Tag: Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (19-20) and Minnesota Twins (22-18) tangle in the finale of a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Chicago won Friday’s opener 6-2, but was then blasted 11-1 when the Twins ripped 5 HRs Saturday. The Cubs had a tidy May ERA of 2.76 before Saturday.

Minnesota had hit just 2 HR over its previous 5 games before peppering Cubs hurlers on Saturday. But the power display was not an aberration: the Twins rank 7th in MLB with 52 HR.

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Cubs at Twins projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Louie Varland

Stroman (2-3, 2.28 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.

  • Owns a 2.45 ERA, 1.14 WHIP over his last 3 starts
  • Has registered a 2.51 road ERA since 2021
  • Has yielded just 17 ER across his last 11 starts in May

Varland (0-0, 4.32 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He owns a 1.38 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 16 2/3 innings.

  • Has been barreled up at a high 13% rate
  • Made his MLB debut in 2022; went 26 innings overall last year, posting a 3.81 ERA

Cubs at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cubs -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Twins -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-196) | Twins -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

At 190 runs scored against 148 allowed, the Cubs are undervalued at their current won-loss record. Varland is coming off a season-high 95 pitches, and the Twins have the lesser bullpen in this match-up (their 3.79 ERA is buoyed by a .266 batting average on balls in play).

The righty-righty mound match-up is a boon for Chicago (.754 OPS vs. right-handed pitching).

BACK THE CUBS (-108).

Run line/Against the spread

The low total and the extra juice make the run-and-a-half an unnecessary hurdle.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The 1st 2 games of the series landed on the Over, and 4 straight Chicago games have found the high side. But there are conflicting signals here, its a decent pitching match-up, and the Twin Cities forecast calls for a significant inward breeze.

PASS.

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Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (18-19) will start a 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins (21-17) on Friday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since the 2021 season (tied 2-2)

The Cubs defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 10-4 on Wednesday to snap a 3-game losing streak. Chicago has gone 4-6 in its last 10 contests.

The Twins beat the San Diego Padres 5-3 on Wednesday, giving them 2 straight wins. Minnesota is 5-5 in its last 10 games.

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Cubs at Twins projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Smyly (3-1, 3.05 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

  • Has given up fewer than 2 ER in 6 of 7 starts
  • Is 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 7.4 K/9 in 6 career starts (16 total appearances) against the Twins

Gray (4-0, 1.35 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 40 innings.

  • His last start on May 6 vs. the Cleveland Guardians was his 1st start this season where he allowed more than 1 ER
  • Is 4-3 with a 3.11 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 11.5 K/9 in 10 career starts against the Cubs

Cubs at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Twins -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-160) | Twins -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Cubs 2

Moneyline

Even though their money line is a bit juiced right now, I’ll take the TWINS (-155) with Gray on the mound. Minnesota is 12-7 at home this season compared to Chicago posting a 7-8 record on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

TWINS -1.5 (+135) has solid value with Gray pitching for Minnesota. Smyly has also been great this season, but I trust the Twins to put up enough runs to cover the run line at home.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the pick in this game with both teams rolling out pitchers who have been fantastic to start the season. The Cubs are 5-0 to the Under in their last 5 road games and the Twins are 6-0 to the Under in their last 6 games overall.

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Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (57-75) and Minnesota Twins (58-73) kick off a two-game inter-league series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Cubs vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cubs RHP Zach Davies (6-10, 5.00 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 131 1/3 IP.

  • Is 0-4 with a 7.53 ERA through 28 2/3 IP across his last seven starts. The Cubs are 1-6 through that span.
  • Has a slightly below-average .284 BABIP and totes a 5.95 expected ERA.

Twins RHP John Gant (4-8, 4.00 ERA) makes his 17th start and 35th appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 92 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 6.75 ERA through 16 IP across two starts and seven relief appearances since being acquired from the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Is 0-1 with a 10.13 ERA over 5 1/3 IP in one start and three relief appearances against the Cubs – all while a member of the Cardinals. Allowed 5 ER on 1 hit and 5 walks through 1 2/3 IP in the start.

Cubs at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Twins -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Twins 6, Cubs 5

Money line (ML)

There’s definitely some hesitancy here backing the Twins with Gant on the mound, but the Cubs just aren’t very good.

While the Twins have had their share of struggles in August, they remain ahead of the Cubs in OPS, wRC+ and wOBA. Minnesota is 8-4 over its last 12 home games with four consecutive series wins despite facing division leaders in the Chicago White Sox, Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers.

Both Davies and Gant aren’t likely to stretch too far into this game. Although the Twins bullpen isn’t the top of the league, it does stack up better than a Cubs relief corps that possesses the league’s second-worst ERA and FIP in the second half of the season.

Temper your expectations in the event Gant gets lit up, but consider a partial-unit play on the TWINS (-155)

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Given both starters’ struggles, neither team having world-beaters on the backend and two offenses that have stacked up similarly in August, it’s best to just avoid the run line. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Either man on the mound could give up a crooked number, and both bullpens are likely candidates to give up even more action toward the end of the game.

The Twins have hit right-handed pitching fairly well all season despite their August struggles at the plate. They’re a top-10 unit in wRC+, wOBA and OPS against righties, so they should have an opportunity to do plenty of damage against Davies.

Back the OVER 9.5 (-105)

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