The Chicago Bears (7-7) host the AFC West-champion Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) in the final edition of Sunday Night Football for the 2019 season. The game kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET at Soldier Field. We analyze the Chiefs-Bears odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Chiefs at Bears: Week 16 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Chiefs secured their fourth straight division title with a 23-3 victory over the rival Denver Broncos last week. The Bears were eliminated from postseason contention in a 21-13 loss to the Green Bay Packers.
- Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky threw for 334 yards in the loss. It was his second time in three weeks topping 330 yards after he failed to hit the 300-yard mark through 10 games.
- The Chiefs defense has held their past four opponents to 17 points or less.
- Kansas City hasn’t had a 100-yard rusher since Week 9. No player topped 50 rushing yards in any of the team’s last three games.
- Chicago hasn’t had a player rush for 100 yards in a game since Week 8. It was the only game this season a Bears RB topped 100 yards.
- The Chiefs have a turnover differential of plus-7 with 21 takeaways and 14 giveaways. Only the Green Bay Packers (2) have fewer interceptions thrown than KC (4).
- The Bears are minus-2 in turnover differential with 18 giveaways against 16 takeaways.
- Chicago is calling for a Sunday night temperature of 32 degrees with little chance of snow.
Chiefs at Bears: Key injuries
Chiefs: RB Damien Williams (ribs, illness) hasn’t played since Week 11 and is expected to be questionable for much of the week.
Bears: WR Taylor Gabriel (concussion), RT Bobby Massie (ankle) and LB Danny Trevathan (elbow) are questionable.
Chiefs at Bears: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Chiefs 24, Bears 17
Moneyline (?)
Play it safe and go with the CHIEFS (-218) on the road. Kansas City is 6-1 on the road and on a four-game winning streak overall. Chicago is 4-3 at home and coming off the Week 15 loss.
Kansas City is still competing for a top-two seed in the AFC and a first-round bye. Chicago’s season is over and the Chiefs will roll through an unmotivated squad.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Chiefs to win outright returns a profit of $4.59.
Against the Spread (?)
Take the CHIEFS (-4.5, -110) with the points for a more profitable wager. They’ll need to win by at least 5 points for a $10 wager to net a profit of $9.09.
Chicago is just 4-10 against the spread overall while Kansas City is 9-5 ATS. The Chiefs cover the spread by an average of 3.7 points per game; the Bears fall 1.6 PPG shy of the line. The Bears failed to cover as a 4.5-point road dog against the Packers last week.
Over/Under (?)
The projected total of 44.5 is the highest for a Bears game since the total closed at 46.5 for their Week 1 date with the Packers. They fell well short of the number in that one with a 10-3 loss. It’s the Chiefs’ second-lowest total of the year, and they fell below a 43-point projection last week against the Broncos.
Take the UNDER 44.5 (-106) with the Chiefs defense rounding into form and the Bears offense topping 30 points just once since Week 3.
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 45-42
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