Chicago White Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (40-57) and New York Mets (45-50) wrap up their 3-game series in the Big Apple Thursday. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mets and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

The White Sox are 2-3 during their current 9-game road trip after their 5-1 loss Wednesday night to the Mets. They are allowing over 6 runs per game since the All-Star break. Chicago has struggled against the National League losing 16 of their 26 games this season.

Justin Verlander allowed 1 run over 8 strong innings to lead the Mets to their 3rd straight victory. New York struggles to score runs at home, producing just over 4 runs per game which is 9th worst in MLB. They are just 2 games above .500 at Citi Field this season.

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White Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Michael Kopech vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Kopech (3-8, 4.47 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 86 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 0 K in 9-0 loss at the Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Has never started against the Mets
  • 2023 away splits: 2-4, 4.97 ERA (38 IP, 21 ER), 1.66 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, .242 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts

Quintana (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is making his 1st start of the season afterrehabbing from surgery to repair a rib fracture.

  • 2022 season stats: 3-2, 2.01 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 6.9 K/9, .246 OBA in 12 starts for the St. Louis Cardinals
  • Only start vs. White Sox: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 10-4 road loss on Sept. 21, 2018, as a member of the Chicago Cubs

White Sox at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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White Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 6, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET WHITE SOX (+120).

We have not seen Quintana take the mound since October when he pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies in the 2022 postseason. I’ll take the plus odds on the team facing the pitcher making his first start in 9 months.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

While I like the White Sox to win, I’m not going to bet them at -160 despite getting the run and a half. Definitely not going to take the Mets to cover the run line with Quintana making his season debut.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (+100).

I fully expect Quintana to struggle in his 1st start of the season. The White Sox hit .255 against lefties. And Kopech did not even make it through the 1st inning in his last start on Friday night.

These two teams put up 21 runs combined in Game 1 of this series.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Chicago White Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (40-56) and the New York Mets (44-50) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0 after winning the series opener 11-10

The White Sox fell behind 11-4 after 6 innings Tuesday but scored 6 unanswered runs to make things interesting. However, it came up short despite outhitting New York by a 12-to-10 margin. Chicago slipped to 10-15 in interleague play with the loss.

The Mets have won 2 outings in a row, both in 1-run games. The high-scoring game Tuesday was their first Over result of the 2nd half as the Under is 6-2-1 across their last 9 games. New York improved to 11-10 against the AL in 2023 with the win.

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White Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Touki Toussaint vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Toussaint (0-2, 3.38 ERA) makes his 4th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 6.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 24 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 3-0 home loss vs. the St. Louis Cardinals on July 8
  • 2023 road splits: 0-1, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER – 1 HR), .204 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

Verlander (3-5, 3.72 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 75 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 6 BB, 6 K in a 6-0 home loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-3, 2.57 ERA (42 IP, 12 ER – 4 HR), .203 OBA in 7 starts

White Sox at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Mets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-105) | Mets -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

The Mets (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, which is a little expensive based on Verlander’s overall stats. He has struggled mightily in his first campaign in New York and was booed by the home fans last time out.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Playing the Mets -1.5 (-115) is a little too risky. New York has won each of the past 2 games by a single run. The Mets are 0-4 on the run line as favorites in their last 4 tries.

The WHITE SOX +1.5 (-105) have managed to cover each of the past 3 on the run line as underdogs and are 8-3 on the run line in the past 11 outings as ‘dogs.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look in this middle game.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games overall for the White Sox, while also cashing in Toussaint’s most recent outing. The Under is also 4-1-1 in Verlander’s previous 6 starts, and New York has provided him with a total of just 18 runs of offensive support during that stretch.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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