Staff predictions for Chargers vs. Cowboys in Week 6

Find out who the Chargers Wire staff is picking between Los Angeles and Dallas.

The Los Angeles Chargers kick off Week 6 against the Dallas Cowboys on Monday, Oct. 16 at 5:15 p.m. PT.

Who is going to come out victorious?

Here is a look at the predictions from each of our writers at Chargers Wire:

Gavino:

In what will likely be the game of the week, you have a Chargers team that is well-rested after being fresh off their bye and a Cowboys team that will be plenty fired up after suffering an embarrassing loss to the 49ers. Speaking of being fired up, offensive coordinator Kellen Moore will be as well, as he is facing the team that relieved him of his duties at the end of the 2022 season. Moore will look to light up the scoreboard using not only Justin Herbert but Austin Ekeler, who returns after missing the last three games. They will be taking on a Dallas defense that has given up 28 or more points in 2 of its last 3 games. Los Angeles’ defense hasn’t been anything to gloat about, but the Cowboys’ offense has struggled. I still expect a high-scoring affair, but for the Bolts to prevail.

Chargers 31, Cowboys 27

Alex K:

The way to defeat the Chargers defense is to throw the ball down the field, something the Cowboys have struggled to do all season with Mike McCarthy calling plays. Dallas will probably still put up points because they simply have too much talent not to, but a litany of injuries on defense should prevent them from slowing the Chargers too much. The only reason I won’t predict a larger margin of victory than this is that it’s a Chargers game.

Chargers 34, Cowboys 28

Alex I:

The Cowboys will be looking to rebound from their loss to the Niners and keep pace in the NFC East. LA is certainly going to get the best punch Dallas can throw with players like Dak Prescott and Micah Parsons in need of bounce-back efforts.

The Chargers are well-rested after their BYE. Austin Ekeler and Derwin James are back for the team. Joey Bosa seems like he’ll play after a limited practice on Saturday.

This game seems like an old-fashioned SoFi shootout that is decided by who has the ball last. Brandon Staley tends to execute his best defensive game plans in primetime moments for what it’s worth. This Dallas offense has not been quite as explosive or as efficient through five games and the loss of Trevon Diggs on defense has been felt.

LA finally puts it all together in their most complete showing of the year to knock off the Cowboys on a Cameron Dicker field goal.

Chargers 31, Cowboys 30

Who are the experts taking in Chargers vs. Cowboys?

Find out who the experts are picking between the Chargers and Cowboys.

The Chargers are 1.5-point underdogs to the Cowboys in Week 6 of the 2023 regular season. The over/under is 51 points, per BetMGM Sportsbook.

That means oddsmakers are taking bets on whether the two teams will combine to score more than or fewer than 51 points.

My score prediction for the game is a 31-27 win for the Chargers, with a combined total of 58 points. So if I were putting money behind my prediction, I’d bet the over.

As for game picks, analysts are slightly leaning toward Mike McCarthy’s squad in this one.

Expert Pick
Nate Davis (USA Today) Cowboys
Jarrett Bell (USA Today) Cowboys
Mike Clay (ESPN) Chargers
Matt Bowen (ESPN) Cowboys
Pete Prisco (CBS Sports) Cowboys
Bill Bender (Sporting News) Cowboys
NFL.com Staff Chargers (4 to 1)
Bleacher Report Chargers

Monday’s game will begin at 5:15 p.m. PT and will be televised on ESPN.

Chargers QB Justin Herbert won’t be affected by finger injury vs. Cowboys

There aren’t going to be any limitations for Justin Herbert.

Quarterback Justin Herbert is not likely to be affected by the injured finger on his non-throwing hand when the Chargers take on the Cowboys on Monday night.

“I think there’s so much going on during the game that you’re probably not going to be worrying about it too much. I think you’re just going to be worried about not getting tackled or not taking those hits. Whether it’s a scramble, it’s about being safe and getting down. That’s in the back of your mind.”

Herbert sustained the injury in Week 4 in the win over the Raiders. It occurred after he threw an interception. He attempted to make a tackle on the defender, but his finger got caught in the helmet of Maxx Crosby, resulting in him finishing the game with a large splint on his hand.

“I think it gets better every day,” Herbert said. “It’s nice having the bye week to get our bodies back. I think it’s getting better every day.”

Herbert said he plans to play with a glove on his hand as a way of protection and helping him get a better grip on the football.

Herbert didn’t take any snaps under center throughout the week of practice to protect his finger, but he did note that they’ve got some plays under center designed for the game.

5 Chargers players who need to step up vs. Cowboys

The Chargers could use a push from these five players when they face the Cowboys.

Following the bye week, the Chargers will now face the Cowboys with a chance to go over .500 on the season. 3-2 would certainly feel like a step in the right direction after the team’s 0-2 start.

Winning against Dallas will not be easy, though. After a 42-10 loss to the 49ers on Sunday night, the Cowboys will be under intense pressure to get back on track offensively and defensively. Here are some players who need to perform to prevent a rebound game for Big D.

CB Michael Davis

The story that dominated Chargers headlines during the bye was cornerback J.C. Jackson being traded to the Patriots. With that trade completed, Davis and Asante Samuel Jr. are officially locked in as the outside corners for the rest of the year. Unlike Weeks 1 and 2, there is no more three-man rotation to deal with on the outside.

That’s why there’s even more pressure on him to perform. To this point, the former BYU product has struggled. Davis has allowed 286 receiving yards and a 71% completion percentage when targeted, both on pace to shatter records for a single season in his career. The most penalties he has given up in a season is six. He’s already at five penalties committed in 2023.

Quarterbacks are throwing for a 138.8 passer rating on Davis targets. The sledding does not get any easier for this defense with Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes coming up in their next games. As he nurses an ankle injury, Davis will need to find a way to get back to his form from the end of the 2022 season in order to stabilize the secondary.

C Will Clapp

Corey Linsley remains on the NFI list with a non-emergent heart condition. Until there are more details on the situation, it should probably be assumed that Linsley is out for the foreseeable future with the Chargers not giving him a four-week injured reserve distinction.

Linsley coming back feels much more like an if than a when at this point. Clapp had a decent game against the Raiders in relief. He only allowed one pass pressure on 68 snaps played. There will likely be some communications and tweaks on the offensive line that need to be ironed out, but so far Clapp is off to a good start.

The Dallas defensive line will bring its own set of challenges. They have been the best front in the league when it comes to creating pressure and have the third-highest sack percentage. A lot of the offensive lines’ responsibilities in pass and run blocking will fall on Clapp without Linsley.

WR Joshua Palmer

Palmer will enter the last 13 games of the season in the team’s WR2 spot. The three main sets will likely be Keenan Allen, Palmer, and Quentin Johnston for the rest of the season (barring injury).

He’s been in this position before. Last year, Palmer was effectively the team’s first receiver on the depth chart in several games that Allen and Mike Williams missed.

If this Chargers’ offense is to remain a potent threat, they cannot lose the efficiency they’ve had on the field this year with both Williams and Allen in the lineup. Palmer doesn’t necessarily have to replace Williams’ production by himself, but the Chargers have to hope that he and Johnston can at least come close on a per-game basis.

The tight end room

Gerald Everett has not had the receiving production that most expected this year. He stands at 107 yards over four games. That puts him almost 10 yards per game behind his 2023 pace. In filling the Williams’ load this offense will be missing, Everett probably has to be one of the more consistent sources of offense for the team.

Donald Parham has a wrist injury that will likely take a few weeks to heal in terms of using him as a red-zone scoring threat. What really concerns me with this unit though is the below-average blocking. Stone Smartt and Tre’ McKitty both have PFF run-blocking grades under 35.

The tight end group needs to get a little more resolved from a receiving standpoint, but the blocking is the more important aspect that needs to get better in running Moore’s multi-tight end formations.

EDGE Khalil Mack

Mack had his best game as a Charger which earned him a 92.3 PFF grade against the Raiders. A six-sack, nine-pressure game was an effort that was much needed after an underwhelming first three weeks of the season.

Mack will need to have premium performances against good offensive lines as well, and that starts with Dallas. The former Bear is also increasingly more important with how banged up Joey Bosa is. It’s likely that Bosa will be able to return against Dallas in Week 5, but who knows how many snaps he’ll be able to play after dealing with nagging toe and hamstring injuries.

Mack, Tuli Tuipulotu, and Bosa continuing to rack up pressures would put the Chargers’ in a really solid position with their EDGE room. But Mack regressing a bit to his average level in his LA career would be tough considering the state of the secondary behind him.

Despite loss to Cowboys, Chargers QB Justin Herbert set another milestone

Another week of Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert making history.

The Chargers were unable to overcome a slew of penalties in Sunday’s loss to the Cowboys. But it was quarterback Justin Herbert who kept the team in the game throughout.

Herbert threw for 338 passing yards, which tied Patrick Mahomes and Dan Marino for the most games (10) in NFL history with 300 yards in his first two seasons.

Even though Herbert threw two interceptions, he still made high-end plays under a lot more pressure than he was last week against Washington.

Had two penalties not taken away two touchdowns, Herbert’s three would have been enough to guide Los Angeles to victory over Dallas.

Herbert had a 37-yard touchdown pass to Donald Parham taken away when Jared Cook was called for holding. Herbert was then picked in the end zone three plays later.

In the fourth quarter, Herbert had a 2-yard touchdown pass to Cook taken away because of an illegal shift motion penalty. The Chargers then had to settle for a field goal on that series.

It wasn’t Herbert’s best game, but the 22-year old still flashed glimpses of dominance, which resulted in him writing his name in the history books.