LA Chargers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s LA Chargers at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The LA Chargers (7-4) visit the Atlanta Falcons (6-5) Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds around the Chargers vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chargers snapped a 4-game winning streak with a 30-23 loss against the Baltimore Ravens Monday as 3-point home underdogs. QB Justin Herbert was 21-of-36 passing for 218 yards and rushed for a TD.

The Falcons are coming off a bye week and have dropped back-to-back games after falling 38-6 at the Denver Broncos Nov. 17 as 2-point underdogs. QB Kirk Cousins completed 18 of 27 passes for 173 yards with an INT.

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Chargers at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chargers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Falcons +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chargers -1 (-110) | Falcons +1 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chargers at Falcons key injuries

Chargers

  • RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) out
  • Alohi Gilman (hamstring) out
  • CB Cam Hart (ankle) out
  • LB Daiyan Henley (calf) questionable
  • LB Denzel Perryman (groin) out

Falcons

  • CB Mike Hughes (neck) out
  • RB Jase McClellan (knee) out

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Chargers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Chargers 31, Falcons 24

Moneyline

PASS.

The spread has better value.

Against the spread

BET CHARGERS -1 (-110).

This is a great price for a Chargers team that is 7-4 straight up/ATS this season and has won 4 of its last 5. While they are dealing with injuries, the Chargers will still see a near full-strength roster Sunday.

Atlanta has struggled of late, losing 3 of its last 5 games and allowing 20 or more points in 10 straight.

Over/Under

BET OVER 48 (-110).

Atlanta’s defense has allowed 20 or more points in each of its last 10 games and 26 or more in 3 of its last 5. It has scored 17 or more in 8 of its last 10.

LA’s offense has been hot recently, scoring 23 or more points in 5 straight games, while its defense has allowed 17 or more in each of its last 3.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) travel east to face the Atlanta Falcons (4-4) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Chargers vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

After starting the season 6-0 against the spread (ATS), the Falcons have failed to cover the last 2 games. While this is bad for bettors, the Falcons can’t complain as their 4-4 straight-up (SU) record is good enough for 1st place in the NFC South.

After a tough 37-34 victory against Carolina in overtime last Sunday as 4.5-point home favorites, the Falcons will look to gain another win in this matchup of strength on weakness.

The Chargers are coming off a bye, but not even a week off will help their run defense which ranks 31st in the NFL — allowing 5.7 yards per carry. With the Falcons averaging 158.1 yards per game — ranking 5th in the NFL — they’ll look to slow this game down and allow QB Marcus Mariota and RB Tyler Allgeier a chance to make things happen.

The key to this game will be the Falcons defense. It will have to slow down Chargers QB Justin Herbert, RB Austin Ekeler and WRs Mike Williams and Keenan Allen (if healthy enough to play) for the Falcons to win this game.

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Chargers at Falcons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chargers -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Falcons +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chargers -3 (-115) | Falcons +3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Chargers at Falcons key injuries

Chargers

  • WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) questionable
  • OLB Joey Bosa (groin) out — injured reserve (IR)
  • RB Austin Ekeler (abdomen) questionable
  • CB J.C. Jackson knee out — IR
  • WR Mike Williams (ankle) out

Falcons

  • RB Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) out — IR
  • CB A.J. Terrell (hamstring) questionable
  • OL Elijah Wilkinson (knee) questionable

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Chargers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Chargers 27, Falcons 23

Moneyline

PASS.

The -165 for the Chargers is just a bit too high to wager on here. Instead, let’s focus on the spread below.

Against the spread

BET CHARGERS -3 (-115).

Coming off a bye week, Los Angeles will be refreshed heading to Atlanta.

The Falcons are coming off the difficult 3-point, OT win against the visiting Panthers and might be without All-Pro CB Terrell. If he’s out, the Falcons will be at a disadvantage against a team with Herbert at QB.

Neither defense is anything to write home about.

If the Chargers’ line climbs to -4 or higher, I will avoid. But at -3 (-115), this is my FAVORITE PLAY for this game.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 50 (-108).

As mentioned, both teams can score and neither defense is particularly good. The Falcons will be able to run on the Chargers’ terrible run defense and the Chargers’ pass game will feast on the Falcons defense, especially if it’s missing Terrell.

Points should be aplenty in this game. If the line were lower than 50, it would be a great play, but at 50 (-108), it’s just a LEAN.

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