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The Chicago Bears (0-4) visit the Washington Commanders (2-2) on Thursday night. Kick from FedExField is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bears vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Bears fell to the Denver Broncos 31-28 on Sunday failing to cover as 3-point home underdogs after being up 28-7 late in the 3rd quarter. Chicago gave up 24 unanswered points, including 17 in the 4th quarter, to lose. QB Justin Fields went 28 of 35 for 335 yards with 4 TDs and an INT. His top targets were WR DJ Moore (8 receptions, 131 yards, 1 TD) and TE Cole Kmet (7, 85, 2).
Washington lost 34-31 to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, but covered as an 8.5-point road favorite. QB Sam Howell went 29 of 41 for 290 yards and a TD while RB Brian Robinson Jr. gained 45 yards and scored a TD. The Commanders’ defense had no answers for Eagles WR A.J. Brown, who had 9 receptions for 175 yards and 2 TDs.
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Bears at Commanders odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:22 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bears +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Commanders -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bears +5.5 (-105) | Commanders -5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Bears at Commanders key injuries
Bears
- WR Chase Claypool (not injury related) out
- S Eddie Jackson (foot) out
- CB Jaylon Johnson (hamstring) out
Commanders
- WR Jahan Dotson (ankle) questionable
- WR Curtis Samuel (quad) questionable
Bears at Commanders picks and predictions
Prediction
Commanders 27, Bears 23
Moneyline
PASS.
At -250 odds at home, the Commanders’ moneyline is not profitable. After a great performance against the Eagles last week, Washington has placed itself in a favorable position moving into Week 5, especially against a Bears team that has shown obvious struggles including their collapse last week.
Against the spread
LEAN BEARS +5.5 (-110).
The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS this season, but they have shown promise leading into Thursday night’s matchup. It will be heavily dependent on the version of Fields we see, but Chicago demonstrated its capabilities last week. Especially with Samuel and Dotson questionable, who combined for 11 receptions last week and at best will be banged up heading into the game, the Bears will get their 1st cover of the season.
Over/Under
Chicago and Washington have combined for a 6-2 record against the Over. Both teams went over 44 points last week as well. They each average over 330 yards of offense per game while their defenses each allow over 365 yards of offense. Expect a lot of points in this matchup.
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