ALDS Game 4: Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians visit the Detroit Tigers Thursday for Game 4 in their best-of-5 ALDS. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 6:08 p.m. ET (TNT/Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Detroit leads 2-1

Detroit took the series lead with a 3-0 win Wednesday while covering as a +105 home underdog. The Tigers used 6 pitchers Wednesday with LHP Brant Hurter (3 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K) getting the win. It was the 2nd straight 3-0 shutout win and the 1st time in Detroit’s history it had 2 shutouts in a single playoff series.

Cleveland has gone 20 innings without scoring since its 7-0 win in the opener of this series. The Guardians left 8 runners on base in Wednesday’s loss.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. TBD

Bibee (12-8, 3.47 ERA) made 31 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

  • Career vs. Detroit: 1-3, 5.28 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 31 H, 9 BB, 27 K in 6 starts
  • Only career postseason start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in Saturday’s series opener vs. Detroit

No Detroit pitcher announced at time of publishing. RHP Reese Olson (4-8, 3.58 ERA) is a possibility. He pitched in Game 1 of the series (5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K).

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:03 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Tigers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 2, Guardians 1

Moneyline

LEAN TIGERS (-105).

Detroit is the hotter team, being 7-3 in its last 10 overall and 4-1 in the playoffs thus far while Cleveland is only 4-6 in its last 10 and 1-4 in its last 5 overall.

I expect the Tigers’ “Cinderella” run to continue here and carry on into the ALCS.

This is a lean because the Guardians are the slightly better team on paper and because Cleveland is 2-1 in its last 3 matchups vs. the Tigers in Detroit.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Detroit will cover here as a +1.5 (-190) underdog, but a line set that high is not worth the risk of betting on, especially when the team has better odds on the ML.

I recommend passing here as betting on the ML and/or total instead, but if you are okay with the risk, you can divvy up units between the run line and moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 6.5 (+100).

The Under is 2-0-1 in the 3 games in this series and has hit in the last 2 games beween these squads in Detroit. For the Tigers, the Under is 4-0-1 in the playoffs and 7-2-1 in its last 10 overall. For Cleveland, the Under is 8-1-1 in its last 10 outings.

Be aware that this bet comes with risk as betting on an Under number as low as 6.5 is always risky. Especially without knowing Detroit’s starter, although if it’s Olson he did keep the Guardians in check in Game 1.

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ALDS Game 3: Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers meet in Game 3 of their best-of-5 ALDS Wednesday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 1-1; Guardians won regular-season series 7-6

Cleveland won Game 1 on Saturday 7-0 as the favorite (-128) cashed, while the total (7) pushed at most shops. In Game 2, Detroit returned the favor with a 3-0 win behind LHP Tarik Skubal as slight road favorites (-122) as the Under (6) again connected.

The Guardians swept a 2-game series at Comerica Park July 29-30, while the Tigers took 3 of 4 games in a set July 8-11. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 meetings at Comerica Park, while the Under has hit in 5 of the past 6 in the series, including the 1st 2 games of this playoff set.

The Tigers are hosting their 1st playoff game at Comerica Park since 2014.

It’s been longer since Guardians RHP Alex Cobb made a postseason appearance, last pitching in the playoffs for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2013, including a start against Cleveland in a Wild Card win.

A torn fingernail on his right index finger and a blister on the middle finger of his pitching hand limited him to just 3 regular-season starts, and he hasn’t appeared since Sept. 1. He worked his way into shape with a 4-inning simulated game.

The Tigers have not announced a pitcher as of time of publishing.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. TBD

Cobb (2-1, 2.76 ERA) made 3 regular-season starts. He had a 1.04 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 16 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 1
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 9 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 12 K in 6-3 setback at Minnesota in only road start
  • Career vs. Tigers: 3-2, 2.91 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 8 starts

Tigers did not have a starting pitcher listed at time of publishing

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Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Tigers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Tigers 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-110) are worth playing lightly behind Cobb. While he doesn’t have a lot of games under his belt this season, he appears to be back to 100 percent healthy, and manager Stephen Vogt trusts him so much that he left RHP Ben Lively, who made 29 starts, off the ALDS roster.

We know what we’re getting with the Guardians, but we’re uncertain who will start for the Tigers. It could be an opener, but there is uncertainty when it’s not Skubal on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

Backing the Tigers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, if you need a little insurance and can’t back Detroit straight up.

The best thing to do is PASS, and focus on the moneyline.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (+100) at even-money is worth a look in Game 3.

While Cobb is a little bit of an unknown, since he hasn’t pitched in 5 weeks, and we don’t even know who Detroit will roll with, the Under has cashed in a pair of shutout wins for each team in this series.

Detroit has cashed low at a 3-0-1 pace in the postseason, while the Under is 8-1-2 in the past 11 games since Sept. 22.

For Cleveland, the Under is 6-0-1 in the past 7 games, while going 13-2-2 in the past 17 outings, and 21-3-4 in the past 28 contests.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (52-55) welcome the Cleveland Guardians (63-42) to Comerica Park for the opener of a 2-game series Monday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 6-5

The Guardians won 4-3 at the Philadelphia Phillies, winning 2 of 3 — both as underdogs — in the weekend series. Prior to the Philly trip, Cleveland hosted Detroit and split 4 games with both wins coming by 1 run. Cleveland is 30-27 on the road this season, including 3-5 in its last 8 away games. The Guardians are 52-53 against the spread (ATS) for the season.

The Tigers lost to the Minnesota Twins 5-0 Sunday, failing to cover as +129 home underdogs. They dropped 2 of 3 to the Twins and are 2-4 over their last 6 games. The Tigers are 25-26 at home this season but 5-3 over their last 8 at Comerica Park. Detroit is 55-52 ATS on the season.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Bibee (8-4, 3.50 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 115 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home win vs. Tigers Wednesday
  • 2024 away splits: 4-2, 3.00 ERA (57 IP, 19 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8 HR, 10.1 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-3, 5.84 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 5 starts
  • 2024 vs. Tigers: 0-1, 5.06 ERA (16 IP, 9 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 3 starts

Flaherty (7-5, 2.95 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 106 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER (1R), 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-1 loss at Guardians Wednesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-3, 3.50 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 7 HR, 11.3 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-2, 2.38 ERA (34 IP, 9 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 6 starts
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 1-1, 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:09 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+152) | Tigers +1.5 (-184)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-102).

The Tigers have thrived with Flaherty on the mound. They have won 6 of his last 8 starts. The right-hander only allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 7 of those 8 outings as well. Plus, Detroit has won the game following a loss in 2 straight.

The Guardians have been among the best home teams in the MLB but have struggled on the road, especially as of late. The offense is mostly to blame as Cleveland has been shut out twice in its last 4 games.

Considering the trends, TAKE TIGERS (-102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Detroit +1.5 (-184) is too expensive to bet on the RL, and Cleveland -1.5 (+152) is too risky as a RL favorite, considering its recent woes at the plate. Ultimately, AVOID a RL wager.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (-102).

The Guardians have gone Under in 5 straight games and are 2-11 O/U in their last 13. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 straight and have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. Cleveland is 49-50-6 O/U on the season, per Teamrankings.com.

The Tigers have gone Under in 3 of their last 5 and have scored 14 runs in their last 5 games. Additionally, they are 2-3 O/U in Flaherty’s last 5 starts. TAKE UNDER 7 (-102).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (44-49) welcome the Cleveland Guardians (57-34) to Comerica Park for the finale of their 4-game series Thursday. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Guardians have traded off winning and losing over their last 4 games, losing 5-4 to the Tigers on Wednesday. Cleveland has been among the best teams in the majors at home, but is just 27-23 on the road. It is 6-5 over its last 11. The Guardians are 48-43 against the spread (ATS).

The Tigers, despite sitting 4th in the AL Central, have been on a tear, winning 5 of their last 6 games. They have won 2 of 3 against the Guardians in this series and are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds. Detroit is 21-23 at home this season and is 5-4 in its last 9 at home. The Tigers are 44-49 ATS.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Spencer Howard vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Howard (1-1, 5.63 ERA) makes his 8th appearance (3rd start). He has a 1.83 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 24 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-1 road win over the Texas Rangers on June 8
  • 2024 away splits: 0-0, 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.0 K/9 in 3 appearances (1 start)
  • Has yet to face Tigers in his career

Flaherty (5-5, 3.24 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 89 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER (5 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-0 road loss to the Los Angeles Angeles on June 27
  • 2024 home splits: 1-3, 3.82 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 6 HR, 12.2 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-2, 3.27 ERA (22 IP, 8 ER), 22 H, 4 HR, 6 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-192) | Tigers -1.5 (+158)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 6, Guardians 3

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-130).

The Tigers have been playing well, and they have a stronger starting option on the mound as well. Detroit’s recent success has come on the back of its offense, scoring at least 5 runs in 5 of its last 6 games.

The Guardians have struggled to find any type of consistency, especially on the road. They have lost 6 of their last 8 road games and will have an option on the mound that doesn’t frequently start.

Put all that together and take TIGERS (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The run line doesn’t have great value here. The Guardians +1.5 (-192) are far too expensive as a run-line underdog while the Tigers -1.5 (+158) are too risky as a run-line favorite. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-106).

The Tigers and Guardians have played in 6 games this season with 4 of those topping the Over. Both teams are more prone to the Over as well with the Guardians 46-40-5 on the season and the Tigers 50-40-3 O/U.

Detroit is 7-3-1 O/U in its last 11 while the Guardians have gone Over this total in 4 of their last 5. The recent and season-long trends for both sides support OVER 8 (-106).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (56-33) and Detroit Tigers (43-48) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Guardians were shut out in a pitcher’s duel in Monday’s series opener, falling 1-0 as +134 favorites. Cleveland had just 3 hits, all singles, while Detroit managed 7 hits. Tigers C Jake Rogers led off the bottom of the 8th inning with a double. Three batters later, he broke a 0-0 tie when he scored on Cleveland SS Brayan Rocchio’s fielding error.

It was Cleveland’s 1st shutout loss since June 15 in Toronto, and it’s the 6th time it has been blanked this season, including 4 times on the road.

The Tigers have won 4 consecutive games, their most since opening the season with 5 straight victories between May 28-April 4. It was Detroit’s 1st shutout win since blanking the Red Sox in Boston 5-0 May 30. The Tigers have 6 shutout victories, including 2 at home.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Kenta Maeda

Lively (8-4, 3.14 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 77 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Thursday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-4, 3.64 ERA (42 IP, 17 ER), 1.29 WHIP, .248 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 7.3 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-0, 5.06 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 2 relief appearances — last outing in 2023

Maeda (2-5, 6.71 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 63 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 9 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 3 K in 12-3 setback in 7 innings at Minnesota Twins Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.71 ERA (34 IP, 14 ER), 1.21 WHIP, .242 OBA, 6.9 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 3-1, 5.45 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 7 starts
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 1 road start, no-decision, 2 IP, 7 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 11-7 victory May 7

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Tigers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+110) | Tigers +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-145) look for the bounce back behind Lively, who has been rather consistent this season.

Lively turned in a quality start last time out against the White Sox July 4 when he recorded consecutive quality starts for the 1st time this season.

The Tigers (+120) have dropped the past 2 games after recording a shutout in the previous outing. In addition, Detroit is 0-7 in Maeda’s past 7 starting assignments.

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers +1.5 (-135) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance in what should be a close game.

Detroit enters with 4 straight wins, but 2 of those games were decided by a single run. In fact, the Tigers have played in 4 1-run games across the previous 9 outings.

The Guardians have played in 3 consecutive games decided by a single run, winning 2 of those.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean in the 2nd matchup of this series following the pitcher’s duel in the opener.

The Over is still 7-3 in the past 10 games for the Guardians despite Monday’s 1-0 loss. In the previous 5 shutout losses, Cleveland has hit the Over 4 times in the following outing.

For the Tigers, they’ve cashed the Over in all 5 games after a shutout victory in the previous contest.

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (56-32) and Detroit Tigers (42-48) begin a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-1

The Guardians posted back-to-back 5-4 home victories Saturday and Sunday against the San Francisco Giants after losing Friday’s series opener 4-2. Cleveland also won a pair of 1-run home games against Detroit back on May 6-8 in the season’s 1st series between these AL Central rivals.

While the Guardians have the best AL record and lead the Central by 6 games over the 2nd-place Minnesota Twins, the Guards are just 3-5 in the past 8 inside the division. Cleveland has cashed the Over in 5 of the past 6 games, but the Under is 10-5 in the previous 15 contests on the road.

The Tigers swept a 3-game interleague series at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati over the weekend, including 2 wins as underdogs. Detroit outscored Cincinnati 15-8 in the sweep, while the Under went 2-0-1. However, the Over is 5-2-1 in the Tigers’ past 8 outings.

At home, the Tigers have won 4 of the past 7 games, while the Under has cashed in 5 of the previous 7 outings. Detroit has won only 3 of the past 10 games against the AL Central, while the Over has cashed in 9 of the past 11 inside the division.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Keider Montero

Williams (0-1, 11.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.25 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 4 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-2 home setback vs. Chicago White Sox Wednesday in season debut
  • 2023 road splits: 0-2, 2.48 ERA (29 IP, 8 ER), 1.14 WHIP, .188 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 28 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home loss Aug. 18, 2023 in only appearance vs. Detroit

Montero (1-2, 6.60 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 15 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 9-2 road victory vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-2, 9.35 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.62 WHIP, .286 OBA, 4 BB, 11 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Has never faced Guardians

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+105) | Tigers +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Tigers 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-150) are worth a play as moderate favorites in this series opener.

Cleveland has struggled against the Tigers (+125) in previous seasons, including going 2-4 in 6 games at Comerica Park last season.

However, the Guardians are playing tremendous baseball this season, and they’ve won 2 of the 3 meetings to date. Williams looked a little rusty in his first outing after injury, but Montero has been very giving. Take Cleveland in a potentially high-scoring affair.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re more adventurous, GUARDIANS -1.5 (+105) on the run line is worth a roll of the dice.

Montero looked pretty sharp in Minnesota last time out, posting his 1st career quality start. However, he has been a disaster in front of the home fans, allowing 9 ER, 10 H and 4 BB in just 8 2/3 innings in 1 start and 1 relief appearance at Comerica Park. He should struggle against a solid Cleveland lineup with 2 All-Star starters, 3B Jose Ramirez and OF Steven Kwan.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this divisional battle.

The Over cashed in 2 of 3 games in the first series in Cleveland, and the total went high in 2 of the final 3 meetings at Comerica Park last season, too.

The Over has hit in 7 of the past 9 games for the Guardians, while cashing at a 5-2-1 clip in the previous 8 outings for the Tigers, including Montero’s most recent start in Minnesota July 3.

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (58-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-69) battle in the finale of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 7-7

The Guardians eked out a 3-2 victory Wednesday, scoring all 3 of their runs in the first 2 innings. RHP Aaron Civale allowed both of Detroit’s runs in the 4th inning before giving away to 5-scoreless frames from the bullpen.

Cleveland has now won 5 straight games against Detroit. The Tigers have dropped 6 of their last 7 contests overall.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Zach Plesac vs. RHP Garrett Hill

Plesac (2-10, 4.49 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 108 1/3 IP.

  • Has an awful 1-7 record and 5.31 ERA with 8 HR allowed in 59 1/3 IP across 11 road starts.
  • Is 0-5 with a 6.21 ERA across 29 IP over 6 starts since the beginning of July.
  • Has managed an 0-1 record, 3.72 ERA and .286 opponent batting average across 9 2/3 IP over 2 starts vs. Detroit this season.

Hill (2-3, 5.12 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 31 2/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 2-0 record with a 2.70 ERA and .210 opponent BA in 16 2/3 IP in 3 home starts vs. an 0-3 record, 7.80 ERA and .279 opponent BA in 15 IP in 3 road outings.
  • Picked up his 1st career win in his major league debut against the Guardians July 4 with just 1 ER on 2 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 6 IP.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-103) | Tigers +1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Guardians 4

Money line

The TIGERS (+135) are a value play at home as they look to avoid the broom in the series finale.

Plesac has been very giving this season, especially on the road, while Hill has been tremendous so far in his home park. The rookie also has confidence against the Guardians after beating them in his MLB debut July 4.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-117) are just 2-9 across their last 11 games, but they’re a strong play in Thursday’s day game with Plesac on the bump. Hill has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 outings, and he’ll cool off the Guardians bats in this one.

Over/Under

Play the OVER 8.5 (-112) with the very giving Plesac starting. Yes, the Under is 7-2 across his past 9 outings, but he has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 3 of his past 5 outings, including July 15 at home against Detroit in a no-decision. That outing ended up going Over, too.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (57-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-68) meet for middle contest of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-6

The Guardians posted a 5-2 victory in the series opener Tuesday, backing RHP Shane Bieber with 11 hits. Cleveland has now won its past 4 games against Detroit after suffering a 4-game sweep at Comerica Park July 4-6.

The Tigers have dropped 5 of the past 6 contests, and 8 of the previous 10. Detroit is now just 4-18 in its last 22 games against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Drew Hutchinson

Civale (2-5, 6.17 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • Returns from the injured list for his first start since July 13 after recovering from a wrist injury.
  • Is 0-2 with a dismal 7.67 ERA with a .319 opponent batting average across 27 IP over 6 road starts.
  • Allowed just 1 unearned run on 3 H and 1 BB across 6 1/3 IP in a win against the Tigers May 20 in Cleveland.

Hutchinson (1-5, 4.37 ERA) makes his 9th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 55 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-4 with a 4.71 ERA and .287 opponent BA across 32 1/3 IP over 5 starts and 11 appearances at home.
  • Has posted a 1-0 record with a 4.50 ERA through 10 IP across 2 starts against the Guardians this season.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Tigers 5

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-175) are rather heavy favorites, but slightly under my personal limit of -180 for money line plays.

Cleveland won the first game by a 5-2 count, and it is now 6-2 in the past 8 games inside the AL Central Division.

Detroit is now just 3-13 in the past 16 games inside the division and has gone 1-4 in the previous 5 home games against teams with a winning overall record.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are worth a look on the money line as they try to cover for the second time in as many days.

Cleveland has 4 victories just since Aug. 3 and has won by 2 or more runs in 3 of those outings.

On the flip side, Detroit is careening out of control and has lost 8 of its last 10 games, with each of the setbacks coming by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

Over bettors lucked out when the Tigers scratched out 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th Tuesday to grab the push in the series opener. We won’t really need a lot of luck to hit the OVER 8.5 (+100) Wednesday. Civale and Hutchinson are both very giving, and we should get the Over sooner rather than later.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (56-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-67) meet for the opener of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-5

The Guardians picked up a 3-game sweep the last time these teams met July 14-16, avenging a 4-game sweep by the Tigers at Comerica Park July 4-6. Cleveland is a respectable 5-3 across its last 8 games.

The Tigers are skidding, losing 4 of their last 5 games overall, and 7 of their previous 9. Detroit is looking to snap a 4-17 slide against right-handed starting pitchers, too.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Bieber (6-6, 3.39 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 21 K across 20 2/3 IP across 3 starts against the Tigers this season.
  • Has managed a 3-3 record, 3.32 ERA and .247 opponent batting average across 76 IP over 12 starts on the road.

Alexander (2-5, 4.04 ERA) makes his 7th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

  • Has registered a 1-2 record, 3.57 ERA and just 1 HR allowed across 22 2/3 IP in 3 starts and 5 relief appearances at home.
  • Is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA over 4 1/3 IP across 2 relief appearances against the Guardians this season.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-108) | Tigers +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return and that’s just too much to risk for your payout. While Cleveland has been playing good ball lately, and Detroit is just 2-12 in the past 14 games inside the AL Central Division, AVOID. This is just too risky, especially with the Tigers at home.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-108) are a much better play on the run line. The Tigers have managed to win just 4 times in the past 21 outings agaisnt a right-handed starting pitcher, while going 1-5 in their last 6 contests at home vs. RHP.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-120) is a strong play. While it’s all about the Over for Cleveland lately, the Under is 6-4 in Bieber’s last 10 starts. The Under is 8-1-3 in the last 12 games overall for Detroit, too, while going 10-3-2 in its last 15 series openers.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (40-39) and the Detroit Tigers (33-47) wrap up a 4-game series on Wednesday at Comerica Park in Detroit. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 6-2, and they’re 5-1 in Detroit.

The Guardians look to salvage at least 1 win out of this 4-game set at Comerica. Cleveland lost 11-4 in Tuesday’s game, the first Over in 5 outings.

The Tigers seek to equal a season-high 4-game win streak. Detroit has outscored Cleveland 20-8 in the first 3 games of this series.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Michael Pineda

Bieber (3-4, 3.16 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 91 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA with 15 K through 15 IP across 2 starts vs. DET this season.
  • Has posted a 2-1 record, 2.51 ERA and .242 opponent batting average in 57 1/3 IP over 9 road starts.

Pineda (1-3, 3.62 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 1-2 record, 2.82 ERA and .238 OBA with 13 K across 22 1/3 IP in 5 home outings.
  • Faced Cleveland last Sept. 6, 2021 as a member of the New York Yankees, allowing 2 H and 1 BB across 3 scoreless IP of relief.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-108) | Tigers +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Guardians 3

Money line

The TIGERS (+155) look to finish off the 4-game series sweep, and they’re a tremendous value at this price based on how they’re playing.

The Guardians (-190) are just too expensive to trust, even if their best pitcher is on the bump.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-112) are worth playing on the run line if you just don’t trust them to close out the Guardians -1.5 (-108) for the four-game sweep.

Detroit has won each of the first 3 games in this series by at least 2 runs, therefore the alternate line of TIGERS -1.5 (+275) is worth a roll of the dice.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (+100) is the lean here, although it’s going to be super close.

The Under is 5-2-1 in the previous 8 meetings in this series and 3-1-1 in the past 5 meetings in the Motor City. The Under is also 7-3-2 in the past 12 road games for Cleveland and 7-1-2 in the past 10 against winning teams for Detroit.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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