Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees odds predictions pick betting line spread

ALCS Game 2: Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees play Game 2 of the best-of-7 ALCS Tuesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:38 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Yankees lead 1-0 | Regular-season series: Yankees won 4-2

The Yankees won the Monday opener 5-2 as -161 home favorites while the total (7) pushed. RF Juan Soto and DH Giancarlo Stanton each homered, and SP Carlos Rodón allowed 1 ER on 3 hits and no walks with 9 K’s to get his 1st postseason win.

The Guardians threw 5 wild pitches and walked 9 batters in Monday’s setback. Cleveland has lost 7 of the last 9 meetings with the Yankees, including 3 straight.

Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Bibee (12-8, 3.47 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-4 win at Detroit Tigers Thursday in Game 4 of ALDS
2024 postseason stats: 0-0, 2.08 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 2 starts
2024 regular-season road stats: 7-4, 2.76 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 15 starts
Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 1 road start (May 2, 2023), 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-2 road loss in 2nd MLB start

Cole (1-0, 3.00 ERA) made 17 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 95 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-1 victory at Kansas City Royals Thursday in Game 4 of ALDS
2024 postseason stats: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 2 starts
2024 regular-season home stats: 3-2, 4.31 ERA (48 IP, 23 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 9 starts
2024 vs. Guardians: 1-0, 1 home start (Aug. 22), 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 5 BB, 2 K in 6-0 win
Career vs. Guardians (regular season): 7-2, 2.82 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 11 starts
Career postseason stats vs. Guardians: 4-0, 1.98 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 4 starts

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The Yankees (-175) most likely win with Cole taking the mound in Game 2, but the bid-ask difference is too high to recommend a play.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees are averaging just 3.8 runs per game this postseason and already covered a -1.5 run line against Cleveland in Game 1.

We know that Cole will make it difficult for Cleveland to score runs — as he has in the postseason throughout his career — but it’s unlikely the Yankees will score enough to cover as run-line favorites for a 3rd straight game.

BET GUARDIANS +1.5 (-160).

Over/Under

This total is low, and I normally wouldn’t recommend betting the Under on a key number like 7. However, with Bibee and Cole taking the mound, it’s hard to consider playing the Over.

The Yankees have scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games, and Bibee has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 4 straight starts.

BET UNDER 7 (-115).

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ALCS Game 1: Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees meet Monday in Game 1 of the best-of-7 ALCS. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:38 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV/Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Yankees won 4-2

The Guardians emerged victorious in the divisional round after a hard-fought series against the Detroit Tigers, winning 7-3 in Game 5 on Saturday. Cleveland took control when CF Lane Thomas hit a grand slam in the 5th inning. The Guardians are making their 1st ALCS appearance since 2016.

The Yankees advanced to the ALCS by defeating the Kansas City Royals in 4 games, closing out the series with a 3-1 win in Game 4 behind RHP Gerrit Cole (7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K). RF Juan Soto, 2B Gleyber Torres, and DH Giancarlo Stanton each drove in runs while RHP Luke Weaver secured his 3rd postseason save. This is the Yankees’ 4th ALCS since 2017.

Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Cobb (2-1, 2.76 ERA) made 3 starts in 2024. The 13-year veteran had a 1.04 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 16 1/3 IP.

Last regular season start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-1 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sept. 1
Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 3-0 defeat at the Detroit Tigers Wednesday in ALDS Game 3
Career vs. Yankees: 7-5, 3.19 ERA (115 2/3 IP, 45 R (41 ER), 95 H, 19 HR, 27 BB, 92 K in 20 starts
Career postseason: 1-1, 2.45 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 16 H, 0 HR, 4 BB, 12 K in 3 starts

Rodon (16-9, 3.96 ERA) made 32 starts in 2024. The 10-year veteran had a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 175 IP.

Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-2 loss against Kansas City Royals Oct. 7 in ALDS Game 2
2022 home splits: 9-2, 3.11 ERA (81 IP, 31 R (28 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 14 starts
Career vs. Guardians: 8-5, 2.81 ERA (125 IP, 42 R (39 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 124 K in 21 games (19 starts)
Career postseason stats: 0-2, 11.37 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 11 H, 1 HR, 4 BB, 10 K in 3 games

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at Sunday 10:13 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

PASS.

It’s hard not to like the Yankees (-160) straight up to take Game 1 at home, but I’ll take my bet to the run line with better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+135).

Backing the Yankees is a solid play. The Yankees breezed through the ALDS, easily dispatching the Royals, while the Guardians had to battle back to get past the Tigers. New York has dominated this matchup recently, outscoring Cleveland 14-1 in their last 2 regular-season games.

Rodon has been strong against Cleveland, going 3-0 in his last 4 starts and allowing fewer than 2 runs per game. Meanwhile, Cobb hasn’t beaten the Yankees since 2018 when he pitched for the Balitmore Orioles.

Given New York’s recent edge and Rodon’s track record, the Yankees have a good chance to cover the -1.5 spread.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

I’m leaning toward the Under in Game 1. The Yankees hit the Under in 3 of their 4 postseason games against the Royals, while the Guardians went 2-2-1 on the Under vs. the Tigers.

With the pressure of Game 1 in the ALCS, it’s common to see nerves and a slower offensive start. In fact, 4 of the last 5 ALCS Game 1 matchups have ended with 7 runs or fewer. Given the history and the situation, the Under is a solid play in this game.

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Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (73-53) and New York Yankees (74-53) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday (MLB Network). First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-2

The Guardians took it on the chin in Wednesday’s game, falling 8-1. Cleveland’s lone run was huge, though, scoring in the top of the 8th to put a bow on the scoring. That seemingly meaningless run flipped the total from the Under (8.5) to an Over.

Cleveland won the 1st meeting Tuesday 9-5 in 12 innings, as the Over (8.5) connected. The Over has a slight 4-3-1 edge in the past road games, while going 3-2 in the past 5 outings.

The Yankees managed just 5 total runs in 3 games in Detroit over the weekend, but New York has rolled up 13 runs of offense in the 1st 2 games against Cleveland. At home, the Over is on a 12-4 streak in the previous 16 contests.

Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Williams (2-5, 5.02 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 43 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 5-3 road setback vs. Milwaukee Brewers last Friday
2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.49 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.03 WHIP, .198 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 7 BB, 23 K in 5 starts
Has never faced Yankees

Cole (4-2, 4.15 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 52 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-0 road victory vs. Detroit Tigers last Friday
2024 home splits: 1-1, 4.65 ERA (31 IP, 16 ER), 1.42 WHIP, .283 OBA, 5 HR, 8 BB, 39 K in 6 starts
Career vs. Guardians: 6-2, 3.07 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 10 starts

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Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -166 (bet $166 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-152) | Yankees -1.5 (+126)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-166) are worth a look in the finale, as New York looks to secure the series win.

The Guardians (+140) can’t be trusted behind Williams despite the fact he has had some tremendous numbers on the road this season. However, Cole’s career numbers against Cleveland trumps that success.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a bit on the conservative side, consider GUARDIANS +1.5 (-152) as moderate underdogs on the run line.

It’s a risky play, but Cole has had some rather uneven performances this season. He has been just a touch off, and Williams has a solid 2.49 ERA on the road. Cleveland isn’t likely to win it outright, but it should keep things rather close.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (+100) cashed in Wednesday’s game thanks to an oh-by-the-way run late in the 8th inning.

The total has gone high in both meetings in this series, and it’s worth a small-unit play under the sun in the Bronx with Williams and Cole on the bump.

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Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (73-52) and New York Yankees (73-53) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Wednesday (Prime Video). First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Guardians picked up a 9-5 victory in 12 innings in the series opener, cashing as a moderate underdog (+120) as the Over (8) easily connected. Still, the Under has cashed at a 4-2 clip in the past 6 games.

The 9-run offensive explosion for Cleveland was a bit surprising, as it managed a total of just 4 runs in a 3-game interleague series sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend.

The good news is that the Yankees managed 5 runs, equaling their total for the entire 3-game series loss in Detroit. However, New York also allowed 9 runs, and it has surrendered 7 or more runs in 6 of the past 12 outings.

It’s been a roller coaster ride for Cleveland lately, winning 5 in a row from July 28-Aug. 2, before dropping 7 straight from Aug. 3-9. The Guardians then won 5 in a row from Aug. 10-14, and they’ve now dropped the past 3.

Guardians at Yankees projected starters

LHP Joey Cantillo vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Cantillo (0-2, 6.23 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 13 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 3 BB, 2 K in 4-2 road setback vs. Minnesota Twins Friday
2024 road splits: 0-1, 6.00 ERA (9 IP, 6 ER), 1.67 WHIP, .265 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 6 BB, 5 K in 2 starts
Has never faced Yankees

Cortes (6-10, 4.20 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 141 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 4-1 road victory vs. Chicago White Sox Aug. 13
2024 home splits: 4-5, 3.05 ERA (73 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 0.96 WHIP, .224 OBA, 10 HR, 10 BB, 68 K in 12 starts
Career vs. Guardians: 1-0, 3.68 ERA (22 IP, 9 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 6 appearances (3 starts)

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Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Yankees -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+132)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-162) are a solid play for the bounce back on Wednesday night after losing in extras in the high-scoring series opener.

Cantillo has struggled in the early going, but Cleveland has had to thrust him into action due to a multitude of injuries in the starting rotation. Manager Stephen Vogt and his pitching staff has done it with mirrors, but trust Cortes and the home side to get it done here.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little less conservative, play YANKEES -1.5 (+132) to get the job done by at least 2 runs, rather than simply playing the moneyline, which is a safer play.

New York has lost 3 in a row, so there is plenty of risk here. However, in its past 6 wins, 5 of those victories have come by 2 or more runs.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but play a half-unit at the most.

The Over cashed in the series opener, with 14 combined runs. That snapped a 3-game run to the Under for the Yankees, with an average total of just 4.0 runs per game in the 3-game set in Detroit over the weekend.

Cleveland has split the Over and Under 2-2 in the past 4 games, and the total has split 3-3-1 in the past 7 road contests, too, so be careful, and go lightly.

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Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (72-52) and New York Yankees (73-52) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

The Guardians suffered a 3-game interleague series sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend, managing just 4 total runs of offense, including a 2-0 loss in Sunday’s series finale.

The Guardians have cashed the Under at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games, and the Under is 11-3-1 in the past 15 road contests, too.

For the Yankees, they also had a power outage on offense over the weekend, totaling just 5 runs while losing 2 of 3 games in Detroit. However, pitching has helped New York keep things afloat, allowing a total of just 10 runs in the past 5 outings, or 2.0 runs per game (RPG). The Under has cashed in 3 straight, and 4 of the past 5 outings.

Guardians at Yankees projected starters

LHP Matthew Boyd vs. RHP Luis Gil

Boyd (0-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.56 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Chicago Cubs last Tuesday
2023 road splits (w/Tigers): 4-0, 3.62 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 0.99 WHIP, .207 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 8 BB, 46 K in 8 starts
Career vs. Yankees: 1-3, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 5 starts

Gil (12-6, 3.25 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 121 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in 12-2 road setback vs. Chicago White Sox Aug. 12
2024 home splits: 6-3, 2.90 ERA (62 IP, 20 ER), 1.06 WHIP, .167 OBA, 5 HR, 29 BB, 80 K in 12 starts
Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 12.5 K/9 in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Yankees -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-162) are a solid play as the moderate favorite in this series opener between 1st-place teams.

New York has scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of the past 6 games, but it is facing a Guardians (+136) side which has been very erratic lately.

There is a little concern against Boyd, however, as the Yankees are 13-19 in 32 tries this season against left-handed starting pitchers, so be careful.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little on the conservative side, and you’d rather not play a team straight up, GUARDIANS +1.5 (-150) isn’t priced out of line for a little bit of insurance.

As an underdog, Cleveland is 4-2 in the past 6 games on the run line as an underdog, with 3 outright victories.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 outings for the Guardians, while going 11-3-1 in the past 15 road contests.

The Yankees have cashed in 3 in a row, with the offense going for just 3.5 RPG across the past 6 outings. Look for runs to be at quite the premium.

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Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (14-16) and New York Yankees (16-15) cap off a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday evening. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-2

The 1st 2 games of this series have been pitchers’ duels. That’s nothing new for Cleveland, which has seen the Under go 18-11-1 in its 30 games.

New York’s offense has been sleepwalking of late, partly due to the absence of OF Aaron Judge, who is on the 10-day IL (hip). The Yankees won 4-2 on Tuesday; the scoring output was their largest since April 27.

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Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Bieber (2-1, 3.11 ERA) is making his 7th star. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.

Current Yankees batters own an aggregate .800 OPS against him
Owns a 2.75 road ERA over the last 3 seasons (2021-23)
Current 6.2 K/9 figure is worst of his career; had an 8.9 K/9 last season

Schmidt (0-3, 6.84 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 25 IP.

Allowed 5 ER in his last start and has yielded 3 ER or more in 5 of 6 turns
April 12 vs. Guardians: 4 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 3 K and no-decision in Yankees’ 4-3 win
Figures to see a lot of lefty bats in the Cleveland lineup; has allowed a .995 OPS against lefties over his career

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Guardians -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Yankees +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+115) | Yankees +1.5 (-140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The Yankees have played a tough slate pitching-wise, and their batting numbers have some regression likely due that helps the attack. The Guardians have had an easy slate for their pitchers. Expect their runs-allowed figures to climb.

New York is the lean, but hold out for a +120 before logging on to an account. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The better value play on the New York side is YANKEES +1.5 (-140).

Both starters have expected-ERA analytics that belie their surface figures. Accounting for factors like batting average on balls in play, left-on-base rates, home runs as a percentage of fly balls, and high-leverage results, Bieber is deserving of a higher ERA and Clarke a lower one. That’s not to say Clarke is Bieber’s equal on the mound; just that with New York having solid numbers against Bieber, with Cleveland being a club that plays a lot of 1-run games, and the Yankee offense perhaps not being near enough to its normal capacity, the home nine has value on a fairly priced Run Line.

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Over/Under

The starting pitching is a mixed bag, but there is some solid fade to both bullpens. Perhaps the Yankee offense needs Judge back before it can be counted on to pull its weight in an Over play. But for a 3rd straight day in the Bronx, that Over — in this case, OVER 7.5 (-115) — is the play.

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Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (14-15) and New York Yankees (15-15) continue a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. First pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Cleveland earned a 3-2 come-from-behind victory in 1st game of the series onMonday. The Guardians scored all of their runs in the top of the 9th inning.

New York is just 2-7 in its last 9 games. Slugging OF Aaron Judge is on the 10-day IL (hip), and his absence has made an already pedestrian Yankees offense look even less dangerous. New York owns a .570 over those last 9 games.

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Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibbee vs. RHP Garret Cole

Bibee (1-0, 1.59 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start of the season. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 12.7 K/9 in 5 2/3 IP.

Scattered 6 hits in 5 1/3 IP and did not walk a man in his April 26 MLB debut against the Colorado Rockies
Was a 2021 5th-round draft selection and pitched in just 28 minor league games

Cole (5-0, 1.11 ERA) is making his 7th start. He has a 0.84 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP.

Logged a 2-start 1.42 ERA against the Guardians last season
Current Cleveland batters own a whiff-heavy .603 OPS against him
Has benefited from .245 batting average on balls in play hit rate and 85.7% strand mark

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Guardians +142 (bet $100 to win $142) | Yankees -168 (bet $168 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-138) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)

Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The Yanks have played a tough slate pitching-wise, and their batting numbers have some regression likely due that helps the attack. Its a zag play here that does require one to hold his nose with the way the team is producing of late.

The Guardians have had an easy slate for their pitchers. Expect their runs-allowed figures to climb.

BACK THE YANKEES (-168) with a partial-unit play.

Run line/Against the spread

The lean is on the Yankees, and this one has a likable Over. But we should want at least a +125 return. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over has the best value in Tuesday’s matchup. The Yanks bullpen has gotten by with a .263 batting average on balls in play. The Cleveland pen has logged a .254 BABIP. Both are living dangerously, and there is some overall lean toward better days for the New York offense.

Cole is a workhorse ace, but he’s pitching some 2 1/2 runs below his expected ERA figures.

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (+104).

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Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (13-15) and New York Yankees (15-14) open a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium on Monday with the 1st pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

Cleveland is on a 6-game road trip that opened with 3 games in Boston. The Guardians dropped 2 of those 3 to the Red Sox, including 7-1 on Sunday, and are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games.

New York was hammered by the Texas Rangers 15-2 on Sunday and has lost 3 straight games and is just 2-6 in its last 8 games. Slugging OF Aaron Judge missed weekend games in Texas (day-to-day, hip), and his absence has made an already pedestrian Yankees offense look even less dangerous.

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Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. RHP Domingo German

Quantrill (1-2, 5.40 ERA) is starting his 6th game. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 25 IP.

Owns a 3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP through 118 career games
Has held current New York bats to an aggregate .571 OPS

German (2-2, 5.54 ERA) is making his 6th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 26 IP.

Has held current Cleveland bats to an aggregate .688 OPS
Has been torched by the long ball this spring: has yielded 5 HRs in his last 2 starts and 7 overall

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Guardians +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Yankees -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-182) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 4

Moneyline

Figure a rebound for German, who wasn’t great against Cleveland on April 10 (3 IP, 2R, 5 BB) but has pitched well against the Guardians in the past.

The Yanks have played a tough slate pitching-wise, and their batting numbers have some regression likely due that helps the attack. The Guardians have had an easy slate for their pitchers. Expect their runs-allowed figures to climb.

All the performance-vs.-expectation in the middle? It’s mostly leaning home team for this series. BACK THE YANKEES (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

The lean is on the Yankees, but we should want at least a +155 return. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Yanks bullpen has gotten by with a .253 batting average on balls in play. The Cleveland pen has logged a .254 BABIP. Both are living dangerously, and there is some overall lean toward better days for the New York offense.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-112).

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ALDS Game 5: New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees ALDS Game 5 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians and the New York Yankees will try again Tuesday after rain postponed Monday’s deciding Game 5 of their AL Division Series at Yankee Stadium. Tuesday’s first pitch is set for 4:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Tied 2-2
Regular-season series: Yankees won 5-1

The Guardians blew a golden opportunity to finish off the heavily-favored Yankees in Game 4 Sunday night in Cleveland but lost 4-2. The Guardians now face the unsavory task of playing a winner-take-all game in front of a hostile New York crowd.

The Guardians already proved they can win in the Bronx. They won Game 2 there Friday 4-2, but needed 10 innings to do so.

This series has mostly been about pitching. The Yankees are averaging 3.75 runs per game (15 runs total) in this ALDS, well below their AL-leading 4.98 RPG during the regular season, while the Guardians are scoring 3.25 RPG (13 runs total), more than 1 run less than what they averaged during the regular season (4.31).

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Guardians at Yankees projected starters

TBD vs. LHP Nestor Cortes Jr.

Cleveland manager Terry Francona said in a Monday pregame interview that Monday’s scheduled starter, RHP Aaron Civale (5-6, 4.92 ERA regular season), would still get the nod Tuesday if Monday’s game was rained out. However, as of this publishing, Cleveland’s listed starter is TBD (to be determined), raising the possibility that RHP Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) could take the hill.

Civale, who has never pitched in the postseason before, made 20 regular-season starts with a 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 97 IP. Bieber posted a 1.04 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 31 regular-season starts across 200 IP.

Bieber started Game 2 and allowed 2 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks with 7 strikeouts in a no-decision. So, he would be on three days rest.

Civale 2022 vs. Yankees: 0-2, 10.00 ERA (9 IP, 10 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 9 K, .343 opponent BA, 3 HR in 2 starts
Civale 2022 road stats: 1-3, 5.88 ERA (52 IP, 34 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 49 K, .265 opponent batting average, 6 HR in 11 starts
Bieber career vs. Yankees (regular season): 1-1, 5.74 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 19 K in 2 starts, but none in 2022
Surprisingly, Bieber never pitched in Yankee Stadium until Friday’s Game 2

Cortes (12-4, 2.44 ERA) was named Tuesday’s starter after Monday’s rainout, which RHP Jameson Taillon was slated to open. In 28 regular-season starts, Cortes posted a 0.92 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 158 1/3 IP. He will be on three days rest after a no-decision in Friday’s Game 2 (5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K).

2022 regular-season home stats: 6-1, 1.95 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 89 K, .161 opponent BA, 5 HR in 15 starts
2022 vs. Guardians (regular season): 1-0, 2.19 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 14 K, 2 HR in 2 starts

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+127)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +107)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Guardians 1

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-175) will win this game no matter who the Guardians’ starting pitcher is. New York avoided elimination with the Game 4 victory in Cleveland and now have the momentum. Tuesday, New York will be playing in front of a raucous home crowd hungry to see the high-octane Yankees advance.

The Guardians did a good job to win 2 games in this ALDS, but their season, unfortunately, comes to and end Tuesday night.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+127) is worth a roll of the dice. Civale was very giving this season, especially on the road, and he could be a little rusty, too, as this will be his first outing of the preseason. Look for New York to score runs early against him.

Of course, that’s if Civale starts. If he does, he’ll likely be on a very short leash, with Bieber potentially being used out of the bullpen as it’s all hands on deck in an elimination game.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (+107) is a good play. While I expect the Yankees to do some early damage against Civale, the Cleveland bullpen has been lights out. The Guardians bullpen has yielded just 2 ER in 25 2/3 IP in the ALDS for a 0.70 ERA.

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ALDS Game 5: Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees, ppd.

Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees Game 5 was postponed due to rain and rescheduled for Tuesday.

Update 9:43 p.m. ET: Monday’s Game 5 of the ALDS between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians was postponed because of rain in New York and rescheduled for Tuesday, 4:07 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published 1:46 p.m. ET)

The Cleveland Guardians and the New York Yankees meet in a deciding Game 5 of their AL Division Series at Yankee Stadium Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Tied 2-2
Regular-season series: Yankees won 5-1

The Guardians blew a golden opportunity to finish off the heavily-favored Yankees Sunday night in Game 4 at Progressive Field but lost 4-2. Now, Cleveland faces the unsavory task of playing a decisive Game 5 in front of a hostile New York crowd.

Cleveland proved it can win in the Bronx before, however, winning 4-2 in 10 innings Friday in Game 2. In that game, Monday’s Yankees starter RHP Jameson Taillon was the losing pitcher after allowing 2 ER on 3 H without recording an out in the 10th inning.

The Yankees have managed just 15 runs through 4 games, or an average of 3.75 runs per game across 36 innings in this series. They led the AL with 4.98 runs per game during the regular season.

The Guardians have scored 13 runs in the series for 3.25 runs per game, also below they regular-season average (4.31).

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Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Civale (5-6, 4.92 ERA) made 20 regular-season starts. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 97 IP. This will be his 1st-career postseason appearance.

2022 road stats: 1-3, 5.88 ERA (52 IP, 34 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 49 K, .265 opponent batting average, 6 HR in 11 starts
2022 vs. Yankees: 0-2, 10.00 ERA (9 IP, 10 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 9 K, .343 opponent BA, 3 HR in 2 starts

Taillon (14-5, 3.91 ERA) had a 1.13 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 177 1/3 IP in 32 regular-season starts. Friday’s 2-run outing in the Game 2 loss was his 1st-career postseason appearance.

2022 home stats: 7-2, 3.47 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 88 K, .246 opponent BA, 10 HR in 16 starts
2022 vs. Guardians: 1 start, 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-1 home win April 22 – his 3rd outing of the season

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 1

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-155) picked up the Game 4 victory in Cleveland to level the series at 2-2, and now get the Guardians in front of a raucous home crowd hungry to see the high-octane Yankees advance.

The Guardians have done a good job to win 2 games in this series and push the Yankees to the brink. Unfortunately for the young club, New York will get it done here as the pitching matchup is squarely in its favor.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+135) is worth a roll of the dice. Civale was very giving this season, especially on the road, and he could be a little rusty, too, as this will be his first outing of the preseason. Look for New York to jump all over him early and often.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-120) is a good play. While I expect the Yankees to do some early damage against Civale, the Cleveland bullpen has been lights out. The Guardians bullpen has allowed just 2 ER in 25 2/3 IP of this series for a 0.70 ERA.

Expect a similar formula to Game 1, where New York scored early, and then didn’t do much after building a lead.

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