Tag: Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Cincinnati Reds (74-71) open a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers (66-77) on Tuesday evening with 1st pitch set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Comerica Park.  Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since Detroit took 2 of 3 in 2021

The Reds halted a 3-game skid with a win over the Cardinals on Sunday and now hit the road, where they are 38-32 on the season.

The Tigers have been playing pretty well lately, as they took 2 of 3 games from the White Sox over the weekend and have won 7 of their last 10.

Reds at Tigers projected starters

LHP Brandon Williamson vs. LHP Joey Wentz

Williamson (4-4, 4.20 ERA) makes his 20th start. The rookie has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 98 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 R (3 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 6-1 loss Aug. 29 at San Francisco. He landed on the COVID-19 injured list a few days later and will be making his return Tuesday night
• 2023 road stats: 2-2, 4.15 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 22 ER) with 3.6 BB/9, 7.9 K/9, and 0.9 HR/9 in 10 starts
• Has been mediocre through most of the season, but took a step forward in August when he registered a 3.67 ERA, 1.6 BB/9, and 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts

Wentz (2-11, 6.65 ERA) makes his 22nd appearance (18th start). He has a 1.64 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 90 2/3 innings.

• Last start was Aug. 18 when he tossed 5 shutout innings at Cleveland; has since made 2 relief appearances in which he combined for 6 1/3 IP with 5 ER allowed and a 6/5 K/BB
• 2023 home stats: 0-4, 7.42 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 39 ER) with 2.3 HR/9 in 11 outings (9 starts)

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Reds at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Tigers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Tigers +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Reds at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Tigers 4

Moneyline

Wentz has struggled mightily this season, posting a 7.17 ERA in 17 starts. The Tigers have come out on top in just 5 of those games and have lost 9 of the last 10 contests that he has pitched in. Look for that trend to continue and for the REDS (-120) to make it 2 wins in a row.

Run line/Against the spread

The Cincinnati offense has been better on the road (4.90 runs per game) than at home (4.57), and they are in a good spot against a starting pitcher who has struggled throughout the season. On the other side, Williamson has shown improved skills recently, but it’s tough to know what to expect following his illness and subsequent layoff. Cincinnati stands a strong chance of winning this game by multiple runs and a small play on REDS -1.5 (+135) makes sense.

DIVVY 1½ UNITS between the REDS (-120) MONEYLINE and the REDS -1.5 (+135) SPREAD, with a lean towards the moneyline.

Over/Under

The Detroit offense has been subpar both at home, where they rank 28th in runs per game (3.83), and against lefties, against whom they rank 27th in wRC+. Even so, it’s extremely risky to take the Under on a single-digit total with Wentz on the mound. Therefore, a slight lean toward OVER 9 (-110) is the play here.

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