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After an off day for both teams, the Chicago White Sox (40-55) open a 3-game road series on Tuesday against the New York Mets (43-50). First pitch from Citi Field is at 7:10 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since Mets swept 3 games in 2019
The White Sox are coming off a 3-game road series at the Atlanta Braves, winning the final 2 games after losing the opener. Entering the All-Star break they went 2-7.
The Mets snapped a 4-game losing streak on Sunday, beating the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in the series finale after losing the first 2 games of the series.
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White Sox at Mets projected starters
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco
Giolito (6-5, 3.45 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home loss to St. Louis Cardinals on July 9
- White Sox lost his last 2 outings and are 7-12 when he starts
Carrasco (3-3, 5.16 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 61 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-0 road win over Arizona Diamondbacks on July 6
- Mets were 0-5 in his 5 June starts
White Sox at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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White Sox at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
In June and July, the White Sox are 3-5 when Giolito pitches, but he has 2.45 ERA in that span. Despite being 19-30 on the road, they have won 5 out of their last road games.
The Mets are 21-21 at home. They have scored only 6 runs over their last 5 games. They are 1-5 in Carrasco’s last 6 starts.
BET WHITE SOX (+100)
Run line/Against the spread
The White Sox are 48-47 ATS this season and 26-23 ATS on the road. The Mets are 37-56 ATS, the 2nd-worst mark in the majors. They are 16-26 ATS at home, the 3rd-worst mark.
The Mets have failed to cover the spread in their last 5 games. But expecting the White Sox to win outright, the moneyline is the better bet.
PASS.
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Over/Under
The Mets have scored 6 runs in their last 5 games and none of those 5 games reached 9 total runs. Seven of the White Sox’ last 9 games have not surpassed 9 total runs and 4 of Giolito’s last 5 starts have not reached 9 total runs.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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