Tag: Chicago White Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (89-68) host the Cincinnati Reds (82-75) Tuesday to begin a two-game interleague miniseries at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincy has rattled off four straight wins but needs an absolute collapse from the St. Louis Cardinals, who are 5.5 games ahead of the Reds for the second NL Wild Card seed. The Cardinals clinch that spot with one victory.

Chicago has clinched the AL Central and is pretty much locked into the 2- vs. 3-seed American League Division Series matchup vs. whoever comes out of the AL West. The White Sox have been playing .500 baseball over their past 10 and 20 games.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Riley O’Brien makes his MLB debut for the Reds. O’Brien was 7-7 with a 4.55 ERA (112 2/3 IP, 57 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 over 22 starts and one relief appearance in Triple-A this season. He is the 24th-ranked prospect in Cincinnati’s farm system.

RHP Reynaldo Lopez is Chicago’s projected starter. Lopez is 3-3 with a 3.16 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 over eight starts and 10 bullpen outings.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 7-2 victory at the Cleveland Indians Thursday.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER), 0.79 WHIP and 5.2 K/BB in three starts and five relief appearances.

Reds at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +155 (bet $155 to win $100) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-130) | White Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Reds 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) for a half unit since this is on the fringe of my price range considering Lopez isn’t a “top of the rotation” starter on Chicago’s pitching staff.

Also, perhaps O’Brien gives Cincy a decent outing because no one in this White Sox lineup has faced O’Brien in the majors yet.

However, Chicago is six games above-.500 in interleague games, 12 games above-.500 vs. righty starters and 22 games above-.500 at home.

Plus I’m skeptical of Cincy’s motivation since it’s all but eliminated from playoff contention and whose starter is making their debut in “The Show”.

Furthermore, the White Sox has edges in the three most important phases of the game: Starting and relief pitching and hitting.

Lastly, we have “sharp line movement” towards Chicago since this game opened with the White Sox being around -163 as a consensus favorite before being steamed up by the market to the current price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because we don’t really know what we’re going to see from O’Brien today, Cincy’s bullpen is the only unit that’s pitching better than Chicago’s this month, and the Reds are 31-15 ATS as a road underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9.5 (-135) because of the “reverse line movement” in the betting market, and the oddsmakers trying to steer bettors away from the Over by making the Under so expensive.

For instance, according to Pregame.com, roughly 70% of the cash and around two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Over, but this total is heading south. It’s a red flag in sports betting whenever the House makes the more popular side cheaper.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (86-67) continue their five-game series with the Cleveland Indians (75-77) Friday. First pitch from Progessive Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split a seven-inning doubleheader Thursday with the White Sox winning the first 7-2 and the Indians taking the second game 5-3.

Season series: Tied 8-8.

RHP Dylan Cease is Chicago’s projected starter. Cease is 12-7 with a 4.09 ERA (156 1/3 IP, 71 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 across 30 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-0, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 10 K Sept. 17 at the Texas Rangers.
  • Cease lost 6-5 on the road in his only start against Cleveland this season with 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • vs. Indians on the current roster (31 PA): 5.70 FIP with a .333 batting average (BA), .440 wOBA, .427 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 32.3 K% and 88.4 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Shane Bieber makes his 15th start for the Indians. Bieber is 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 12.9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-2, with 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB and 8 K June 13 vs. the Seattle Mariners.
  • Bieber is 3-0 in three starts this season against Chicago with a 2.05 ERA (22 IP, 5 ER), 0.86 WHIP and 7.3 K/BB.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster (164 PA): 3.05 FIP with a .250 BA, .303 wOBA, .387 xSLG, 32.9 K% and 90.1 mph EV.

White Sox at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Indians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Indians +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Indians 6, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the INDIANS (+100) for 1 unit because Bieber’s pitching peripherals and basic numbers against the White Sox are far better than Cease’s against Cleveland’s lineup.

Chicago is a bad road team and Cease’s pitching performance declines when he’s away from home. The White Sox are 37-40 overall on the road and Cease has a 5.02 road ERA (3.22 ERA at home) and a 1.37 road WHIP (1.16 WHIP at home).

Furthermore, Chicago is kind of snoozing down the stretch with not much to play for – the White Sox are 5-5 overall in their last 10 games – and these teams have played to a draw thus far.

Lastly, we have “reverse line movement” in the betting market as nearly 90% of the cash wagered has been on Chicago but the line is moving in Cleveland’s direction, according to Pregame.com. Whenever the sportsbook makes the more popular side cheaper it suggests they believe that side is mispriced.

If you’re giving me an even- or a plus-money payout with the reigning AL Cy Young at home against a team he’s dominated, how can I pass? BET the INDIANS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Indians +1.5 (-170) is a terrible bet considering Cleveland is 15-18 ATS as a home underdog even though getting a run-and-a-half worth of insurance with Bieber on the mound would be awesome.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE OVER 7.5 (-130) for 1 unit because the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Over while the public is betting the Under.

Close to 90% of the money is on the Over but roughly 70% of the bets placed are on the Under according to Pregame.com at the time of writing.

Typically, it’s profitable to follow the money in sports betting when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

Furthermore, there are several Over-friendly trends in this White Sox-Indians matchup including these teams being a combined 22-19 O/U record when these starters are on the mound.

Also, the Under is heavily juiced, which suggests the oddsmakers want more pro-Over bets. We don’t want to play into the House’s hands.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (70-74) continue their three-game set with the Chicago White Sox (83-61) Wednesday with the second game’s first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Angels vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago handled L.A. 9-3 Tuesday in the series opener as the White Sox’s six through nine batters did a bulk of the damage by hitting a combined 9-for-15 with 2 home runs, 3 doubles and 7 RBIs.

Also see: 2021 World Series odds for all teams

Season series: Angels lead 3-2.

RHP Janson Junk makes his second MLB start for the Angels. Junk lost 7-3 to the Texas Rangers Sept. 5 with a stat line of 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 2 K.

LHP Dallas Keuchel takes the hill for the White Sox. Keuchel is 8-9 with a 5.33 ERA (145 1/3 IP, 86 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 across 27 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-1, with 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 3 K at the Oakland Athletics Sept. 8.
  • Keuchel got a no-decision in Chicago’s 12-8 victory over the Angels April 2 with 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Angels on the current roster (37 PA): 3.53 FIP with a .129 batting average, .226 wOBA, .318 expected slugging percentage, 16.2 K% and 87.9 mph exit velocity.

Angels at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | White Sox -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels +1.5 (+102) | White Sox -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

Angels 7, White Sox 5

Money line (ML)

PASS since Chicago is most likely the right side but the White Sox (-240) is way out of my price range considering Keuchel’s pitching peripherals and how poor he pitched in his first outing against the Angels.

Also, L.A.’s lineup is more productive against left-handed pitching and the Angels are 25-22 overall vs. lefty starters.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the ANGELS +1.5 (+102) because Keuchel is somewhat known amongst casual baseball fans and I anticipate most of the public backing the White Sox because of their scary lineup and Keuchel’s familiarity.

However, Keuchel grades in the single-digit percentile in K%, xSLG, expected wOBA and the 33rd percentile in hard-hit rate and 15th percentile in whiff rate.

That combined with L.A.’s above-.500 record against left-handed starters means there’s more value in the ANGELS +1.5 (+102) than any other side in this contest.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE the UNDER 9.5 (-130) for 1 unit because the starting pitching matchup screams “Over” but we have a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market suggesting the “sharp” money is predicting a lower scoring affair.

Nearly 90% of the cash wagered is on the Under while two-thirds of the bets placed are with the Over according to pregame.com at the time of writing.

These betting splits have caused oddsmakers to move the total from the Over being the pricier side to the Under being more expensive. Typically, it’s wiser to follow the money in sports betting especially when it’s counter to the crowd.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (80-63) meet the Chicago White Sox (81-60) Saturday for the second game of a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener Friday 4-3 as White Sox starting LHP Carlos Rodon had 5 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 7 K and the Red Sox were unable to climb out of the 4-0 hole they were in after the fourth inning.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-2.

RHP Connor Seabold is projected to start in his first major-league debut for the Red Sox. Seabold is 2-3 with a 3.61 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 over 10 starts in the minors this season for two Boston affiliates.

RHP Dylan Cease is Chicago’s projected starter. Cease is 11-7 with a 3.87 ERA (148 2/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 28 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-0, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 9 K Sunday at the Kansas City Royals.
  • Cease earned a no-decision in an April 17 start in Boston with a stat line of 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6H, 3 BB and 6 K in a 7-4 loss.
    • vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 7.01 FIP with a .417 batting average, .451 wOBA, .604 expected slugging percentage, 19.2 K% and 87.5 mph exit velocity in 26 plate appearances.

Red Sox at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:41 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | White Sox -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

White Sox 7, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) because they have an edge in starting and relief pitching and hitting. Albeit Chicago’s hitting edge is real slight but should get a little boost since the White Sox are facing a rookie in his MLB debut.

Chicago is 22 games above .500 as a home favorite and Boston is 21-22 as a road underdog. However, the White Sox are just 24-28 overall against winning teams and Cease’s pitching peripherals vs. the Red Sox are worrisome.

If I’m betting Chicago’s money line, I’m risking 1 unit rather than betting 1 unit. If your standard wager is $100, put that on WHITE SOX (-190) to earn a $52 profit.

Another way to get down on Chicago’s money line is to add it as a parlay leg with the Milwaukee Brewers’ money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+110) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I much prefer the plays discussed above. But both sides of the market are betting Chicago’s run line, which has caused oddsmakers to lessen the payout.

Plus, the White Sox’s bullpen ranks atop most advanced pitching categories following the All-Star Game and Boston’s bullpen has been a below-average unit over that same time span.

Another hesitation I have with Chicago’s run line is Boston’s 29-14 ATS record as a road underdog and that includes the series opener’s outcome.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a half unit because both sides of the market are barreling into the Over, which is why sportsbooks have the total up from the flat-9 opener.

More importantly, both lineups can mash and there are reasons to like how each stacks up against their respective opposing starter.

Boston is 21-22 O/U as a road underdog and Chicago is 26-33-3 O/U as a home favorite.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (80-60) host the Boston Red Sox (80-62) Friday for the opener of a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Tanner Houck gets the nod for the White Sox. Houck is 0-3 with a 3.26 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 10 starts and two relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Boston’s 4-3 win over the Cleveland Indians Saturday with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 7 K.
  • Houck lost April 18 to the White Sox 3-2 with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster (10 PA): .200 batting average (BA), .212 wOBA, .552 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 10.0 K% and 81.8 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Carlos Rodon is Chicago’s projected starter. Rodon is 11-5 with a 2.41 ERA (119 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 21 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-3, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 5 K against the Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 1.
  • vs. Red Sox on the current roster: .377 BA, .506 wOBA, .581 xSLG, 15.5 K% and 91.4 mph EV in 58 PA.

Red Sox at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | White Sox -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-155) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-160) for a half unit only because Chicago outright is on the fringe of my price range in this spot and I wouldn’t hate putting it into a parlay with another favorite for a plus-money payout.

The White Sox are 12 games above-.500 against righty starters and 22 games above-.500 at home, while the Red Sox are just 4-13 overall as road underdogs against a left-handed starter and just 36-33 on the road.

I’m willing to say the hitting matchup is a wash even though I think the White Sox have more talent in their lineup, but Chicago has a major edge in the pitching department.

Rodon lingered in the AL Cy Young race this year and Tipico has Rodon priced with the fifth-best odds (+1500) to win the award. Also, Chicago’s bullpen has been amazing recently while Boston’s has been mediocre. White Sox relievers rank atop the majors in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% over the last 30 days, whereas the Red Sox is below-average in each metric

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the White Sox -1.5 (+125) is below my buy price of +150 in this spot because the Red Sox have covered two-thirds of their contests as road underdogs (28-14 ATS).

Another reason why I don’t like Chicago’s value here is that both teams have been equally mediocre over the past 10 and 30 games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-112) for a tiny wager because I much prefer the White Sox’s money line than the total in this game.

However, each team has played more to the Under in their respective location-based splits, Chicago is 7-13-1 O/U in Rodon’s 21 starts and Boston is 3-7 O/U in games Houck starts.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (64-58) host the Chicago White Sox (72-53) Monday for the start of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-1.

RHP Lance Lynn is on the mound for the White Sox. Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.26 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 22 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 3-2 win over the Oakland Athletics Wednesday.
  • Lynn took a no-decision against Toronto with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 9 K in Chicago’s 6-2 loss June 9.
    • vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 3.77 FIP with a .267 batting average (BA), .327 wOBA, .439 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.8 K% and 88.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 93 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Alek Manoah makes his 13th start for the Blue Jays. Manoah is 5-2 with a 3.34 ERA (62 IP, 23 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 12-6, with 3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the Washington Nationals.
  • Manoah also got a no-decision in Toronto’s 6-2 victory over Chicago June 9 with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
    • vs. White Sox on the current roster: 1.91 FIP with a .231 BA, .231 wOBA, .419 xSLG, 15.4 K% and 92.9 mph EV in 13 PA.

White Sox at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+140) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 5, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

This is a good price for the BLUE JAYS (-105) who’ve been consistent in Toronto aside from dropping two of three this past weekend against the Detroit Tigers. Also, the White Sox are just 30-29 on the road, and there’s value in backing Manoah in this spot.

First of all, Manoah got drilled in his last start, but that was on the road, and he’s a lot more effective at home. For instance, Manoah is 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 6 ER) and 0.95 WHIP in five home starts.

Moreover, the Blue Jays are 3-0 coming off a loss with Manoah on the bump, including their 6-2 win over the White Sox June 9 when they gave Lynn the start. Not only that, but Manoah has a big-game pitcher moxie, and the Blue Jays are fighting for an AL Wild Card berth.

This outing against the White Sox qualifies as a “big game” given Toronto’s place in the standings. Manoah is 3-1 against teams with a winning record with a 1.65 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 3.3 K/BB and hasn’t allowed a home run.

BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

As awesome as it would be to have Toronto’s run line for insurance on our money line bet, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-180) is just a little out of my price range.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER (-107) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I prefer Toronto’s money line more than the total in this contest.

However, we have two “top of the rotation” guys on the mound Monday, and Lynn has the lowest ERA for any starter in the AL. In addition, both teams have played more to the Under in their location-based situational trends.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (70-50) host the Oakland Athletics (68-52) for the third game of their four-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 14-2 including the White Sox’s 9-0 victory Tuesday. Athletics starting RHP Chris Bassitt exited in the 2nd inning Tuesday after taking a line drive off the face and will need to undergo surgery, although he has been released from hospital.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-0.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 24th start for the A’s. Irvin is 8-11 with a 3.52 ERA (135 1/3 IP, 53 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-6, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the Texas Rangers Friday.
  • 2021 road splits: 4-6 with a 3.30 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.18 WHIP and 4.3 K/BB in 11 starts.

RHP Lance Lynn gets the start for the White Sox. Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.26 ERA (119 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 21 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 7 K in Chicago’s 9-8 victory over the New York Yankees Thursday.
  • 2021 home splits: 6-2 with a 2.13 ERA (76 IP, 18 ER), 0.92 WHIP and 4.6 K/BB in 13 starts.
  • vs. A’s on the current roster (181 PA): 4.66 FIP with a .286 batting average, .382 wOBA, .415 expected slugging percentage, 22.7 K% and 89.4 mph exit velocity.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics +1.5 (-140) | White Sox -1.5 (+111)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Athletics 1

Money line (ML)

Chicago’s advantage in the three most important phases of baseball (starting and bullpen pitching and hitting) are baked into the White Sox (-190) price, which I don’t see much value in betting outright.

Since -180 money line favorites have consistently cashed for backers in the second half of the year in the last five seasons, I’ll slightly “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) but would rather pair it up with another favorite in a money line parlay.

Furthermore, Chicago’s lineup ranks in the top 8 against left-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA. Also, the White Sox have the fourth-best winning percentage at home and are 21-12 vs. lefty starters this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Oakland is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog hence the A’s +1.5 being -140 despite being a pretty sizeable underdog on the money line.

Given the options, I’d prefer to just stick with Chicago in a money line parlay or just put a tiny wager on the White Sox to win outright.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for 1 unit because we are getting “sharp line movement” towards the Under as Athletics-White Sox opened with a 9-run total but has been steamed down to the current number.

Also, these teams have a combined 16-26 O/U record when these starters take the mound and each team plays more to the Under in their location-based situational trends.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (68-51) continue their four-game road series against the Chicago White Sox (69-50) Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener 5-2 as the White Sox bullpen locked down the victory with 1 H, 1 BB and 9 K across 4 IP.

Season series: White Sox lead 1-0.

RHP Chris Bassitt is Oakland’s projected starter. He is 12-3 with a 3.06 ERA (150 IP, 51 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 17-0, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 6 K Thursday at the Cleveland Indians.
  • Second half stats: 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA (32 IP, 8 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.8 K/BB.
  • vs. White Sox on current roster (54 PA): 2.13 FIP with a .231 batting average (BA), .240 wOBA, .371 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 18.5 K% and 90.5 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Reynaldo Lopez is on the bump for the White Sox. He is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA (20 IP, 3 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through two starts and eight relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 1-0 loss to the Minnesota Twins Wednesday.
  • vs. Athletics on current roster (69 PA): 3.07 FIP with a .230 BA, .280 wOBA, .461 xSLG, 26.1 K% and 86.6 mph EV.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | White Sox +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Athletics 4, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS (-115) for a half unit because Oakland has a significant edge in the starting pitching duel and in hitting.

In this spot, I’d prefer to take the A’s First 5 Innings money line considering the White Sox have much better relief pitching; however, Tipico offers a three-way line so we could lose instead of chop if Oakland and Chicago are tied after the fifth inning.

A’s batters are first in both wRC+ and BB/K, second in wOBA and ninth in hard-hit rate this month.

Furthermore, Oakland is 22-14 as a road favorite, Bassitt is 8-0 through 14 road starts and Chicago is just 3-4 as a home underdog despite being an exceptional home team this season.

Another cause for the “lean” is we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting market as Oakland’s money line is seeing roughly 75% of the action but Chicago’s money line is getting pricier. It’s a red flag whenever the sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Athletics -1.5 (+140) because I “lean” to Oakland’s money line but I’m not confident enough to lay it with the A’s.

However, Oakland is 20-16 ATS as a road favorite while Chicago is 3-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a half unit because the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under whereas the public is on the Over, according to Pregame.com.

Nearly 60% of the money is on the Under while roughly 70% of the action is on the Over, but the oddsmakers have responded to the money column as the total has been steamed down from the 9-run opener to the current number.

My assumption is this movement is based on Bassitt being a fringe AL Cy Young contender and Chicago’s bullpen is one of the best units in baseball. On the other hand, both lineups rake so I’m not crazy about the Under in this spot.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (24-15) begin a three-game set with the Minnesota Twins (13-25) Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago split its four-game series with the Kansas City Royals after winning Sunday 4-3. The White Sox have won eight of their previous 10 games, which includes a three-game sweep of the Twins last week.

Minnesota lost the rubber match of its three-game set with the Oakland Athletics Sunday and have lost nine of the last 11 games.

Season series: White Sox 3-0.

LHP Dallas Keuchel gets the start for the White Sox. Keuchel is 2-1 with a 4.53 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 3.7 K/9 over 8 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 13-8, in 5 2/3 IP with 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 1 K vs. the Twins Wednesday.
  • Career vs. the Twins: 5-3 with a 3.91 ERA (46 IP, 20 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • Vs. Twins on the current roster: 162 at-bats with a .259/.324/.407 slash line, 27/16 K/BB, 7 HR and 17 RBIs.

LHP J.A. Happ is on the mound for the Twins. Happ is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 13-8, in 3 1/3 IP with 9 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, and 3 K Wednesday against the White Sox.
  • Last 5 vs. the White Sox: 2-2 with an 8.76 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 10 BB and 29 K.
    • Vs. White Sox on the current roster: 95 at-bats with a .326/.366/.558 slash line, 23/5 K/BB, 3 HR and 17 RBIs.

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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 8, Twins 4

Money line (ML)

Both teams hit lefties well and each starter’s advanced pitching numbers are alarming, but Chicago’s lineup is the best in the league vs. left-handed pitching.

The White Sox are first in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and seventh in BB/K vs. lefties, however, both Keuchel and Happ grade in the 31st percentile or lower in expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, whiff% and K%.

Lastly, the White Sox have beaten the Twins in four straight and Minnesota has lost four consecutive meetings with AL Central opponents.

GIMME the WHITE SOX (-110) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I’ll “SPRINKLE” a tiny wager on the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+145) because they should be able to pad whatever lead they get on Happ vs. Minnesota’s terrible bullpen.

The Twins relievers are a bottom-10 unit in WAR, xFIP and home runs per nine innings and allow the hardest hit rate by 5.4%, whereas White Sox relievers are fifth in WAR and third in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I prefer the side more than the total in this game, but since both lineups drill lefties and both starters serve up plenty of meatballs to get crushed, I definitely lean Over 9.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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