Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (78-71) and Arizona Diamondbacks (78-72) close out a 3-game set at Chase Field on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 5-1

The Cubs have dropped 4 in a row and 7 of 10 now. They now have just a half-game lead over the D-Backs for the 2nd Wild Card spot. Four teams are now within 1 game of the Cubs’ spot, and they need to turn it around quickly.

Arizona took the first 2 games of the series, 6-4 Friday and 7-6 in 13 innings Saturday. The Diamondbacks could take over that 2nd Wild Card spot with a victory. They are 18-12 over the last 30 games and 26-21 against left-handed starters.

Cubs at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Jordan Wicks vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Wicks (3-0, 1.99 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 22 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 2 K Monday against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field
  • Home/road splits: 2-0, 1.69 ERA, 0.94 WHIP in 3 road starts; 1-0, 2.70 ERA, 1.35 WHIP in 1 home start

Nelson (7-8, 5.53 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 135 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K Tuesday against New York Mets
  • 1 career start vs. Cubs Sept. 7: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K

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Cubs at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

Being swept wouldn’t put the Cubs down and out, but it would make things a lot more difficult than they would like. There are 5 teams battling it out for the final 2 spots, and the rookie Wicks impressed in Colorado last time out. The thin air didn’t matter much there, and he should be able to tame the Arizona heat.

Take the CUBS -115.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m not a fan of either run line here, but there is a a prop I’m eyeing. Wicks has only punched out 2, 1 and 3 batters in his last 3 starts. Arizona is the 4th-toughest team to K in the majors.

So I’ll take JORDAN WICKS UNDER 3.5 K’s (-140).

Over/Under

The Cubs are just 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and the D-Backs are 5-5. The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 between them as well, but both games in this series have gone Over. Wicks has only pitched to 1 Over, but his last 2 starts had totals of 11 or more. Nelson has pitched to Overs in 3 of 4.

If this were 9.5, I’d stay away, but I’ll LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

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Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (11-19) open a 3-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-15) Thursday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cub vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the first time this year these teams face each other.

The Cubs had lost 5 games in a row, and 8 of 9, but then they went into San Diego and took 2 of 3 outings from the Padres. They are coming off a 7-5 win over the Padres Wednesday.

The Diamondbacks lost 11-3 to the Miami Marlins Wednesday but had already won that series. They have won 9 of their last 12 games.

Cubs at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Zach Davies

Smyly (1-3, 3.04 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 23 2/3 IP.

  • Has taken the loss in 3 straight appearances after not allowing a run in his first 2 starts.
  • Has gotten out of the 5th inning only twice this season.
  • Is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA against Arizona in his career across 1 start and 1 relief appearance.

Davies (1-1, 3.34 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 29 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off his best start of the year with 6 1/3 innings of scoreless ball and 6 strikeouts with a no-decision in a 4-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies Saturday.
  • He is 7-7 with a 3.67 ERA across 19 career starts against the Cubs.

Cubs at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-190) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Cubs at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Cubs 3

Money line

The Cubs haven’t been bad on the road this season. Chicago is 7-8 away from Wrigley Field, compared to 4-11 at home. They just took 2 of 3 contests on the road from the Padres, but they had lost 8 of their previous 9 games and 14 of 17.

The Diamondbacks have gotten great starting pitching this season. They have the 2nd-lowest starting pitching ERA in the league.

They are 9-9 at home this season but have won 4 of 6 in this homestand and 6 of their last 8 at Chase Field.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs are an even 15-15 ATS this season and 8-7 ATS on the road. They have been underdogs in all but 6 games this season.

The Diamondbacks are favored for only the 5th time this season. They are 2-2 ATS in those games.

They are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

The Cubs’ last 2 games had at least 9 runs but they went 7 straight games before that with totals of 8 runs or fewer.

The last two contests for the Diamondbacks had more than 9 runs but their previous 4 games did not.

The Cubs have scored 3 runs or fewer in 13 of their last 19 games.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (46-46) hope to complete a three-game sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-68) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Davies is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 5-6 with a 4.37 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 92 2/3 IP over 19 starts.

The Cubs are 0-3 in his last three starts and he has not worked beyond the fifth inning since June 24.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 5-7 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 109 IP over 19 starts.

Arizona is 4-1 in his last five starts and he has not picked up a loss since June 16. Kelly has a 2.05 ERA over 30 2/3 innings over that span.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

The Cubs had lost their previous nine road games prior to winning the first two games of this series. They are 18-29 away from Wrigley Field and have only swept one road series this season.

The Diamondbacks have won four of Kelly’s last five starts and each of the last four times the Diamondbacks have been on a multiple-game losing skids Kelly has been on the mound when it ended.

Expect his good pitching to continue.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Cubs are 51-41 ATS all season and 27-20 ATS on the road. They covered the spread in their two wins to start the series.

The Diamondbacks are 23-22 ATS at home. They have not covered the spread in their last four games but have not gone more than four games without covering the spread since failing to do so in six straight from June 3-9, which is the only time it has happened all year.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-160).

Over/Under (O/U)

59.1% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total, but only two of Kelly’s last five starts have had totals of more than 9 runs.

Only two of the Cubs’ last 18 road games have had totals of greater than nine runs.

Take UNDER 9 (-105).

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Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (45-46) and Arizona Diamondbacks (26-67) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adbert Alzolay is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 4-9 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 over 77 1/3 IP across 15 starts.

Alzolay has lost five consecutive starts and has served up 2 homers in each of his previous four outings. His last win came June 2, which was also the last time he didn’t allow a home run.

RHP Zac Gallen is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-4 with a 4.17 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 across 41 innings across nine starts.

Gallen was rocked for 3 ER, 5 H and 3 BB in just 2 IP in a loss last time out July 2 against the San Francisco Giants. He has allowed a home run in each of his last four appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+115) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Cubs 8, Diamondbacks 6

Money line (ML)

The CUBS (-140) are worth playing, although I’d be a lot more comfortable if anyone else were on the mound other than Alzolay. The Diamondbacks are horrific though, and they fell 5-1 in the series opener on Friday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The CUBS -1.5 (+115) are the play in the middle game, and it should be a rather high-scoring affair for a nice parlay opportunity. The Cubs covered the run line Friday, and they’ll get the narrow cover on Saturday, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (+100) is the best play on the board in Saturday’s battle, as Alzolay has been very giving in the home run department and Gallen has had trouble keeping the ball in the yard, too.

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Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (44-46) open the second half of the season on the road for the first of three games against the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-66) Friday night. First pitch will be at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kyle Hendricks is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 11-4 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 105 IP spanning 18 starts.

Hendricks posted a 2.08 ERA over his last five starts before the All-Star break and has won his last nine decisions. He is tied for the MLB lead with 11 wins but also has allowed the most hits (111) and home runs (20) in the National League.

LHP Madison Bumgarner is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 4-5 with a 5.73 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 59 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Bumgarner is making his first start since June 2 and is coming off the injured list. He was 0-3 and the Diamondbacks were 0-4 across his last four starts as he posted a 10.13 ERA over 16 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Cubs 5

Money line (ML)

The Cubs struggled to close out the first half of the season, winning only twice in their final 15 games before the break. They are 16-29 on the road this season and are riding a nine-game road losing skid.

The Diamondbacks have the worst record in all of baseball but went 3-3 in their final six games before the break and won their latest home series.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Cubs are 49-41 ATS overall this season and 25-20 ATS on the road. They are only 19-24 ATS when favored.

Arizona, meanwhile, is 23-20 ATS at Chase Field this season and 7-8 ATS in their last 15 games.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under (O/U)

Only two ballparks had a higher Over percentage than Chase Field’s 61.9% for the first half of the season.

The Diamondbacks had seven of their final 11 games before the break finish with totals greater than 9 runs.

Four of the last six games for the Cubs had a total of more than 9 runs.

Take OVER 9 (-115).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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