Analyzing NFL Week 11 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.
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Welcome back to the weekly parlay play. Let us have some fun and win some money. With some strong teams coming off bye weeks. Some games stick out to me for a parlay this week. Other games, not so much.
After looking at Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL Week 11 odds, here is the latest “Let’s make some money” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL Week 11: Let’s make some money parlay
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:30 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
Leg 1: Panthers at Ravens OVER 42 (-110) – 1 p.m. (FOX)
While I wanted to take the Ravens here, I think the -12 is just a bit too high of a risk. Instead, I will go with the total of 42 which is a few points too low.
The Panthers are not good. But the Ravens defense has been anything but shut down this season. Even with the struggles facing the Panthers, they should be able to get to 20 in this game.
While the Ravens are 6-3, they have led every game this season by a minimum of 10 points at 1 point or another. They will do so again here, and they should win by such a margin. With reports of TE Mark Andrews practicing and coming back for this game, Lamar Jackson will have his most trusted receiver and he will be able to throw to him as well as run the ball against this weak Panthers defense.
Saying this and thinking the Panthers, under QB Baker Mayfield should get to 20, I see the Ravens hitting 30 and easily going over this total of 42.
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Leg 2: BEARS +3.5 (-119) at Falcons – 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Falcons, after going 5-0 against the spread (ATS) to start the season, have failed to cover in their last 5 games. This game will make it 6.
The Bears have scored at least 29 points in 3 straight games. They have become the only team in history to do so while losing all 3 games. The offense, and especially Justin Fields, is finally coming together. After 178 yards rushing against the Miami Dolphins, Fields had 147 against the Detroit Lions. He will be able to run again against a Falcons defense who allows both run plays and pass plays in bunches.
Although the records do not show it, the Bears have been playing better than the Falcons of late. The offense will continue to thrive while the defense will do just enough to get by in this matchup. As +3.5-point underdogs, I like the Bears to cover and win. But for the purposes of better chances of winning my parlay, I will take the points being given by the book. Give me the Bears +3.5 (-119) for the 2nd leg of my parlay.
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Leg 3: BENGALS -4 (-107) at Steelers – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)
This makes me a bit nervous. T.J. Watt is back and the defense for Pittsburgh shut out New Orleans in the 2nd half last week. But the Bengals are not the Saints, and it will be far more difficult to shut down the likes of Joe Mixon and Joe Burrow.
While Ja’Marr Chase is still out, the Bengals still have WRs Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to catch passes as well as TE Hayden Hurst, who will be valuable against a Steelers defense tryingt to get to Burrow early and often.
The Steelers offense, bad at its best of times, got even worse with the departure of Chase Claypool to Chicago. Opposing defenses can focus more on Diontae Johnson. Najee Harris has not had the breakout season many in the fantasy community thought was coming in 2022. This makes Pittsburgh a 1-dimensional offense and that dimension is not a solid 1.
Although these games are usually close, I will take my chances that Cincinnati can do enough to win by 4 and take the Bengals -4 (-111) to finish my parlay.
Parlay payout: Bet $10 to win $65.90 (profit $55.90).
Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.
Leg 4-*: COWBOYS -2 (-110) at Vikings – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)
*-If you want to add a 4th play to this parlay:
The Vikings have been playing with fool’s gold this season. Four of their victories have been against teams starting backup quarterbacks and one other game, last Sunday, against an ailing Josh Allen.
With Dak Prescott back and healthy for Dallas, the Vikings luck could end.
The Dallas defense with Micah Parsons is flying high this season. It has been able to stop the run and slow down the pass game of opponents. Justin Jefferson is great, but with Dallas being able to limit Dalvin Cook, Jefferson can not do it by himself, and Dallas will be able to come into Minnesota and walk out victorious.
Parlay payout: Bet $10 to win $125.80 (profit $115.80).
*-If you want to substitute one of the above, here’s another option:
Commanders at TEXANS (+145) – 1 p.m. (FOX)
Washington comes into this game off a high after handing Philadelphia its 1st loss of the season. This will be a classic letdown spot for a team and Houston could pounce on it. This is a risky wager, which is why it is only an optional play. But with Houton looking to gain a 2nd victory of the season, this could be its best chance to do so against an overhyped Washington team on a short week.
More NFL Week 11 picks and predictions
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