Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (44-24) and Toronto Blue Jays (34-36) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is slated for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1; Cleveland won 3-1 Friday and lost 5-0 Saturday

The Guardians were shut out Saturday for the 1st time since May 15. RHP Carlos Carrasco gave up 5 ER on 6 hits over 5 IP while DH Steve Kwan went 3-for-4 in the loss. Cleveland is 4-3 on their 8-game road trip which wraps up on Sunday afternoon.

Toronto used 6 pitchers to shut down the Guardians offense and record its 3rd shutout in the last 7 games. RHP Bowden Francis earned the victory with 4 scoreless innings (4 H, 2 K) while SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 2-for-3 with an RBI.

Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Lively (6-2, 2.59 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 55 2/3 IP.

  • Has won 5 straight starts
  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 8-0 victory at Miami Marlins on June 8
  • 2024 road splits: 3-2, 3.09 ERA (32 IP, 11 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 6 starts

Berrios (5-5, 2.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 86 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-1 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • Career vs. Guardians: 5-5, 4.73 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 79 H, 32 BB, 83 K in 17 starts

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Guardians at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays +-130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-196) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline.

BET GUARDIANS +110.

Despite the loss on Saturday, the Guardians are a strong road team with a 23-16 record away from Cleveland and have won 3 of their last 4 Sunday games. They also have a dominant record in day games at 17-6.

Lively may be the hottest pitcher in baseball, winning 5 straight starts and 6 of his last 7. He’s allowed only 5 ER over his last 4 starts (23 1/3 IP). Meanwhile, Berrios has not won a decision since May 20.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll save my wager for the moneyline in this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-108).

The trends have me loving this bet. These teams are 3-7 to the Over in their last 10 meetings, including this series. Cleveland is also 2-8 to the Over in its last 10 games overall while Toronto is 2-7-1. The Blue Jays score under 4 runs per game on the season.

Lively hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any start this season. Berrios has allowed 3 ER or less in his last 6 starts.

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Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (43-23) and Toronto Blue Jays (33-35) meet Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cleveland won 4-3 last season

Cleveland lost 4-2 to the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday while failing to cover as a -102 road favorite. Wednesday’s loss ended a 3-game win streak for the Guardians, who are 3-2 during this road trip that ends with this series.

Toronto lost 5-4 to the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday while failing to cover as a +113 road underdog. The Blue Jays have dropped 2 of their last 3, but enter on a 2-game home win streak.

Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Logan Allen vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Allen (6-3, 5.57 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 3-2 loss at the Miami Marlins Friday
  • Career vs. Toronto: 0-2, 6.00 ERA (9 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 2 starts

Gausman (5-4, 4.00 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 7-0 win at the Oakland A’s Saturday
  • Career vs. Cleveland: 4-4, 2.66 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)

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Guardians at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Blue Jays -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-192) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+158)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET GUARDIANS (+116).

Cleveland is 3-1 in its last 4 road games while Toronto is only 2-2 in its last 4 home outings. The Guardians are also 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Toronto, being 6-4 in the last 10. Cleveland is 4-2 in its last 6 meetings with the Blue Jays in Toronto.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I fully expect the Guardians to cover here as +1.5 (-192) underdogs, but the line is far too risky to bet on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-128).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Cleveland and is 7-3 in its last 10 overall. For Toronto, the Under is 4-1-1 in its last 6 road games. The Under has also hit in 7 of the last 10 Cleveland-Toronto matchups.

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Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (61-69) and Toronto Blue Jays (71-59) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

The Guardians lost 8-3 as +157 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Cleveland has lost 7 of its last 10 outings and is 2nd in the AL Central, 6 games back of the division-leading Minnesota Twins and 12 1/2 games back of the final AL Wild Card.

The Blue Jays stopped a 3-game losing streak Saturday. Toronto remains 1½ games behind the Houston Astros for the final AL Wild Card spot.

Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Syndergaard (2-6, 6.42 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 82 2/3 innings with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Guardians.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Dodgers Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 0-3, 9.37 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 34 ER) in 8 starts
  • 2023 vs. Blue Jays: Win, 5 2/ 3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 4-3 home victory Aug. 10
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 1.93 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

Kikuchi (9-4, 3.52 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 133 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-3 victory at Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 5-2, 3.24 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 21 ER) in 11 starts
  • 2023 vs. Guardians: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 1-0 road loss Aug. 8
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-2, 1.67 ERA (27 IP, 5 ER) in 4 starts

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Guardians at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Blue Jays -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-110) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The Blue Jays (-225) should take this 3-game series at home vs. the Guardians, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Toronto should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Kikuchi has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. The Guardians are averaging just 3.18 runs per game over their last 11 outings and should struggle to plate runs Sunday. Add in Syndergaard’s horrendous road splits this season and this should create the perfect storm for the Blue Jays to win by multiple runs.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Under is 46-20-2 (69.7%) this season when Cleveland is coming off a loss, according to TeamRankings.com.

The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and should cash again Sunday with Kikuchi on the mound for the Blue Jays.

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

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Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (60-68) and Toronto Blue Jays (70-58) open a 3-game set Friday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Guardians are coming off a 9-3 loss as +110 home underdogs vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday. Cleveland is 2nd in the AL Central, 6 games back of the division-leading Minnesota Twins.

The Blue Jays lost 5-3 as -109 favorites at the Baltimore Orioles Thursday. Toronto is 1½ games behind the Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros, who are tied for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot.

Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Bibee (9-3, 3.01 ERA) makes his 21st start. The rookie has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 113 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • Tied for 1st among AL rookies in wins with Houston Astros RHPs Hunter Brown and J.P. France
  • 2023 road stats: 4-1, 4.04 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 25 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 1 start, 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 1-0 home victory Aug. 8

Bassitt (12-6, 3.92 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 151 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 victory at Cincinnati Reds Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 6-2, 2.83 ERA (76 1/3 IP, 24 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-2, 3.30 ERA (30 IP, 11 ER), 25 H, 10 BB, 29 K in 5 starts — last faced Cleveland in 2021

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Guardians at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-155) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-160) should bounce back after losing 2 straight games at Baltimore.

The Guardians are just 14-24 as road underdogs this season, according to TeamRankings.com, and have lost 6 of their last 8 overall.

Bibee had 1 of the best starts of his career last time out vs. Toronto, and Cleveland still only managed to win 1-0. It’s unlikely that the rookie will be able to replicate that type of performance Friday.

BET BLUE JAYS (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians are 24-14 on the run line this season as road underdogs. Cleveland +1.5 (-155) will probably hit, but I prefer betting the Blue Jays to win straight up after back-to-back losses.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 45-20-2 (69.2%) this season when Cleveland is coming off a loss.

The Under has also hit in the last 4 meetings between these teams and should cash again Friday as Cleveland’s offense (3.0 runs/game over last 9 contests) continues to struggle.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (60-53) finish their 6-game road trip against the Toronto Blue Jays (61-51) Sunday in the finale game of a 3-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 4-2

The Guardians took Game 1 Friday 8-0 behind a dominant pitching effort by RHP Cal Quantrill. They couldn’t maintain the momentum Saturday as the Blue Jays won 2-1. Cleveland is 7-3 in its last 10 and sits in 1st place in the AL Central.

The Blue Jays have lost 5 of 7 and are 2nd in the AL East, 10 games behind the New York Yankees. The Jays are very good at home with a 35-22 mark. Leading the charge is 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with a 19-game hitting streak.

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Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Bieber (7-6, 3.21 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 131 2/3 IP.

  • Toronto gave him fits in a loss May 7 as he allowed 7 ER on 8 H and 3 BB with no K in 3 1/3 IP
  • He’s 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 in 4 games against Toronto in his career

Gausman (8-8, 2.91 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 117 2/3 IP.

  • Held the Guardians to 1 ER on 6 H and 1 BB while fanning 5 in 6 1/3 IP in the May 7 win
  • He’s 3-3 with a 2.27 ERA in 6 games (5 starts) against Cleveland in his career with a 12.1 K/9 and 0.99 WHIP against them
  • Hasn’t allowed a run in 14 IP over his last 2 starts

Guardians at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-180) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Guardians 2

Money line

Toronto’s bats come alive Sunday as they’ll work the count to get into the bullpen for some separation. Toronto is 4-1 against Cleveland in the last 5 games at home. The Jays are 5th in baseball with 4.81 runs per game but have just scored 3.6 over the last 10. Take the BLUE JAYS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

Toronto’s last 2 wins have been by 1 run, but the 10 wins previously were by 2 or more. With Gausman pitching so well, and with good history against Cleveland, he’s the X-factor Sunday as Toronto tries to right itself offensively. Take the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

There are a lot of Under trends in this matchup. The Under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto. The Under is 7-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 7 home games. The Under is 6-0-1 in the Guardians’ last 7 overall. It’s 4-0 in the Guardians’ last 4 against teams with a winning record. You get the point. Take the UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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