Chelsea welcomes Borussia Dortmund to Stamford Bridge Wednesday in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS/Paramount+). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Chelsea vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Chelsea lost to Dortmund 1-0 on the road on Feb. 15 despite having 2.1 expected goals to Dortmund’s 1.4. Chelsea sits 10th in the EPL and is coming off a 1-0 win over Leeds United on Saturday, their 1st win in the last 4 matches throughout all competitions. They are led in scoring by F Kai Havertz with 5 goals in 21 starts.
Borussia Dortmund sits 2nd in the Bundesliga. Although they are 9-1-1 at home this season, Dortman has 5 losses on the road vs. 7 wins. Dortmund is coming off a 2-1 home win over RB Leipzig despite having half as many expected goals. Dortmund has won 10 games in a row throughout all competitions.
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Chelsea vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Chelsea -111 (bet $111 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +275
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Chelsea vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions
Prediction
Chelsea 2, Borussia Dortmund 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET CHELSEA (-111).
Chelsea went on the road last month and had 21 shots and 7 on target. Dortmund, despite being at home, only had 14 shots and 2 on target. They ended up winning 1-0. Chelsea also had more possession.
Chelsea won that game, although the scoreboard didn’t display that. At home, coming off a win, Chelsea should have similar success. D Reece James could return as well which could be a huge boost for their backline.
Dortmund similarly hasn’t been great on the road, having 5 losses in 12 league games. They also lost their lone competitive group stage road match, a 2-1 loss to Manchester City.
Ultimately, considering how the 2 sides’ last game was played and Dortmund’s lack of success on the road, back CHELSEA (-111).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 2.5 (+100).
Chelsea has given up multiple goals in 1 of their last 8 games throughout all competitions. Three of their last 4 games have ended 1-0. Throughout all competitions, Chelsea has been held scoreless in 5 of their last 7. They have struggled to score this season yet have an elite defense.
Dortmund allows just 1.22 goals per game in league play as well. They have gone Under in 4 of their 7 Champions League matches this season and have gone Under this total in 3 of their last 5 games throughout all competitions.
Ultimately, back the UNDER 2.5 (+100).
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