Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners odds predictions pick betting line spread

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (17-52) take on the Seattle Mariners (40-30) Thursday in the finale of a 4-game set at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-0

The White Sox got a game-tying homer from OF Luis Robert Jr. in the 9th inning Wednesday, but they lost their 4th straight. The Chi Sox are last in MLB with 3.1 R/game, last with a .217 BA and 29th with a 4.91 ERA.

The M’s have taken the first 3 games of the series 8-4, 4-3 and 2-1 in 10 innings Wednesday. Their bread and butter is their 7th-best 3.51 ERA. They are just tied for 24th with 3.9 runs/game. The scary part is OF Julio Rodriguez has yet to take off with a .268 BA, 5 HR and 25 RBIs, but the team remains 10 games over .500.

White Sox at Mariners projected starters

LHP Garrett Crochet vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Crochet (6-5, 3.33 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and an MLB-leading 12.3 K/9 in 75 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 10 K Friday against Boston Red Sox
Has never faced Mariners before
Last 7 starts: 5-1, 1.10 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 56 K’s in 41 IP

Castillo (5-7, 3.35 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 83 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K Saturday against Kansas City Royals
3 career starts vs. White Sox: 1-0, 2.33 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 23 K in 19 1/3 IP

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White Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-185) | Mariners -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

Chicago has gone 3-2 in Crochet’s last 5 starts, and for a team that only has 6 wins in its last 30 games, that’s important. Essentially half of the team’s wins over the last month have come with Crochet on the hill. And he has been dominant with 29 K’s in 18 IP over his last 3 GS. Meanwhile, Castillo hasn’t been himself. His 9.2 K/9 is the lowest it has been since 2021.

It’s always risky betting on such a bad team, but I’ll back Crochet and the WHITE SOX +130.

Run line/Against the spread

For as bad of a team as the White Sox are, they don’t strike out a ton. They’re 19th in MLB with 8.55 per game. For reference, the Atlanta Braves are worse with 8.66. Granted, Atlanta pulverizes the ball more than the Chi Sox.

With that said, and with Castillo’s K-rate down, I really like LUIS CASTILLO UNDER 6.5 K’s (+115). He hasn’t topped 6 K’s in 5 straight starts. I’ll take that plus-money to the bank.

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Over/Under

We have a miniscule total here at 6. It makes sense with a couple of talented starters and a couple of bad offenses. There is only 1 play here, and that’s on the Over.

Castillo gave up 5 ER to the Royals last time out and allowed 2+ ER in 6 of 7 starts. Crochet has been dominant, but he hasn’t gone more than 6 IP in 7 starts. We had totals of 12, 7 and 3 in the series thus far. The wind is expected to be blowing in from left-center on a 68-degree evening. However, you have to go with OVER 6 (-120).

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (17-51) and Seattle Mariners (39-30) play the 3rd contest in a 4-game series at T-Mobile Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

The White Sox have dropped 3 in a row, including the first 2 of this series. Chicago pitching has been a disaster for most of the season, and lately is no exception. The White Sox have allowed 18 runs in the past 3 outings, or 6.0 runs per game, and they have yielded at least 4 runs in 9 of the past 11 contests.

Wednesday’s starter, RHP Jonathan Cannon, was recalled from Triple-A in early June, and he appeared in relief against the Boston Red Sox Friday, working 3 scoreless innings with 3 hits allowed to pick up the traditional save in a 7-2 win.

The Mariners are 6½ games clear of the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West, and a large part of their success is playing at home. Seattle is 23-11 at T-Mobile Park while winning 9 of the past 10 at home since May 15.

White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Jonathan Cannon vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Cannon (0-1, 5.94 ERA, 1 SV) makes his 4th start and 5th appearance. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 16 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 8-7 home win in 10 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays April 27
2024 road splits: 0-1, 14.73 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 2.73 WHIP, .474 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 0 HR, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start

Miller (5-5, 3.81 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 75 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 7 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 1 K in 10-9 road loss vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
2024 home splits: 4-2, 2.13 ERA (42 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.87 WHIP, .169 OBA, 3 HR, 12 BB, 51 K in 7 starts

White Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +198 (bet $100 to win $198) | Mariners -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-104) | Mariners -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, White Sox 2

Moneyline

The Mariners (-240) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and while the White Sox (+198) have been awful, that’s too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

Chicago pitching has been atrocious, and it is using a guy who hasn’t started a game since late April. Miller has been very good at home, too, as has Seattle in general. However, this is too much to risk straight up.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (-115) are worth playing on the run line, although it’s not nearly as attractive as getting plus-money laying the run and a half.

There is risk, too, as Seattle has won 3 in a row, but 2 of those victories are in 1-run games. That includes Tuesday’s 4-3 victory over the White Sox. In fact, the M’s have been involved in 8 games decided by a single run in the past 15 outings, going 6-2 in those contests. Be careful.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) is a solid play at even-money. Cannon makes his way back into the starting rotation after receiving more seasoning in the minors. He looked good in a low-leverage situation for the traditional save last time out against Boston, but it remains to be seen how he’ll react on the road back in the rotation against a tough team with good bats at home.

Look for the M’s to do most of the heavy lifting for the Over, especially once it gets into the ChiSox ‘pen.

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (17-49) and Seattle Mariners (37-30) open a 4-game set Monday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mariners won 4-2 last season

The White Sox snapped a 2-game win streak with a 6-4 loss in 10 innings against the Boston Red Sox Sunday while failing to cash as +129 home underdogs. SS Paul DeJong led the way on offense with a 3-run HR in the 4th inning.

Seattle snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 6-5 win in 10 innings over the Kansas City Royals Sunday while cashing as +118 road underdogs. DH Cal Raleigh led the team with 2 RBIs, while RHP Mike Baumann allowed 2 ER in 1 inning of relief and picked up the win.

White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Fedde (4-1, 3.27 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 74 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 7-6 loss at Chicago Cubs Wednesday
Career vs. Mariners: 0-2, 3.48 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 2 starts in 2022

Gilbert (3-4, 3.12 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-1 setback at Oakland A’s Wednesday
Career vs. White Sox: 2-0, 0.98 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 4 starts, including 0-0 with 3.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last season

White Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Mariners -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-110) | Mariners -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, White Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Mariners (-225) to beat the White Sox, who are 2-8 in their last 10 games.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-110).

Seattle has won by 2 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games and is 3-0 in its last 3 at home. It has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 8 games while scoring 5 or more in 5 of its last 9. Chicago has lost 5 of its last 8 games by 2 or more runs and allowed 6 or more runs in 6 of its last 9 outings.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-115).

While the White Sox have played poorly with a 2-8 record over their last 10 games, they have scored 4 or more runs in each of their last 3 and 6 of their last 9. They have allowed 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. Seattle has scored 4 or more runs in 3 straight games and 7 of its last 9.

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (31-41) and Seattle Mariners (34-35) play the finale of a 3-game set Sunday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Chicago has traded 1-run outcomes with the Mariners over the last 2 nights. The White Sox took Saturday’s game 4-3 in 11 innings after falling 3-2 Friday night. The White Sox have just 2 wins in the last 7 games.

The M’s continue to hover around .500. They’re 5-5, 9-11 and 14-16 over the last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively. They just have yet to hit that extra gear to keep them over the top. Seattle is 20-17 at home and 6-6 against the AL Central.

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White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Lynn (4-7, 6.75 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 77 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers
Last 5 starts vs. Seattle: 2-1, 1.86 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 41 K in 29 IP

Miller (4-3, 4.06 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 44 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 6 K Monday against the Miami Marlins
2023 splits; 3-1, 3.57 ERA, 0.93 WHIP in 4 home starts; 1-2, 4.57 ERA, 0.93 WHIP in 4 road starts

White Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

Lynn seems to have fallen off a cliff at age 36. His velocity has fallen the last couple of years from averaging 94 on his fastball to 92.9 last year to 92.4 this year. His K-rate is still great. He’s just being hurt by a .338 BABIP, which is the highest of his career. The M’s are just 20th with 4.42 runs/9 and 26th with a .229 batting average. I’m willing to take a chance that Lynn figures it out. I’d much rather take WHITE SOX +125 than back a middling Mariners team at -150.

Run line/Against the spread

For a team that is 10 games under .500, the White Sox have done well on the RL at 37-35 and 21-17 on the road. The question is: Do you want to spend -165 for the White Sox to keep it within a run or just go for the gold on the ML?

I choose the ML, but WHITE SOX +1.5 (-165) is an option as well.

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Over/Under

This is a small number for a guy like Lynn that has allowed 4 ER in 3 straight starts. Miller had 2 starts of at least 7 ER before his last solid effort. Rain will be a factor as well as there’s a 68% chance for it on a 56-degree day. The wind is also blowing out to left-center at 8 mph.

The Over has cashed in Lynn’s last 5 starts with a total between 7.0-8.5. I’ll LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115) in what could be a sloppy game in the rain.

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (68-68) and Seattle Mariners (77-59) meet Wednesday at 4:10 p.m. ET to close out a 3-game series at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Chicago leads 3-2

The White Sox and Mariners have split a pair of low-scoring games in this series. Chicago took Monday’s opener 3-2 and is 5-2 in its last 7 games. Chicago has a 2.03 ERA over that stretch.

After Tuesday’s 3-0 win, the Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 games and 15-5 in their last 20. Seattle ranks 4th in MLB, yielding just 3.68 runs per game. The Mariners have allowed just 2.56 RPG in their last 25 contests.

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White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Michael Kopech vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Kopech (4-9, 3.58 ERA) is expected to come off the IL to make his 24th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.47 BB/9 and 7.97 K/9 in 110.2 IP.

Experienced knee strain in an abbreviated start Aug. 22
Owns a 5.03 ERA, 1.46 WHIP in 59 IP since June 19

Castillo (6-5, 2.71 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 122 2/3 IP.

Has allowed just 1 run in 14 IP at home since being acquired from the Cincinnati Reds
Has notched a 1.7 BB/9 in his last 31 IP

White Sox at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:23 p.m. ET.

Money line: White Sox +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mariners -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-140) | Mariners -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -145 | U: +115)

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White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, White Sox 4

Money line

There is some slight lean toward the White Sox, but that lean is better served by the Run Line. AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

Chicago has been solid in get-away games. And we’re fading a fatigued Seattle bullpen here. BACK THE WHITE SOX +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

Too much juice: PASS but consider an Over 6.5 if the tag drops to -135.

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (68-67) took down the Seattle Mariners (76-59) Monday in the opener of their 3-game series and will look to make it 2 in a row Tuesday. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-1

The White Sox have bounced back since losing 7 of 8 games from Aug. 22-30 by winning 5 of their last 6 games. Chicago fights to keep its playoff hopes alive as it trails the NL Central-leading Cleveland Guardians by 2 games.

Seattle had a 7-game win streak stopped with the 3-2 loss Monday.

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White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Johnny Cueto vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Cueto (7-6, 2.93 ERA) makes his 21st appearance (20th start). He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 129 IP.

Has been very effective on the road with a 1.81 ERA and just 4 HR allowed across 59 2/3 IP this season
Doesn’t get a lot of strikeouts but has done a great job of minimizing the damage, allowing more than 3 ER in a start just twice all season

Gilbert (11-5, 3.35 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 155 2/3 IP.

Though his skills have been better at home than on the road his ERA is about a full run higher (3.94 vs 2.95) at T-Mobile Park
Recorded just 15 strikeouts over 26 2/3 IP across 5 August starts but in his first September outing matched his season-high with 9 K and 17 swinging strikes.

White Sox at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Mariners 4

Money line

Gilbert is already more than 30 innings past last year’s mark and may be wearing down a bit. Though he racked up a lot of strikeouts in his last game, he had a 3.64 xFIP and 8.6 K/9 through the end of July compared to a 4.86 xFIP and 6.6 K/9 in 6 starts since.

The White Sox have been better on the road than at home, while the Mariners average just 3.8 runs per game at home — 6th lowest in the league. The odds are good enough here to take the underdog, so back the WHITE SOX (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Cueto is a good bet to keep his team in the game even if they don’t come out on top. However, laying -175 for +1.5 runs is a little too much so PASS.

Over/Under

Cueto has been rock solid all year but isn’t dominant and can’t be expected to completely shut down the Seattle bats. On the other side, Gilbert hasn’t been at his best in recent weeks.

Look for this total to go just OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (67-67) will square off against the Seattle Mariners (76-58) on Monday at T-Mobile Park with 1st pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-1

The White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games, but they’ve lost 6 of their last 10. Chicago was defeated 5-1 by Minnesota Sunday as Twins starter Dylan Bundy limited the White Sox to 2 H and 0 ER in 5 IP.

As for the Mariners, they are one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning 9 of their last 10 games. Seattle is now in sole possession of the No. 1 wild-card spot in the AL, putting them 2 games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays.

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White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

Lynn (4-5, 4.70 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

Last 3 starts: 18 2/3 IP, 12 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 22 K, 1.45 ERA
Owns a 3-1 record with a 2.31 ERA in 6 career starts vs. Seattle

Gonzales (10-12, 3.99 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 in 146 2/3 IP.

Last 3 starts: 17 1/3 IP, 17 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 6 K, 2.60 ERA
Has been credited with a win in 4 of his last 5 starts

White Sox at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): White Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-180)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, White Sox 3

Money line

Even with the White Sox winning 4 of their last 5 games, the MARINERS (+100) have been rolling recently with 9 wins in their last 10. Also, Seattle is 7-0 in the 1st game of a series in their last 7 series.

Run line/Against the spread

While I see the Mariners being able to keep it within 2 runs in this contest, I’ll PASS on taking Seattle’s run spread due to it being at -180 odds. Instead of wagering on the spread for the entire game, there is value in taking the MARINERS -0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (+115).

Over/Under

Monday’s game between the White Sox and the Mariners will take place in Seattle, which is a pitcher-friendly park. UNDER 7.5 TOTAL RUNS (-115) is where I’m leaning as both pitchers in this game have been solid in recent starts.

On top of that, there haven’t been more than 7 total runs scored in 8 straight home games for the Mariners.

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (1-3) and Seattle Mariners (2-1) play the first game of a three-game set Monday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He was 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 7 2/3 IP over two starts and two relief appearances in 2020. Rodon hasn’t faced the Mariners since Aug. 28, 2016, when he allowed one earned run on 5 hits and a walk with 6 strikeouts over six innings in a win in Chicago.

LHP Justus Sheffield is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He was 4-3 with a 3.58 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP over 10 starts in 2020. The last time he faced the White Sox was Sept. 15, 2019, when he allowed 6 earned runs on 7 hits and a walk with 8 strikeouts across 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision.

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White Sox at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mariners 7, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The MARINERS (-105) are short underdogs at home, but they’re the play here. Rodon has been terrible for the White Sox, and until he is able to start showing some consistency you have to fade him.

The ChiSox also won just one of their past five meetings with the M’s, dating back to April 2019. They won just once in the first four games against the Los Angeles Angels, and they’re just 2-10 across their past 12 games away from the south side of Chicago.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARINERS +1.5 (-165) will cost you if you’re looking for a little insurance and aren’t sold on Sheffield turning in a strong performance; however, I like the M’s catching a run and a half here. I just like them even better straight up.

For me, Rodon just cannot be trusted, as he hasn’t had a quality start since April 19, 2019 prior to Tommy John surgery.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean.

Again, not trying to pick on Rodon, but he cannot be trusted to avoid the crooked numbers on the scoreboard. The Mariners offense is averaging 4.82 runs per game so far this season, and they hit the Over in each of the first two outings while allowing 6.5 runs per game.

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