CFP National Championship: Ohio State vs. Notre Dame prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Ohio State vs. Notre Dame prop bet odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (13-2) and Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-1) meet Monday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta for the College Football Playoff National Championship. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Buckeyes and Fighting Irish meet for the first-ever championship in the era of the 12-team College Football playoffs. On Monday night, college football wraps up with the equivalent of the NFL’s Super Bowl. While the interest isn’t quite there, with plenty of states legalizing sports wagering in recent years, the popularity of prop bets on the title game is growing exponentially.

We’ll go down the list and select a handful of solid prop bets to enhance your viewing pleasure on Monday night for the big game.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Best Ohio State vs. Notre Dame prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:09 a.m. ET.

Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith (-140) – ANYTIME TD SCORER

The super freshman WR Jeremiah Smith was nearly invisible in the national semifinal against Texas, going for just a single 3-yard reception in the Cotton Bowl. That might have been on the more surprising storylines from that victory. With its best receiver doing next to nothing, the Buckeyes were still able to double-up the Longhorns.

Notre Dame has been hard on the pass, allowing just 177.1 yards per game through the air. However, Smith had 5 games this season with 100 or more yards, including hitting the century mark with 2 TDs apiece in the first 2 playoff games against the Tennessee Volunteers and Oregon Ducks. He has 14 TDs to date.

Smith is a big-time player, and he should be able to find the end zone in his title battle.

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Ohio State QB Will Howard – OVER 245.5 passing yards (-115)

Yes, the Fighting Irish have a tremendous defense, so it is expected that QB Will Howard struggles a little more than usual. However, he has really picked up the pace in the postseason, going for 311 passing yards with 2 TDs against Tennessee, 319 yards and 3 TDs against Oregon, and 289 yards and 1 TD against Texas.

To be fair, Howard threw for 246 or more yards just 3 times in the final 9 regular-season games, including a season-low 175 yards in the stunning finale loss against the rival Michigan Wolverines on Nov. 30.

Still, Howard has been playing his best football when it matters most, in the playoffs, and he should be able to get Over the projections here.

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Ohio State RB Quinshon Judkins (-115) – ANYTIME TD SCORER

The Buckeyes struck gold in the transfer portal in the offseason. Not only did it add Howard to run the offense, but sometimes the addition of RB Quinshon Judkins can be overlooked.

Judkins has been a bowling ball down near the goal line, and the go-to back when it comes to short-yardage situations.

He opened the scoring against Texas with a 9-yard scoring run, and if you’re a little more adventurous, he can help you multiply up by 5 times (+500) if you select Judkins as the game’s first TD scorer. Judkins also had a 1-yard scoring plunge in the fourth quarter against Texas.

Judkins also had a pair of 1-yard TD runs against Tennessee in the first-round, on-campus victory back on Dec. 21. He has 12 rushing TDs and 1 receiving score across 15 games with the Buckeyes. Judkins is a good bet to record his 14th TD against the Irish.

Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard (+100) — 40+ ALTERNATE RUSHING YARDS

The Fighting Irish also did well in the portal in the offseason, landing Leonard from Duke to run their offense.

And run, QB Riley Leonard has definitely done. He has completed a career-high 66.4% of his passes for 2,606 yards with 19 TDs and 8 INTs, which aren’t necessarily eye-popping numbers, but he also has career highs with 866 rushing yards and 16 TDs.

The Buckeyes are stout on defense, especially against the run, although they have had some issues at times against running QBs. Leonard has 30 or more rushing yards in each of his past 13 games, so he is always eager to take off and display his wheels. He went for 80 rushing yards to lead the team in the Sugar Bowl win over Georgia in the quarterfinals, too.

While, yes, Ohio State is No. 3 in the nation with just 89.9 rushing yards per game allowed, when the Irish are advancing the sticks on the ground, it will likely be due to the legs of Leonard.

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CFP National Championship: Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Notre Dame vs. Ohio State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes (13-2) and Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-1) meet Monday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta for the College Football Playoff National Championship. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The stage is set for the final game of the college football season. It’s been a long ride since August, when kickoffs began. Now, just 2 teams stand after a historic first 12-game College Football Playoff.

The No. 8 seed Buckeyes rolled through the Tennessee Volunteers, Oregon Ducks and Texas Longhorns to get to Atlanta, not only winning all 3 games, but covering each game, too.

After losing the regular-season finale to the Michigan Wolverines and a shot at the Big Ten Championship, the Buckeyes regrouped against the Volunteers in a first-round home game. Ohio State won 42-17 as 7-point favorites, setting up a rematch with Oregon. The No. 1 Ducks bested the Buckeyes 32-31 in Eugene earlier in the season, but the Rose Bowl was all Ohio State. The Buckeyes fired out to a 34-0 lead before the Ducks could finally score. Ohio State won the rematch 41-21 as a 2.5-point favorite to march on.

At the Cotton Bowl, in one of the national semifinals, Ohio State had a much closer game with Texas in Arlington. It was 21-14, with the Longhorns driving in the fourth quarter. But, LB Jack Sawyer sacked Texas QB Quinn Ewers, stripped him, and returned a fumble 83 yards for the game-clinching score.

The No. 7 seed Fighting Irish clobbered the Indiana Hoosiers in an on-campus home win Dec. 20. While the 27-17 score isn’t indicative, Notre Dame led 27-3 before Indiana scored 2 late TDs to make it appear closer. The Irish humbled the Georgia Bulldogs 23-10 in the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans on Jan. 2 in the quarters, before easing by another Big Ten team, the Penn State Nittany Lions, 27-24 in the Orange Bowl.

Both of these teams have impressive offenses, and both of these teams have impressive defenses.

Notre Dame runs for 225.8 yards per game, and 37.7 points per game (PPG). It allows just 319.6 total yards per game, with 177.1 passing yards, and 13.6 PPG.

Ohio State averages 428.3 total yards per game, and 35.8 PPG. It ranked No. 1 by allowing just 251.1 total yards, 161.1 passing yards and 12.2 PPG, while ranking No. 3 with just 89.9 rushing yards allowed.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Notre Dame +325 (bet $100 to win $325)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State -8.5 (-115) | Notre Dame +8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ohio State vs. Notre Dame picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 23, Notre Dame 19

Moneyline

Ohio State (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Even if you were to toss the Buckeyes into a multi-leg or same-game parlay (SGP), including Ohio State takes all of the value out of your betslip.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

NOTRE DAME +8.5 (-105) is a strong play catching the points. The Fighting Irish have the run game to hang around, and it certainly has a championship-caliber defense.

It’s tough, as both of these teams have won and covered 3 straight playoff games. The Fighting Irish are on a 11-game cover streak, while rattling off 13 straight wins and a 12-1 ATS mark since that lone loss to the Northern Illinois Huskies on Sept. 7.

Ohio State -8.5 (-115) closed out the regular season 1-2 ATS in the final 3 games, and it was 3-4 ATS in the final 7 before catching fire in the playoffs.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-110) is a low number in this day and age of college football, but both of these teams are throwbacks.

Notre Dame has a tremendous defense, and Ohio State’s defense ranked No. 1 in many notable categories. The Under was 5-1 in the final 6 regular-season games for the Buckeyes, and the total went low against the Longhorns. In fact, against Texas, Ohio State showed off its tremendous red-zone defense in that victory.

Go low, but don’t get carried away.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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CFP National Championship first look: Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds and lines

Looking at the Monday, Jan. 20 Ohio State vs. Notre Dame college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The eighth-seeded Ohio State Buckeyes (13-2) meet the seventh-seeded Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-1) Jan. 20 in the CFP National Championship Game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds before making our expert college football picks and predictions later in the week.

The Buckeyes had a seesaw battle with the Texas Longhorns in the semifinals at the Cotton Bowl Friday. Ohio State led 7-0 after a 9-yard TD run by RB Quinshon Judkins. RB Jaydon Blue scored an 18-yard TD reception from QB Quinn Ewers with 29 seconds left in the first half to tie the game 7-7.

However, the score wasn’t tied at half, as RB TreVeyon Henderson had a 75-yard TD reception right before the break to take a 14-7 lead, and that was key with Ohio State getting the ball first in the second half.

Blue was back with a 26-yard TD reception with 3:12 to go in the third quarter, tying it back up at 14-14.

In the fourth quarter, Judkins punched in a 1-yard TD to make it 21-14. LB Jack Sawyer then had a strip sack and touchdown to put a bow on the scoring, as Ohio State won 28-14. The Buckeyes also covered as 6-point favorites while the Under (51.5) cashed for the first time in 3 playoff games. Ohio State is 3-0 against the spread (ATS) so far.

For Notre Dame, it topped the Penn State Nittany Lions 27-24 at the Orange Bowl in the other semifinal game Thursday, covering as a 1-point underdog. Like Ohio State, Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS, while the Under has cashed in 2 of 3 games to date.

The Fighting Irish fell behind 10-0 late in the second quarter, before PK Mitch Jeter knocked through a 41-yard FG at the buzzer to cut the PSU lead to 10-3 at the break.

Notre Dame saw QB Riley Leonard post a 3-yard TD at 10:46 of the third quarter to tie the game, while RB Jeremiyah Love opened the fourth quarter to make it 17-10. However, the Nittany Lions had a pair of 7-yard TD runs by RB Nicholas Singleton to take it 24-17 in favor of Penn State.

With 4:38 to go in regulation, WR Jaden Greathouse posted a 54-yard TD reception to make it 24-24. Late in regulation, Notre Dame picked off QB Drew Allar near midfield in the final minute, and Jeter was back with another 41-yard FG, this time winning it with 7 seconds left.

Notre Dame is No. 3 in the US LBM Coaches Poll (conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports), while Ohio State is No. 7.

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Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Notre Dame +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Against the spread: Ohio State -9.5 (-110) | Notre Dame +9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2024 betting stats

  • ML: Ohio State 13-2 | Notre Dame 14-1
  • ATS: Ohio State 9-6 | Notre Dame 13-2
  • O/U: Ohio State 7-8 | Notre Dame 8-7

Ohio State vs. Notre Dame head-to-head

Ohio State leads the all-time series 6-2, including a 17-14 victory in South Bend in the most recent meeting Sept. 23, 2023.

In fact, the Buckeyes have won 6 straight meetings, including a 44-28 win in the Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1, 2016, and a 34-20 victory, also in the Fiesta Bowl, Jan. 2, 2006.

Notre Dame’s last victory in this series came in a 7-2 win in South Bend back on Oct. 31, 2016. The Fighting Irish also won the first meeting Nov. 2, 1935, in Columbus by an 18-13 score.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / DukeFlorida / Florida StateGeorgia / Iowa / KentuckyLSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / WashingtonWisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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First look: Georgia vs. Alabama odds and lines

Looking at Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide CFP National Championship college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Georgia Bulldogs (13-1) and Alabama Crimson Tide (13-1) meet Monday in the CFP National Championship presented by AT&T at Lucas Oil Field in Indianapolis. Below, we look at the Georgia vs. Alabama odds and lines; check back for our NFL picks and predictions.

The Bulldogs bounced back from a loss to the Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship Game by routing Michigan 34-11 in the CFP Semifinal at the Orange Bowl. UGA has alternated covers and non-covers in each of its last nine outings.

The Crimson Tide have the confidence of blasting Georgia 41-24 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the SEC title game Dec. 4. The Tide also rolled 27-6 over Cincinnati in their CFP Semifinal at the Cotton Bowl Classic in Arlington, Texas.

Georgia vs. Alabama odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Georgia -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Alabama +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Georgia -2.5, -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Alabama +2.5, +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5, O: -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | U: -105 (bet $105 to win $100)

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2021 betting stats:

  • ML: Georgia 13-1 | Alabama 13-1
  • ATS: Georgia 9-5 | Alabama 8-6
  • O/U: Georgia 6-8 | Alabama 7-7

Georgia vs. Alabama head-to-head

You needn’t look very far to see the most recent meeting, as Alabama topped Georgia 41-24 in the SEC title game. Alabama has won seven straight meetings, including three SEC Championship Games and the 2018 CFP National Championship in Atlanta. The Tide won that evening by a 26-23 score.

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