Twins. Happ is 3-3 with a 6.09 ERA (65 IP, 44 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 5 BB and 4 K in Minnesota’s 7-5 victory over the Cincinnati Reds Monday.
  • Happ is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 1.08 WHIP and 6.5 K/BB rate in two starts this season vs. Cleveland.
    • vs. Indians on the current roster: 84 at-bats with a .250/.267/.452 slash line, 19/2 K/BB, 3 HR and 12 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-160) | Twins -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 7, Indians 5

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the TWINS (-140) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit since Happ is slightly sharper at home compared to his road starts and Hentges has been terrible in away games this season.

Happ’s home ERA is nearly 3.5 runs lower with a 1.32 home WHIP (1.71 road WHIP) and his opponents have a .983 OPS on the road but just a .771 OPS in Minnesota.

Also, the Twins rank seventh in both wRC+ and wOBA with the sixth-highest hard-hit rate while the Indians are 23rd in both wRC+ and wOBA.

The reason why I’m going with the Twins on the First 5 Innings money line instead of the full game is that Minnesota’s bullpen has the sixth-worst WAR while Cleveland’s bullpen ranks eighth in WAR.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I don’t like Minnesota’s money line enough to think about laying with the Twins’ run line for either the full game or First 5 Innings.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for a half unit because Minnesota has a 10-3 O/U record in Happ’s 13 starts this season and the Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 Indians-Twins meetings.

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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (41-31) play the Minnesota Twins (31-43) Friday in the second game of their four-game series at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland won the first game of the series 4-1 Friday as the starters turned the game over to their bullpens tied 1-1, but the Indians scored three runs in the top of the 8th to key their victory.

Season series: Indians lead 4-3.

RHP Cal Quantrill is Cleveland’s projected starter. He is 0-2 with a 2.74 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 across four starts and 18 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 2 K in Cleveland’s 6-3 loss at the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 17 at-bats with a .235/.278/.412 slash line, 7/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 1 RBI.

LHP Danny Coulombe makes his first career start and 2021 season debut for the Twins.

Coulombe pitched for the Los Angeles Dodgers and Oakland Athletics from 2014-18 and joined the Twins in 2020 after spending 2019 in the minor leagues.

The 31-year-old lefty is 6-4 with a 4.19 ERA (146 IP, 68 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 over six major league seasons.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-175) | Twins -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Indians 7, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

This will be a “bullpen day” for the Twins since Coulombe has never pitched more than 3 innings in an outing in his career, which makes the INDIANS (+105) an “auto-bet”.

Minnesota’s bullpen is one of the worst in baseball. It’s 25th in WAR, second-to-last in left-on-base percentage and home runs allowed per nine innings, and dead-last in hard-hit rate.

Also, the Twins are dealing with a plethora of injuries at the moment, most notably to their best everyday player in OF Byron Buxton. He has a team-high 217 wRC+ (100 wRC+ is the MLB average), 2.7 WAR and .492 wOBA.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the INDIANS -1.5 (+165)  on the ALTERNATE RUN LINE for a half unit. The Twins have the worst cover rate at home at 11-27 ATS in Minnesota and the worst run line margin. Cleveland is 22-17 ATS on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I like the Cleveland sides much more than the total in Indians-Twins and, despite liking Cleveland’s lineup in this spot, the Indians are still a below-average unit that often needs to be bailed out by strong pitching.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (39-30) travel to the Windy City Monday to start a two-game interleague miniseries with the Chicago Cubs (40-32) at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Indians lead 2-0.

RHP Aaron Civale is Cleveland’s projected starter. Civale is 10-2 with a 3.48 ERA (93 IP, 36 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 across 14 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-7, with 5 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 2 K Wednesday vs. the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Civale earned a no-decision in a start last season vs. the Cubs with a stat line of 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 3 K in Cleveland’s 3-2 loss.
  • vs. Cubs on the current roster: 17 at-bats with a .294/.429/.353 slash line, 2/2 K/BB, 0 HR and 1 RBI.

RHP Adbert Alzolay makes his 12th start for the Cubs. Alzolay is 4-5 with a 4.06 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 9-4, with 3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 5 BB and 4 K at the San Diego Padres June 7. He was activated off the 10-day IL after missing his last scheduled start with a blister on his right middle finger.
  • Alzolay lost to the Indians, 3-2, earlier this season (May 11) with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 6 K.
  • vs. Indians on the current roster: 20 at-bats with a .250/.286/.550 slash line, 6/0 K/BB, 2 HR and 3 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Indians at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Cubs -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-175) | Cubs -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Indians 5, Cubs 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the INDIANS (+130) for a half unit because Cleveland has been more successful vs. right-handed pitching this season and they have a decisive edge in the starting pitching matchup.

For instance, Cleveland and Chicago’s lineups are neck-and-neck in advanced hitting categories such as wOBA and BB/K but the Indians have a 24-16 record against righties while the Cubs are just 27-26.

Furthermore, if either team benefits more from the National League’s no DH rule it would be the Indians who have a less talented lineup and the better starter on the hill.

Also, each starter pitched six innings and neither allowed more than three earned runs in their previous starts against Monday’s opponent, but Civale’s pitching peripherals are much more impressive than Alzolay’s.

Civale has a 2.89 FIP with a .316 wOBA, .456 expected slugging percentage and 83.7 mph exit velocity in 18 plate appearances by current Cubs batters.

While Alzolay has a 9.65 FIP with a .417 wOBA, .697 expected slugging percentage and a 97.9 mph exit velocity in 14 plate appearances by current Indians hitters.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the INDIANS +0.5 (-130) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because a half-run worth of insurance for Cleveland’s First 5 Innings run line is fairly cheap considering the starting pitching matchup.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (+100) for a quarter unit – if at all – because I much prefer the Cleveland sides more than the total.

That being said, Cleveland’s lineup is mediocre at best, Chicago has only scored more than two runs once in the last eight games, and the presumed “sharp” side of the market is backing the Under while the public is betting the Over (according to Pregame.com).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cleveland Indians at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Indians at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (38-29) and Pittsburgh Pirates (24-44) open a second of a three-game interleague set Saturday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at PNC Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Cal Quantrill is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 0-2 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 37 2/3 IP over 3 starts and 18 relief appearances.

Quantrill allowed just one run and three hits with no walks and four strikeouts across four innings in a no-decision Tuesday against the Orioles. He has allowed just four hits and two walks across four scoreless innings in his past three interleague appearances.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 36 IP over 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Crowe allowed two earned runs, two hits and a walk with a career-high eight strikeouts across five innings in a no-decision at Milwaukee last Sunday.

His most recent start against an AL Central team didn’t go so well, though, as he coughed up eight runs and eight hits in four innings in a loss at Kansas City June 1.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Indians at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (+120) | Pirates +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Indians 5, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

INDIANS (-135) are a decent play as they look to rebound from a softball-like 11-10 loss in the series opener. The Pirates (+110) are 0-3 in Crowe’s past three starts and 1-6 in his past seven assignments.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The INDIANS -1.5 (+120) are a strong play on the run line against the very giving Crowe. Just don’t get too carried away as Jose Ramirez might be sidelined for the Tribe after a hit by pitch in the series opener. That’s a concern for Cleveland and their potential run production.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-110) is the lean here, again, due to the J-Ram injury, which is officially a left foot contusion. The Under is a tough sell after these teams combined for 21 runs on Friday, but that’s the play here.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (22-43) and Cleveland Indians (35-28) play the second of a four-game set Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Matt Harvey is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 3-7 with a 7.41 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 54 2/3 IP over 13 starts.

Harvey was hammered last time out for seven earned runs, eight hits and a walk across three innings. He has lost six straight decisions since May 1 across his past seven starts.

RHP Cal Quantrill is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 0-2 with a 3.21 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 33 2/3 IP over 2 starts and 18 relief appearances.

Quantrill has just two starts, but one of them came against the O’s in Baltimore. He was smashed for seven runs (five earned) and five hits while retiring just four batters in a loss June 6.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Orioles at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Indians -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-145) | Indians -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Indians 8, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

INDIANS (-160) is the play here at home as they look to win for the second time in as many nights against the Orioles (+135). Cleveland sent Baltimore to its fifth straight loss, but the Indians are still just 2-2 against the Orioles this season.

Cleveland is the play there, though, as Harvey has been atrocious. He was crushed by his former team, the New York Mets, last time out, and the O’s are 1-6 across his past seven appearances.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The INDIANS -1.5 (+120) are worth playing at home as they look to keep Harvey down. The Orioles +1.5 (-145) pitchers have coughed up five or more runs in five of the past six outings.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the play as Quantrill was smashed by the Orioles in his most recent start, and we touched on Harvey and his struggles above. The Over is the best play on the board in this game.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (31-35) and Cleveland Indians (34-27) play the finale of a three-game set at Progressive Field Sunday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Logan Gilbert is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 1-2 with a 4.98 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 21 2/3 IP through 5 starts.

Gilbert allowed 1 ER, 2 H and 4 BB with 7 K across 5 IP in a win on the road last time out against the Los Angeles Angels last Sunday for his first-career MLB victory.

RHP Shane Bieber is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 7-3 with a 2.96 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 over 85 IP through 13 starts.

Bieber has recorded three straight quality starts, including just 1 ER, 5 H and 2 BB and 5 K across 6 IP in a win at St. Louis on Tuesday. He has picked up wins in his last three starts and hasn’t taken a loss since May 16 in Seattle.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Mariners at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Indians -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-105) | Indians -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -105 | Under -115)

Prediction

Indians 6, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

The Indians (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return, and that’s just too risky even with Cleveland’s ace on the bump.

PASS, and play the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The INDIANS -1.5 (-115) are a strong value to cover the two runs in Sunday’s series finale. Cleveland walked it off in extras on Saturday after a 7-0 rout on Friday. They look to complete the sweep over the Mariners on Sunday.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7.5 (-105) is the “lean”. The Over has hit in five of Seattle’s last seven overall, and five of the past seven on the road, too.

For Cleveland, the Over has hit in five of the last six overall, and eight of the previous 11 at Progressive Field.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (31-33) kick-off a three-game set with the Cleveland Indians (32-27) at Progressive Field Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle lost the rubber match of its series with the Detroit Tigers Thursday and is just 4-6 in the last 10 games, including a four-game series split at the Los Angeles Angeles and a home series loss to the Oakland Athletics.

Cleveland split a mini two-game interleague series at the St. Louis Cardinals with an 8-2 loss Wednesday and is just 5-5 in the last 10 games. The Indians won two of three games against the AL Central-leading Chicago White Sox in that run.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-1.

RHP Justin Dunn makes his 10th start for the Mariners. He is 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 8 K in Seattle’s 3-2 win over the Texas Rangers May 29.
  • Dunn is making his first start since returning from a stint on the 10-day injured list due to right shoulder inflammation.

RHP Aaron Civale takes the rubber for the Indians. He is 8-2 with a 3.49 ERA (80 IP, 31 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 10-4, in 6 IP with 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 4 K Saturday at the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Civale took a loss at the Mariners May 14 with 6 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Seattle’s 7-3 win.
    • vs. Mariners on the current roster: 19 at-bats with a .211/.238/.632 slash line, 4/1 K/BB, 2 HR and 4 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Mariners at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Indians -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-140) | Indians -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mariners 4, Indians 2

Money line (ML)

Dunn has done his thing against bad teams but has poor numbers against the good lineups he has faced.

For instance, Dunn’s ERA vs. teams with a losing record is more than two runs lower against losing teams than it is against teams over .500. His WHIP is 1.02 against losing teams vs. 1.35 WHIP against winning teams, and he has a 12.0 K/9 vs. losing teams compared to a 6.1 K/9 against teams above .500.

While the Indians have a winning record, their lineup is in the bottom-10 of several advanced hitting categories such as WAR (27th), wRC+ (28th) and wOBA (26th).

Slight “LEAN” to the MARINERS (+125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a quarter unit because their First 5 Innings run line is a much sharper wager and Seattle’s bullpen is pretty thin since the Mariners played Thursday. The Cleveland bullpen is well-rested after having an off-day Thursday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

GIMME MARINERS +0.5 (-110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit based on the aforementioned rationale and Civale’s numbers aren’t as impressive when you look under the hood.

For example, Civale grades in the 30th percentile of opponent’s expected wOBA, 20th percentile of opponent’s expected slugging percentage, 11th percentile of whiff rate and 15th percentile of K%.

Also, the Mariners had the second-highest hard-hit rate of any of Civale’s opponent’s this season and they were squaring up his stuff nicely. Seattle’s lineup put 45% of balls in play toward centerfield.

Furthermore, Civale has pitched against soft competition this season. Nine of his 12 starts came against teams with a losing record and the most earned runs he has given up in a game this season was against Seattle.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 5 (-120) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit. Despite knocking Civale’s 2021 production down a peg, he’s still the future of a Cleveland organization that routinely churns out Cy Young caliber pitchers and I expect Dunn to pitch a quality start.

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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (33-21) and Cleveland Indians (29-24) play the third game of a four-game set Tuesday. First pitch at Progressive Field is set for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Tied 5-5

The AL Central rivals split a doubleheader Monday with the White Sox taking the opener 8-6 in eight innings and the Indians winning the nightcap 3-1.

RHP Dylan Cease is projected to start for Chicago Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 2.98 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 in 10 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 5-1 home decision vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
  • Career vs. Indians: 1-1, 5.14 ERA (14 IP, 8 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 7 BB, 16 K in 3 starts
  • 2020 vs. Indians: 1-1, 4.91 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 5 BB, 5 K in 2 starts

RHP Shane Bieber is the Indians’ projected starter. He is 5-3 with a 3.13 ERA (72 IP, 25 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 13.8 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 12 K in 5-2 victory at Detroit Tigers Thursday
  • Career vs. White Sox: 4-2, 2.67 ERA (64 IP, 19 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 10 starts
  • 2021 vs. White Sox: 2-0, 1.80 ERA (15 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 2 BB, 22 K in 2 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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White Sox at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Indians -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-165) | Indians -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

White Sox 4, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

If you follow sports enough you know favorites don’t always win. Cleveland ace Bieber is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but the value is in the WHITE SOX (+130) here, making them my STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Sure, Bieber is 2-0 vs. Chicago this year, but he was 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 16 ER) the previous two seasons. So, it’s not like he’s invincible.

I’ll take my chances with WHITE SOX (+130), who are 12 games over .500 and outscoring opponents by an AL-best 80 runs.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. While I like the White Sox to win, I’m not willing to play a run line with -165 juice. I’ll stick with the ML.

ATS records: White Sox 31-23 | Indians 29-24

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. Under bettors have been cashing in on the White Sox – the Under is 13-5 in their last 18 games. However, the projected score hits the O/U 7 line on the nose.

O/U records: White Sox 23-31 | Indians 27-24-2

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 55-51-2 18-18-1 +0.69
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 158-137-3 67-60-1 +12.59
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (33-21) and Cleveland Indians (29-24) play the third game of a four-game set Tuesday. First pitch at Progressive Field is set for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Tied 5-5

The AL Central rivals split a doubleheader Monday with the White Sox taking the opener 8-6 in eight innings and the Indians winning the nightcap 3-1.

RHP Dylan Cease is projected to start for Chicago Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 2.98 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 in 10 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 5-1 home decision vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
  • Career vs. Indians: 1-1, 5.14 ERA (14 IP, 8 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 7 BB, 16 K in 3 starts
  • 2020 vs. Indians: 1-1, 4.91 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 5 BB, 5 K in 2 starts

RHP Shane Bieber is the Indians’ projected starter. He is 5-3 with a 3.13 ERA (72 IP, 25 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 13.8 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 12 K in 5-2 victory at Detroit Tigers Thursday
  • Career vs. White Sox: 4-2, 2.67 ERA (64 IP, 19 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 10 starts
  • 2021 vs. White Sox: 2-0, 1.80 ERA (15 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 2 BB, 22 K in 2 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Indians -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-165) | Indians -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

White Sox 4, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

If you follow sports enough you know favorites don’t always win. Cleveland ace Bieber is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but the value is in the WHITE SOX (+130) here, making them my STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Sure, Bieber is 2-0 vs. Chicago this year, but he was 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 16 ER) the previous two seasons. So, it’s not like he’s invincible.

I’ll take my chances with WHITE SOX (+130), who are 12 games over .500 and outscoring opponents by an AL-best 80 runs.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. While I like the White Sox to win, I’m not willing to play a run line with -165 juice. I’ll stick with the ML.

ATS records: White Sox 31-23 | Indians 29-24

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. Under bettors have been cashing in on the White Sox – the Under is 13-5 in their last 18 games. However, the projected score hits the O/U 7 line on the nose.

O/U records: White Sox 23-31 | Indians 27-24-2

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 55-51-2 18-18-1 +0.69
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 158-137-3 67-60-1 +12.59
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (26-21) and Detroit Tigers (19-30) meet Thursday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Shane Bieber is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. Bieber is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 13.6 K/9, and 3.2 BB/9 in 65 IP over 10 starts.

The 26-year-old has failed to go 6 innings in his last 2 starts, and he owns a 4.40 ERA over his last 5 outings, but that ERA has been ballooned by a very high batting average on balls in play; Bieber’s base skills have been solid throughout. Current Detroit bats own a whiff-heavy .471 OPS against him.

LHP Matthew Boyd is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 2-5 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

Boyd has been roughed up over his last 2 starts, allowing 18 base runners and 9 ER in 11 IP, but like Bieber much of that trouble has been BABIP related. Current Cleveland batters own a .677 OPS against the southpaw.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Tigers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (-105) |  Tigers +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Indians 4, Tigers 3

Money line (ML)

The Tigers defeated the Indians 1-0 on Wednesday to snap a four-game losing streak.

As with yesterday’s recommendation the lean here centers around a general fade of the Indians who are several games over .500 despite scoring just under 4.0 runs per game and yielding a similar figure. But, with cooled-off weather and a get-away day game, there is some Under pull to this and that makes the run line a better option. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BACK DETROIT +1.5 (-115). Cleveland scuffles against lefty pitching, and Boyd has logged some gems at home this season (2.20 ERA, 0.92 WHIP in 5 starts at Comerica Park).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS: hold out for an Under 7.5 play if the number floats that way a bit more. There is a bit of Over play to Cleveland’s offense especially, but the cooled-off weather with two good starters going on a day game after a night game makes for decent value on any total under 7.5.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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