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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Talladega Superspeedway Sunday for the 2024 Yellawood 500. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the 2nd contest of 3 Round of 12 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Yellawood 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.
2024 Yellawood 500: What you need to know
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers at Talladega (min. 6 starts) with a 13.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 214 laps led in 17 career Cup starts
- Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe, currently 25 points below the cut line for the Round of 8, has a very good 14.4 AFP in 7 career Cup starts at ‘Dega, with a best finish of 4th in the 2023 spring race. He has been 13th or better in each of his past 4 starts at the Alabama superspeedway
- 23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick won the GEICO 500 at the Talladega spring race on April 21, just edging out RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski. Despite that finish, Reddick has a 19.2 AFP in 9 career Cup starts with 2 DNFs
- Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who won last week at Kansas, has a Cup win at Talladega, but he also has just 2 top-10 finishes and a poor 19.5 AFP in 9 11 career Cup starts
- Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. has struggled in his career at Talladega, with no wins and just 3 top-5 finishes in 39 Cup starts with 13 DNFs and a dismal 21.0 AFP
- SHR’s Noah Gragson finished 3rd in the GEICO 500 in April, his best Cup finish at the superspeedway in 4 tries
- Mississippi native Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has a win at Talladega in 22 career Cup stats, with 7 top-5 finishes and 118 laps led with a 15.1 AFP
- Hendrick’s Kyle Larson has had a tough time at Talladega over the years, posting just a single top-5 finish, 3 top-10 runs and 6 DNFs in 19 career Cup starts at the superspeedway
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2024 Yellawood 500 – Expert pick
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:12 p.m. ET.
CHASE ELLIOTT (+1600) is a tremendous value at this price. He has managed to stay pretty clean at Talladega in his career, managing just 3 DNFs in 17 career Cup starts with 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 214 laps led with a 13.7 AFP.
Elliott finished 15th in the spring race at Talladega, so look for improvement on Sunday, especially as he checks in 7th in the playoff standings, and he needs a good finish to keep his Championship 4 hopes alive and well.
ELLIOTT TOP-10 FINISH (-130) isn’t priced out of line if you’re a little more conservative and you’d like to go that route, too.
2024 Yellawood 500 – Contender
CHASE BRISCOE (+3000) is driving a throwback paint scheme car to honor former NASCAR driver and current SHR team owner Tony Stewart at Talladega. Briscoe’s playoff hopes are on life support, too, as he sits 11th in the standings with just 2 races until the Round of 8. He needs a strong finish, and he could get one at the superspeedway.
Briscoe has been 13th or better in each of his past 4 starts at the track, including a run of 4th in the spring race in 2023. He is fighting to keep his title hopes alive, hoping to get to at least the Round of 8 for the 2nd time in his career. And, he has the hopes of SHR on his shoulders, too, as that team looks to finish strong before closing up shop at the end of the current season.
BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+160) is still an extremely strong value if you don’t want to roll the dice on an outright victory.
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