Tag: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Cleveland Guardians (68-49) and Minnesota Twins (65-51) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 6-2

Cleveland restored order Saturday with a narrow 2-1 win in a pitchers’ duel at Target Field. The Guardians snapped a season-high 7-game skid in the process, pushing their lead in the AL Central back up to 2½ games after suffering a doubleheader sweep Friday.

Despite the win, offense continues to be a problem for the Guardians, as they’ve managed 3 or fewer runs in each of the past 5 games, averaging just 2.6 runs per game (RPG) during the span. It’s no surprise the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 outings, including 2 of 3 in this series.

The Guardians welcome RHP Tanner Bibee (shoulder) back to the rotation. He was injured, but never was officially placed on the 15-day injured list.

The single run the Twins managed on Saturday was a low for the month. It had averaged 6.1 RPG in the first 9 games in August prior to Saturday’s 2-1 loss.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP David Festa

Bibee (9-4, 3.48 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 121 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 8-4 road victory vs. Detroit Tigers July 29
• 2024 road splits: 5-2, 3.00 ERA (63 IP, 21 ER), 1.06 WHIP, .224 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 15 BB, 66 K in 11 starts
• 2024 vs. Twins: 1-0, 1.46 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 9 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 17 K in 2 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 2.96 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 5 starts

Festa (2-2, 5.55 ERA) makes his 5th career start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-0 road victory vs. Chicago Cubs Monday

• 2024 home splits: 0-1, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 4 HR, 1.61 WHIP, .317 OBA, 2 BB, 13 K in 1 start (2 appearances)
• Has never faced the Guardians

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+138) | Twins +1.5 (-166)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Twins 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-118) are a good bet to leave the Twin Cities just as they came in, up 3½ games in the division. Getting Bibee back, one of the team’s most consistent starting pitchers, will be a huge shot in the arm for this team.

The Twins (+100) are still 7-3 across the past 10 games, but Saturday’s loss was a tough one. Now, Minnesota turns to the rookie Festa to pitch it past a guy looking for his 10th victory. It’s not a very good spot for the Twins.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, forget about the moneyline and take the GUARDIANS -1.5 (+138) instead.

It’s risky business, as Cleveland had lost 7 in a row until Saturday’s win, and the offense has been flagging lately. But, the Guardians should be able to get well against Festa, a guy who has a 7.71 ERA in his 2 appearances at Target Field this season.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-105) is the lean, but roll with a half-unit play wager at the most.

We’ve had 2 Under results in the first 3 games of this series, and with Bibee on the hill, it’s a good bet to go low again for Cleveland.

The Under has connected in 9 of the past 11 games on the road for the Guardians, while cashing in 6 of Bibee’s past 10 starts.

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The Cleveland Guardians (67-49) and Minnesota Twins (65-50) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 5-2

Cleveland entered Friday’s doubleheader with a 3½-game lead in the AL Central, but it was trimmed to just 1½ games after Minnesota swept the twin bill. The Guardians had won the first 5 meetings vs. the Twins this season, but Minnesota won 4-2 in Game 1 and 6-3 in Game 2.

The Guardians have picked a terrible time for a season-high 7-game losing skid. The Over has cashed in 7 of the past 9 outings.

The Twins have caught fire, winning 7 of the past 9 contests, with the Over going 6-2-1 during the span. The offense is averaging 6.2 runs per game during the 9-game span.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Williams (1-4, 4.91 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 33 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 8 K in 9-5 home setback vs. Baltimore Orioles Sunday
• 2024 road splits: 1-0, 0.59 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.91 WHIP, .164 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 5 BB, 15 K in 3 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 1 H, 0 HR, 5 BB, 4 K in 2 starts

Woods Richardson (3-2, 3.87 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 95 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 13-7 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Sunday

• 2024 home splits: 1-0, 3.40 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.11 WHIP, .202 OBA, 18 BB, 47 K in 9 starts
• Career vs. Guardians: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road loss May 17

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Twins -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+164) | Twins +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The TWINS (-118) are a solid play as small favorites in Game 3 of this crucial series in the AL Central.

The Guardians (+100) are skidding hard, dropping a season-high 7 games, and all 7 of the losses have come as underdogs.

Minnesota has won 7 of the past 8 games when favored and 6 in a row at home.

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive if you require a little bit of insurance.

If you like Minnesota, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.

The Over/Under split in Friday’s double dip. The Over has cashed at a 6-2-1 clip in the past 9 games for the Twins. The Over is 4-1-1 in the past 6 home outings for Minnesota, too.

The Guardians have cashed high at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 games, but be careful, as the Under is 8-2 in the past 10 outings on the road.

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The Cleveland Guardians (67-47) and Minnesota Twins (63-50) open a 4-game series, starting with a doubleheader Friday. First pitch of Game 2 from Target Field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

(Records, trends and stats do not include the 1st game of Friday’s doubleheader.)

Season series: Guardians lead 5-0

Cleveland enters with a 3½-game lead in the AL Central Division ahead of 2nd-place Minnesota. If the Twins were to pull off a sweep, they would find themselves in 1st place by Sunday evening. But so far, the Guardians have won all 5 meetings vs. the Twins, outscoring them 26-11.

Thanks to a Tuesday rainout, this is a back-to-back doubleheader for Cleveland, which lost 2 games at home to the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday — the Guardians had Thursday off. The Guardians limp into the Twin Cities on a 5-game losing streak. In fact, their longest previous skid was just 3 games, but no one is pushing the panic button just yet.

Injuries to the starting pitching staff are adding up, but Friday marks the team debut of RHP Alex Cobb, who was acquired from the San Francisco Giants at the non-waiver trade deadline. Cobb started the season on the 60-day injured list as he recovered from a hip surgery and inflammation in his right shoulder.

The Over has cashed in 6 of the past 7 games for the Guardians, but the Under is 4-1 in their 5 meetings with the Twins this season. The Over is on a 5-1-1 tear for the Twins in the previous 7 contests, while going 9-3-1 in the past 13 outings.

Minnesota had a 5-game win streak but lost the final 2 games at Wrigley Field to the Chicago Cubs. The Twins have won 4 in a row at home, and the Over is 3-0-1 in those victories.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Louie Varland

Cobb, acquired in a deadline deal with the Giants, makes his season and Cleveland debut. The 12-year veteran (6 seasons with Tampa Bay, 3 with Baltimore, 1 with L.A. Angels and 2 with San Francisco) had been on the shelf recovering from hip surgery, while also nursing shoulder inflammation. The right-hander went 7-7 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 28 starts (2 complete games) last season for San Francisco.

• 2023 road splits (w/Giants): 2-5, 5.70 ERA (77 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.59 WHIP, .312 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.59 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 16 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 4-3, 4.86 ERA (50 IP, 27 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 10 starts
• Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 8-4 road setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 19, 2023

Varland (0-4, 6.58 ERA) makes his 6th start (7th appearance). He has a 1.65 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 26 innings. He’s getting called up for this one after 7 appearances with Triple-A St. Paul since being sent down.

• Last MLB outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP of relief, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 8-7 home win vs. Oakland A’s June 16
• Last MLB start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-4 home loss vs. Colorado Rockies June 11
• 2024 home splits: 0-2, 6.35 ERA (17 IP, 12 ER), 1.41 WHIP, .246 OBA, 8 BB, 15 K in 3 starts (4 appearances)
• Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (8 IP, 4 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 5 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:31 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Twins -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+158) | Twins +1.5 (-192)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Twins 5

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-108) are the lean in the nightcap of this double dip. Cleveland has dominated the Twins (-108) this season, and it should be able to knock around the Minnesota native Varland, who has struggled all season, particularly at home.

It won’t be easy for the Guards, though, as Cobb had tremendous difficulty last season on the road for the Giants. Rust could be a factor for him, as well.

Run line/Against the spread

Betting Twins +1.5 (-192) will set you back nearly 2 times the potential return. That’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward on the run line as underdogs.

AVOID and bet Twins straight up if you like them.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (+100) might be the best play on the board in this Game 2, especially at even-money.

Cleveland cashed high in 6 of the past 7 games entering play Friday, and it will hand the ball to Cobb, who will be making his first MLB start in over 10 months.

On the flip side, the Twins have the erratic Varland on the bump, so offense should be plentiful. The Over is 5-1-1 in the past 7 games for the Twins, while cashing at a 3-0-1 clip in the past 4 outings at Target Field.

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The Cleveland Guardians (6-2) and Minnesota Twins (3-3) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at Target Field after a scheduled day off. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0; Cleveland spoiled the home opener for Minnesota Thursday, winning 4-2 as an underdog (+150) as the Under (7) cashed

The Guardians have won 3 in a row, each as underdogs, and Cleveland has won 6 of 8 games on the road to open the season. The Under cashed on Thursday in the series opener, which was a rarity, as the Guardians had cashed the Over at a 5-1-1 pace in the 1st 7 games.

The Twins have dropped 3 of the past 4 games after opening 2-0. Minnesota is just 2-2 as a favorite, and the Under holds a 4-2 advantage in 6 games to date. Minnesota has scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the previous 4 outings, including an 11-0 shutout loss in Kansas City March 31.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Carrasco (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K in 5 IP in his debut at the Oakland Athletics Sunday.

• 2023 road splits (with the Mets): 2-5, 5.44 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 30 ER — 10 HR), 18 BB, 30 K in 10 starts
• Last start vs. Twins: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-0 loss at Target Field Aug. 1, 2020, in 1st stint with Guardians

Ryan (0-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 5 1/3 IP in his debut at the Kansas City Royals last Saturday.

• 2023 home splits: 7-4, 3.83 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 35 ER — 12 HR), 15 BB, 111 K in 14 starts
• 2023 vs. Guardians: 0-3, 3.24 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 6 ER — 0 HR), 2 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

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Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+140) are worth a look as moderate underdogs in the middle game of this set.

Last season, Ryan struggled against Cleveland, going 0-3 despite the fact he had a decent ERA at 3.24 in the 3 outings. However, the Twins (-165) have struggled against Cleveland in recent seasons, going just 3-6 in the past 9 meetings. They’re not worth playing as rather heavy favorites. Keep fading Minnesota until it starts beating Cleveland on the regular.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-140) aren’t priced out of line if you’re looking for a little insurance, and you just cannot trust the Twins -1.5 (+115).

As an underdog, Cleveland has posted a 4-1 mark in the past 5 on the run line, including 4 outright victories.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) cashed in the series opener Thursday while going 4-2 in the past 6 meetings and 7-3 across the past 10 battles in this series.

Cleveland’s pitching has been sharp so far, allowing 4 or fewer runs in 7 of 8 games, while allowing just 4 total runs in the previous 3 outings.

For Minnesota, it has scored just 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the past 4 outings, and Twins pitching has yielded just 4 runs or fewer in 5 of 6 games to date.

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The Cleveland Guardians (5-2) and Minnesota Twins (3-2) open a 3-game series Thursday at Target Field in Minneapolis. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won series 7-6 in 2023, while going 4-3 in Minneapolis

The Guardians rolled up an 8-0 win in the series finale in Seattle on Wednesday, Cleveland’s 2nd 8-0 victory of the opening week. The Over (7.5) cashed Wednesday, and is now 5-1-1 in 7 games for Cleveland.

The Twins racked up a 7-3 win in Milwaukee Wednesday, hitting the Over (9), while halting a 2-game skid. Minnesota pitching has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of 5 outings to date, with the Under holding a slight 3-2 edge so far this season.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Bibee (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He has a 2.75 WHIP, 11.3 BB/9, 9.0 K/9 in 4 IP.

• 2023 road splits: 5-2, 3.79 ERA (73 2/3 IP, 31 ER – 11 HR), 23 BB, 74 K in 13 starts
• 2023 vs. Twins: 0-0, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 6 ER – 1 HR), 9 BB, 18 K in 3 starts

Lopez (1-0, 1.29 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He has a 0.57 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, 9.0 K/9 in 7 IP.

• 2023 home splits: 5-3, 4.21 ERA (98 1/3 IP, 46 ER – 11 HR), 25 BB, 123 K in 16 starts
• 2023 vs. Guardians: 1-1, 4.58 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 9 ER – 1 HR), 7 BB, 13 K in 3 starts

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Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:42 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Twins -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-150) are a strong play as moderate favorites in their home opener. Minnesota is coming in with plenty of confidence after posting a season-high in runs in the series finale in Milwaukee on Wednesday. It picked up a 4-1 win behind Lopez in the March 28 opener in Kansas City, too.

The Guardians (+125) are running on fumes, playing their 8th road game of the season. Bibee was up and down against the Twins last season. Side with Lopez and the home side.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you just can’t trust taking Cleveland on the moneyline.

The Guardians are 7-3 on the run line in the past 10 meeting with the Twins -1.5 (+140), either as a favorite or underdog.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is worth a look in this home opener for Minnesota, although go lightly.

The Under went 6-3 in the final 9 regular-season meetings between these teams in 2023. While the Over is 5-1-1 in 7 games for Cleveland to date, the Under holds a slight 3-2 edge in 5 games for Minnesota so far.

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The Cleveland Guardians (63-70) and the Minnesota Twins (69-64) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 5-4

The Guardians doubled up the Twins by a 4-2 score Tuesday, avenging a series-opener loss. Cleveland pulled back to 7 games behind Minnesota for the top spot in the AL Central. The Guardians are 3-2 across the past 5 games, while the Over has hit in 3 of the previous 4 outings.

The Twins entered play Tuesday with 45 runs across the previous 6 outings, and the Over had been on a 6-0-1 run until the Under (7.5) result Tuesday. Minnesota is still a healthy 4-2 across the past 6 contests.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Bibee (10-3, 3.01 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 119 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 5 K in 5-2 road win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
• 2023 road splits: 5-1, 3.94 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 11 HR, 1.39 WHIP, .275 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts
• 2023 vs. Minnesota: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K at Target Field on June 1

Gray (7-6, 3.06 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 150 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H (solo HR), 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home win vs. Texas Rangers Friday
• 2023 home splits: 4-3, 3.05 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 3 HR, 1.16 WHIP, .233 OBA in 13 starts

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Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-165) are moderate favorites, but they’re a strong play, and there is little “Gray” area, pun totally intended. Sorry, that was bad.

The Guardians have gotten tremendous pitching from Bibee this season, as he has emerged as one of their most dependable arms. However, he has been a little more giving on the road, serving up 11 of his 13 home runs in road parks.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS -1.5 (+140) are worth a look again on the run line, as they try to get back on the winning track.

Minnesota covered the run line as the favorite Monday night in the series opener but lost outright as the favorite Tuesday. The Twins are still 4-1 in the previous 5 outings on the run line as a favorite since Aug. 20. Feel confident backing Minnesota in the series finale against the skidding Guardians.

Over/Under

Over/Under 7.5 should be avoided, as I expect the total to come down too close to the number.

Bibee has served up plenty of homers on the road, as opposed to his splits at home. However, he has done a very good job limiting the damage. Gray shut down the high-octane Rangers last time out at home, and he appears to be regaining his All-Star form after losing it for a while in July.

There isn’t a strong lean either way on the total, so AVOID.

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The Cleveland Guardians (62-70) and the Minnesota Twins (69-63) play the middle contest of a 3-game set Tuesday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 4-4 after Minnesota’s 10-6 win Monday night

The Guardians fired out to a 4-0 lead in the top of the 2nd inning in Monday’s series opener, but it was all downhill from there. Cleveland coughed up 6 runs in the bottom of the 2nd and was outscored 4-2 from the 3rd frame onward.

Twins 3B Royce Lewis had the big blow in Monday’s win, as he cracked a grand slam for the 2nd consecutive day. He has 3 grand slams in just 50 career MLB games.

Minnesota is now up 7 games on the 2nd-place Guardians in the AL Central and is the only team in the division with a record above .500 and a positive run differential (+51). The Twins improved to 40-27 at home Monday while the Guardians dropped to 29-37 on the road.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Williams (1-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 64 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 8 H, 2 BB and 5 K in 9-3 home loss vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
• 2023 road splits: 0-2, 2.05 ERA (22 IP, 5 ER), 1 HR, 1.05 WHIP, .187 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Lopez (9-6, 3.69 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 158 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 10 H (3 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in a 7-5 home win vs. the Texas Rangers Thursday
• 2023 home splits: 4-2, 4.62 ERA (74 IP, 38 ER), 9 HR, 1.22 WHIP, .249 OBA in 12 starts

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Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-145) | Twins -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 7, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-175) are a little close to my personal limit for a singular moneyline play. However, Minnesota is playing good ball lately, and its lead has ballooned to 7 games in the AL Central over the Guardians.

Cleveland had been getting decent pitching, but Minnesota’s bats came alive in the opener for a 10-spot, and Lewis is swinging a red-hot twig right now.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS -1.5 (+120) are a decent play at plus money on the run line.

Minnesota covered the run line as a favorite in the series opener, and it has won and covered the run line each of its past 4 games as a favorite dating back to Aug. 20.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the lean in the middle game of this set.

The Twins cashed the Over all on their own in Monday’s series opener. The Over is 3-2-1 in the past 6 starts by Lopez. The Over is also 6-2 in his past 8 outings at Target Field, including a 7-6 victory by the Twins on June 1.

Cleveland is looking to cash the Over for a 4th consecutive game Tuesday, which would be the 2nd-longest streak of the season. It had 6 straight Over results from July 16-21.

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