In a lightweight title bout on the main card, Charles Oliveira and Dustin Poirier meet Saturday at UFC 269 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET, the prelims on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET and the main card on Pay-Per-View starting at 10 p.m. ET.
Oliveira takes the walk to the octagon with a two-inch reach advantage, and he is great in the ground-and-pound game. Poirier is much better in an upright fight, posting 5.62 significant strikes landed per minute to just 3.26 for Oliveira.
The champ has a 2.64-to-1.50 takedown average, and 2.72-to-1.23 submission average. So needless to say, Oliveira is going to be trying to get the fight to the canvas as quickly as possible, while Poirier will be doing everything in his power to keep Oliveira in a toe-to-toe brawl.
UFC 269 Oliveira vs. Poirier: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Oliveira +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Poirier -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +255 | No -400)
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UFC 269 Oliveira vs. Poirier: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Oliveira (31-8-0) | Poirier (28-6-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Oliveira has won nine consecutive fights, including a KO/TKO over Michael Chandler at UFC 262 in the second round. Three of his past five fights have resulted in KO/TKO wins, although his specialty is the submission. And he has only went the distance once in the past 16 fights.
While that’s all well and good, it’s time for POIRIER (-140) to get his strap back. He is a punch machine, and he is going to drop “do Bronx” in either the second or third round. Four of Oliviera’s losses at the UFC level have come via KO/TKO, and Poirier will add to the tally.
Over/Under (O/U)
Play a two-round block of POIRIER TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+620) and POIRIER TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+950) for a potentially nice payday. Yes, you will lose one of the ends, even if he wins in Rounds 2-3, but you’ll still be ahead by a good amount.
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