In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Chase Sherman and Josh Parisian meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 214 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 72 or UFC Vegas 64 — at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 214: Sherman vs. Parisian odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.
Sherman, a.k.a. “The Vanilla Gorilla”, snapped a 4-bout losing skid with a 3rd-round KO/TKO over Jared Vanderaa in early July. He hasn’t gone the distance since a unanimous-decision loss to Parker Porter in late Aug. 2021.
Parisian is coming off a 2nd-round KO/TKO win over Alan Baudot in late June, and he has alternated wins and losses in each of his last 5 fights. Since arriving at the UFC level he is 2-2, with 2 KO/TKOs, going 1-1 in those outings.
Sherman holds a 6.51-to-4.97 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while Parisian is better in the ground game. He has managed a 1.06 takedown average, and 30.77% takedown accuracy with a 0.26 submission average.
Sherman has yet to score in any of those categories and is strictly a brawler. If Sherman is taken to the mat, he is susceptible to the tap-out. Alexandr Romanov and Jake Collier have each tapped him out in 2022.
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UFC Fight Night 214: Sherman vs. Parisian odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:40 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Sherman -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Parisian +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +122 | Under -170)
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UFC Fight Night 214: Sherman vs. Parisian picks and predictions
Records: Sherman (16-10-0) | Parisian (15-5-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
SHERMAN (-140) is a solid play on the 2-way line, as he looks to build upon his KO/TKO win over Vanderaa.
Since arriving at the UFC level, Sherman has been pretty inconsistent, but Parisian has also been very erratic since landing with the UFC. In addition, Parisian has had to cut weight to get down to the limit of 265 pounds, which has a lot of people questioning if his cardio will be up to snuff.
Parisian will look for a quick finish, as he knows he doesn’t have the energy to go a full 3 rounds. Sherman will weather the storm, and get the knockout finish of his own, similar to the Vanderaa fight.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-170) is a little on the pricey side, but that’s the play here.
Again, Parisian doesn’t have the energy, or he doesn’t necessarily have the desire, to go the distance. Sherman will be looking for the finish, too. There is no way this goes all the way, and this is the best bet on the board, perhaps on the entire card.
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