The Cincinnati Reds (26-29) conclude a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (28-27) on Thursday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 2-0
The Reds picked up a 5th straight win with a 5-4 victory over the Red Sox Wednesday. Cincinnati is only 3 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for 1st place in the NL Central.
Boston OF Masataka Yoshida delivered his 7th home run and 12th double of the season in Wednesday’s loss. Boston has gone 3-7 in its last 10 games and finds itself in last place in the AL East, 10 1/2 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Reds at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Hunter Greene vs. LHP Chris Sale
Greene (1-4, 4.18 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 12.9 K/9 through 56 IP.
- Has struck out 6-plus batters in 7 of his first 11 starts
- Has given up 4 or more ER in 3 of his last 5 outings
Sale (5-2, 4.72 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 55 1/3 IP.
- Has given up just 7 ER in his last 4 starts after allowing a combined 22 ER in his first 6 outings
- Has registered 6-plus K’s in 7 of his first 10 turns
Reds at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Red Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-150) | Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Reds at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Red Sox 5
Moneyline
While Sale has performed well for the Red Sox thus far, the REDS (+125) are the better team right now. Boston has the 3rd-worst wRC+ (71) and is tied for the 4th-worst wOBA (.281) against right-handed pitching in the last 15 days.
Run line/Against the spread
If you aren’t comfortable taking Cincinnati to win outright, REDS +1.5 (-150) is a reasonable wager in this interleague showdown. While the Red Sox have struggled against righties recently, the Reds boasted the 6th-best wOBA (.363) and the 10th-best wRC+ (121) against southpaws in May.
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Over/Under
OVER 9 (-120) is the pick in this matchup despite Greene and Sale taking the bump. The Reds are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games and the Red Sox are 19-8-1 to the Over at home this season.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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