NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers prop predictions

Highlighting five Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup.

The Atlanta Falcons (1-6) and Carolina Panthers (3-4) meet at Bank of America Stadium for an 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday Night Football kickoff in their second of two head-to-head clashes this season. Below, we give you five prop bet predictions to consider for the Falcons-Panthers Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

Falcons at Panthers prop bets to make for Thursday Night Football

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Falcons WR Julio Jones 80+ receiving yards and 6+ receptions (+250)

Jones missed the Week 5 game against the Panthers, but he has returned from injury to put up 137 and 97 yards in each of the last two games, respectively, with eight catches in each outing. He has also averaged 92.7 yards per game against the rival Panthers over his career.

Panthers RB Mike Davis OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-112)

Davis has a favorable rushing line after going for a season-high 89 yards in the 23-16 win over the Falcons in Week 5. He’s coming off just a 12-yard performance which was his lowest total in five starts to date, as were his seven carries. The Panthers are 2-point betting favorites so should have a favorable game script. Look for them to lean on Davis and the rushing attack.

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Panthers WR Curtis Samuel OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-112)

Samuel returned from a one-game absence last week to catch all six of his targets for 48 yards in the 27-24 loss to the New Orleans Saints. He played just 48% of the offensive snaps. He has caught a career-best 86.2% of his targets on the season and is averaging 8.0 yards per target. Another 6-8 looks in Week 8 easily gets him to the Over.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan OVER 24.5 pass completions (-134)

Ryan completed just 21 of 37 attempts in the Week 5 clash with Carolina. He finished with a season-low 226 passing yards. Since the firing of head coach Dan Quinn, Ryan has attempted 40-plus passes in back-to-back games and had at least 30 completions in each outing. He’ll continue leaning on Jones and WR Calvin Ridley in favorable man-to-man matchups Thursday.

Panthers TE Chris Manhertz to score a touchdown (+900)

Manhertz has been targeted just five times this season and has four catches for 35 yards; however, he has played at least 43% of the offensive snaps in each game. The Falcons have given up a league-high eight touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Take the higher payout with Manhertz over Ian Thomas (+400) after both were held without a catch by the Falcons in their first meeting.

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Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Week 8 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons (1-6) and Carolina Panthers (3-4) are both coming off a narrow loss in Week 7. They’ll commiserate together on a short week in their Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup at Bank of America Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Falcons-Panthers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Falcons at Panthers betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Falcons +130 (bet $100, win $130) | Panthers -152 (bet $152, win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +3 (-121) | Panthers -3 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -115, U: -106)

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Falcons at Panthers game notes

  • The NFC South rivals met in Atlanta in Week 5, with the Panthers taking a 23-16 victory. The loss led the Falcons to fire head coach Dan Quinn. Interim head coach Raheem Morris is 1-1 in his place.
  • The Falcons lost 23-22 at home against the Detroit Lions last week when RB Todd Gurley scored a touchdown with too much time remaining on the clock. Lions QB Matthew Stafford was able to march his team down the field and hit TE T.J. Hockenson for a touchdown to set up PK Matt Prater‘s game-winning extra point.
  • The Panthers lost 27-24 on the road against a banged-up New Orleans Saints squad Sunday. The game was tied 24-24 entering the fourth quarter.
  • Carolina is 4-3 against the spread while covering by an average of 3.0 points per game; Atlanta is 2-5 ATS and fails to cover by 2.6 PPG. The Falcons are 4-3 against the Over/Under with the Panthers 3-4 against the projected totals.
  • Falcons QB Matt Ryan leads the NFL with 2,181 passing yards through 7 games. He has 12 touchdown passes and just 3 interceptions.
  • Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) hadn’t been activated from the Reserve/Injured list as of the time of publishing and is expected to remain sidelined for at least one more week. RB Mike Davis has 517 yards from scrimmage and 4 total touchdowns through 7 games and 5 starts.

Falcons at Panthers key injuries

Falcons

  • WR Julio Jones (hip) questionable
  • WR Russell Gage (knee) questionable
  • Alex Mack (knee) questionable
  • OT Kaleb McGary (elbow) questionable
  • DE Takkarist McKinley (groin) questionable

Panthers

  • OT Russell Okung (calf) questionable
  • John Miller (ankle) questionable
  • RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) questionable/IR

Falcons at Panthers: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Falcons 26, Panthers 21

Money line (?)

The FALCONS (+130) carry good value into their rematch with the rival Panthers (-152). Carolina will still be without its best player in McCaffrey and the Falcons’ passing game has re-established itself as one of the best in the league.

The injuries to two key Panthers O-linemen also loom large and could help spark a Falcons pass rush with just 10 sacks through 7 games. The Panthers are generating even less pressure with 6 sacks.

Prior to their Week 5 loss to the Panthers, the Falcons had won each of the previous five and eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings.

Against the spread (?)

The value is with the Falcons’ money line, but ATLANTA +3 (-121) should still be backed for extra insurance. The Falcons have twice lost by just a single point.

Over/Under (?)

Lean to the UNDER 48.5 (-106) with three of the last four TNF games falling shy of this mark. The Week 5 meeting between the Falcons and Panthers also saw a total of just 39 points scored.

For as maligned as the Falcons are – especially on defense – their last three opponents have each scored just 23 points.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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