The Kansas City Chiefs (13-4) host the surprising Tennessee Titans (11-7) in the AFC Championship Game Sunday. The game kicks off at Arrowhead Stadium at 3:05 p.m. Eastern. Below, we break down the Chiefs chances to win the AFC Championship, with NFL betting odds and picks.
The Chiefs are heavy favorites at BetMGM, both on the money line and against the spread. They are -333 to win outright on the money line and favored by 7.5 points (+100) on the spread.
If you are going to bet on the game, why should you bet the Chiefs to win?
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The Chiefs are on a role
After falling behind 24-0 last week against the Houston Texans, they showed the explosive offense they have had for the last two seasons. They rattled off 41 unanswered points and outscored Houston 51-7 after the initial deficit.
They haven’t lost in over two months, winning seven straight games.
They have been there before
Kansas City made it to the AFC title game a season ago, giving the eventual champion New England Patriots everything they could handle. They tied the game with seconds left in regulation, forcing overtime.
QB Patrick Mahomes and the rest of the team who was there last year don’t want to go home one game short of the Super Bowl again.
The quarterback matchup is undeniably uneven
It is Mahomes vs. Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill is a great story but he is definitely not the reason they have won two postseason games. The former Miami Dolphins signal-caller has thrown for a combined 160 yards and three touchdowns in two games. Mahomes had 321 yards and five touchdowns in the Divisional Round.
The Chiefs’ run defense has been solid in their winning streak
The Titans offense is all about RB Derrick Henry. The Chiefs have allowed an average of 94 rushing yards per game in their last seven contests. Defensive lineman Chris Jones has not practiced this week, so there is concern for the defense, but if the Chiefs score the way they did against the Texans, Tennessee will have to throw the ball. That plays right into Kansas City’s game plan.
Of all the remaining teams in the postseason, the Chiefs are the closest thing to a sure thing. The Titans have been a great story and a good bet in the first two rounds but the Chiefs are where you should put your money in the AFC Championship.
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