Tag: Charles Schwab Challenge PROP BETS Charles Schwab Challenge odds Charles Schwab Challenge picks Charles Schwab Challenge predictions betting

Following Brooks Koepka’s win at the PGA Championship, the next stop on the tour’s schedule is the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. Colonial Country Club will once again host this event, which features big names such as Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler is the overwhelming favorite (+400) to win this week, just as he was at the AT&T Byron Nelson a few weeks ago, but Spieth – a fellow Texas native – has performed extremely well in this event, finishing in the top 10 in 7 of the last 8 years. Tony Finau, Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland will also be in the field, as will defending champion Sam Burns.

Colonial Country Club won’t present the same challenges that Oak Hill did last week, but it’s by no means an easy course. At 7,209 yards, it’s not an extremely long course, emphasizing accuracy and positioning over distance off the tee. It’ll play as a par 70 with trees lining the fairways, requiring players to be accurate in order to avoid trouble off the tee. The winning score last year was 9-under after it ranged from 12-under to 20-under in the previous seven years. In fact, the winning score has been 10-under or better in 18 of the last 20 years.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

WATCH: PGA Tour is live on ESPN+! Get ESPN+

Charles Schwab Challenge – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:54 a.m. ET.

Jordan Spieth (+275)

Spieth mitigated concerns about his wrist last week when he finished all 4 rounds at the PGA Championship, even if he didn’t have his best stuff. That gives me enough confidence to go with him in an event he absolutely owns. In the last 8 years at the Charles Schwab Challenge, he’s had 4 top-5 finishes and 7 top-10s. His top-5 odds are somewhat short at +275, but they’re still worth playing.

Tony Finau (+275)

Like Spieth, Finau is also a horse for this course. He’s played this tournament in 7 of the last 8 years and finished in the top 5 twice with nothing worse than a 34th-place finish. Finau had his share of struggles at Oak Hill, but Colonial will feel like a walk in the park compared to the challenge he endured last week.

Sungjae Im (+350)

Im is a wild card at Colonial. He’s played this event the last 4 years, alternating missed cuts with a T-10 and T-15 in that span. His odds this week were probably lengthened due to his MC last week so you’re getting him at a decent number now. With his ball-striking and wedge work around the greens, he’s a good bet to win or at least finish in the top 5.

Charles Schwab Challenge – Top-10 picks

Russell Henley (+320)

Henley is the most accurate driver on tour, hitting the fairway 73.56% of the time. That will be an advantage this week, given the importance of not getting out of position when setting up your second shot into the greens. He’s also a premier iron player and hits a lot of greens, so he’ll have plenty of looks for birdie.

Collin Morikawa (+140)

Morikawa tied for 26th at the PGA Championship, which is a disappointing result by his standards. However, he was pretty solid all-around and he now comes to a course where ball-striking and iron play will be essential. If the putter can be even slightly above-average, he’ll be in contention on Sunday because he’s going to hit a lot of greens this week.

Cam Davis (+320)

Davis finished 7th here last year and is fresh off a T-4 at the PGA Championship, continuing some great play since returning from an illness that hampered him early in the season. In his last 6 starts, he has 3 top-10s. I love his odds for another top-10 at +320.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

• Justin Rose (+220)

Charles Schwab Challenge – Top-20 picks

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+250)

Bezuidenhout is usually a decent putter but he was abysmal at Oak Hill, ranking 3rd-worst in the field in strokes gained: putting last week. He was excellent from tee-to-green, finishing 10th in that category at the PGA Championship. I’ll bet his putting bounces back at Colonial.

Brian Harman (+200)

Harman has struggled as of late, missing the cut in 4 of his last 5 stroke-play starts. However, the one time he did make the cut, he finished T-7 at the RBC Heritage. Now might be a good time to buy low at an event where he has 3 top-10s and 7 top-31 finishes in the last 8 years. He seems to love this course and his top-20 odds should probably be shorter, all things considered.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

• Justin Suh (+350)
• Brendon Todd (+200)

Charles Schwab Challenge – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Stephan Jaeger (+100) vs. Denny McCarthy (-125)

Jaeger fell apart a little bit on Sunday at the PGA Championship, shooting 6-over to finish T-50. But he’s been a stud recently, finishing T-18, T-27 and T-11 in his previous 3 starts. I’ll take him at even money against McCarthy, who has missed the cut twice here.

Brendon Todd (-125) vs. J.T. Poston (+100)

Todd isn’t a great pick on longer courses, but on a pick-and-plot course like Colonial, he makes sense. He finished 3rd and 8th in this event the last 2 years and is worth betting at -125 against Poston, who has missed the cut here in 3 of the last 4 years.

Justin Rose (+100) vs. Tommy Fleetwood (-125)

Rose shot 1-over on Sunday at the PGA Championship, but he still managed to finish in the top 10 – even after struggling mightily with his driver early in the week. He won this event in 2018 and finished 3rd in 2020, also notching a top-20 in 2021. I like Fleetwood’s chances this week, too, but Rose is the better value here.

Charles Schwab Challenge – Top South African

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+125)

Garrick Higgo at +275 is the second-favorite to be the top South African but I prefer Bezuidenhout, even at +125. Higgo missed the cut here in his debut last year, and the other South Africans in the field don’t pose as big a threat to Bezuidenhout’s chances.

Charles Schwab Challenge – Top Asian

Sungjae Im (+150)

Si Woo Kim (+300) and Byeong Hun An (+500) have the 2nd- and 3rd-best odds to finish as the top Asian player this week, but it’s really hard not to like Im with his iron play and work around the greens. Even after shooting 80 at the PGA last Thursday, Im is set up well for a high finish this week.

Charles Schwab Challenge – First-round leader

Scottie Scheffler (+1100)

One of my favorite ways to play the heavy favorites is by betting them to finish as the 1st-round leader. Dead heat rules lessen the reward, but at +1100, Scheffler offers good value to be atop the board on Thursday night. He was among the 8 players who shot 66 in the 1st round last year, which was the low round of the day.

Cam Davis (+5000)

Along with Scheffler, Davis also shot 66 in the opening round last year. He’s also fresh off a 5-under 65 in the final round of the PGA Championship, so perhaps he can carry over some of that momentum into this week’s 1st round.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Justin Rose (+375)

Max Homa is the favorite in this group at +300, followed by Tommy Fleetwood (+333), Sam Burns (+375) and Rickie Fowler (+400). Rose finished better than all of them at the PGA Championship and now comes to an event where he’s won and had 2 top-5s in the last 5 years. I like him at these odds.

Will there be a playoff? Yes: (+350)

There’s been a playoff in 2 of the last 3 years at this event, with those being won by Burns and Daniel Berger. Let’s bet for another playoff in what’s a pretty strong field at Colonial.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Golfweek:

• Who is Michael Block, the golf club professional who took the PGA Championship by storm?
• Every player who has qualified for the 2023 U.S. Open so far

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1364]